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Wisnu Rayhan Adhitya
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INDONESIA
Quantitative Economics Journal
ISSN : 20897847     EISSN : 20897995     DOI : 10.24114
Core Subject : Economy,
This journal is contained with the articles that cover the economics area that derived from the research and engineering ideas that are quantitative. The viewers, authors and future authors that expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the Department of Economics, Post Graduate Program, State University of Medan
Articles 205 Documents
DAMPAK DEPRESIASI RUPIAH TERHADAP PERKEMBANGAN IMPOR INDONESIA Amir Machmud
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 5, No 1 (2016)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v5i1.17480

Abstract

This study aims to identify and analyze the impact of depreciation on the development of Indonesian imports. The method used in this study was a descriptive study with data collection through observation to the data issued by Bank Indonesia (BI) during the fourth quarter of 2012 - the second quarter of 2015.The collected data were then analyzed by quadrant analysis through growth andshare, as well as regression analysis. The results showed that the depreciation of the rupiah significantly negative effect on the development of imported goods inIndonesia, both consumer goods, raw and auxiliary materials, and capital goods. Inother words, the higher the value, the exchange rate declining demand for importedgoods as a whole.
THE IMPACT OF MANPOWER EDUCATION AND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE ON EDUCATION SECTOR ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF LABUHANBATU REGENCY Zulpan Akhir Ritonga; Imam Mukhlis
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 9, No 2 (2020): OKTOBER 2020
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v9i2.23604

Abstract

This study is based on the fact that education contributes greatly to economic growth through the improvement of knowledge, skills, attitudes and productivity, so that education is expected to produce quality workforce. This study aims to determine how the impact of education level achieved by the workforce. The level of education achieved by the workforce is distinguished between primary, secondary, and tertiary education. It also aims to find out how the impact of government spending on government education sector on economic growth in Labuhanbatu District during the period of 2002-2015. Data analysis method used in this research is descriptive method, completed by analysis with econometric data analysis with multiple regression model based on production function Y = f (K, L). Regression analysis was performed using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The model used is the model of endogenous economic growth (new growth model). This study uses secondary data obtained from the publication of survey results related to the Statistic Indonesia with time series 2002-2015. Data analysis using multiple linear regression with the help of statistical test of E-view 6.0 application program. The results of this study indicate that all the independent variables have a positive and significant impact on economic growth in Labuhanbatu regency. Estimation results for economic growth obtained R2 of 0.994414. This means that as much as 99.4414 percent of economic growth variables can be explained by the variables of primary school educated workers, high school educated workers, college educated labor, human development index, and government spending in the education sector while the remaining 0, 5586 percent is explained by other variables outside the model. In the end, the variables of elementary school educated labor, high school educated labor, college educated labor, human development index, and government expenditure in the education sector are expected to increase economic activity in order to achieve economic growth and improve the welfare of the community.
THE FACTORS AFFECTING LABOR DEMAND IN THE FOOD AND TOBACCO INDUSTRY IN NORTH SUMATERA PROVINCE Sari Wulandari; Sari Fajar Ayu
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 9, No 2 (2020): OKTOBER 2020
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v9i2.23603

Abstract

Labor demand in North Sumatra during the period 1991 to 2012 showed a fluctuating condition, where in 2001 is decline. This research aims to analyze the influence of the investment sector, the number of industries, the regional minimum wage and inflation on labor demand sectors of the food industry, beverages and tobacco in North Sumatra Province simultaneously and partially. The data used are secondary data source from Statistics Indonesia of  North Sumatra Province namely variable investment industry, the number of industries, the minimum wage, inflation and labor amount of food beverages and tobacco industry in North Sumatra province in the time series from 1991 till 2012 Data analysis wasper formed using OLS (Ordinary Least Square) with multiple linear regression models estimated with the help of the program E-views 7. The results of this study simultaneously changes in industry investment variables, the number of industries, RMW, and inflation significantly influence demand labor sector food industry, beverages and tobacco in North Sumatra Province. While partially concluded that the investment variable number of industry sectors and industries and a significant positive effect, negative effect variables and minimum significant wage, while the inflation variable and no significant negative effect on the demand for labor in the industrial sector of food, beverages and tobacco in North Sumatra Province. The results of this study also showed that the most dominant variable effect on labor demand sectors of the food industry, beverages and tobacco in North Sumatra Province is the minimum wage.
THE FACTORS INFLUENCING ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA Dian Citra Amelia; Sri Fajar Ayu
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 8, No 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v8i1.23607

