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Journal : Jurnal Gaussian

PEMODELAN SEMIPARAMETRIC GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED REGRESSION PADA KASUS PNEUMONIA BALITA PROVINSI JAWA TENGAH Putri Fajar Utami; Agus Rusgiyono; Dwi Ispriyanti
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 10, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v10i2.30945

Abstract

Geographical and inter-regional differences have contributed to the diversity of child pneumonia cases in Central Java, so  a spatial regression modelling is formed that is called Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). GWR is a development of linear regression by involving diverse factors geographical location, so that local parameters are produced.  Sometimes, there are non-local GWR parameters. To overcome some non-local parameters, Semiparametric Geographically Weighted Regression (SGWR) is formed to develop a GWR model with local and global influences simultaneously. SGWR Model is used to estimate the model of percentage of children with pneumonia in Central Java with population density, average temperature, percentage of children with severe malnutrition, percentage of children with under the red line weight, percentage of households behave in clean and healthy lives, and percentage of children who measles immunized. SGWR models on percentage of children with pneumonia in Central Java produce locally significant variables that is population density, average temperature, and percentage of households behave in clean and healthy lives. Variable that globally significant is percentage of children with severe malnutrition. Based on Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), SGWR is a better model to analize percentage of children with pneumonia in Central Java because of smallest AIC. Keywords: Akaike Information Criterion, Geographically Weighted Regression, Semiparametric Geographically Weighted Regression
PEMBENTUKAN MODEL SPASIAL DATA PANEL FIXED EFFECT MENGGUNAKAN GUI MATLAB (Studi Kasus : Kemiskinan di Jawa Tengah) Irawati Tamara; Dwi Ispriyanti; Alan Prahutama
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 3 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (791.314 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i3.14706

Abstract

Regression analysis is an analysis of the dependence of one dependent variable, on one or more independent variables. The spatial panel data model is regression models used to explain the effects of region's dependence (spatial effect) and the effect of time period (panel effect) on an observed variable. The establishment of spatial panel data models can be made by an application created using Matlab software called GUI (Graphical User Interface). This research is focus on creating GUI Matlab and the establishment of a spatial panel data model by fixed effects on the case of poverty in Central Java. The results of analysis by using GUI shows that the fixed effects spatial lag model and fixed effects spatial error model are significant. Based on the criteria of goodness of fit, it is known that the fixed effects spatial lag model has higher R2 value than the fixed effects spatial error model that is 0.9903, thus the model chosen as the model of the case of poverty in Central Java is the fixed effects spatial lag model by the spatial lag coefficient is 0.4060. Keywords : GUI, spatial, panel data, fixed effects, fixed effects spatial lag, fixed effects spatial error
KAPABILITAS PROSES DENGAN ESTIMASI FUNGSI DENSITAS KERNEL PADA PRODUKSI DENIM DI PT APAC INTI CORPORA Puput Ramadhani; Dwi Ispriyanti; Diah Safitri
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 7, No 3 (2018): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (494.12 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v7i3.26665

Abstract

The quality of production becomes one of the basic factors of consumer decisions in choosing a product. Quality control is needed to control the production process. Control chart is a tool used in performing statistical quality control. One of the alternatives used when the data obtained is not known distribution is analyzed by nonparametric approach based on estimation of kernel density function. The most important thing in estimating kernel density function is optimal bandwidth selection (h) which minimizes Cross Validation (CV) value. Some of the kernel functions used in this research are Rectangular, Epanechnikov, Triangular, Biweight, and Gaussian. If the process control chart is statistically controlled, a process capability analysis can be calculated using the process conformity index to determine the nature of the process capability. In this research, the kernel control chart and process conformity index were used to analyze the slope shift of Akira-F style fabric and Corvus-SI style on the production of denim fabric at PT Apac Inti Corpora. The results of the analysis show that the production process for Akira-F style is statistically controlled, but Ypk > Yp is 0.889823 > 0,508059 indicating that the process is still not in accordance with the specified limits set by the company, while for Corvus- SI is statistically controlled and Ypk < Yp is 0.637742 < 0.638776 which indicates that the process is in accordance with the specification limits specified by the company. Keywords:     kernel density function estimation, Cross Validation, kernel control chart, denim fabric, process capability
PREDIKSI JUMLAH KEBERANGKATAN PENUMPANG PESAWAT TERBANG MENGGUNAKAN MODEL VARIASI KALENDER DAN DETEKSI OUTLIER (Studi Kasus di Bandara Soekarno-Hatta) Alvi Waldira; Abdul Hoyyi; Dwi Ispriyanti
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 3 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i3.28914

