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INDONESIA
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Published by Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
ISSN : 16932595     EISSN : 25274023     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Jurnal ekonomi pembangunan published by Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik (PPEKP), Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Muhammadiyah Malang. This journal is used as a source of information about scientific works in the field of development economics for every academician, researcher, lecturer and activist and other authors.
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 390 Documents
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Causal Influence between the JSX Composite Index and the FTSE Straits Times Index in Time Series Muktar Redy Susila
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 20 No. 02 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i02.22451

Abstract

This research analyzes the causal influence between the JSX Composite Index and the FTSE Straits Times Index. The data used in this study is a monthly period time series data. The period for the JCI to be observed is January 2015 to June 2022. The VAR method was used to analyze the causal influence of the two indices. The analysis results show that the appropriate VAR model is VAR ( 1,4,5), RMSE value of 212.15 for the JSX Composite Index and 123.76 for the FTSE Straits Times Index. Based on the analysis results using the VAR model, information is obtained that the two indices influence each other. The value of the JSX Composite Index formed in the current period is controlled by the value of the JSX Composite Index and the FTSE Straits Times Index in the previous period. Likewise, for the FTSE Straits Times Index, the results show that the value of the FTSE Straits Times Index formed in the current period is influenced by the value of the JSX Composite Index and the FTSE Straits Times Index in the previous period.
Determinant of Trade Balance: Empirical Study in ASEAN 5 Countries Erika Novendira Purnamasari; Idah Zuhroh; Eris Tri Kurniawati
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 20 No. 02 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i02.22713

Abstract

International trade is a form of partnership and global activity of a country with other countries, traded from exports and imports. International trade activity is recorded in the trade balance for a certain period based on the value of the prevailing currency. It is one of the benchmarks for the success of an economy. This study examines the relationship between fundamental macroeconomic variables consisting of inflation, interest rates, imports, exchange rates, and GDP, which affect the trade balance performance in ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand). The analytical method used is a regression with panel data from 2000-2019 with research objects from ASEAN-5 countries. The results of the analysis found that interest rates and imports had a significant adverse effect on the trade balance in ASEAN-5. GDP and exchange rates significantly positively affect the trade balance of ASEAN-5 countries. On the other hand, inflation has a negative effect but does not significantly affect the trade balance in ASEAN-5 countries.
Regency Clusterization Based on Village Characteristics to Increase the Human Development Index (IPM) in Papua Province Rais; Amir Abduljabbar Dalimunthe; Anwar Fitrianto; Bagus Sartono; Sachnaz Desta Oktarina
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 20 No. 02 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i02.22911

Abstract

Inequality in the Human Development Index (IPM) in Papua Province amid the disbursement of development funds needs to be studied adequately so that the policies and programs that have been planned can be more directed and on target. For this reason, research is needed that can map the priority needs of each district in Papua Province by identifying regional characteristics, namely villages. By using Cluster Analysis and Factor Analysis, the results of this research show that 4 district clusters in Papua Province were formed with different priority focuses on increasing the HDI. The main focus of the district HDI improvement priorities in Papua Province is divided into three through factor analysis: the infrastructure-telecommunication factor, the sanitation-economic factor, and the health-education factor. Each cluster is generally still dominated by districts with a low HDI category. The main obstacle to increasing HDI in Papua Province is the transportation and telecommunications infrastructure factor. Local governments are expected to be able to formulate human development programs and policies concerning the priority needs of each district as a result of this research.
How Consumers Perceive Towards Traditional or Modern Markets Proven by Consumer Preference Logistic Regression Kyandra Riviera; Suharno; Pahrul Fauzi
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 20 No. 02 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i02.22986

Abstract

Indonesia is ranked 4th as the country with the most population in the world. The large population in Indonesia causes an increase in the demand for basic needs. A large population has caused the market that supplies basic needs to increase. Undeniably, some consumers have switched to the modern market because of the rapid development experienced by the current market. The current market can meet the needs of very diverse consumers. This study aims to determine whether the rapid growth of the modern market ensures that consumer preferences shift towards the current market. Analyze whether income factors, distance from home to the nearest traditional market and the closest modern market, facilities, and operating hours influence consumer preferences in choosing a place to shop for basic needs. This study uses logistic regression as a quantitative analysis. Based on the research and data analysis results, two variables affect consumer preferences: facilities and distance from home to the nearest modern market. In comparison, three variables do not affect consumer preferences: income, distance from home to the nearest traditional market, and operating hours. Based on the results obtained through interviews with as many as 110 respondents, there were 70 respondents, or 64 percent of respondents, chose to shop at the modern market. The thing that consumers want most when shopping is convenience. Consumers in Indonesia itself are very diverse. Therefore, traditional and contemporary markets can increase this convenience in several ways, such as the neat arrangement of goods, a clean environment, and big parking lots.
The Impact of Fuel Prices Increasing on Inflation in South Sulawesi using Pulse Function Intervention Analysis Desy Wasani; Nucke Widowati Kusumo Projo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 20 No. 02 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i02.23202

