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All Journal Media Trend: Berkala Kajian Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Journal of Aquatropica Asia AFEBI Economic and Finance Review Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Dharma Andalas Jurnal Abdi Insani Buletin Ekonomika Pembangunan PENG: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, Pendidikan dan Teknik (IDENTIK) Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis (JUKONI)
Samsuddin, M. Afdal
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Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Immunology & microbiology Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics

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Analisis Pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka Terhadap Penduduk Miskin Di Provinsi Sumatera Barat Raldo, Alfio; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.535

Abstract

Poverty remains a fundamental challenge in national development, particularly in developing countries such as Indonesia. This study aims to examine the influence of the Human Development Index (HDI) and the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) on the percentage of poor population (PP) in West Sumatra Province. Employing a quantitative associative approach, this research utilizes annual secondary data from 1994 to 2023. The analysis method used is multiple linear regression, supported by classical assumption tests and hypothesis testing, including t-tests, F-tests, and the coefficient of determination. The results indicate that, partially, HDI has a significant negative effect on PP, suggesting that improvements in human development contribute to poverty reduction. On the other hand, OUR does not show a statistically significant effect on PP, although it tends to have a negative relationship. Simultaneously, HDI and OUR have a significant joint effect on PP, with an Adjusted R² value of 0.989, indicating a very high predictive capability of the model. These findings offer critical insights for the formulation of inclusive, data-driven socio-economic policies at the provincial level.
Analisis Pengaruh Investasi Penanaman Modal Asing Dan Pdrb Terhadap Pengangguran Terbuka Di Provinsi Kalimantan Barat Maharani, Nuraprillia Dezta; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.546

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of Domestic Investment (PMDN) and Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) on the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) in West Kalimantan Province during the period of 2019–2023. The research employs a quantitative approach using panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) to examine causal relationships among variables. The dataset consists of 14 districts/cities over five years, sourced from official publications by the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) and the Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM). The results reveal that individually, both PMDN and GRDP do not have a statistically significant effect on OUR. However, simultaneously, both variables significantly affect OUR, contributing to 82.11% of the variation. These findings indicate that the effectiveness of investment and economic growth in reducing unemployment is highly influenced by contextual factors such as sectoral composition, interregional disparities, and the nature of investment. Therefore, regional economic development strategies in West Kalimantan should prioritize labor-intensive and inclusive sectors that can create equitable employment opportunities across districts.
Pengaruh Ekspor Dan Penanaman Modal Asing Terhadap Cadangan Devisa Indonesia Rolanda, Pynka; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.548

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of exports and foreign direct investment (FDI) on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves from 1994 to 2024. Foreign exchange reserves are an important indicator in assessing a country's economic resilience, especially in the face of global dynamics. The analysis method used is multiple linear regression with the help of EViews software. The results showed that simultaneously, export and FDI variables had a significant effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. However, partially, only FDI shows a positive and significant effect, while exports have a positive but insignificant effect. The Adjusted R-squared value of 83.28% indicates that the variation in foreign exchange reserves can be explained by these two variables, while the rest is influenced by other factors outside the model. These findings provide important implications for the formulation of economic policies, especially in maintaining the stability and growth of foreign exchange reserves through optimizing the export sector and foreign investment flows.
Analisis Kausalitas Antara Pengeluaran Pemerintah, Konsumsi Rumah Tangga, Dan Pendapatan Asli Daerah Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Lubis, Bela Ananda; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.549

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the causal relationship between Government Expenditure (PP), Household Consumption (KRT), and Local Own-Source Revenue (PAD) in North Sumatra Province during the period 1995–2024. The method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), selected after a series of stationarity tests, optimal lag determination, stability tests, Granger causality tests, and Johansen cointegration tests. The results show a significant bidirectional causal relationship between PAD and PP, as well as a significant effect of PAD on KRT, but no causal relationship from KRT to other variables. The cointegration test confirms three long-term relationships among the variables, justifying the use of the VECM model. In the long term, PAD plays an important role in adjusting the equilibrium of the regional economic system, while in the short term, changes in PP and PAD significantly affect the dynamics of their respective variables. The impulse response results indicate that PP and KRT are more responsive to shocks in themselves, while PAD acts as the main driver in correcting long-term disequilibrium. These findings emphasize the importance of strengthening PAD and effective management of government expenditure to support sustainable regional economic growth in North Sumatra Province.
Analisis Hubungan Kausalitas Antara Tingkat Pendidikan, Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka, Pdrb Per Kapita, Dan Persentase Penduduk Miskin Di Provinsi Papua Rahayu, Sekar Eka; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.553

