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Pengaruh Alokasi Dana Desa, Pengeluaran Pemerintah Sektor Pendidikan Dan Kesehatan Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Di Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 2011-2020 Almaas Aulia Syah; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 6 No. 2 (2022): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v6i2.20463

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Investment in human development is seen as a means to increase welfare and sustain economic growth. This study discusses and examines the simultaneous and partial effect of village fund allocations, government spending on education and health sectors on human development which is calculated in the Human Development Index (HDI) of East Java Province in 2011-2020. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis or Ordinary Least Square which explains several variables in the dependent variable. The results of the study found that the allocation of village funds, health and education sector government expenditures in East Java Province had a simultaneous effect on the Human Development Index of East Java Province, while partially the allocation of village funds and health expenditures had an effect on the human development index and education expenditures had no significant effect on human development index
Analisis Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Nilai Ekspor Batubara Indonesia Tahun 2014-2020 Izza Adelia Azizah; Aris Soelistyo
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 6 No. 4 (2022): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v6i4.22608

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This study aims to analyze the impacts of Indonesia's GDP, Export Destination Country GDP, Destination Country Population, Distance, Exchange Rate and Inflation on Indonesia's coal exports in 2014-2020. The data used is secondary data obtained from BPS, World Bank, Bank of International Settlements and Geobytes. The analysis method uses panel data regression with random effect. The results of this study show that Indonesia's GDP, Population of Destination Countries, Exchange Rate and Inflation have a positive and significant influence on Indonesia's coal exports, while the GDP of Export Destination Countries and Distance does not have a significant influence on Indonesia's coal exports.   Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak PDB Indonesia, PDB Negara Tujuan Ekspor, Populasi Negara Tujuan Ekspor, Jarak, Nilai Tukar dan Inflasi terhadap ekspor batubara Indonesia pada tahun 2014-2020. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder yang diperoleh dari BPS, World Bank, Bank of International Settlements dan Geobytes. Metode analisis menggunakan regresi data panel dengan random effect. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa PDB Indonesia, Populasi Negara Tujuan, Nilai Tukar dan Inflasi memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap ekspor batubara Indonesia, sedangkan PDB Negara Tujuan Ekspor dan Jarak tidak memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap ekspor batubara Indonesia.
PENGARUH PENGANGGURAN, PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN INFLASI TERHADAP KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2016-2020 Juvico Akbar Karuniawan; Aris Soelistyo
AKSELERASI: Jurnal Ilmiah Nasional Vol 4 No 3 (2022): AKSELERASI: JURNAL ILMIAH NASIONAL
Publisher : GoAcademica Research dan Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54783/jin.v4i3.621

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This study aims to determine the effect of unemployment, government spending and inflation on poverty in Indonesia in 2016-2020 This study uses a quantitative approach. The data used is Indonesian secondary data from 2016-2020. The data analysis technique in this study uses time series data analysis with the Least Square Dummy Variable (LSDV) model. The results of the study show that: (1) The unemployment variable has a positive and significant effect on poverty by 3.559197; (2) Government expenditure variable has a negative and significant effect on poverty by -2.062619; (3) The inflation variable has a negative and insignificant effect on poverty by -0.116989; and (4) The variables of unemployment and government spending simultaneously affect poverty while the inflation variable simultaneously does not affect poverty.
Pengaruh Ekspor Migas, Penanaman Modal Dalam Negeri dan Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 1999-2019 Elma Sintia Dewi; Aris Soelistyo; Dwi Susilowati
Economie: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 3, No 2 (2022): January
Publisher : Faculty of Economic an Business Wijaya Kusuma Surabaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (379.089 KB) | DOI: 10.30742/economie.v3i2.1812

