Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan is a scientific journal that contains the results of theoretical research and studies on economic and development issues. Managed by Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta. Published by Muhammadiyah University Press.
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INTENSITAS PERDAGANGAN DAN KESELARASAN SIKLUS BISNIS DI ASEAN-4 DAN UNI EROPA *
Lestari, Etty Puji
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 12, No 2 (2011): JEP Desember 2011
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v12i2.191
The main objective of this research is to empirically analyze how the business cycle of ASEAN-4 (namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Philippines) economies are influenced by increased trade with European Union especially Netherland and Germany. Increased trade can lead business cycles across trading partners to be patterned in either direction, towards convergence or divergence. We used regression and vectorautoregression (VAR) methods for this research. Regression methods is based panel data whereas VAR is based on the time series analysis. There are four variables, which are business cycle, trade intensity, fiscal policy coordination and monetary policy coordination. This research conclude that trade intensity and monetary policy coordination are the major channel though which the business cycles of ASEAN-4 economies become synchronized. This has important implications for the formation of a currency union.
Economic Activity and Pollution:The case of Indonesia 1967-2013
Rofiuddin, Mohammad;
Perdana, Tito Aditya;
SBM, Nugroho
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 18, No 2 (2017): JEP 2017
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v18i2.5312
Increased economic activity accompanied with environmental pollution. The objective of the study was to analyze the effect of per capita GDP on CO2 emissions and to prove the hypothesis of the Kuznets environment curve. Method for analyzing data by using multiple linear regression with quadratic equation. The results show that GDP per capita has a positive and significant influence on CO2 emissions, as well as the square GDP per capita has a negative and significant influence on CO2 emissions, so the Kuznets Environment Curves hypothesis can be proven.
WIN-WIN SOLUTION DALAM KONFLIK PUSAT-DAERAH: PENDEKATAN UTILITARIAN
Setiaji, Bambang
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 1 (2000) : JEP Juni 2000
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v1i1.3893
This article is to provide a theoretical analysis of the problem faced by the central government, i.e., a want of some regions to choose the wider autonomy or independence. In the utilitarian approach, the concepts of choosing between autonomy and independence, or centralized are described as a trade off. Then the territory/the point of harmony between the central and regions will occur if only the central - the regions are combined making a synergy, and both are better off, compared with the separation between them.For an empirical analysis, this model describes a process of the bargaining between the central and the regions (bargain behavior model) that each of the party is to improve utility.
INDUSTRIALISASI DAN PERDAGANGAN: TANTANGAN INDONESIA DALAM ERA AFTA
Sudaryati, Endang
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 3, No 1 (2002) : JEP Juni 2002
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v3i1.3916
The target and trend of industrial and trade development in Indonesia, particularly related to overseas trade, is broadly influenced by the various challenges time to time, but mainly is influenced by international market and economy.Trade liberation which is marked with the establishment of World Trade Organization (WTO), and followed by the establishment of free trade territory such as APEC and NAFTA has created regional economic integrity. While AFTA which aims to create free trade in ASEAN territory through payable reduction will make manufacture sector in ASEAN more efficient and more competitive in the global market.Though the government and public sectors is loyally commit toward the implementation of AFTA, but in fact it is true to say that some another sectors are not ready yet to implement it. Therefore, in order to supporting this commitment, so industrial and trade sector should compete each other, being more efficient and improving the quality of their product.According to the statements above, the best way in observing AFTA is to make it as apart of long-time process to go into WTO. It is hoped that AFTA will provide the same opportunity for Indonesia to put its products relatively as other ASEAN members before enter global free trade market.
ANALISIS CROWDING OUT EFFECT PENERBITAN OBLIGASINEGARA: STUDIKASUS PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA PERIODE 1970 - 2003
Waluyo, Joko
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 7, No 1 (2006) : JEP Juni 2006
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v7i1.3994
The main subject of this research are to proof what issuing government bonds give impact to crowding out effect for private investment. The research design used simultaneous equation modeling, consisting of 17 behavioral equation and 18 identity equation with 6 blocks. Behavioral equation with estimated by tsls (two stage least square). This study use secondary data from Indonesian economy since 1970 until 2003. The econometric test to result BLUE estimator. The Result is issuing government bonds dont cause crowding out effect to private investment.