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the causality relationship between the level of education (measured through Average Years of Schooling), Open Unemployment Rate (TPT), Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) per capita, and the percentage of poor people in Papua Province. The data used is secondary quarterly time series data for the period 2015-2023 using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) methods. The stationarity test results show that all variables are stationary at the 2nd difference level, while the optimal lag test selects lag 4 as the best lag. The stability test proves that the model used is stable and valid. The Granger Causality test shows no significant short-term causality between variables, but the Johansen cointegration test proves a significant long-term relationship. The VECM estimation shows significant error correction term coefficients on some of the main variables, indicating the existence of an adjustment mechanism towards long-term equilibrium. IRF and Variance Decomposition (VD) results show each variable is most responsive to shocks from itself, but there are also inter-variable influences in the long run. These findings emphasize the importance of integrated development policies to reduce poverty in Papua in a sustainable manner.
Analisis Hubungan Kausalitas Inflasi, Ipm, Kemiskinan, Dan Pengangguran Di Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur Sultan; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, Pendidikan dan Teknik Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025): IDENTIK - Mei
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/identik.v2i3.445

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the causal relationship between inflation, Human Development Index (HDI), poverty, and unemployment in East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) Province using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach. The study uses secondary annual data for the period 2014–2023, interpolated into monthly data. The analysis begins with stationarity testing, followed by the Johansen cointegration test, VECM estimation, and Granger causality, impulse response function (IRF), and variance decomposition (VD) analyses. The results show a long-term relationship among the variables, validating the use of the VECM model. Granger causality indicates that only inflation significantly causes poverty. The IRF results reveal that most variables respond more strongly to their own shocks than to shocks from other variables. The variance decomposition supports this, showing that most variations are explained by internal shocks, except for unemployment, which receives the highest external influence from HDI. These findings highlight the importance of focusing on human development policies to reduce unemployment and ensuring price stability to alleviate poverty in NTT.
Pengaruh Tingkat Kemiskinan Dan Harapan Lama Sekolah Terhadap PDRB Di Provinsi Bengkulu Saputra, Andi; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, Pendidikan dan Teknik Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025): IDENTIK - Mei
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/identik.v2i3.453

Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the influence of poverty levels and expected years of schooling on the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) in Bengkulu Province. Using secondary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) and applying a linear regression approach, a series of classical assumption tests were conducted to ensure the model’s reliability. The results indicate no issues of multicollinearity or heteroscedasticity; however, autocorrelation and non-normality of residuals were detected. Overall, both independent variables were found to significantly affect GRDP. These findings suggest that regional economic development strategies should prioritize poverty reduction and improvements in education quality.
Pengaruh Tingkat Pendidikan Dan Jumlah Penduduk Terhadap Pengangguran Di Provinsi Lampung Amanda; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, Pendidikan dan Teknik Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025): IDENTIK - Mei
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/identik.v2i3.513

Abstract

This study aims to examine the effect of education level and population on unemployment rate in Lampung Province by using panel data regression approach. The estimation models used are Fixed Effect Model (FEM) and Random Effect Model (REM). Based on the test results, the REM model is considered the most appropriate. The main findings show that the level of education has a negative and significant influence on the unemployment rate, while the population has a positive and significant impact. Thus, efforts to improve the quality of education and control the population growth rate are needed to reduce the unemployment rate in the region.
EDUKASI PENGGUNAAN CAREER DEVELOPMENT THEORIES DALAM MEMBANTU SISWA MENETAPKAN PILIHAN JURUSAN ILMU EKONOMI DI PERGURUAN TINGGI Samsuddin, M. Afdal; Fitriyanti, Eka; Putra, Agung Rizki
Jurnal Abdi Insani Vol 11 No 4 (2024): Jurnal Abdi Insani
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/abdiinsani.v11i4.2122