Abstract

 Transportation has a strategic role, even becoming one of the main needs of the community, especially air transportation services. A large number of passengers in air transportation always experiences a difference every month. One of the differences occurred when approaching Eid al-Fitr, which changes every year based on an Islamic calendar that is different from Masehi calendar. The lunar shift in the occurrence of Eid al-Fitr forms a pattern called calendar variation. The effects of calendar variations can be overcome by using an additional variable, such as a dummy variable, this variable which will be used in the ARIMAX model. Observation of time series is often influenced by several unexpected events such as outliers. This outlier causes the results of data analysis to be less valid. So the researchers added the detection of outliers in this study. Based on the analysis results, the ARIMA calendar variation model is obtained (1.0, [12]), with time variable t, dummy variable , and the addition of one outlier. This model has a MAPE value of 0.07079609 which means this model is very good for forecasting. Forecasting results showed an increase in the number of passengers during the two months before Eid. Keywords: Passenger, calendar variation, outlier detection
METODE MODIFIED JACKKNIFE RIDGE REGRESSION DALAM PENANGANAN MULTIKOLINIERITAS (STUDI KASUS INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA DI JAWA TENGAH) Arya Huda Arrasyid; Dwi Ispriyanti; Abdul Hoyyi
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 10, No 1 (2021): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v10i1.29922

Abstract

The human development index is a value where the value showed the measure of living standards comparison in a region. The Human Development Index is influenced by several factors, one of them is the education factor that is the average years of schooling and expected years of schooling. A statistical method to find the correlation between the independent variable and the dependent variable can be conducted using the linear regression method. Linear regression requires several assumptions, one of which is the multicollinearity assumption. If the multicollinearity assumption is not fulfilled, another alternative is needed to estimate the regression parameters. One method that can be used to estimate regression parameters is the ridge regression method with an ordinary ridge regression estimator. Ordinary ridge regression then developed more into several methods, such as generalized ridge regression, jackknife ridge regression, and modified jackknife ridge regression method. The generalized Ridge Regression method causes a reduction to variance in linear regression, while the jackknife ridge regression method is obtained by resampling jackknife process on the generalized ridge regression method. Modified jackknife ridge regression is a combination of generalized ridge regression and jackknife ridge regression method. In this journal, the three ridge regression methods will be compared based on the Mean Squared Error obtained in each method. The results of this study indicate that the jackknife ridge regression method has the smallest MSE value. Keywords: Generalized Ridge Regression, Jackknife Ridge Regression, Modified Jackknife Ridge Regression, Multicolinearity  
PENGELOMPOKAN KABUPATEN-KOTA DALAM PRODUKSI DAGING TERNAK DI JAWA TENGAH TAHUN 2016 -2018 MENGGUNAKAN METODE MULTIDIMENSIONAL SCALING Imam Desla Siena; Agus Rusgiyono; Dwi Ispriyanti
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 9, No 4 (2020): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v9i4.29444

Abstract

Animal husbandry is very important for the development of the welfare of the people of Central Java.the geographical conditions, Central Java is a suitable place to do livestock activities.Because of the increasing needs of livestock meat on the market, empowerment of livestock can be used as a livelihood to improve the economy of Central Java Comunity. This research is aimed at mapping the production of livestock meat in cities in Central Java both rural and urban areas. This study aimed to map existing health facilities in cities in West Java. The results of the analysis conducted by using Multidimensional Scaling analysis shows how grouping the cities in Central Java by its production of livestock meat. From the mapping of the cities there are three groups that have similarities among its members but different from the other groups.Each group formed have similar characteristics of a number of production of livestock meat. 
KETEPATAN KLASIFIKASI STATUS KERJA DI KOTA TEGAL MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA C4.5 DAN FUZZY K-NEAREST NEIGHBOR IN EVERY CLASS (FK-NNC) Atika Elsadining Tyas; Dwi Ispriyanti; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 4 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (379.616 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v4i4.10127

