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p-Index From 2021 - 2026
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All Journal AGRIVITA, Journal of Agricultural Science Caraka Tani: Journal of Sustainable Agriculture Asian Journal of Agriculture
Bahrun, Abd Haris
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry

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The Effect Prediction of Planting Area Expansion Policy on Rice Production Sulaiman, Andi Amran; Setiyanto, Adi; Basit, Abdul; Sinuraya, Julia Forcina; Hermawan, Hari; Nida, Fajri Shoutun; Astari, Annisa Fauzia; Mardianto, Sudi; Bahrun, Abd Haris; Arsyad, Muhammad; Raisa, Daeva Mubarika
AGRIVITA Journal of Agricultural Science Vol 48, No 1 (2026)
Publisher : Faculty of Agriculture University of Brawijaya in collaboration with PERAGI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17503/agrivita.v48i1.5029

Abstract

Ministry of Agriculture has established the Planting Area Expansion (called PAT) Program to increase rice production by expanding the harvest area. The study used a time-series analysis approach with the structured vector autoregressive (SVAR) method with monthly data for the period January 1993-March 2025. The results of the analysis show that rice production in 2025 is estimated to reach 58.43 million tons of milled dry grain, an increase of 5.29 million tons (9.95%) compared to production in 2024, as a contribution of the program to expand the planting area and land optimalization (known as OPLAH), irrigation development, pump and pipeline installation, new rice field cultivation of 1.62 million tons or 30.56 percent, worth IDR 12.58 trillion. Three main recommendations are as follows: (1) the performance of water pump and OPLAH assistance in 2024 should be ensured to proceed in 2025, and OPLAH as well as new rice field development in 2025 should be ensured to be fully realized, with some of the new rice fields already able to be planted with rice; (2) controlling the rate of rice field conversion to maintain the availability of rice cultivation land; and (3) optimizing farmer assistance by field agricultural extension workers.
Determining priority strategies for chili agribusiness development through an integrated strategic analysis framework in Tolitoli District, Indonesia ALATAS, RILWANU RAHMAN; MUNIR, ABDUL RAZAK; BAHRUN, ABD HARIS
Asian Journal of Agriculture Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Smujo International

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/asianjagric/g100160

Abstract

Abstract. Alatas RR, Munir AR, Bahrun AH. 2026. Determining priority strategies for chili agribusiness development through an integrated strategic analysis framework in Tolitoli District, Indonesia. Asian J Agric 10 (1): g100160. https://doi.org/10.13057/asianjagric/g100160. Chili pepper (Capsicum spp.) is a strategic horticultural commodity in Indonesia due to its high consumption level and significant influence on food price stability. In Tolitoli District, despite favorable agroclimatic conditions, chili productivity remains substantially below the provincial average (1.14 ton ha compared with 6.43 ton ha at the provincial level in 2023), while recurring price volatility contributes to regional inflation, reaching 7.21% year-on-year in 2024. These challenges are associated with weak farmer institutions, limited bargaining power, and fragmented agribusiness integration. This study aims to analyze internal and external factors, formulate alternative development strategies, and determine priority strategies for chili agribusiness development in Tolitoli District. A descriptive-exploratory mixed-methods approach was employed, integrating qualitative and quantitative data collected from key stakeholders. Data were analyzed sequentially using the Internal Factor Evaluation (IFE) matrix, External Factor Evaluation (EFE) matrix, Grand Strategy Matrix, and SWOT analysis, followed by prioritization using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). The results indicate that chili agribusiness development is positioned in Quadrant I of the Grand Strategy Matrix, reflecting a strong competitive position and high growth potential. Institutional support emerges as the most influential criterion in determining strategic priorities. The development of area-based chili production centers, aligned with land potential and market demand, is identified as the top priority strategy. The AHP results demonstrate acceptable consistency, with a consistency ratio (CR) below the threshold of 0.10. These findings highlight the importance of strengthening institutional coordination and promoting integrated, cluster-based agribusiness development to enhance competitiveness, stabilize prices, and ensure long-term sustainability of chili agribusiness in Tolitoli District.
New Challenges and Opportunities of Indonesian Crude Palm Oil in International Trade Sulaiman, Andi Amran; Amiruddin, Achmad; Bahrun, Abd Haris; Yuna, Kanazawa; Keela, Mathurada
Caraka Tani: Journal of Sustainable Agriculture Vol 39, No 1 (2024): April
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20961/carakatani.v39i1.81957

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the largest palm oil producers in the world. The palm oil industry must look at the market competition map, starting from competing countries and other export opportunities to absorb palm oil products to increase state revenues. This paper analyzes the new challenges and opportunities for Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in Indonesia in international trade. Analytical tools were Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Dynamic Product Export and X-model Potential Export. The results showed that Indonesian and Malaysian palm oil commodities obtained an RCA value of more than 1 and an RSCA value of close to 1. Indonesia is more competitive than Malaysia. The X-model showed that Indonesian CPO market share optimism is only in India and the rest is less potent. Malaysian CPO market share also has less potential. Therefore, Indonesia’s new challenges are export tariffs, obstructed access, insufficient downstream production and a black campaign. The opportunity for participation in the CPO export market is only in India compared to Malaysia, which has less potential. The two countries have less potential in destinations such as the Netherlands, USA, China and Kenya. Indonesia can take external policies by establishing cooperation with export destination countries, such as trade agreements, so that information about Indonesian palm oil is well received. Meanwhile, internal policies strengthen domestic downstream industry policies, such as the food, health, and renewable energy industries, to strengthen the domestic economy and improve the welfare of Indonesian palm oil farmers.
Co-Authors Abdul Basit Abdul Razak Munir Adi Setiyanto ALATAS, RILWANU RAHMAN Amiruddin, Achmad Astari, Annisa Fauzia Hari Hermawan, Hari Keela, Mathurada Muhammad Arsyad Nida, Fajri Shoutun Raisa, Daeva Mubarika sinuraya, Julia Forcina Sudi Mardianto, Sudi Sulaiman, Andi Amran Yuna, Kanazawa