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PEMANFAATAN KERJA SAMA INDONESIA-JEPANG ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP AGREEMENT (IJEPA) DAN INDONESIA – PAKISTAN PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENT (IPPTA) Endah Ayu Ningsih; Telisa Aulia Falianty; Fitri Tri Budiarti
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 12 No 2 (2018)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia

AbstrakPenelitian ini mengevaluasi tingkat pemanfaatan Indonesia-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (IJEPA) dan Indonesia-Pakistan Preferential Trade Agreement (IPPTA) dalam ekspor dan impor Indonesia ke Jepang dan Pakistan. Tingkat pemanfaatan FTA untuk ekspor menggunakan rasio nilai perdagangan yang termuat dalam Surat Keterangan Asal (SKA) terhadap nilai ekspor ke negara mitra. Sedangkan tingkat pemanfaatan impor menggunakan rasio nilai impor produk yang memenuhi syarat terhadap total impor Indonesia dari negara mitra. Studi ini menemukan bahwa pemanfaatan IJEPA (2012-2016) cenderung menurun. Pada tahun 2016 tingkat pemanfaatan ekspor sebesar 47,2%. Sementara pemanfaatan IPPTA untuk ekspor ke Pakistan mengalami peningkatan yang signifikan sejak diimplementasi tahun 2013 dengan tingkat pemanfaatan ekspor sebesar 72,0% pada tahun 2016. Di sisi impor pemanfaatan IJEPA mencapai 67,7% sementara IPPTA hanya 18,8% (2016). Pemanfaatan impor IJEPA dan IPPTA relatif stagnan, jumlah perusahaan yang menggunakan SKA IJEPA sudah pada level jenuh, sementara pengguna SKA IPPTA masih tumbuh 18,2% per tahun. Bentuk PTA lebih memberikan dampak positif bagi peningkatan ekspor Indonesia ke negara mitra dibandingkan FTA yang komprehensif. Kebijakan melakukan FTA dalam bentuk Economic Partnership perlu disertai dengan kerja sama yang menjamin peningkatan perdagangan yang seimbang antar negara anggota. AbstractThis study aims to address the utilization level of The Indonesia-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (IJEPA) and Indonesia-Pakistan Preferential Trade Agreement (IPPTA). The level of FTA utilization for exports was measured by the ratio of trade value recorded in the Certificate of Origin (CoO) to Indonesia’s export value to the related country. While the level of utilization of imports was defined by the ratio of the import value of eligible products to Indonesia's total imports from the related country. The study found IJEPA’s utilization during 2012-2016 tended to decrease. In 2016, the level of utilization was about 47.2%. While IPPTA utilization for exports to Pakistan experienced a significant increase since it was implemented in 2013 with a rate of export utilization was 72.0% in 2016. On the import side, the level of utilization under IJEPA reached 67.7% while IPPTA was only 18.8% at the same period. In terms of the imports utilization level of both IJEPA and IPPTA, it was relatively stagnant, while the number of companies utilize IJEPA’s CoO was saturated. In contrast, IPPTA’s CoO users still grew at 18.2% per year. This study concluded PTA provides more positive impact on increasing Indonesia's exports to related countries than comprehensive FTAs. Thus, establishing an FTA in the form of an Economic Partnership needs to be followed with the cooperation that guarantees trade balance within the parties.

Spillover Effect of Global Financial Cycle To Asset Markets in Asean-5 Countries: A Structural VAR Approach Sri Andaiyani; Telisa Aulia Falianty
AFEBI Economic and Finance Review Vol 2, No 2 (2017)
Publisher : Asosiasi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47312/aefr.v2i02.97

