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All Journal Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Kinerja Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan EKO-REGIONAL JURNAL PENGEMBANGAN EKONOMI WILAYAH Develop Jurnal Pendidikan dan Konseling Sibatik Journal : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan Sinomika Journal: Publikasi Ilmiah Bidang Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Journal of Asset Management and Public Economy Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Optimum: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Jamzani Sodik
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Arts Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Macroeconomic and Institutional Determinants of ASEAN Middle Income Trap: Evidence from 2014–2023 Nabila, Alfira; Sodik, Jamzani; Nuryadin, Didi
JAMPE (Journal of Asset Management and Public Economy) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Ahmad Dahlan, Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.12928/jampe.v5i1.13910

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the effect of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Human Development Index (HDI), Corruption Perception Index (CPI), and inflation on Gross National Income (GNI) per capita in 11 ASEAN countries during the period 2014–2023. In addition, this study evaluates the differences in GNI levels between countries that remain trapped in the Middle Income Trap (MIT) and those that have successfully escaped it. The method used was panel data regression with the Random Effect Model approach. The results showed that FDI and HDI have a significant positive effect on GNI per capita, whereas CPI has a significant negative effect. Inflation has no significant effect. The MIT dummy variable also has a significant negative effect, indicating that countries that remain in the MIT tend to have lower per capita income levels compared to countries that have successfully escaped. These findings reinforce the importance of the role of institutional quality and human development in increasing national income. This study contributes to the development economics literature by highlighting the importance of macroeconomic and institutional variables in explaining income disparities in the ASEAN region.
Co-Authors Arum Sari, Dyah Asih Sriwinarti, Asih Astuti Rahayu, Astuti Dedi Iskandar Delfiatiffany, Adhea Mita Didi Nuryadin Didi Nuryadin, Didi Febriantikaningrum, Bella Fifi Daniati Alayda Juni Karlina, Catur Lenti Canina Odelia Windi Ariesta Maharani Nala Puspita Nabila, Alfira Purwiyanta, Purwiyanta Ramadhan, Gita Fitri Reynalda Ilmi Nuastiko Rodhiah Umaroh Sri Rahayu Budi Hastuti Sri Winarti, Asih Udjianto, Didit Welly Wahyu Dwi Artaningtyas, Wahyu Dwi