ANALISIS VECTOR AUTO REGRESSIVE (VAR) TERHADAP KORELASI ANTARA BELANJA PUBLIK DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI SULAWESI SELATAN, TAHUN 1985-2005
Abustan, Abustan;
Mahyuddin, Mahyuddin
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 10, No 1 (2009): JEP Juni 2009
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v10i1.805
Vector Auto Regression (VAR) is an analysis or statistic method which can be used to predict time series variable and to analyst dynamic impact of disturbance factor in the variable system. In addition, VAR analysis is very useful to assess the interrelationship between economic variables. This research through the following test phases: unit root test, test of hypothesis, Granger causality test, and form a vector autoregresion model (VAR). The data used in this research is the GDP data and budget data of South Sulawesi in the period 1985-2004. The research aims to analyze the interrelationship between public expenditure and economic growth in South Sulawesi. The result showed statistically significant in economic growth (PDRB) influence public expenditure (APBD), however, not vice versa. Otherwise, for the need of APBD prediction, the used of lag 4 was the optimum model based on the causal relationship to PDRB.
South Coastal Community Development: Issues and Challenges
Yuliadi, Imamudin
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 14, No 2 (2013): JEP Desember 2013
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v14i2.139
Reality show that Indonesia is one country that have longest beach in the world. This fact give implication that economic potential of people life at the beach is important factor to indoors economic growth for improving walfare and equity economic development both national and regional scope. Research method that applied is desriptive investigative for obtain the fact about the economic problem of people at the beach especially beach potential economy for improving people economic welfare. Analitical methode at this research is location quotion (LQ), shift-share, and typology klassen. The output of this research is making the planning model of promotion system and integrated investment to realize the equality of development economic at beach are in Yogyakarta.
FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AMERIKA DENGAN MODEL KOREKSI KESALAHAN ENGLE-GRANGER (PENDEKATAN MONETER)
Setyowati, Eni
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 2 (2003) : JEP Desember 2003
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v4i2.4026
Exchange rate measures the value of a certain foreign exchange from other foreign exchanges perspective. As the condition of economic changes, the exchange rate ma change substantially. The decrease of the value of a foreign exchange is called depreciation and the increase value of a foreign exchange is called appreciation.The equilibrium exchange rate will change along with the change of demand and supply. Factors causing the change of demand and supply curve among others are the amount of money supply, relative gross domestic product (GDP) and the level of relative interest rate.The research is aimed to analyze the influence of variables of Indonesian money supply, American money supply, Indonesian real Gross Domestic Product, American real Gross Domestic Product, deposits interest rate and LIBOR (London Interbank Offer Rates on SDR Deposit) both in short and long terms.One of the ways to analyze the influence of short term and long term is by developing the dynamic model. In this research, the analyzes of dynamic model was conducted with ENGEL-GRANGER ERROR CORRECTION MODEL approach which was developed by ENGEL-GRANGER (1987) based on GRANGER REPRESENTATION THEOREM.The ECM analyzes was chosen not only because of its ability to solve the problem of time series which is not stationer, and spurious regression and spurious correlation in the economic analyses but also its ability to discuss the consistence of empiric model with economic theory. Beside, ECM concept is also thought to be more realistic in observing the development of economics variables from the result of the analyzes during the time of observation. It was known that long-term exchange rate is influenced by Indonesia real Gross Domestic Product and the number of Indonesian money supply. The variable of Indonesian real Gross Domestic showed the significant result and the signal test was convenient with the theory. The variable which influence" short term exchange rate are the amount of Indonesian money supply, Indonesian real Gross Domestic Product, and Indonesian deposit interest rate. The three variables showed the significant result and the signal test was convenient with the theory.
PERMINTAAN GULA DI INDONESIA*
Sugiyanto, Catur
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 8, No 2 (2007): JEP Desember 2007
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v8i2.1036
This paper examines the Indonesian demand for sugar. The issue revive because of the high price of domestic sugar and the anomaly due to the domestic respon of the producer. Sugar is consumed directly by the household and indirectly through the processed food which use sugar as an ingredient. We use annual data from 1973 to 2002 and cross sectional data from SUSENAS 2003. The (short-run) estimate elasticity of demand for Sugar deacreasees and approaches to 0.46 while the long-run is small (0,02). Overall, the total demand for sugar increase due to the increasing number of population.
KAUSALITAS ANTARA FUNDAMENTAL EKONOMI DAERAH DAN PERAN WANITA DALAM PEMBANGUNAN
Pujiati, Amin
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 13, No 1 (2012): JEP Juni 2012
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta
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DOI: 10.23917/jep.v13i1.182
This study aims to analyze the role of women in development and the causality between regional economic fundamentals and the role of women at Central Java. It uses district level data and supplied by the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics during 2001- 2009. The tools of analysis Granger Causality Test. The results of the analysis of the role of women in development is still low, from education, health, womens role and potential of public sector point of view. The Granger Causality tests results shows that a direct relationship between womens role in regional development with economic fundamentals, that also the role of women in development increased, causing increased local economic fundamentals. In this study there is no reciprocal relationship between economic fundamentals and the role of women.