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All Journal Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Research Istinbath: Jurnal Hukum dan Ekonomi Islam Islamika: Jurnal Keislaman dan Ilmu Pendidikan Al-Qisthu: Jurnal Kajian Ilmu-Ilmu Hukum Al-Manahij : Jurnal Kajian Hukum Islam Jurnal Integrasi Ilmu Syariah (Jisrah) El-Hadhanah: Indonesian Journal Of Family Law And Islamic Law Journal of Socio Economics on Tropical Agriculture (Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Tropis) (JOSETA) Al Ushuliy
Nofialdi Nofialdi
Universitas Islam Negeri Mahmud Yunus Batusangkar
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences Veterinary Other

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Analisis Risiko Harga pada Usahatani Tomat di Nagari Alahan Panjang Kabupaten Solok Rihadatul Aisy; Nofialdi; Putri, Afrianingsih
JOSETA Journal of Socio-economics on Tropical Agriculture Vol. 7 No. 3 (2025): December
Publisher : Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Andalas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25077/joseta.v7i3.854

Abstract

Tomatoes are valuable horticultural commodities with numerous benefits, but are highly vulnerable to price instability. This study analyzes price risk and management strategies in tomato farming in Nagari Alahan Panjang, Solok Regency. The research aims to identify sources of price risk, measure its level, and formulate effective management strategies. The ARCH/GARCH model is applied to forecast tomato price volatility, while variance, standard deviation, and the coefficient of variation determine the magnitude of risk. Results show that significant price drops and fluctuations occurred in April, September, and October 2022, with a coefficient of variation of 0.53, indicating a high level of price risk. Farmers in Alahan Panjang adopt two main strategies to manage this risk: preventive and mitigation. Preventive measures include better crop maintenance and intercropping, while mitigation efforts involve continuous harvesting, post-harvest processing, crop rotation, and delaying harvests to minimize losses caused by market fluctuations.
Co-Authors Deri Rizal Dodon Alfiander Fachrul An'am Fadilla Rahayu Farida Arianti Firnalista, Nadia Hendriyanto Hendriyanto Husna Rita Iman Asroa B.S Muhammad Hizbi Islami Nadia Putri Asarah Pegi Elvina Yahya Putri, Afrianingsih Rihadatul Aisy Roza Nofitra Sari Sari Purnama Siska Elasta Putri Sri Yunarti Yunarti, Sri Zednita Azriani Zulfa Marlina