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Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics
Published by Politeknik Statistika STIS
ISSN : 27721970     EISSN : 27721970     DOI : https://doi.org/10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2022i1
Core Subject : Economy, Humanities, Science, Social,
Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences
prosiding seminar ini bertujuan untuk menghasilkan berbagai pemikiran solutif, inovatif, dan adaptif terkait isu, strategi, dan metode yang memanfaatkan official statistics
Arjuna Subject : Matematika - Statistik dan Probabilitas
Articles 729 Documents
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Variabel-variabel yang Memengaruhi Perilaku Prososial Indonesia Tahun 2017 Hadziq Shubhan; Suryanto Aloysius
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (395.094 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1034

Abstract

Indonesian prosocial behavior in 2017 was decreased compared to 2016. This decline was followed by an increase in aggressive behavior in Indonesia in 2017. If this is not addressed immediately, it will be one of the triggers for increasing aggressive behavior in Indonesia. Therefore, this study aims to identify the variables that influence prosocial behavior and observe their tendencies. The data source used is the 2017 Happiness Level Measurement Survey (SPTK) by BPS. The analysis used is descriptive analysis with cross tabulation between prosocial behavior and the characteristics, and inferential analysis with binary logistic regression. The response variable is prosocial behavior, while the independent variables are happiness, social capital, and sociodemographic variables. The results showed that the variables which influenced prosocial behavior were life satisfaction, feelings, eudaimonic , trust and tolerance, age, and income. Except the income variable, other variables have a positive tendency ratio towards prosocial behavior. While the income variable has a negative tendency.
Perbandingan Akurasi dan Efisiensi antara Survei dengan Kerangka Complete listing dan Mapping M Irfan Zulfahmi; Achmad Prasetyo
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (522.071 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1037

Abstract

Data collection activities through large-scale surveys are often faced with constraints of time, effort, and operational costs, especially if the data to be collected is urgent. One way to overcome this is to use a rapid survey. However, the rapid survey uses a mapping sample frame which does not contain all observation units, resulting in a coverage error that affects the estimated value. Therefore, the researcher aims to determine the coverage error and bias values observed and then compare the accuracy and efficiency of the rapid survey and conventional survey. The research’s stage are development sampling frame, simulation, indicator calculation, RMSE comparison, and efficiency analysis. The estimation’s results in the mapping frame is underestimated and has lower accuracy than conventional survey. Rapid survey are more efficient when fix RMSE and no more efficient than conventional survey when fix time.
Determinan Status Kesehatan Balita di Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur Tahun 2019 Muh. Reza Agung Wirawan; Siti Muchlisoh
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (289.444 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1042

Abstract

Health is a fundamental right for every human being. Babies are the most vulnerable group of the population to have health problems. East Nusa Tenggara Province is one of provinces with low levels of babies’ health. Within three years, 2017-2019, the percentage of population aged 0-4 years who had health complaint increased from 47,69 percent in 2017 to 52,31 percent in 2019. The purpose of this research is to identify basic information about baby’s health status, to identify variables that affect baby’s health status and the tendency those variables to baby’s health status in Nusa Tenggara Timur Province in 2019. The data used in this research is raw data from National Socio-Economics Survey Housing and Health Module (Susenas MKP) in 2019 which is obtained from Badan Pusat Statistik. The analytical method used logistic binary regression. The results of research show that baby's age, mother's education level, mother's employment, mother’s health and sanitation access significantly affect baby’s health status. Babies who aged under two years, had mothers with education level are graduated high school or higher, employment, unhealthy and having bad sanitation access are riskier to get unhealthy.
Pengaruh Sektor Tersier terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kawasan Barat dan Timur Indonesia Pramudya Kusuma; Aisyah Fitri Yuniasih
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (466.337 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1043

