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Comparative Academic Performance Prediction in Primary Schools Using Linear Regression and Random Forest Sembiring, Agustinus; Santoso, Handri
Sinkron : jurnal dan penelitian teknik informatika Vol. 10 No. 2 (2026): Article Research April, 2026
Publisher : Politeknik Ganesha Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v10i2.15953

Abstract

Predicting academic performance is an important aspect of data-driven decision making in education, particularly in primary schools where early identification of learning difficulties is crucial. This study compares the performance of Linear Regression and Random Forest Regression models for predicting students’ academic performance using an Educational Data Mining approach. The experiment uses the Students Performance Dataset from Kaggle, consisting of 1000 student records with eight predictor variables, including demographic and learning-related attributes. The target variable is the average score derived from mathematics, reading, and writing results. Model development and evaluation are conducted using Python in Google Colaboratory. Performance is assessed using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination (R²), while Random Forest is further optimized using GridSearchCV with 5-fold cross-validation. The results show that Linear Regression achieves the best performance (R² = 0.162, RMSE = 13.40, MAE = 10.49), outperforming both the default Random Forest (R² ≈ 0.000) and the tuned Random Forest (R² ≈ 0.112). Although the explained variance is relatively low, this finding indicates that simple demographic features provide limited predictive power for academic performance. A case study using a local dataset from a private primary school involving 132 sixth-grade students further confirms that Linear Regression performs more effectively than Random Forest for small and simple educational datasets. These results highlight the importance of aligning model selection with dataset characteristics in educational data mining.
The Mapping Elementary School Digital Transformation Readiness through SERI for Roadmap Development Silalahi, Sondius Matogu Budiman; Santoso, Handri
Sinkron : jurnal dan penelitian teknik informatika Vol. 10 No. 2 (2026): Article Research April, 2026
Publisher : Politeknik Ganesha Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v10i2.15994

Abstract

Digital transformation has become a strategic priority in elementary education as schools are increasingly expected to integrate digital technology into teaching, assessment, and institutional management. However, previous studies on school digital readiness have generally focused on isolated aspects such as infrastructure, digital literacy, or leadership, without providing an integrated assessment model that simultaneously evaluates process, technology, and organisational dimensions in elementary school contexts. This study aims to assess the digital transformation readiness of an elementary school using the Smart Education Readiness Index (SERI). A descriptive quantitative case-study approach was employed by adapting the SERI assessment matrix into the elementary school context. The assessment covered three dimensions process, technology, and organisation through twelve indicators. Data were collected through a structured assessment matrix, supporting document review, and expert validation involving two educational technology experts. The results indicate that the school reached a moderate level of digital transformation readiness. The strongest indicators were specific or specialised skills (2.635), digital infrastructure readiness (2.634), digital interconnectivity (2.598), and organisational planning indicators (2.562), while the weakest indicators were assessment (1.708), policy guidance (1.708), general or transversal skills (1.744), and digital storage (1.852). Unlike previous studies that mainly assess digital readiness through separate technological or pedagogical indicators, this study applies a multidimensional institutional assessment framework. This study contributes by proposing a structured and adaptable assessment approach for elementary school digital transformation that supports the development of a more measurable and context-sensitive digital transformation roadmap.
Performance Analysis of Traditional Machine Learning Classifiers on LSTM-Extracted Features for Indonesian Sign Language System Recognition Ho, Patricia; Santoso, Handri
Jurnal Teknik Informatika (Jutif) Vol. 7 No. 2 (2026): JUTIF Volume 7, Number 2, April 2026
Publisher : Informatika, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52436/1.jutif.2026.7.2.5210

Abstract

Recognizing affix gestures in the Indonesian Sign Language System (SIBI) remains challenging due to subtle visual differences in hand shape and movement, often resulting in lower classification accuracy compared to other categories. This study aims to evaluate whether lightweight traditional and hybrid classifiers can provide competitive performance to deep learning models for SIBI recognition. Using a dataset of 21,351 gesture videos covering four categories (Affix, Alphabet, Number, and Word), features were extracted from MediaPipe keypoints and processed as frozen LSTM embeddings. Six classifiers (Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, Naïve Bayes, Multilayer Perceptron, Support Vector Machine, and Hidden Markov Model) were evaluated with 5-fold stratified cross-validation using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, with statistical significance tested through Friedman and Nemenyi analyses. Results show that MLP and RF achieved high performance in Alphabet, Number, and Word categories (above 96 percent accuracy), while Affix remained the most difficult, with MLP reaching 81.17 percent, outperforming the 68.17 percent from a prior BiLSTM model. This study provides a benchmark for hybrid model implementation in sign language recognition, showing that while traditional classifiers on deep features are effective and computationally lighter for general gestures, deep architectures remain superior for capturing the fine-grained temporal nuances critical for complex categories like affixes.