Abstract

Unemployment is a very crucial problem that always deal a developing country and affected a national foundation. It used two methods for classifying a employment status on productive society in Tegal City on August 2014, the methods are C4.5 Algorithm and Fuzzy K-Nearest Neighbor in every Class (FK-NNC). C4.5 Algorithm is a way of classifying methods from data mining that use to construct a decision tree. FK-NNC is another classification technique that predict using the amount of closest neighbor of K in every class from a testing data. The predictor variables that used on classifying an employment status are neighborhood status, sex, age, marriage status, education, and a work training. To evaluate the result of classification use APER calculation. Based on this analysis, classification of employment status using C4.5 Algorithm obtained APER = 28,3784% and 71,6216% of accuracy, while FK-NNC methods obtained APER = 21,62% and 78,38% of accuracy. So, it can be concluded that FK-NNC is better than C4.5 Algorithm. Keywords: Classification, C4.5 Algorithm, Fuzzy K-Nearest Neighbor in every Class ­(FK-NNC), APER
PEMBENTUKAN DAN PENGUKURAN KINERJA PORTOFOLIO EFISIEN DENGAN METODE CONSTANT CORRELATION MODEL MENGGUNAKAN GUI MATLAB (Studi Kasus: Kelompok Saham pada Indeks JII, LQ45, dan INFOBANK15) Muhammad Zidan Eka Atmaja; Alan Prahutama; Dwi Ispriyanti
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 10, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v10i2.28940

Abstract

Investment is an important part of financial management that is widely known by the public. One example of an investment is a stock, stock is favored by investors because many of companies issue stock investment. investors goal from investment are to get funds that have been invested. Besides advantage, investors also have to face risks that can befall on him. Risk in investment can be minimized by diversification, for example by forming a portfolio. A good portfolio is an efficient portfolio, which is a portfolio that has a high rate of return with minimal risk. One of the way to to form an efficient portfolio is the Constant Correlation Model (CCM) method. The CCM method focuses on Excess return to Standard Deviation (ERS) and correlation between paired stocks. And to measure the portfolio formed can be measured by the Sharpe Ratio. GUI MATLAB program was formed to make it easier to find portfolio from the CCM method. This research uses stock data on the stock index JII, LQ45, and INFOBANK15 with interest rate of SBI period 2 October 2017-30 December 2019. Based on the results and discussion with manual calculations and GUI MATLAB, it can be concluded that percentage of weight, expected return, risk, and Sharpe index produce the same numbers. Keywords: Stock, Efficient Portfolio, Constant Correlation Model, Sharpe Ratio
PENERAPAN METODE TAGUCHI UNTUK KASUS MULTIRESPON MENGGUNAKAN PENDEKATAN GREY RELATIONAL ANALYSIS DAN PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS (Studi Kasus Proses Freis Komposit GFRP) Annisa Ayu Wulandari; Triastuti Wuryandari; Dwi Ispriyanti
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 4 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (657.552 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i4.17108

Abstract

Taguchi method is a method for quality control of product by off line. Taguchi method usually used to solve optimization problem with single respon. Multirespon case was done by using Grey Relational Analyisis (GRA) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA). With GRA method is obtained many Grey Relational Grade value. For weight is estimated using PCA. The case study use freis process GFRP composite with characteristic smaller is better. From the research is obtained combination in optimal canditions for factor fiber orientation angle at 150, helix angle at 250, and feed rate at 0,04 mm/rev. While the respon that observed are surface roughness, machine force, and delamination factor. The value of contribution percentage for each factor is 69,596% for fiber orientation angle, 9,768% for helix angle and 11,9841% for feed rate..Keywords : Multirespon Optimization, Taguchi Method, Grey Relational Analysis, Principal Component Analysis, Freis Process GFRP Composite 
PENDUGAAN AREA KECIL TERHADAP PENGELUARAN PER KAPITA DI KABUPATEN SRAGEN DENGAN PENDEKATAN KERNEL Bitoria Rosa Niashinta; Dwi Ispriyanti; Abdul Hoyyi
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 1 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (424.513 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i1.10936

