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Journal : Economic Development Analysis Journal

Poverty Modeling in Indonesia: a Spatial Regression Analysis Ameliatul 'Iffah; Suliyanto Suliyanto; Sediono Sediono; Toha Saifudin; Elly Ana; Dita Amelia
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.66027

Abstract

The government has made various efforts to reduce poverty in Indonesia. However, based on the World Population Review report, Indonesia is still ranked as the 73rd poorest country in the world in 2022 based on the value of gross national income. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the factors that affect poverty. This research was conducted by comparing classical, spatial lag, and spatial error regression, and the best model will be selected. The results show that the spatial error regression model is the best, based on the highest coefficient of determination and the lowest Akaike's information criterion value. Based on the best model, it is found that the expected years of schooling, the rate of gross regional domestic product, the percentage of households that have access to proper sanitation services, and the percentage of households with electric lighting sources have a significant effect on the percentage of poor people. The percentage of poor people in a province is also influenced by the percentage of poor people in the surrounding provinces. The results of this simulation can help the government take initiatives or policies aimed at reducing poverty in Indonesia based on variables that affect poverty.
Co-Authors Abdillah, Adrian Wahyu Adma Novita Sari Aflaha, Nabila Shafa Agnes Happy Julianto Ameliatul 'Iffah Anggriawan, Muhammad Rizal Ardi Kurniawan Ariyani, Azizah Dewi Ariyawan, Jovansha Aulia, Niswa Faizah Budijono, Gabriella Agnes Carista, Nashwa Darmawan, Kezia Eunike Davina Shafa Vanisa Dewi, Berlianti Alisa Dita Amelia Dita Amelia Dita Amelia, Dita Dwiyanto, Adelia Sukma Elly Pusporani Fitri, Marfa Audilla Fitriyani, Mubadi’ul Fortunata, Regina Ghasani, Anisah Nabilah Gunawan, Syifa' Azizah Putri Hardiansyah, Fernanda Rizky Humaira, Edla Putri Ibrahim, Rahmat Agung Idrus Syahzaqi Ismi, Ferissa Maulida Jannah, Sa'idah Zahrotul Karima, Sasy Okti Khairian, Farhan Aldan M. Fariz Fadillah Mardianto Mahadesyawardani, Arinda Makkiyah, Afifah Nur Marbun, Barnabas Anthony Philbert Marpaung, Josua Ronaldo Davico Marthabakti, CitraWani Maulana, Bagas Melati, Adinda Tries Mochammad Baihaqi Muhammad Rosyid Ridho Az Zuhro Naura, Sheila Sevira Asteriska Nitasari, Alfi Nur Nugroho, Hariawan Widi Nurdin, Nabila Pambudi, Daffa Satrio Pratama, Fachriza Yosa Putra, Mochamad Rasyid Aditya Rahmada, Indrastanto Oktodian Rahmanita, Tentri Ryan Ramadhan, Achmad Wahyu Ramadhani, Azzah Nazhifa Wina Ramadhani, Maulana Syah Putra Ramadhanti, Aulia Ramadhanty, Devira Thania Riyanto, Aufa Muhammad Yogi Salsabila, Ailsa Shafa Salsabila, Fatiha Nadia Sangadji, Nurul Fajriah Deswani Sari, Ni Wayan Widya Septia Sediono, Sediono Siagian, Kimberly Maserati Suliyanto Suliyanto Suliyanto Syaugi Sungkar, Salman Tagawa, Dustin Nathanael Toha Saifudin Toha Saifudin Trisa, Nadya Lovita Hana Vanisa, Davina Shafa Victoria, Deby Wibawa, Yoga Setya Wulandari, Indana Zulfa Zhafirab, Azizah Atsariyyah