Abstract

The tertiary sector is a sector that produces products in the form of services. The tertiary sector itself dominates the economy in Indonesia. Changes in the economic structure towards the tertiary sector are expected to affect economic growth, so this study was conducted to analyze the effect of the tertiary sector on the economic growth of the provinces in Indonesia. The analysis carried out divides the provinces in Indonesia into the Western Region of Indonesia (KBI) and the Eastern Region of Indonesia (KTI). The method used is Fixed Effects Model panel data analysis with Feasible Generalized Least Squares estimation. The results showed that in KBI and KTI, the tertiary sector which was explained by labor productivity and labor share had a positive effect on economic growth. Another variable used is direct government spending which has a positive effect on economic growth and the rate of population growth has a negative effect on economic growth. Increasing the productivity of the tertiary sector and the share of labor in the tertiary sector can be carried out as an effort to increase economic growth.
Pengaruh Desentralisasi Fiskal Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten/Kota Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2011-2019 Alwi Adha Pohan; Lia Yuliana
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (790.041 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1044

Abstract

The successful implementation of fiscal decentralization will show the achievement of public welfare by increasing economic growth. However, what happened in North Sumatera, there are indications that the public welfare has not been achieved. This can be seen from the economic growth of districts/cities which shows a slow and uneven increase. Therefore, this study aims to determine the effect of fiscal decentralization on economic growth of districts/cities in North Sumatra in 2011-2019. The analytical method used is panel data regression analysis with the fixed effects model Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) method. The results showed that the PAD ratio and the DAK ratio had a positive and significant effect on economic growth of districts/cities in North Sumatra in 2011-2019. The DBH ratio and DAU ratio has no significant effect on economic growth.
Determinan Pengangguran Lulusan SMK di Indonesia Tahun 2020 Miko Oktavio Wijaya; Efri Diah Utami
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (354.846 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1048

Abstract

Indonesia is facing a demographic bonus phenomenon, but the Open Unemployment Rate (TPT) in Indonesia is still high. Vocational High School (SMK) graduates have become the biggest contributors to TPT in Indonesia in the last 5 years. This condition isn’t accordance with PP No. 17 of 2010 which states that vocational education aims to create graduates who are ready to work. This study aims to find the general description of unemployment for SMK graduates, identify the variables that cause SMK graduates become unemployment and determine the tendency of the variables used. The data used is Sakernas February 2020. The analytical method used consists of descriptive analysis and inferential analysis using binary logistic regression. The results showed that the variables of gender, disability disorder, field of expertise, year of graduation, and participation in training had a significant effect on the unemployed status of SMK graduates. The tendency for SMK graduates to experience unemployment is higher for male graduates, do not have disabilities, come from other fields of expertise, graduated within a year, and have never attended training.
Determinan Pengangguran Lulusan SMA di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2019 Viki Tria Zianrini; Efri Diah Utami
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (232.617 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1050

Abstract

Unemployment is one of the most common problems in developing countries. In Indonesia, unemployment is dominated by a highly educated workforce or educated unemployed. Educated unemployment is the workforce with a minimum of high school education and is not working. Based on BPS data in 2019, the population aged 15 years and over who are included in open unemployment according to the highest education completed are those with the latest high school education, reaching 1,994,836 people. North Sumatra province occupies the first position with the highest number of educated unemployed high school graduates when compared to other provinces in Sumatra, namely there were 130,103 unemployed high school graduates in 2019. Using secondary data from the August 2019 National Labor Force Survey, this study aims to determine the variables -variables that affect the unemployment status of high school graduates in North Sumatra in 2019. The analytical method used is binary logistic regression. The results showed that the variables that significantly affected the unemployed status of high school graduates were age, area of residence, marital status, and status in the household. For high school graduates who are young, live in urban areas, are not the head of the household, and are not married, they have a greater tendency to be unemployed.
Implementasi Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Prediction Fay-Herriot dalam Menduga Rata-Rata Pengeluaran per Kapita Level Kecamatan di Provinsi Jawa Timur dengan Tambahan Informasi Cluster Mochamad Wildan Maulana; Ika Yuni Wulansari
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (374.554 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1051