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Economic growth is one indicator in seeing the success of a region's development. By knowing economic growth, regions can determine regional development strategies and plans by taking into account the factors that influence economic growth, both which have positive and negative impacts from year to year. Several factors that can affect economic growth are exports, investment and inflation. This study aims to determine and explain the effect of oil and gas exports, domestic investment and inflation on economic growth in East Java in 1999 - 2019. The study uses GRDP data based on constant prices, Oil and Gas Exports, Domestic Investment and Inflation in East Java Province. 1999 - 2019. The method of analysis in this study is multiple linear regression analysis. The results showed that Oil and Gas Exports, Domestic Investment and Inflation had a considerable influence on the East Java economy by 0.866 or 86.68 percent. The conclusion is that oil and gas exports and domestic investment have a positive impact, while the inflation variable has a negative impact on economic growth in East Java.
A SYNTHESIS KEYNES-MONETARIST AND REAL BUSINESS CYCLE MODEL TO INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT IN INDONESIA 2000.1-2014.4 Aris Soelistyo
Journal of Innovation in Business and Economics Vol. 1 No. 01 (2017): Journal of Innovation in Business and Economics
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jibe.v1i01.5331

Abstract

This research is addressed for the construction of Synthesis between Keynesian, Monetarist and Real Business Cycle Model to the inflation and unemployment Data is used quarterly data 2000.1 - 2014.4, The result of this research with the Keynesian model is the aggregate demand gap has no significance effect to inflation rate and the unemployment rate. But when model of variable input mount the unemployment, exchange rate, wage and the aggregate demand gap of hence yielding elastic inflation elasticity finding of positive of equal to 2,48 to the unemployment rate, and the inflation elasticity to foreign exchange is inelastic positive significance of equal to 0,88. As for the influence of wages to inflation is significantly negative elastic of equal to – 1,89. Besides, in model is also shown by condition of significance of influence of variable of aggregate demand gap to inflation of equal to 0.31. Meanwhile, Inflation in perspective monetarist viewed as by a monetary phenomenon, where the inflation influenced by money supply of equal to 1.858. Besides, Monetarist also express of relation significance of between GDP summed ugly is money supply is inelastic positive significance of equal to 0.1247. The RBC Model shows that the investment elasticity to output is significance inelastic positive equal to 0.405467, that way also with the influence of the population to GDP is significance negative equal to - 1.259925 . The other side, is founded by of Unemployment elasticity to wage rate is significance positive of equal to 0.413. Meanwhile, with the model of synthesis Keynes-Monetarist and RBC lay open that output (GDP) is influenced by the positive significance of equal to 0.206026 . The synthesis model is also expressed by that governmental fiscal governmental expenditure as a means of shows influence which significant to unemployment equal to 0.149. While component amount of money supply, affecting negativity significance to unemployment of equal to 0.55887.
Macro-Econometric Model: Keynesian-Monetarist Synthesis of the International Balance of Payments (The Indonesian Case) Soelistyo, Aris
Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura Vol. 25 No. 1 (2022): April - July 2022
Publisher : Universitas Hayam Wuruk Perbanas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v25i1.2606

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The study of the Keynesian-monetarist synthesis macroeconomic model on Indonesia’s balance of payments combines the goods market and money market approaches to Indonesia’s balance of payments theory. This study used three models of shortness to balance payments: Keynesian, monetarism, and synthesis of Keynesian and monetarism methods. Data was used from 1998 to 2019 from International Monetary Fund, international financial statistics, and balance sheet book from Bank Indonesia statistics report. The data is analyzed using reduced-form regression analysis. The results show that based on the monetarist approach to the balance of payments, it is found that the effect of the money multiplier on the international balance of payments; the magnitude of which is strongly influenced by the size of the high-powered money or the monetary base; has a negative effect on the international balance of payments, while the Net Domestic Assets has a positive effect on the international balance of payments. In the Keynesian model of the international balance of payments, it is found that government spending, world income, and domestic prices have a negative effect on Indonesia’s balance of payments. Based on the Keynesian-monetary syntheses approach to the balance of payments, it is found that government spending and domestic prices have a negative effect on the international balance of payments; the higher the level of government spending and the level of domestic prices will reduce foreign exchange reserves. At the same time, an increase in foreign income, in this case, an increase in US GDP, will increase Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves.
Pengaruh Bantuan Pemerintah dan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Desa Wisata Petik Sayur Sumberejo Kota Batu Kusumawardani, Risa Anggraeni; Aris Soelistyo
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EMPOWERMENT Vol. 2 No. 1 (2022): JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EMPOWERMENT
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/joesment.v1i02.18754

