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Journal : Vokasi UNESA Bulletin of Engineering, Technology and Applied Science

Application of Binary Logistic Regression Method in Diagnosing Ischemic Stroke Disease at Petala Bumi Hospital, Riau Province Marizal, Muhammad; Uci Lestari, Tri
Vokasi Unesa Bulletin of Engineering, Technology and Applied Science Vol. 1 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Surabaya or The State University of Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26740/vubeta.v1i1.34099

Abstract

Stroke occurs suddenly when blood flow is obstructed while supplying blood to the brain. Ischemic stroke is a type of stroke that often occurs and is a major cause of disability and even death. The large number of ischemic stroke incidents is the result of ignorance of the risk factors that lead to the emergence of ischemic stroke events. The purpose of this study was to determine the risk factors that significantly influence ischemic stroke and to determine the chances of thrombotic and embolic ischemic stroke by involving several independent variables. Factors that are thought to influence the occurrence of ischemic stroke in this study were age, gender, hypertension status, diabetes mellitus status, hypercholesterolemia status, obesity, triglycerides, body mass indeks, diet, and smoking habits. The method used in this research is binary logistic regression. The results of the analysis show that age and hypertension status have a significant effect on ischemic stroke with a classification accuracy of 74% the rest is influenced by other factors
Modeling of Multiple Statistical Distributions for Extreme Rainfall Data Using Maximum Likelihood Estimation Methods and Bayesian Methods Marizal, Muhammad; Jannah, Zahratul
Vokasi Unesa Bulletin of Engineering, Technology and Applied Science Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Surabaya or The State University of Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26740/vubeta.v3i1.44270

Abstract

The city of Pekanbaru has rapidly developed into a metropolitan hub, facing challenges such as floods and haze caused by extreme rainfall events. This study proposes a novel combination of Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), and Generalized Pareto (GP) distributions, utilizing Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) methods, to model annual extreme rainfall data for the period 2010–2024. Rainfall data were sourced from NASA/POWER. Model performance was evaluated using Relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE), Relative Absolute Square Error (RASE), and Probability Plot Correlation Coefficient (PPCC). The Bayesian method yielded superior performance with RRMSE = 0.3166, RASE = 0.2682, and PPCC = 0.00485 for the GEV distribution, outperforming MLE. The novelty lies in applying this methodological combination to Pekanbaru's rainfall dataset for the first time, providing valuable insights for flood mitigation, drainage planning, and urban water resource management.