Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 2 Documents
Search
Journal : RAGAM: Journal of Statistics and Its Application

PEMODELAN GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED REGRESSION (GWR) MENGGUNAKAN PEMBOBOT KERNEL PADA KASUS TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERBUKA DI KALIMANTAN Viona Oktafiani; Dewi Sri Susanti; Yeni Rahkmawati
RAGAM: Journal of Statistics & Its Application Vol 3, No 1 (2024): RAGAM: Journal of Statistics & Its Application
Publisher : Universitas Lambung Mangkurat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20527/ragam.v3i1.12822

Abstract

AbstractUnemployment is one of the serious problems in Indonesia's economic development. This unemployment describes human resources that have not been utilized optimally, as a result of which people's productivity and income have not been maximized, this can also be one of the causes of poverty and other social problems. This study aims to find out the general picture of the open unemployment rate in the Kalimantan region, get the best model and factors that influence the open unemployment rate and illustrate it through thematic maps. The study began with testing assumptions and spatial effects then continued with testing global regression modeling and Geographically Weighted Regression. The weighting function used in this study is adaptive gaussian kernel. The variable that has a positive effect on the open unemployment rate in the Kalimantan region is population density. While the variable that negatively affects the open unemployment rate is the Labor Force Participation Rate. Keywords:   Open Unemployment Rate, Kalimantan Island, Spatial, GWR
PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG BUS RAPID TRANSIT (BRT) BANJARBAKULA DENGAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE WITH EXOGENOUS VARIABLE (ARIMAX) DENGAN EFEK VARIASI KALENDER Eka Ayu Frasetyowati; Nur Salam; Yeni Rahkmawati
RAGAM: Journal of Statistics & Its Application Vol 3, No 1 (2024): RAGAM: Journal of Statistics & Its Application
Publisher : Universitas Lambung Mangkurat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20527/ragam.v3i1.12789

Abstract

Banjarbakula Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) is an inner-city bus-based mass transit system that provides a sense of comfort, safety, speed in mobility, and low cost in serving the citizens of Banjarmasin City and Banjarbaru City. Based on data on the number of passengers on the Banjarbakula BRT for the period April 2020 - February 2023, public interest in using the Banjarbakula BRT as a mode of transportation is quite high. However, the limited units and operational schedules make the Banjarbakula BRT unable to fully meet the needs of the public. Forecasting the number of passengers of BRT Banjarbakula for the next 12 periods is one of the measures to prepare the infrastructure, quality and units of BRT Banjarbakula in order to facilitate the public and create a better transportation system. In the Banjarbakula BRT passenger data, there is an increase in the number of passengers at certain times such as during religious holidays and school holidays, so this increase in passenger numbers is thought to be due to the influence of the calendar variation effect. This research intends to forecast the number of passengers of BRT Banjarbakula using the best ARIMAX model with the effect of calendar variation. The results indicate that the ARIMAX (0, 1, 1) model is the best ARIMAX model to forecast the number of passengers of BRT Banjarbakula for the next 12 periods. The forecast results indicate an increase in the month where the Christmas celebration and also the memorial haul guru sekumpul, so that the variable Christmas celebration and memorial haul guru sekumpul significantly affect the number of passengers of BRT Banjarbakula.Keywords: Forecasting, BRT Banjarbakula, ARIMAX with calendar variation effects