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Pembangunan sektor pariwisata merupakan suatu hal yang sangat penting bagi pembangunan pada suatu daerah, khususnya untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan masyarakatnya. Jumlah Kunjungan ke Desa Wisata Sumberejo pada tahun 2018 mengalami penurunan sehingga berdampak pada kesempatan kerja dan kesejahteraan masyarakat. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menjelaskan pengaruh Bantuan Pemerintah dan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Desa Wisata Petik Sayur Sumberejo Kota Batu. Penelitian ini menggunakan data primer dengan jumlah responden sebanyak 70 Responden. Metode analisis dalam penelitian ini yaitu analisis regresi linear berganda. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian dan pembahasan yang telah dilaksanakan maka hasil penelitian ini dapat disimpulkan sebagaimana berikut : Variabel Bantuan Pemerintah dan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan memiliki nilai Prob – F statistic 0.001230 dengan nilai α (derajat signifkansi) 0.05 artinya 0.001230 <0.05 atau terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan. Artinya Bantuan Pemerintah dan Jumlah Wisatawan berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat.
EDUKASI PENERAPAN CASH FLOW PADA USAHA MIKRO DI WISATA BALE TANI Wicaksono, Agung Prasetyo Nugroho; Soelistyo, Aris; Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan Lingkungan Vol 1 No 2 (2023): Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan Lingkungan (JPML)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30587/jpml.v1i2.4955

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The purpose of this service agenda is to assist partners in implementing transparency in the use of business operational funds. The partner's problem is the inability to manage business operational funds which become one with the partner's personal funds. The solution provided is computerized cash flow training so that partners are more transparent in the use of operational funds. Our partners are residents of Banjaragung Village, Jombang Regency who have micro-businesses selling food and drinks at the Bale Tani Tourism location, Jombang Regency. The service method is to carry out a simulation of excel-based cash flow reports to partners along with discussions so that partners are able to implement the technology provided. The result of this dedication is that partners implement continuous cash flow reports as a media for transparency in the use of their operational funds.
THE INFLUENCE OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES, EXPORTS, IMPORTS, INFLATION, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) AND MONEY SUPPLY ON EXCHANGE RATES IN ASEAN COUNTRIES Rezeta, Frila; Soelistyo, Aris; Fuddin, Muhammad Khoirul
Jurnal Apresiasi Ekonomi Vol 12, No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Institut Teknologi dan Ilmu Sosial Khatulistiwa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31846/jae.v12i2.759

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The exchange rate for each country is very important because the stronger the exchange rate of a currency in a country, it indicates that the level of the economy in the country concerned has increased and is good. how and whether foreign exchange reserves, exports, imports, inflation, GDP, and money supply can affect the exchange rate in 11 ASEAN countries. This study aims to analyze how the effect of foreign exchange reserves, exports, imports and also inflation on exchange rates in the country, the results of this study are generated from processing using panel data with 20 years of data from 2003-2022 and 11 ASEAN countries. In this study, the method we used to support the creation of this research is a quantitative method with panel data and multiple linear regression approaches where in this study using data - data that has been hung with panel data models used to support the results of this study. The results of this study indicate that the best model is the Fixet Effect estimation and the test results of the foreign exchange reserve variable (X1) has a negative insignificant effect, the export variable (X2) is negative significant, the import variable (X3) is positive significant, the inflation variable (X4) is insignificant, GDP (X5) is negative significant and the money supply variable (X6) has a significant effect on exchange rates in ASEAN countries.Keywords: Foreign exchange reserves, exports, imports, exchange rate, GDP, money supply.
Kolaborasi dan Peran Bank Sentral di Tengah Pandemic Covid-19 Fuddin, Muhammad Khoirul; Soelistyo, Aris; Setyowati, Ika Yuli; Capridasari, Denita; Arista, Linda; Izzah, Evita Nurul
Jurnal Ecodemica: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Bisnis Vol 7, No 2 (2023): Ecodemica: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Bisnis
Publisher : LPPM Universitas BSI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31294/eco.v7i2.15343

