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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Ekonomi-Qu (Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi) Substansi: Sumber Artikel Akuntansi Auditing dan Keuangan Vokasi Jurnal Impresi Indonesia Engagement: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Economic Development Analysis Journal Proceedings National Conference Sisi Indonesia
Lilis Hoeriyah
Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Public Health Social Sciences

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FAKTOR EKONOMI YANG MEMPENGARUHI CAPITAL FLIGHT DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG ANGGOTA ASEAN Lilis Hoeriyah; Indra Suhendra; Samsul Arifin
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 9, No 2 (2019): Ekonomi-Qu
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35448/jequ.v2i2.7169

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), differences in interest rates and inflation on capital flight in eight developing countries of ASEAN regions. This research uses secondary data during the periods of 2007-2016. The research methodology used in this study is panel data regression with FEM(Fixed Effect Model). The results of this research show that simultaneously, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), differences in interest rates and inflation have significant impact on capital flight. Partially, all of variables have significant positive impact on capital flight. However, the variable of REER shows insignificant to capital flight.
Economic Complexity and Sustainable Growth in Developing Countries Lilis Hoeriyah; Nunung Nuryartono; Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 11 No 1 (2022): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v11i1.47294

Abstract

Most developing countries in this study are middle to low-income countries that have a relatively low economic complexity. This study aims to analyze the effect of the economic complexity on economic growth in 86 developing countries in 2010-2019. The method used is the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to capture dynamic panel analysis. The estimation results using the System GMM show that economic complexity has a positive effect on economic growth in developing countries. Increasing economic complexity encourages a structural transformation through high value-added economic sectors' creation to produce more complex products for earning a higher income. Human capital does not have a significant effect on economic growth because developing countries have relatively low-quality workers both in terms of education and health. The human capital development and government spending on the health sector are necessary to accelerate sustainable economic growth.
Identifikasi Ketimpangan Wilayah Antar Kabupaten/Kota di Pulau Jawa Bagian Barat Togi Haidat Mangara; Lilis Hoeriyah; Cici Musliha
Proceedings National Conference Sinesia Vol. 1 No. 2 (2025): Accelerating SDGs Implementation in Indonesia towards a Golden Indonesia 2045
Publisher : Yayasan Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Sisi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.69836/ncrcs-sinesia.v1i2.106

Abstract

Pertumbuhan ekonomi tidak dapat terlepas dari permasalahannya yang mana salah satunya adalah ketimpangan. Pulau Jawa, khususnya Jawa Bagian Barat, meskipun seringkali dianggap sebagai konsentrasi pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia ternyata tidak terlepas dari permasalahan ketimpangan tersebut. Penelitian ini dimaksudkan untuk mengidentifikasi seberapa besar ketimpangan yang terjadi di Jawa Bagian Barat serta wilayah mana saja yang memiliki dominasi kuat terhadap proses ketimpangan wilayah tersebut. Metode yang digunakan adalah analisis Indeks Entropi Theil yang dilakukan bertahap yaitu perhitungan ketimpangan dalam wilayah (intra) di masing – masing provinsi dan ketimpangan antar wilayah (inter). Hasil dari analisis menunjukkan bahwa Provinsi Jawa Barat memiliki nilai ketimpangan tertinggi, disusul oleh Provinsi DKI Jakarta, dan provinsi dengan ketimpangan terendah adalah Provinsi Banten.
Reimagining Rural Literacy Spaces: Lessons from a Community-Based Reading Corner in a Serang Regency Village Lilis Hoeriyah
Engagement: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 10 No. 2 (2026): May 2026
Publisher : Asosiasi Dosen Pengembang Masyarajat (ADPEMAS) Forum Komunikasi Dosen Peneliti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29062/engagement.v10i2.2317

Abstract

Background: Indonesia's literacy culture remains at a concerning level, with the PISA survey placing the country 62nd out of 70 nations. Sukajaya Village reflects this challenge, characterized by limited access to high-quality reading materials and high levels of gadget dependency among children. Purpose of the Study: This study aims to analyze the strategies employed by the local community to optimize the Reading Corner as a sustainable and self-reliant center for non-formal education. Methods: The initiative utilized a descriptive qualitative approach, applying Participatory Action Research (PAR) and Asset-Based Community Development (ABCD) through a 5D cycle: Define, Discovery, Dream, Design, and Deliver. Results: The program successfully strengthened literacy governance by mobilizing local assets and relocating the facility to a strategic, weather-protected residence of a local educator. Quantitatively, this intervention resulted in a significant increase in accessibility, with the number of weekly visitors rising from zero to an average of 20 children per week. Success was driven by participatory management, including the establishment of a Village Literacy Committee involving Karang Taruna youth and women activists. The emergence of local champions and increased parental support have ensured the program's sustainability. The study concludes that mobilizing social capital and internal village assets is more effective for rural literacy development than relying solely on external assistance.
Monetary Dynamics and Inflation in an Emerging Economy: Evidence from a Vecm Approach Incorporating Consumer Expectations Tony S. Chendrawan; Umayatu Suiroh Suharto; Lilis Hoeriyah
Jurnal Impresi Indonesia Vol. 5 No. 5 (2026): Jurnal Impresi Indonesia
Publisher : Riviera Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58344/jii.v5i5.7793