Abstract

South Sulawesi Province is considered capable of controlling inflation, as seen from its not very large volatility. However, this does not mean that the increase in fuel prices does not impact inflation in South Sulawesi. This study aims to obtain the best model to analyze the impact of rising fuel prices on inflation in South Sulawesi using Pulse Function Intervention Analysis and to find out how significant the impact of rising fuel prices on inflation in South Sulawesi is. The data in this study were obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of South Sulawesi Province, namely the monthly inflation of South Sulawesi Province for the period January 2014 – September 2022, with a total of 105 observations. The best model in this study is the MA ([12]) bbm1, bbm5, and bbm6 models with AIC 104.09. Statistical test results show that 3 of 6 times increases in fuel prices since 2014 still influence the rising inflation, namely in November 2014, April 2022, and September 2022. The increase in fuel prices in 2014 impacted rising inflation by 1.97 percent, while in 2022, it increased inflation by 0.92 and 0.99 percent.
Exploring The Forecasting Inflation in Kota Palu: An Application of the ARIMA Model Muhammad Syahrul Mubarak
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 21 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i01.25919

Abstract

Inflation is an economic phenomenon that significantly impacts financial stability and the welfare of society. The movement of inflation in Kota Palu is challenging to explain using economic theories, as there are factors that are difficult to incorporate into models, such as the COVID-19 pandemic throughout 2020 to 2022, which impacted transportation, housing, and other services components. However, accurately predicting inflation rates remains a complex challenge. The objective of this study is to forecast the inflation movement for the year 2023. The data used in this analysis is the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Kota Palu from January 2017 to March 2023, with 74 observations. ARIMA model with an Autoregressive (AR) model with lags six and nine was employed. The results of this study show that for the forecasted CPI or inflation from April 2023 to December 2023, the predicted CPI and inflation values closely approximate the actual CPI and inflation values. Therefore, the analysis can be considered accurate in predicting inflation movements.
Impact of Economic Growth and FDI on Indonesia Environmental Degradation: EKC and Pollution Hypothesis Testing Dominikus Leonardo; Muhammad Maulana; Justin Hartanto
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 21 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i01.24294

Abstract

This study examines the impact of economic growth and FDI on environmental degradation in Indonesia through a two-hypotheses model. Environmental degradation is a crucial matter that needs attention and is often associated with economic growth and the FDI required by developing countries. Based on the externality theory, this study uses the EKC hypothesis, followed by pollution haven vs. pollution halo. With time series data from 1980–2021, two hypothesis models were estimated using the error correction method. This study's results support the EKC and pollution haven hypotheses. First, for the EKC hypothesis model, this study found that economic growth at an early stage increases environmental degradation, but economic growth beyond the turning point would reduce ecological degradation. Besides testing the EKC hypothesis, renewable energy consumption can reduce environmental degradation caused by carbon emissions. Second, for the pollution hypothesis model, it's been found that increased FDI can increase ecological degradation, thereby supporting a pollution haven. This research suggests that policymakers should require foreign investors to apply the green economy concept supported by a green taxonomy and then provide fiscal incentives to those who do so.
Analysis of Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions in Indonesia Bayu Rahmadi Putra; Sulistya Rusgianto
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 21 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i01.25337

Abstract

The development process that uses excessive fossil energy in industrial activities impacts increasing carbon emissions in Indonesia. The purpose of this study is to determine how the relationship between energy consumption (EN), economic growth (GDP), carbon emissions (CO2), and human development (HDI) in Indonesia in the Maqashid Syariah review. Using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach, it is found that in the long run, carbon emissions negatively affect energy consumption. Meanwhile, economic growth and human development positively affect energy consumption. Energy consumption and economic growth positively affect human development in the short term. Meanwhile, carbon emissions hurt HDI, while HDI has a positive effect on carbon emissions. Meanwhile, the Granger causality test results show that HDI has a unidirectional causality relationship with Indonesia's energy consumption, economic growth, and carbon emissions. This result indicates that energy consumption in Indonesia has not provided protection and benefits for the community by Maqashid Sharia, which prioritizes the principle of sustainable development
The Effect Of Fiscal Decentralization On The Open Unemployment Rate In The Province Of DIY Iqbal
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 21 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i01.20203

Abstract

This study aims to find empirical evidence on the effect of general allocation funds, special allocation funds, production sharing funds, and spending on goods and services on the open unemployment rate. The data used in this study is panel data, a combination of time series data (2012-2020), and cross-sectional data (5 regencies/cities in the Special Province of Yogyakarta). The results show that the Special Allocation Fund and Revenue Sharing Fund significantly positively affected the Open Unemployment Rate in the Special Region of Yogyakarta Province from 2012-2020.
The Effects of Innovation, IT Advancement, GDP, and Inflation on Unemployment in OIC Countries 2013-2021 Rizka; Taosige Wau
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 21 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v21i01.24835

Abstract

Unemployment still becomes a major developmental challenge in some OIC member countries. Thus, employment determinants in those countries need to be investigated through empirical research. This study analyzes the influences of inflation, GDP, IT advancement, and innovation on unemployment in some OIC member countries. We use the purposive sampling method with criteria of countries with the past decade's average unemployment rate lower than 6%. We employ panel data from 20 countries fulfilling the requirements in 2013-2021. The panel data regression method with a fixed effect approach is used to analyze the influence of independent variables on the dependent variable. The results indicate that inflation and GDP significantly and negatively affect unemployment. On the other hand, innovation and ICT advancement have a negative but insignificant effect on the dependent variable. Regarding the results, we believe it is essential for the government as a policymaker to arrange appropriate regulations allowing industries to enhance their productivity to enlarge job opportunities and alleviate unemployment.

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