An upsurge and volatility of capital flows to Emerging Asian Economies indicated that there is the potential effect of global financial cycle to emerging market. It provides an overview of investor risk aversion in short term investment after financial crisis 2008. Global financial cycle could have a significant impact to asset prices, including equity prices and property prices. Rey (2015) has triggered an interesting discussion about global financial cycle. She found that there was a global financial cycle in capital flows, asset prices and credit growth. This cycle was co‐moves with the VIX, a measure of uncertainty and risk aversion of the markets. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze empirically global financial cycle shocks, measured by the VIX, on equity prices and property prices in ASEAN-5, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Philippines. We estimate quarterly frequency data from Q1 1990 to Q2 2016 with Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach. The result of this study showed that global financial cycle has a negative significant impact on the ASEAN-5 asset markets, in spite of the response of shock differs by country and size. This result is consistent with ASEAN-5 as small open economies that remain vulnerable to the global factor. This study contributes to the literature in several ways. First, we identify not only cyclical expansions or contraction in asset markets but also the impact of global financial cycle to asset markets in ASEAN-5 countries. Second, we investigate whether there are heterogeneous responses of ASEAN-5 countries to global financial cycle shocks. Third, we also identify the pattern of cycle in ASEAN-5 countries.JEL Classification: F30, F37, F42Keywords: ASEAN, Asset Markets, Global Financial Cycle, SVAR

ANALISIS PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN MONETER DAN MAKROPRUDENSIAL TERHADAP RISIKO BANK DI INDONESIA Pristanto Silalahi; Telisa Aulia Falianty
Jurnal Riset Manajemen dan Bisnis Vol 17, No 1 (2022): Jurnal Riset Manajemen dan Bisnis
Publisher : Fakultas Bisnis UKDW

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21460/jrmb.2022.171.418

ABSTRAK Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh kebijakan moneter dan kebijakan makroprudensial dalam stabilitas perekonomian dengan memitigasi risiko bank di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan z-score untuk mengidentifikasi sekaligus sebagai proksi dari risiko bank. Model data yang digunakan adalah panel data dari tahun 2012 - 2019 dengan sampel 30 Bank. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa hampir setiap tahunnya risiko bank meningkat selama periode penelitian dengan metode pengukuran z-score. Hasil dari analisis regresi data panel menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan moneter dengan instrument variabel interest rate (IR) berpengaruh signifikan negatif terhadap risiko bank. Kemudian kebijakan makroprudensial dengan instrument variabel GWM berpengaruh signifikan negatif terhadap risiko bank, hal ini sesuai dengan adanya teori prosiklikalitas di Indonesia. Kata kunci: kebijakan moneter : kebijakan makroprudensial; risiko bank ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of monetary policy and macroprudential policy on economic stability by mitigating bank risk in Indonesia. This study uses a z-score approach to identify as well as a proxy for bank risk. The data model used is panel data from 2012 - to 2019 with a sample of 30 banks. The results of this study indicate that almost every year bank risk increases during the study period using the z-score measurement method. The results of the panel data regression analysis show that monetary policy with the interest rate (IR) variable instrument has a significant negative effect on bank risk. Then macroprudential policy with the variable reserve requirement instrument has a significant negative effect on bank risk, this is under the procyclicality theory in Indonesia. Keywords: monetary policy: macroprudential policy; bank risk

Monetary Policy and Herding Behavior: Empirical Evidence From Indonesia Stock Market Wicaksono, Retno Puspita K.; Falianty, Telisa Aulia
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 14, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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This study aims to analyze the role of monetary policy, including the spillover of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy, in the existence of herding behavior in the Indonesian stock market. We used beta herding to measure the level of herding behavior and analyze the relationship between monetary policy and beta herding using the VECM model, as well as IRF and FEVD. This study shows that monetary policy plays a role in the existence of herding behavior in the Indonesian stock market. Although the effect of monetary policy on herding behavior is relatively small, Fed monetary policy shocks have a greater effect on the existence of herding behavior in the Indonesian stock market. The credibility of Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Fed may play a role in shaping investors’ expectations. Therefore, policymakers have to take into account the volatility of asset prices in formulating monetary policy

Property Price, Capital Inflows, and Financial System Stability in ASEAN-5 Economies: A Simultaneous Analysis Sonia Anggun Andini; Telisa Aulia Falianty
Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business Vol 37 No 1 (2022): January
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada

Introduction/Main Objectives: This study aims to estimate the impact of capital inflows on property prices and financial system stability (FSS) in ASEAN-5 and the simultaneous relationship between the two dependent variables. During the observation period of this study, there were large capital inflows to ASEAN 5 countries after the 2008-2009 financial crisis; on the other hand property prices showed an increase in that period. Background Problems: This study indicates the simultaneous relationship between two dependent variables. In fact, using only a single equation for variables that have a simultaneous relationship can cause endogeneity problems, so the results obtained become unreliable/ biased. Novelty: The novelty of our research is we fill a gap in the previous studies by examining the relationship of property prices and financial system stability with the simultaneous method so as to solve the endogeneity problem that exists. Research Methods: We use the 2SLS simultaneous panel model to solve endogeneity problems. Finding/ Results: The results show that the massive capital inflows to ASEAN-5 countries caused a significant increase in property prices. Conclusion: This study confirms that property prices and financial system stability have simultaneous relationships. On the one hand, the impact of property prices on the financial system stability is positive and significant. On the other hand, testing the effect of the financial system stability on property prices does not show significant results.

Pengaruh Foreign Direct Investment Terhadap Emisi Gas CO2 di Negara G20 Birgitta Sekar Winda; Telisa Aulia Falianty
Al Qalam: Jurnal Ilmiah Keagamaan dan Kemasyarakatan Vol. 17, No 3 : Al Qalam (Mei 2023)
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Al-Qur'an (STIQ) Amuntai Kalimantan Selatan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35931/aq.v17i3.2163

Meningkatnya kadar emisi CO2 merupakan salah satu indikator penurunan kualitas lingkungan. Pembangunan perekonomian suatu negara melalui berbagai sektor sebagai wujud pemerintah meningkatkan kesejahteraan masyarakatnya. Selain ditopang dari kemampuan dalam negeri, investasi menjadi kerja sama yang baik bagi negara investor maupun negara yang menerima investasi tersebut. Penanaman Modal Asing Langsung atau Foreign Direct Investment dapat diimplementasikan melalui pembangunan perusahaan maupun transfer teknologi yang secara tidak langsung dapat menghasilkan residu yang dapat mencemari lingkungan, salah satunya emisi CO2. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh penanaman modal asing langsung atau foreign direct investment (FDI) terhadap emisi gas karbon dioksida (CO2) di negara anggota G- 20. Data yang digunakan adalah FDI, emisi CO2, GDP per kapita sektor industri dan GDP per kapita sektor transportasi dari negara anggota G-20. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan data panel dengan pendekatan metode Generalized Method of Moments (GMM), periode analisis dari tahun 2005 sampai tahun 2021. Hasil estimasi GMM menunjukkan bahwa terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan dari FDI terhadap emisi CO2 di negara anggota G20.

ANALISIS PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN MONETER DAN MAKROPRUDENSIAL TERHADAP RISIKO BANK DI INDONESIA Pristanto Silalahi; Telisa Aulia Falianty
Jurnal Riset Manajemen dan Bisnis Vol. 17 No. 1 (2022): Jurnal Riset Manajemen dan Bisnis
Publisher : Fakultas Bisnis Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

ABSTRAK Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh kebijakan moneter dan kebijakan makroprudensial dalam stabilitas perekonomian dengan memitigasi risiko bank di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan z-score untuk mengidentifikasi sekaligus sebagai proksi dari risiko bank. Model data yang digunakan adalah panel data dari tahun 2012 - 2019 dengan sampel 30 Bank. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa hampir setiap tahunnya risiko bank meningkat selama periode penelitian dengan metode pengukuran z-score. Hasil dari analisis regresi data panel menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan moneter dengan instrument variabel interest rate (IR) berpengaruh signifikan negatif terhadap risiko bank. Kemudian kebijakan makroprudensial dengan instrument variabel GWM berpengaruh signifikan negatif terhadap risiko bank, hal ini sesuai dengan adanya teori prosiklikalitas di Indonesia. Kata kunci: kebijakan moneter : kebijakan makroprudensial; risiko bank ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of monetary policy and macroprudential policy on economic stability by mitigating bank risk in Indonesia. This study uses a z-score approach to identify as well as a proxy for bank risk. The data model used is panel data from 2012 - to 2019 with a sample of 30 banks. The results of this study indicate that almost every year bank risk increases during the study period using the z-score measurement method. The results of the panel data regression analysis show that monetary policy with the interest rate (IR) variable instrument has a significant negative effect on bank risk. Then macroprudential policy with the variable reserve requirement instrument has a significant negative effect on bank risk, this is under the procyclicality theory in Indonesia. Keywords: monetary policy: macroprudential policy; bank risk