Abstract

This research is based on the fact that the state of economic growth in Indonesia tends to fluctuate, even more often decrease. This is because the government policy is not appropriate to improve the economic growth of Indonesia. This study aims to determine and analyze the factors of foreign direct investment, inflation, international trade, and government expenditure that affect economic growth in Indonesia. The problem in this research is due to the limited fund in economic development both structure and infrastructure so that economic growth tends to decrease. Therefore, appropriate strategies must be taken to overcome the limitations in promoting economic growth. From this problem, this research aims to see how big influence of foreign direct investment (FDI), inflation (INF), international trade (NX) and government expenditure (GE) variable to economic growth. The data used in this study is secondary data (periodical data) in the period of observation 1996-2014 obtained from the World Bank and Statistics of Indonesia. To identify the influence of the variables used in this study used the VAR (Vector Autoregression) method. The results of this study show that equation regression shows that FDI (-1) has a negative influence on economic growth and FDI (-2) has a positive effect on economic growth, INF (-1) and INF (-2) have positive effects on economic growth , Variable NX (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth but NX (-2) has a negative effect on economic growth, and GE variable (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth while GE (-2) has a negative effect on growth Economy.
THE ANALYSIS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND ITS AFFECTING FACTORS IN INDONESIA Fuji Astuty
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 9, No 1 (2020): APRIL 2020
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v9i1.23597

Abstract

Foreign Direct Investment gave benefits in improving Indonesia's economics matters in Indonesia. Conseptually, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) more benefecial because no return to the investor such as debt in foreign country, beside Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in a country will be followed by transfer of technology, know-how, management skills, the risks of business was smaller and more profitable. However, the problem of global economic that occured affecting the development of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Indonesia decreased and the growth became slowly. Then domestic and global factors weren’t stable influencing the decrease Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Indonesia. Therefore, it’s needed to examine the factors influencing Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). This study aimed to know and analyze some factors affecting Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Indonesia consisting gross domestic product, the level of real interest, exchange rates, labour produtivity, and exports. The affecting analysis be done in short-time by using Error Correction Mechanism = ECM technique. It was used time series data from 2000 to 2013 using Eviews 6.0. The type of data used was secondary data obtained from Indonesia Bank (BI), Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and United Nations Economic Social Commision for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP). The results of this study showed that gross domestic product, the level of real interest, exchange rates, and labour productivity had positive affection significantly on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Indonesia. While the exports had negative affection significantly on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Indonesia. From determination coefficient (R2) showed that the variables explained 97.13 percent on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Indonesia while the rest 2.87 percent was explained by variables out of models (not studied).
THE INFLUENCE OF TOURISM SECTOR AND TRADE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA Tetty Tiurma Uli Sipahutar
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 8, No 2 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v8i2.23614

Abstract

The results showed some conclusions: (i) in the long term that the variables of tourism foreign exchange and net exports positive and significant impact. Dummy variables and the exchange rate and no significant positive effect. (ii) in the short term that the variables of tourism foreign exchange and net exports positive and significant impact. And a dummy variable exchange rate and no significant positive effect. (iii) of the coefficient of determination (R2) showed that the variables studied could explain the long-term and short-term equal to 94.01 percent, while the remaining 5.99 percent is explained by variables out of models (which was not studied).
ANALYSIS OF BASE AND COMPETITIVE COMMODITIES OF CROP SUBSECTOR AND ITS EFFECT ON GDRP GROWTH OF LANGKAT REGENCY Khalish Khairina; Mrs Fitrawaty
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 9, No 2 (2020): OKTOBER 2020
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v9i2.23602

