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Ahmad Zaki
Program Studi Teknik Pertanian, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Syiah Kuala
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Journal : Civil Engineering Journal

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Intelligent Forecasting of Flooding Intensity Using Machine Learning Deng, Abraham Ayuen Ngong; Nursetiawan, .; Ikhsan, Jazaul; Riyadi, Slamet; Zaki, Ahmad
Civil Engineering Journal Vol 10, No 10 (2024): October
Publisher : Salehan Institute of Higher Education

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-10-010

Abstract

This innovative study addresses critical flood prediction needs in Bor County, South Sudan, utilizing machine learning to develop an intelligent forecasting model. The research integrates diverse analytical techniques, including land use analysis and rainfall calculations, with a decade of weather data to understand complex hydrological dynamics. This research employs machine learning classifiers such as Support Vector Machines, Decision Trees, and Neural Networks. Findings reveal promising results, with the Linear SVM classifier achieving 87.5% prediction accuracy for raw data and 100% accuracy for high-velocity flooding events. The Naive Bayes classifier matched this performance, while Artificial Neural Networks showed a slight advantage in runoff estimation. The study's novelty lies in its holistic approach, combining machine learning with advanced visualization tools and geographic information systems. This creates a dynamic, real-time forecasting system bridging sophisticated analysis and practical flood management strategies. Focusing on model interpretability and multi-scale forecasting enhances its value to policymakers and disaster management authorities. This research significantly advances the application of AI to flood prediction and disaster management in offering future studies on humanitarian challenges. By enhancing early warning capabilities, this system substantially reduces flood-related losses and transforms disaster preparedness in vulnerable regions worldwide, potentially saving lives and mitigating economic impacts. Doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-10-010 Full Text: PDF
Co-Authors Abdul Rahman Achmad Syaichu, Achmad Agustin Sukarsono, Agustin Ahmad Talib Ahmad, Khawaritzmi Abdallah Akbar, Muh. Akmalia, Rizki Al-Qadri, Muammar Anugerah, Andi Surya Armasari, Fanny Aulina Matondang, Nadia Ayu Rahayu Azizah, Salma Azizah, Zulianty Putri Baharuddin Siregar, Baharuddin Bahrul Ulum BAKHRANI RAUF Baso Intang Sappaile, Baso Intang Boangmanalu, Lilis Karlina Caroko, Novi Damanik, Kemala sari Darmawang, Darmawang Deng, Abraham Ayuen Ngong Diwanta , Faradilla Djam'an, Nurwati Dwi, Yoki Eka Kartika, Andi Ekasatya Aldila Afriansyah Elly Arliani Erdianto Effendi Fajar Arwadi Fajar Saputra, Farly Fajarianto, Muhammad Fariz Fauzana, Rahmi Ferawati Ferawati Fitri Fitri Fudhail, Ahmad Hasan Basri HASNAWI HARIS, HASNAWI Hassan, Muhammad Nasiru Hisyam Ihsan Ibrahim, Zainah Ina Sunaryantiningsih, Ina Indah Yuliana Irna Tri Yuniahastuti Irwan Irwan Irwan Irwansyah Irwansyah Isnaini, Faizzah Pipit J.C. Heldiansyah Jannah, Jannah Jazaul Ikhsan Ja’faruddin, Ja'faruddin Khadijah Khadijah Khairul Nizam Lovita Pandiangan, Enda Lubis, Kristina Lukman Murdiansyah, Lukman Maharani, Erinsa Mahbubi, Khairil Marwa, Nabilah Aprilia Matondang, Tria Syafira Megarani, Sheila Mesiono, Mesiono Mintasih Indriayu, Mintasih Miswar Monalisa, Agnes Muhammad Afif Muhammad Ammar Naufal Muhammad Isbar Pratama Muhammad Kaulan Karima Muhammad Saleh Munandar, Deden Aris Mutmainnah MR, Luthfiah Nanda, Meutia Nanik Wahyuni ‎ Nasir, Norma Nasrullah Nasrullah Ni Nyoman Kencanawati Ningtias, Afri Novita Sari Novitasari, Dima Indah Nulhakim, Lukman NUR FAJRINA Nurhaliza, Ratih Nursetiawan, . Nurul Retno Hapsari Nyulle, Rusdianto Octaviona, Era P. Rosyidi, Sri Atmaja Perkasa, Ripho Delzy Pratomo, Adhi Purba, Hairum Nafsiah Purnama Alamsyah Puspita, Jeni Putri Irviana, Adelia Putri Lestari, Putri Putri, Gita Leviana Qomari, Lina Sabrina R. Rusli Rahmada, Lily Rahman, Muhammad Fatur Rahmasari, Norliana Rahmat Syam Rahmatillah, Lia Fitria Ramadhan, Nugraha Pratama Ramadhanu, Suhada Ramadiah, Putri Suci RR. Ella Evrita Hestiandari Sabila, Widya Safitri N.N, Novi Sahid Sahid Saptriana, Lia Sarjon Defit Sartika Sartika Satriani, Iman Sembe, Imanuel Agung Setiawan*, Bambang Shafruddin, Lutfiah Sibuea, Alya Az Zahra Side, Syafrudin Sidjara, Sahlan Siregar, Jelita Suryani Siti Jahroh Sitorus, Maria Ulpah Slamet Riyadi Sudarmanto, Eko Sulaiman Sulaiman Sumijan Sumijan Suparno Suparno Suriani, Ari Surono, Untoro Budi Suryawan Murtiadi, Suryawan Sutamrin Syafruddin Side Syarif Hidayat Syuaiba, Nur Tantri, Dinda Agus Taufiq Hidayanto, Taufiq Thaha, Irwan Thamrin, Rendy Tiara Juniar Soewardi Triwahyuni, Desi Ula, Al Fiatul Usman Mulbar Wahidah Sanusi Wahyuni, Maya Sari Wasiyem, Wasiyem Yusri, Diyan Yusuf, Sitti Rabiah Zahra, Nurul