Abstract

Data of Social Survey and Economic National is a relatively small sample of data, so that data is called small area. Estimation of parameter in small area can be done in two ways, there are direct estimation and indirect estimation. Direct estimation is unbias estimation but give a high variance because from small sample of data. The technique that use to increase efectivity of sample size is indirect estimation or called Small Area Estimation (SAE). SAE is done by adding auxiliary variable. on estimating parameter. Assumed that auxiliary variable has a linear correlation with the direct estimation. If that assumption is incomplete, use an nonparametric approaching. This research is using Kernel Gaussian approaching to build a correlation between direct estimation which expenditure per capita and auxiliary variable which population density. Evaluation of estimation result is done by comparing the value of direct estimation variance with the value of indirect estimation variance using Kernel Gaussian approaching. The result of parameter estimation which approached by SAE is the best estimation, because it produce the small value of variance that is 5,31275, while the value of direct estimator variance is 6,380522. Keywords : Direct Estimation, Small Area Estimation (SAE), Kernel Gaussian
Co-Authors A Rusgiyono Abdul Hoyyi Agus Rusgiyono Agustinus Salomo Parsaulian Ain Hafidita Ajeng Dwi Rizkia Alan Prahutama Alan Prahutama Alvi Waldira Ana Kartikawati Anisa Septi Rahmawati Anjan Setyo Wahyudi Annisa Ayu Wulandari Arief Rachman Hakim Arkadina Prismatika Noviandini Taryono Arya Despa Ihsanuddin Arya Huda Arrasyid Atika Elsadining Tyas Aulia Ikhsan Avia Enggar Tyasti Azizah Mulia Mawarni Berta Elvionita Fitriani Bitoria Rosa Niashinta Budi Warsito Budi Warsito Cylvia Evasari Margaretha Dedi Nugraha Di Asih I Maruddani Di Asih I Maruddani Diah Safitri Diah Safitri Diah Wulandari Dita Ruliana Dwi Rahmayani, Dwi Dyan Anggun Krismala Dydaestury Jalarno Eis Kartika Dewi Endah Fauziyah Erna Sulistianingsih Erna Sulistio Evi Yulia Handaningrum Fadhilla Atansa Tamardina Firda Dinny Islami Firdha Rahmatika Pratami Fithroh Oktavi Awalullaili Gandhes Linggar Winanti Gera Rozalia Ghina Nabila Saputro Putri Hanifah Nur Aini Hasbi Yasin Hasbi Yasin Henny Widayanti, Henny Ilham Maggri Imam Desla Siena Innosensia Adella Irawati Tamara Iut Tri Utami Jesica, Haniela Puja Kishatini Kishartini Lifana Nugraeni Lingga Bayu Prasetya M. Ali Ma&#039;sum Marlia Aide Revani Masfuhurrizqi Iman Maulida Azkiya, Maulida Maulida Najwa, Maulida Merinda Pangestikasari Moch. Abdul Mukid Moch. Abdul Mukid Muhammad Fitri Lutfi Anshari Muhammad Rosyid Abdurrahman Muhammad Zidan Eka Atmaja Mustafid Mustafid Mustafid Mustafid Nanci Rajagukguk, Nanci Nandang Fahmi Jalaludin Malik Nida Adelia Nidaul Khoir Nova Nova Noviana Nurhayati Nurwihda Safrida Umami Oka Afranda Pandu Anggara Pritha Sekar Wijayanti Puput Ramadhani Pusphita Anna Octaviani Puspita Kartikasari Putri Fajar Utami Rafida Zahro Hasibuan Rahafattri Ariya Fauzannissa Rahmah Merdekawaty Rahmaniar, Ratna Rany Wahyuningtias Ratih Nurmalasari, Ratih Ratna Pratiwi Ria Sutitis Rio Tongaril Simarmata Riszki Bella Primasari Rita Rahmawati Rita Rahmawati Riza Adi Priantoro Riza Fahlevi Sa'adah, Alfi Faridatus Sania Anisa Farah Setiani Setiani Sherly Candraningtyas Sindy Saputri Sisca Agustin Diani Budiman Sri Maya Sari Damanik Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sudarno Sugito - Sugito Sugito Sugito Sugito Suhendra, Muhammad Arif Suparti Suparti Suparti Suparti Suparti, S. Suryaningrum, Fahlevi Syilfi Syilfi Sylvi Natalia P P Tarno Tarno Tarno Tarno Tarno Tarno Tatik Widiharih Tatik Widiharih Tatik Widiharih Tiani Wahyu Utami Triastuti Wuryandari Triastuti Wuryandari Trimono Trimono Ulya Tsaniya Umiyatun Muthohiroh Warsito Budi Yani Puspita Kristiani Yashmine Noor Islami Yuciana Wilandari Yuciana Wilandari