Abstract

This research examines the dynamics of inflation in the macroeconomic framework by emphasizing the role of monetary factors and expectations in the formation of inflation. This research uses the VECM econometric approach with data from the time series for the period 2014Q1–2025Q4. The analysis stages include stationariness test (ADF), optimal lag determination, VAR stability test, Johansen cointegration test, VECM estimation, as well as Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) analysis. Empirical results show that in the short-term inflation was influenced by inertia factors and consumer expectations, while in the long term the money supply and consumer expectations are the main determinants of inflation. In addition, there is a relatively rapid adjustment mechanism towards long-term equilibrium, as well as the increasing contribution of external variables in explaining inflation variations as the time horizon increases. This study concludes that inflation is not only a monetary phenomenon, but also greatly influenced by people's expectations. Implicitly, monetary policy needs to focus not only on controlling liquidity, but also on managing expectations through credibility and policy communication. These findings confirm the importance of a comprehensive approach in maintaining price stability.
DANA DESA DAN KEMISKINAN DAERAH: ANALISIS EMPIRIS DI KABUPATEN LEBAK, PANDEGLANG, SERANG, DAN TANGERANG Hady Sutjipto; Lilis Hoeriyah; Lisbon Sirait; Mohamad Zaki; Kartika Djati
SUBSTANSI Vol 10 No 1 (2026): JURNAL SUBSTANSI
Publisher : Politeknik Keuangan Negara STAN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35837/subs.v10i1.3947

Abstract

Research objective: This study aims to estimate and explain the influence of Village Funds and other macroeconomic variables on poverty levels across four regencies in Banten Province. Method: This study employs a quantitative approach using secondary data for the period 2015–2025. The data analysis method used is dynamic panel data regression with the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach to address endogeneity and capture poverty persistence. Research findings: The results indicate that Village Funds and mean years of schooling have a significant negative effect on poverty, while the regency minimum wage (UMK) has a significant positive effect. Furthermore, the study reveals a high level of poverty persistence, suggesting that poverty in the region is structural in nature. Practical implication: Local governments should reorient the utilization of Village Funds toward productive sectors and prioritize educational investment to break the cycle of structural poverty. Keywords: Village Funds; Poverty; Banten; GMM; Human Capital.
The Linkage Between Palm Oil Producer Prices and Economic Factors Dedi Budiman Hakim; Adi Hadianto; Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu; Widyastutik Widyastutik; Iwan Hermawan; Lilis Hoeriyah; Triana Anggraenie; Deviyantini; Fikri Aldi Dwi Putro
Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Vol. 23 No. 1 (2026): JMA Vol. 23 No. 1, March 2026
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.23.1.80

Abstract

Background: Despite being the world's dominant CPO producer (contributing approximately 58 percent of global output in 2023), Indonesia structurally operates as a price taker. CPO pricing consistently refers to international exchanges (BMD and Rotterdam) because domestic futures exchanges (BBJ/ICDX) are suboptimal due to the voluntary and inconsistent implementation of Bappebti Regulation No. 7/2023, which leads to low liquidity and transaction fragmentation.Purpose: This study addresses the underexplored gap by analyzing how global market integration and domestic price factors jointly determine Indonesian CPO forward prices and their causal relationship with Malaysia and Rotterdam prices.Design/Methodology/Approach: The study utilized monthly data from May 2010 to January 2025, as this period captures major global economic events, policy changes, and market fluctuations that significantly influenced Indonesia’s CPO price dynamics. The econometric models employed include the Error Correction Model (ECM) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), supported by Granger Causality, Impulse Response Function (IRF), and Variance Decomposition (VD) analyses. Findings/Results: The Indonesian CPO forward price is positively and significantly influenced by both Malaysian and Rotterdam CPO prices. Causality analysis confirms the price-taker status, identifying a one-way causal relationship in which Malaysia and Rotterdam predict Indonesian price changes. Dynamically, Indonesian prices exhibit a sensitive adjustment, responding positively to global shocks only briefly before they turn negative. The Rotterdam CPO price is the most significant external contributor to the Indonesian price variance over the long term.Conclusion: The findings confirm the persistent structural dependence of Indonesian CPO prices on international benchmarks. This underscores the urgent need for decisive policy intervention specifically, the mandatory domestic CPO trading policy through the Indonesia Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (ICDX) to foster stronger market liquidity, thereby enabling Indonesia to leverage its global production dominance and effectively transition into a global price reference for CPO.Originality/Value (State of the Art): This study provides a cutting-edge empirical contribution by combining ECM–VECM, IRF, and VD models to measure the structural relationships among major CPO markets. Unlike previous studies that typically examine price transmission using only single-equation models or limited time frames, this study incorporates a longer dataset and a comprehensive multivariate framework to capture both short-run adjustments and long-run causality. This study fills a key gap in the literature regarding the persistent structural dependence of Indonesian CPO prices on international benchmarks and highlights the urgency of strengthening Indonesia's role in the global pricing mechanism.  Keywords: crude palm oil, futures exchange, price integration, causality analysis, econometric models 
Co-Authors Adi Hadianto, Adi Cici Musliha Dedi Budiman Hakim Deviyantini Fikri Aldi Dwi Putro Hady Sutjipto Indra Suhendra Iwan Hermawan Kartika Djati Lisbon Sirait Mohamad Zaki Nunung Nuryartono SAMSUL ARIFIN Suharto, Umayatu Suiroh Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu Togi Haidat Mangara Tony S. Chendrawan Triana Anggraenie Widyastutik