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to find out what collaborations or collaborations have been carried out by the central bank in dealing with the Covid-19 pandemic that has occurred in recent years, including Bank Indonesia as the central bank in Indonesia. In this regard, we will also look at the role of the central bank in dealing with the Covid-19 pandemic. The research we conducted aims to examine scientific articles about the discussion of "Collaboration and the Role of the Central Bank in the Middle of the Covid-19 Pandemic". The role of the Central Bank when the Covid-19 pandemic surge occurred was to carry out QE policies carried out by the AE and EM Central Banks to maintain the function of the bond market so that it continued to operate properly, maintaining the availability of credit flowing to companies, and sustain monetary accommodation when the interest rate is at the practical lower bound point at the AE Central Bank. Bank Indonesia, as the state central bank of Indonesia, is also making efforts to reduce the risk of Covid-19, namely by implementing a policy mix through the National Economic Recovery (PEN) program, which is used to maintain the stability of the Rupiah exchange rate, the financial system, and to control inflation.
Co-Authors A.A. Ketut Agung Cahyawan W Ade Dewi Yulianti Ahmad Jazuli Rahman Ainul Dwi Pangestu Aisyah Najibah Nabilah Almaas Aulia Syah Andri Ashari Anggriawan, Satria Yuda Ardiani Maulidia Oktafia Arif Pangestu Abitaha Arista, Linda Bachrudin Capridasari, Denita Dessy Triaz Wulandari Dewi Ratna Prihaningtyas Dika Saputra, Erzza Dwi Susilowati Dwi Susilowati Dwi Susilowati Dwi Susilowati Dyah Indri Widyapangesti Elma Sintia Dewi Fahad Ainun Saleh Fahrizal Yazid Farid Wijaya Mansoer Farid Wijaya Mansoer Hendra Kusuma Hendra Kusuma Izza Adelia Azizah Izzah, Evita Nurul Juhaina Nur Afifah Juvico Akbar Karuniawan Kusumawardani, Risa Anggraeni Lutfi Nofi Zumaidah Mochamad Reza Irdiansyah Mohammad Faisal Abdullah Muhammad Firmansyah Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin Muhammad Sri Wahyudi Suliswanto Muhammad Yusuf Nabila Eka Marza Oktavia Nabilah, Aisyah Najibah Nirwana Sangga Langi Nofandillah Arumsyah Putri Norita Fitria Novi Rosyana Nuri Hikmahyanti Rahman, Ahmad Jazuli Ratih, Diana Reza, Deft Syatir Putri Rezeta, Frila Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat Hidayat Rizky Ramadhanty Rosita Juliana Salim, Tiara Satfika Kurnia Sari Satria Yuda Anggriawan Savira Rahmadianti Setyo Wahyu Sulistyono Setyowati, Ika Yuli Shaula Fathimatuz Zahroh Sri Budi Cantika Subiyakta, Dhea Hervina Sukma Indah Syamsul Ph.D M.A. Hadi Sya’diyah, Putri Alif Tikaloka Wikaningrum Verren Elyviana Supriadi Wahyu Himatul Aliya Wicaksono, Agung Prasetyo Nugroho Wulansari, Anisa Salwa Yahya Yakaria Pangestin Yogie Dahlly Saputro Yunan Syaifullah, Yunan Zainal Arifin Zainal Arifin Zana Chobhita Aris Tusa