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Determinants of Inflation in Indonesia: Do Changes in World Oil Prices Matter? Putri, Defani Ivena; Arintoko, Arintoko; Kadarwati, Nunik; Firdauzi, Indrawan
Journal of Economics Research and Social Sciences Vol. 8 No. 2: August 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jerss.v8i2.22626

Abstract

This research was conducted to investigate the effect of world oil prices, interest rates, and money supply on inflation in Indonesia. This study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis method. The data used were monthly data from January 2014-May to 2022. The results show that interest rates do not significantly affect inflation in the short or long run. Money supply has a negative relationship with inflation in the short and long run. In the short term, world oil prices have a negative effect on inflation. Meanwhile, world oil prices have a positive and significant relationship with inflation in the long run. This finding implies that it is necessary to emphasize policies other than interest rates when controlling inflation, such as more straightforward bureaucratic policies, ease of investment services, and a more effective import trading system. Bank Indonesia should also remain consistent and focus on prudence when implementing macroeconomic policies. The government must also consider the timeframe for determining the oil price policy because it has different short-term and long-term effects.
IMPLEMENTASI SISTEM INFORMASI AKUNTANSI BERBASIS KOMPUTER PADA TOKO HAEKAL KELURAHAN ARCAWINAGUN PURWOKERTO TIMUR Suyono, Eko; Rusmana, Oman; Arintoko, Arintoko
Jurnal Pengabdian Bisnis dan Akuntansi Vol 2 No 2 (2023): Jurnal Pengabdian Bisnis dan Akuntansi Soedirman
Publisher : Jurusan Akuntansi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32424/1.jpba.2023.2.2.13701

Abstract

Traditional stores continue to experience the following weaknesses: unclear organizational structure and work division, lack of recording and reporting financial transactions, and imperfect accounting information systems. This PKM implementation is taking place at the Haekal Shop located at Jl. Margo Mulyo No. 2RT 008 RW 008, Arcawinangun, East Purwokerto, and is expected to be completed by the end of October 2023. This PKM aims to implement an accounting information system for the management of financial transactions in traditional partner stores. The output of the 2014 National Strategic Research, which collects data qualitatively through in-depth interviews and Focus Group Discussions, is the product. The majority of traditional shops in Banyumas still manage their financial transactions manually, while others have already adopted basic computer systems, according to the findings of this study. In general, these traditional businesses have not instituted accounting recording and reporting in accordance with Financial Accounting Standards for Micro, Small, and Medium Entities (SAK EMKM). In 2014, research based on these findings developed an appropriate model for a retail or shop financial transaction management system. Using Toko Haekal as a partner, this PKM activity is presently in the stage of implementing the accounting information system model resulting from this research in the form of a manual-based and computer-based accounting system.
Pengaruh Indeks Produksi Industri, Suku Bunga dan Kurs terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Syariah Jakarta Islamic Index Muarif, Ifan; Anwar, Nurul; Arintoko, Arintoko
el-Jizya : Jurnal Ekonomi Islam Vol. 12 No. 2 (2024): el-Jizya : Jurnal Ekonomi Islam
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam (FEBI), Universitas Islam Negeri Prof. K.H. Saifuddin Zuhri Purwokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24090/ej.v12i2.11411

Abstract

Perubahan makro ekonomi akan mempengaruhi pergerakan indeks harga saham syariah. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh indeks produksi industri, suku bunga, dan nilai tukar terhadap indeks harga saham syariah JII. Penelitian ini akan menggunakan data sekunder time series dari tahun 2010-2019. Teknik analisis akan menggunakan regresi berganda ordinari least square.. Hasil analisis didapatkan indeks produksi industri berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap indeks harga saham syariah JII. Suku bunga berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap indeks harga saham syariah JII. Nilai tukat berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap indeks harga saham syariah JII.
BUDIDAYA IKAN DALAM EMBER SOLUSI KETERSEDIAAN PANGAN MANDIRI DI TENGAH PANDEMI COVID-19 (STUDI KASUS: KOTA KARAWANG PROVINSI JAWA BARAT) Anas Fadhillah; Arintoko Arintoko; Kamio Kamio
Jurnal Agrisep Vol 22, No 1 (2021): Volume 22 Nomor 1 Juni 2021
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Syiah Kuala

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17969/agrisep.v22i1.19826

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk menganalisis efisiensi produksi usaha budidaya ikan dalam ember di Kota Karawang, menganalisis jumlah penerimaan dan pengeluaran usaha budidaya ikan dalam ember ditengah pandemi Covid-19, dan menganalisis return cost ratio (R/C) budidaya ikan dalam ember di Kota Karawang. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan variabel bebas lahan/ember, pakan, pupuk, bibit. Variabel terikat menggunakan produksi ikan dan tanaman sayuran. Metode penentuan sample yang digunakan pada penelitian adalah simple random sampling dengan jumlah dua puluh satu petani dengan pengambilan sampling pengisian kuisioner online, hal ini dilakukan untuk menekan penyebaran Covid-19. Data yang diambil menggunakan sampel di Kota Karawang pada tahun 2020. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa budidaya ikan dalam ember mampu menyediakan pangan mandiri, hanya dengan 42 hari ikan dan sayuran dapat dipanen.Variabel ember berpengaruh negatif terhadap hasil panen ikan, variabel pakan, pupuk, bibit dan tenaga kerja berpengaruh positif terhadap hasil panen ikan. . Hasil total penerimaan sebesar Rp 37.069.000 dari 21 petani yang diwawancarai dan rata-rata penerimaan dari petani sebesar 1.765.190,47. Rata-rata alokasi kerja untuk budidaya ikan dalam ember adalah sebesar 1,6 jam. Hasil Budidaya ikan dalam ember mampu memenuhi gizi pada saat pandemi covid-19 rata-rata sebesar 3,6 orang. Analisis Return Cost Ratio 3,471 kriteria penilaian keuntungan pada budidaya ikan dalam ember menguntungkan atau efisien.
Analisis Determinan Nilai Tukar di Indonesia Selama Periode 2021-2023 Abigail, Aurelia Mayza; Arintoko, Arintoko; Pravitasari, Chairani Fadhila
Lingka Ekonomika Vol 4 No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32424/jle.v4i1.17321

Abstract

This study analyzes the determinants of the Rupiah exchange rate (EXR) against the US Dollar from 2021 to 2023, focusing on the effects of net exports (EM), inflation (INF), interest rates (INT), and world oil prices (OIL). Using time series data and the ARDL model, the results show that net exports (EM) and world oil prices (OIL) have no significant impact. Inflation (INF) has a negative and significant effect in the long run, while interest rates (INT) have a positive and significant effect in both the short and long run. These findings highlight the importance of inflation control, consistent monetary policy, and energy diversification in maintaining exchange rate stability and macroeconomic resilience.