Abstract

Economic Growth is one of indicator which commonly used to observe economic development in a region. Conceptually, economic growth of a region is determined by sector values in producing goods and services. GDRP of Langkat regency is mostly dominated by agriculture, forestry and fisheries sector. Food security that Langkat Regency plan to be achieved really depends on food crops’ supply. However crops’ contribution is decreased every year. Therefore, it’s needed to examine which leading and highly competitive crops’ commodities. This study aimed to determine and analyze a base and competitive crops’ subsector and its effect on GDRP Langkat Regency. LQ was used to determine the base and non base commodities. While the analysis of RCA and MCI were used to see the commodities competitiveness. and to analyse its effect by using Ordinary Least Square. The type of data used was time series since 1996 to 2015 by using Eviews 7.0. Data was obtained from BPS Langkat Regency and Agriculture Department of Langkat Regency. The result of this study showed that paddy, corn, soybean and mungbean were base commodities of crops with average LQ > 1. This study also showed that paddy, corn, soybean and mungbean were highly competitive commodities with average RCA > 1. Average MCI each commodities is > 0,75 showed that commodities trade’s less spread (concentrated). Regression result showed that paddy  has positive effect on GDRP growth in supply side (prob RCA 0,0035 < 0,05). Corn also showed that has positive effect on GDRP growth in supply and demand side (prob RCA 0,0016 < 0,05 and MCI 0,0193 < 0,05). Soybean showed that has positive effect on GDRP growth in production supply (LQ 0,0032 < 0,05) and Mungbean also showed that has positive effect on GDRP growth in production supply (LQ 0,0001 < 0,05).
TRADE-OFF ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND AIR POLLUTION EFFECTING DECREASE OF POOR ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY IN SUMATERA UTARA PROVINCE Benni Sinaga; Zahari Zein
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 8, No 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v8i1.23606

Abstract

The development of economic activities will certainly have a positive impact on increasing economic growth and also have a negative impact on pollution each year, will certainly affect the quality of the environment in the province of North Sumatera . This study aims to analyze the relationship and influence of the GDP, water pollution, air pollution and soil contamination on environmental quality in North Sumatera  province both simultaneously and partially. The data used are secondary data from BPS Sumatera  and North Sumatera  Environmental Agency in the form of time series data from 2004 to 2014. Correlation analysis using correlation with SPSS version 20. Results of correlation coefficient analysis in this study explains that economic growth (0.945), water pollution (0.969), air pollution (0.903) have the relationship is very strong, while soil contamination ( 0.803) have a strong closeness with the quality of the environment in the province of North Sumatera . The results also showed that the variables of economic growth, pollution of water, air and soil are able to explain a model of environmental quality in North Sumatera  province at 96.8 percent.
THE ANALYSIS OF INFLUENCING FACTORS OF OFFERING RICE PRICE IN SERDANG BEDAGAI REGENCY Esty Surya Ramadhani; Muhammad Yusuf
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 9, No 1 (2020): APRIL 2020
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v9i1.23596

Abstract

The world's back is concerned with food security issues for the community, pecially from the dimensions of availability, access to food and food price stability. Countries should be able to increase production in order to provide food rice sufficiency and sustainable, but on the other hand there are many factors that affect the level of availability of rice in the community. This study aimed to analyze the influence of the harvested area, the price of rice, the price of bread, and rainfall to supply rice in Serdang Bedagai. In measuring and analyzing regression analysis model was used Ordinary Least Square (OLS) with a data processor Eviews 6.0. By using secunder data from BPS Serdang Bedagai during the period 2011 - 2015. The results showed that the independent variables used to explain the variables rice deals (PB) indicate the direction of influence in accordance with the hypothesis. Area harvested and the price of rice positive and significant impact on rice deals (PB) while the price of bread and rainfall positive effect but not significant to supply rice (PB) in Serdang Bedagai Regency, North Sumatra Province.
ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE INDONESIAN SYARIAH STOCK INDEX (ISSI) ON THE INDONESIAN STOCK EXCHANGE (IDX) Siska Angriani Hasibuan; Armin Rahmansyah
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 8, No 2 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v8i2.23613

Abstract

The Indonesian Syariah Stock Index (ISSI) is an indicator that can be used by investors to know the movements of the sharia stock market. This research aims to analyze the effect of the Indonesian Syariah Stock Index (ISSI) on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX). The analysis uses equations by the method of Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzed the relationship between the dependent and independent variables in both the short term and long term. Estimation results show that in the long term and the short term, the variable amount of the inflation was a positif and significant in the short term but not significant in the long term affect the Indonesian Syariah Stock Index (ISSI). The variable amount of the BI rate and exchange rate was a negative and significant in the short term but not significant in the long term affect the Indonesian Syariah Stock Index (ISSI). These results show that inflation, BI rate and exchange rate was significant in the short term affect the Indonesian Syariah Stock Index (ISSI) on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX).