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Multinomial Logistic Regression Model to Analysis Traffic Accident on Indonesia’s Regional Data Agustini Tripena Br Surbakti; Yhenis Apriliana; Agus Sugandha; Agung Prabowo; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Technology and Education Research Vol. 2 No. 01 (2024): January - March, International Journal of Technology and Education Research(IJ
Publisher : International journal of technology and education research

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63922/ijeter.v2i01.944

Abstract

Traffic accident is one of the highest causes of death in Indonesia following coronary disease and tuberculosis. Traffic accident is classified into three: mild, moderate and severe. The aim of this research was to determine the significant factors causing traffic accidents in Cilacap Regency using multinomial logistic regression. The data used were secondary data from the Resort Police of Cilacap Regency. The research’s response variable was accident classification deemed as a nominal scale, while the predictor variables were day of occurrence, time of occurrence, accident type, accident location, situation, weather problem, number of vehicles involved, and number of victims of nominal, ordinal and ratio scales. The research results show that the accident type, accident location, situation, and number of victim variables significantly influence the three accident classifications.
Time Series Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model for Analysis of Rainfall Forecasting: Implementation on Agricultural Insurance Agustini Tripena Br Surbakti; Zinedine Amalia Noor Mauludy Reihan; Agung Prabowo; Suroto, Suroto; Agus Sugandha; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Technology and Education Research Vol. 2 No. 01 (2024): January - March, International Journal of Technology and Education Research(IJ
Publisher : International journal of technology and education research

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63922/ijeter.v2i01.945

Abstract

Cilacap is the largest regency located in the southwest of Central Java Province. The rain fall in Cilacap has seasonal variation for monthly period, thus information on rainfall is very important for the Government of Cilacap Regency its people, especially farmers. The usefulness of forecasting method in predicting the volume of rainfall is important. It motivates development of a system that can predict future amount of rainfall. A fluctuation analysis on forecasting result can be used for local government’s policy making purpose. This paper analyses and presents SARIMA method to develop a forecasting model which may support and predict rainfall volume. The dataset for model development was collected from time series data published by Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency Tunggul Wulung Station from January 2009 to December 2022. The data were divided into data training (to December 2021) and data testing (January to December 2022) groups. The use of data training produced SARIMA model (2,0,2)(0,0,1)12 as the selected model. The model achieved 0.70% for MAPE using data testing. It indicated the final model’s capability to closely represent and made prediction based on the rainfall history dataset. The model produced was used to forecast the rainfall from January 2023 to December 2024. The forecast results were analyzed in relation to agricultural insurance program.
PELATIHAN MENULIS ARTIKEL ILMIAH LITERATURE REVIEW UNTUK GURU- GURU SMA NEGERI 1 SAMPANG CILACAP Sugandha, Agus; Prabowo, Agus; Mashuri; Suroto; Suripto
Perwira Journal of Community Development Vol 5 No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Unperba Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54199/pjcd.v5i2.539

Abstract

Kemampuan guru-guru di SMAN 1 Sampang Kabupaten Cilacap dalam riset dan publikasi hasil riset masih perlu ditingkatkan. Terlepas daripada itu, semangat guru-guru di SMAN 1 Sampang untuk melakukan riset masih sangat baik. Untuk mendorong produktifitas dan menjaga motivasi guru- guru dalam riset dalam menulis publikasi, perlu pendampingan pelatihan penyusunan artikel ilmiah dengan metode literature review. Tujuan pengabdian ini adalah membekali guru-guru SMAN 1 Sampang dengan pengetahuan dan keterampilan melakukan riset literatur. Metode pengabdian di SMAN 1 Sampang ini meliputi ceramah, pengenalan software Publish or Perish dan VOS Viewerr. Peserta pengabdian adalah seluruh guru dan staf pendidikan. Pemberian materi melalui ceramah berupa pemaparan tentang riset literature review, sumber-sumber artikel untuk riset, mencari dan menemukan celah riset dari hasil mengkaji literatur-literatur yang digunakan dan cara menganalisis literatur berupa artikel ilmiah. Selain itu seluruh peserta pelatihan diajak untuk mendownload aplikasi gratis yaitu Publish or Perish dan Vos Viewer diberikan contoh praktik penggunaannya. Pelatihan ini memberikan tambahan pengetahuan, keterampilan dan kemampuan menulis artikel ilmiah Literature Review.
Analysis Of Fractional Logistic Model Solution And Its Simulation On Human Development Index Data Of Cilacap District Sugandha, Agus; Mashuri, Mashuri; Pratama, Danang Adi; Supriyanti, Erni; Anggraeni, Rima
Mathline : Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika Vol. 10 No. 3 (2025): Mathline : Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika
Publisher : Universitas Wiralodra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31943/mathline.v10i3.931

Abstract

This research discusses the formation of the Fractional Logistic model and its solution analysis, as well as its simulation to predict the Human Development Index in Cilacap Regency using the Fractional Logistic growth model. This study uses secondary data obtained from the official website of the Central Statistics Agency of Cilacap Regency. Based on these data, the growth of the Human Development Index in Cilacap Regency has increased relatively. This shows the Cilacap community's good quality of life. Based on the environmental carrying capacity value of 73, a relative growth rate per year of 0.14273269 is obtained. This model predicts the Human Development Index in Cilacap Regency in 2024 and 2025. The prediction results for 2024 of 71.47 and 2025 of 71.67 are achieved when the fractional derivative order is one. The best approximate solution is obtained when the fractional derivative order is 1, 0.95 0.90, 0.85, 0.80 and 0.75.
Implementation of Dynamic Programming Algorithm on The Integer Knapsack Problem (0/1) (Case Study: J&T Cargo Agent Purwokerto) Puspitasari, Leni; Sugandha, Agus; Nurshiami, Siti Rahmah
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling (IJQRM)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i3.1077

Abstract

The pu IDR ose of this research is to solve the 0/1 integer knapsack problem, which is a problem of selecting items from a number of available items where each item has different weights and profits. The delivery of items at J&T Cargo Purwokerto is one of many item selection problems. The delivery of items at J&T Cargo Purwokerto is carried out progressively with higher profit values ​​first, due to the delivery capacity being able to accommodate only 700 kg. In order for J&T Cargo Purwokerto to obtain maximum profit, item selection for delivery must be carried out first. The item selection at J&T Cargo Purwokerto can be solved using the 0/1 integer knapsack problem method with a forward recursive dynamic programming algorithm with the help of Matlab R2021A software. The results of the research indicate that on July 1, 2025, a maximum profit of IDR 3,038,850 was achieved with a weight of 700 kg. On 2nd July 2025, a maximum profit of IDR 4,884,985 was achieved with a weight of 700 kg. On 3rd July 2025, a maximum profit of IDR 7,732,155 was achieved with a weight of 699 kg.
The half-Space Model Problem for Compressible Fluid Flow Sri Maryani; Lukman B Nugroho; Agus Sugandha; Bambang H Guswanto
Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 18 No. 1 (2021): Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Volume 18 Nomor 1 Edisi Me
Publisher : Pusat Publikasi Ilmiah LPPM Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

In this paper we consider the solution formula for Stokes equation system without surface tension in half-space. More precisely, we deal with the solution of velocity and density for the model problem. This result is the basic step to estimate the solution operator of the model problem. We investigate the solution operator for the model problem in N-Dimensional Euclidean space (N>=2)In this paper we consider the solution formula for Stokes equation system without surface tension in half-space. More precisely, we deal with the solution of velocity and density for the model problem. This result is the basic step to estimate the solution operator of the model problem. We investigate the solution operator for the model problem in N-Dimensional Euclidean space ()