Abstract

Salah satu indikator ekonomi yang dapat mengukur tingkat kesejahteraan adalah kemiskinan. Penduduk tergolong miskin apabila rata-rata pengeluaran per kapita setiap bulannya dibawah garis kemiskinan. Provinsi Jawa Timur terpilih sebagai lokus penelitian dikarenakan memiliki jumlah penduduk miskin tertinggi di Indonesia selama satu dekade terakhir. Data yang digunakan berasal dari Susenas Maret 2019 dan Podes 2018 dengan 666 observasi level kecamatan. Upaya pengentasan kemiskinan memerlukan data yang akurat dan menjangkau hingga wilayah terkecil. Akan tetapi tidak semua wilayah memiliki sampel yang cukup atau bahkan tidak memiliki sampel sama sekali. Hal ini tidak memungkinkan untuk melakukan estimasi langsung. Oleh karena itu dibutuhkan metode statistik untuk dapat mengestimasi area kecil dengan baik. Metode yang dapat digunakan untuk menduga area kecil adalah Small Area Estimation (SAE). Penelitian ini menggunakan metode SAE dengan Model Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Prediction Fay-Herriot. Hasil yang diperoleh bahwa metode SAE dapat memberikan pendugaan yang lebih baik dibanding estimasi langsung yang ditunjukan dengan nilai Relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE) lebih kecil dibanding estimasi langsung. Estimasi pada non-sample area dilakukan dengan memanfaatkan informasi cluster.
Variabel-Variabel yang Mempengaruhi Intensitas Merokok Remaja Pria di Indonesia Tahun 2017 Vivy Maharani; Titik Harsanti
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (372.086 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1054

Abstract

Indonesia is the country with the third largest number of cigarette smokers in the world. Cigarette smokers are dominated by males smokers. However, many smokers are adolescent. Smoking will cause great addiction in adolescence. The addictive substances contained in cigarettes will interfere brain development. This paper analyzes the cigarette smoking intensity determinants and their tendencies among males adolescents in Indonesia in 2017. The analisys use secondary data from the 2017 Indonesian Demographic and Health Survey (IDHS),with male adolencents smokers aged 15-24 years as the unit of analysis. Data were analyzed using ordinal logistic regression analysis. The results show that school status, work status, radio access, household economic status, age, and the cigarette smoke exposure in the house, were significantly affected the cigarette smoking intensity of males adolescent. These findings suggest that education about danger caused by cigarette smoking for children should be given as early as possible.
Hubungan Jumlah Tayangan Iklan Penawaran Penjualan dan Penyewaan Properti dengan PDRB Provinsi Bali Tahun 2019-2021 Dengan Menggunakan Big Data : Web Scraping Muhammad Tharif Arkandana; Thosan Girisona Suganda; Setia Pramana
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (723.281 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1056

Abstract

Ekonomi sangat berpengaruh untuk memajukan kehi dupan di suatu negara, namun diakibatkan oleh pandemi virus Covid-19 kondisi ekonomi negara menjadi tidak stabil. Beberapa sektor seperti pariwisata, penurunan pertumbuhan ekonomi seperti PDRB. Berdasarkan data Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) Provinsi Bali PDRB menurun secara signifikan pada tahun 2020 triwulan keempat yaitu hingga -12,21%. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis hubungan atau korelasi antara data PDRB dan TPK hotel dengan data tayangan iklan penjualan dan penyewaan properti di Provinsi Bali, dimana data didapatkan dengan menggunakan Big Data dengan metode web scraping salah satu situs web properti di Indonesia (rumah123.com). Secara hubungan antara PDRB dan tayangan iklan didapatkan hasil -0.64 dan -0.67 menunjukkan harga jual dan sewa sektor properti mengalami tekanan dan berdampak pada pemulihan pasar properti dan tayangan iklan menaik, sedangkan pada TPK dihasilkan -0.53 menunjukkan pendapatan pada sektor pariwisata sudah cukup naik maka iklan penjualan akan menurun, karena pariwisata adalah sumber pendapatan yang cukup potensial di Bali.

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