Abstract

Vocational High Schools (SMK) have a very important role in the Indonesian education system. SMKs are essential for equipping students with the knowledge and practical skills needed to enter the world of work, such as provision of employability skills, providing educational alternatives, increasing employment opportunities, collaboration with industry, encouraging entrepreneurship, and educational inclusion. SMK Negeri 1 Sungailiat is a leading vocational school dedicated to providing quality education in various fields, such as economics. The choice of major is an important first step for SMK students in building their careers. However, deciding on a major that matches interests, talents, and career goals can be difficult, especially for students who do not yet understand careers in economics. Career Development Theories is a conceptual framework that describes how individuals make career choices, develop themselves, and move forward in their careers throughout life. These theories help us understand the factors that influence career decision-making, the process of career identity formation, and one's professional development from childhood to retirement. The purpose of this activity is to apply CDT to SMK Negeri 1 Sungailiat students to help them choose a major in economics, as well as see how students' perceptions of the economist profession are influenced by self-efficacy beliefs, expected outcomes, and personal goals. The results achieved through community service activities are documented in a report on the implementation phase which includes the initial visit, preparation, and education. For future development plans, educating students in determining their choice of economics major is very important to implement Career Development Theories.
Pengaruh Inflasi, Kurs dan Cadangan Devisa Terhadap Neraca Perdagangan di Indonesia Setefanny, Setefanny; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Dharma Andalas Vol 27 No 2 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Dharma Andalas
Publisher : Universitas Dharma Andalas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47233/jebd.v27i2.2199

Abstract

Trade Balance describes the external condition of a country's economy. The condition of the trade balance in Indonesia tends to experience an unbalanced condition. This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves on Indonesia's trade balance. This research uses quantitative methods with a descriptive approach. The analysis model used is multiple linear regression with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The data used in this study are secondary data for the monthly period in the January 2021-December 2024 timeframe obtained from the publications of Bank Indonesia and the Central Bureau of Statistics. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously the variables of inflation, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves have a significant effect on the trade balance. Partially, the inflation variable has a positive and significant effect on the trade balance, while the exchange rate and foreign exchange reserves do not show a significant effect. Abstrak Neraca Perdagangan menggambarkan kondisi eksternal perekonomian suatu negara.Kondisi neraca perdagangan di Indonesia cenderung mengalami kondisi yang tidak seimbang. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh inflasi, kurs dan cadangan devisa terhadap neraca perdagangan Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif dengan pendekatan deskriptif. Model analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi linear berganda dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini merupakan data sekunder periode bulanan dalam rentang waktu Januari Tahun 2021- Desember 2024 yang diperoleh dari publikasi Bank Indonesia dan Badan Pusat Statistik. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa secara simultan variabel inflasi, kurs dan cadangan devisa berpengaruh signifikan terhadap neraca perdagangan. Secara parsial variabel inflasi memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap neraca perdagangan, sedangkan kurs dan cadangan devisa tidak menunjukan pengaruh yang signifikan
Co-Authors Agung Rizki Putra Ahmad Fahrul Syarif Albajili, Hanif Aqil Althaaf, Yafsar Murfid Amanda Ananda Lubis, Bela Andi Saputra Andini Andini, Andini Anjarsari, Nadia Aqil Albajili, Hanif Dezta Maharani, Nuraprillia Eka Putri , Ananda Fernando, Eric Fitri Sil Valen Fitriyanti, Eka Hafidz, Agus Miftahudin Hanasari, Alhayu Ilham Maulana Kusumah, Wanda Lubis, Bela Ananda Macela Putri, Disti Maharani, Nuraprillia Dezta Mubarak, Alfan Nurdianti, Lili Rahayu, Sekar Eka Rahmadan, Alyyah Raldo, Alfio Rana, Aninda Andi Rolanda, Pynka Setefanny, Setefanny sultan Wijaya, Imam Yusnandar, Firman Zikri Rahmani