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The Influence of International Trade on Economic Growth Renny S.Simamora; Dina Auliannia; Khairani Matondang; Revita Yuni
Outline Journal of Economic Studies Vol. 5 No. 1: October - March 2026
Publisher : Outline Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61730/ra7yb829

Abstract

International trade is trade carried out by residents of a country with residents of other countries on the basis of a mutual agreement. One of the things that determines a country's economic growth is international trade which includes export-import activities. One advantage of international trade is that it allows a country to specialize in producing goods and services at low prices. This study aims to determine the effect of international trade on Indonesia's economic growth. The research method used to solve this problem is a quantitative method using multiple regression analysis and the classic assumption test from secondary data sourced from North Sumatra Economic Data (2001-2020). The results of this study are 1. Partially, imports have a significant positive effect on growth. Economics with the acquisition of a Prob. value of 0.0002 < apha 0.05 so that ha is fulfilled or ho is rejected and for the positive direction it is proven by the Coeffcient which is negative (1.216780). 2. Partially, exports have a negative but not significant effect on economic growth due to the acquisition of a Prob.0.2268> alpha 0.05 value so that ho is fulfilled or ha is rejected and for a negative direction it is proven by a negative Coefficient. (-0.448407) 3. Simultaneously Export and Import have a significant effect on Economic Growth with the acquisition of a Prob (F-Statistic) value of 0.00000 <0.05 meaning that the two variables significantly influence Economic Growth so that ha is fulfilled or ho is rejected 4. The Adjusted R-Square is 0.89, which means that much the two independent variables affect the dependent variable, namely GRDP, which means that there are still other models that affect the dependent variable.
The Effect of Exports and Investment on Economic Growth in North Sumatra Khairani Matondang; Revita Yuni; Nur Aulia Pratiwi; Laili Hasmiyah Harahap
Outline Journal of Economic Studies Vol. 5 No. 1: October - March 2026
Publisher : Outline Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61730/j774qq55

Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to determine and analyze the effect of exports and investment on economic growth in North Sumatra Province. Methods: This research uses secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of North Sumatra Province for the 2001–2020 period. The analysis examines the relationship between exports and investment as independent variables and economic growth as the dependent variable, measured by Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP). Results: The results show that exports have a positive and significant effect on economic growth in North Sumatra Province. Investment also has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Simultaneously, exports and investment significantly influence economic growth. The findings further indicate that exports and investment contribute 94% to economic growth in the province. Conclusion: Exports and investment play an important role in supporting economic growth in North Sumatra Province. Increasing export performance and investment levels can significantly enhance regional economic development. Originality/value: This study provides empirical evidence of the strong contribution of exports and investment to economic growth in North Sumatra Province using a 20-year observation period, highlighting their dominant role in regional economic development.