BANK MARKET POWER DAN EFEKTIVITAS BANK LENDING CHANNEL DI ASEAN-5 Putri, Meilani; Telisa Aulia Falianty
Jurnal Ekonomi Trisakti Vol. 5 No. 1 (2025): April 2025
Publisher : Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas EKonomi dan Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25105/v5i1.21768

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis bank market power dan efektivitas bank lending channel di ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand dan Philippine). Penelitian juga menyadari peran akan karakteristik dari bank dan negara, seperti ukuran bank, kapitalisasi, pertumbuhan ekonomi dan tingkat inflasi. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah first-difference GMM melalui data panel dinamis pada periode tahun 2011-2019. Penelitian ini menggunakan single proksi untuk mengukur bank market power, yaitu lerner index. Bank Lending Channel menggunakan proksi pertumbuhan kredit. Penelitian ini menemukan bahwa interaksi antara market power dengan monetary policy berhubungan secara signifikan untuk pertumbuhan kredit. Sehingga disimpulkan bahwa bank market power memengaruhi efektivitas bank lending channel.

Macroeconomic Risk, Idiosyncratic Risk, and Corporate Leverage: Policy Implications for Financial Governance in Indonesia Saatari, Amirmahmud; Aulia Falianty, Telisa
Policy & Governance Review Vol 9 No 3 (2025): September
Publisher : Indonesian Association for Public Administration

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30589/pgr.v9i3.1195

This study examines the influence of macroeconomic and firm-specific risks on the leverage of publicly listed Indonesian manufacturing and non-financial service firms. It also breaks down the divergence between sectors of risk responsiveness, which, in the capital structure literature for emerging markets, remains mostly uninvestigated. Using a sample of 99 publicly listed firms on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2010 to 2019, we apply an Instrumental Variable (IV) and system- GMM estimator to control for endogeneity. The findings suggest that increasing macroeconomic risk and reducing firm-specific risk induces leverage, especially among service firms. These results also have policy implications for guiding firms in aligning their finance strategies to the sectoral risk they face and for assisting in formulating tailored policies that maintain robustness in the form of financial industry stability and corporate growth.

The Role of Digitalization of Financial Inclusion in Reducing Income Gaps: an Empirical Study at 33 Provinces in Indonesia Murtama, Abram Julion; Falianty, Telisa Aulia
International Journal of Applied and Advanced Multidisciplinary Research Vol. 2 No. 3 (2024): March 2024
Publisher : MultiTech Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59890/ijaamr.v2i3.1555

One of the problems faced by developing countries, including Indonesia, is income inequality. It is hoped that digitalization of financial inclusion can solve this problem. Increasing financial inclusion is expected to make financial services more accessible to everyone, especially for poor groups who previously did not have access to financial services. This research aims to analyze the role of digitalization of financial inclusion in reducing income gaps using empirical evidence from 33 provinces in Indonesia during the 2013-2022 period, using the fixed effects estimation method. The results of this study indicate that financial inclusion has a negative and significant impact on the Williamson index. This means that increasing financial inclusion can reduce income inequality. The decomposition results for each dimension show that the access dimension has a significant effect on reducing income inequality in Indonesia, while the usage dimension shows a positive influence on income inequality, but the presence of the SNKI policy in Indonesia in 2016-2022 has a negative influence on income inequality in Indonesia.

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