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All Journal JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA IKRA-ITH Informatika : Jurnal Komputer dan Informatika INTECOMS: Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science JURNAL PENDIDIKAN TAMBUSAI IJID (International Journal on Informatics for Development) IJISTECH (International Journal Of Information System & Technology) Journal of Information System, Applied, Management, Accounting and Research TEKNOKOM : Jurnal Teknologi dan Rekayasa Sistem Komputer Jurnal Pendidikan dan Konseling Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi Jurnal JTIK (Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi) Jurnal Sistem Komputer dan Informatika (JSON) Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Khatulistiwa Just TI (Jurnal Sains Terapan Teknologi Informasi) Jurnal Pengabdian Nasional (JPN) Indonesia IJISTECH Jurnal Informatika dan Teknologi Komputer ( J-ICOM) Jurnal Indonesia : Manajemen Informatika dan Komunikasi Jurnal Sosial dan Teknologi International Journal Software Engineering and Computer Science (IJSECS) Jurnal Informatika Teknologi dan Sains (Jinteks) Jurnal Nasional Teknologi Komputer Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Jurnal Indonesia : Manajemen Informatika dan Komunikasi Jurnal Pengabdian Nasional (JPN) Indonesia Journal Innovations Computer Science J-CEKI
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Journal : IJID (International Journal on Informatics for Development)

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Comparison of Single Exponential Smoothing and Double Moving Average Algorithms to Forecast Beef Production Tundo; Rachmat Hidayat Insani; Rasiban; Untung Suropati
IJID (International Journal on Informatics for Development) Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024): IJID June
Publisher : Faculty of Science and Technology, UIN Sunan Kalijaga Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14421/ijid.2024.4663

Abstract

Beef is considered a high-value commodity as it is an important source of protein. Interest in beef continues to rise. Beef production has risen sharply in the past decade, but declined by 7,240.68 tons in 2020 amid coronavirus lockdowns. After that, in 2021, production reached 16,381.81 tons and continued to increase in 2022 and 2023. A precise method is required to forecast beef production. One way to predict beef production in Jakarta is using the Single Exponential Smoothing and Double Moving Average methods. The two algorithms are compared to get the lowest error rate. The methodology used in this research is the SEMMA (Sample, Explore, Modify, Model, and Assess) methodology. According to SAS Institute Inc., there are five stages in developing a system using the SEMMA methodology. After analyzing using MAPE, it is found that the algorithm with the smallest error value is the Single Exponential Smoothing algorithm with a percentage in the monthly period of 16% while for the annual period, it is 27% compared to other algorithms. The forecasting is quite accurate because the MAPE value for each algorithm used has an error of less than 31%.
Co-Authors Ade Septiansyah Adnan, Kemal Agistia Yuliawati Amalia, Ghina Arjun Fricco Arpinda, Arpinda Aryanti, Putri Gea Asep Maulana Aulia, Mutia Dwi Banase, Samuel Figo Beatrice Yrain Bening Sari Purnomo Betty Yel, Mesra Bila, Septiyana Bimantoro, Dava Sevtiandra Boangmanalu, Raya Fitri Dadang Iskandar Mulyana` Evan Donaldo Febryan Bayu Pratama Feni Citra Dewi Hanif, Zuhdi Hermawan Susanto Hutagalung, Julinar Sari Ikha Novie Tri Lestari Imam Muftadi Imantara, Alaqsha Gilang Julinar Sari Hutagalung Kurniawan Setyo Nugroho Megawati - Megawati Megawati Miftahul Jannah Ahyana Puteri Kharisha Muhammad Alfin Najib Muhammad Fakhri Pratama Muhammad Ilham Fadillah Muhammad Jardine Ramaddhani Mukminin, Mukminin Najib, Muhammad Alfin Nugraha, Pramudya Nunung Parawati Paidi, Imam Pradita, Anggi Puteri Kharisha, Miftahul Jannah Ahyana Putri Amira Sumitro PUTRI WULANDARI Rachmat Hidayat Insani Radikto Radikto Rahmah, Andini Raya Fitri Boangmanalu Rizki Ananda Pratama Rudi Tri Jaya S Sutisna Samuel Praja Raymond Maruli Saputra, Hendra Ekky Sarimole, Frencis Matheos Sartika Mala Senika, Anis Septi Hasanah Setya Permana Sutisna SOPAN ADRIANTO Sri Lestari Sri Lestari Sugeng Riyadi Sumabrata, Raden Muhammad Jachfitrah Ardhi Suropati, Untung Sutisna Sutisna Sutisna Tanjung, Cici Yolanda Tri Agus Setiawan Tri Wahyudi Tri Wahyudi Tri Wahyudi Tri Wahyuni Triwahyudi, Triwahyudi Tundo, Tundo Untung Suropati Veren Nita Permatasari Wahab, Adnan Wahyu Saputro Wahyudi, Ahmad Arif Yansen Yansen Yuliansyah, Ahmad Fauzan Yusuf Pascal Ramadhan