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Prianto, Cahyo
Universitas Logistik Dan Bisnis Internasional
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Journal : Building of Informatics, Technology and Science

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Pendekatan LSTM Berbasis Deep Learning dalam Memprediksi Fluktuasi Harga Cabai Pertiwi, Aryka Anisa; Harani, Nisa Hanum; Prianto, Cahyo
Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) Vol 7 No 2 (2025): September 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/bits.v7i2.8100

Abstract

The significant fluctuation in chili prices in Indonesia leads to economic instability, particularly for consumers and market stakeholders. This study aims to develop a daily chili price prediction model using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm based on deep learning, designed to capture seasonal patterns and long-term dependencies in historical data. The research adopts the CRISP-DM approach, encompassing business understanding, data processing, model training, and implementation into a web-based dashboard. The dataset, collected from Pagar Alam City between 2022 and 2024, includes features such as previous prices, chili sub-variants, sinusoidal time transformations, and market conditions. The LSTM regression model demonstrated high performance, achieving an R² score of 0.9567, a MAE of 1,402.92, and an RMSE of 2,595.98. Additionally, a classification model was developed to predict price status (increase, decrease, stable) as a decision-support tool. The deployment of this system into an interactive dashboard enables real-time price predictions. These results indicate that the LSTM-based approach is not only technically accurate but also offers a practical solution for commodity price monitoring and decision-making in the food sector.
Co-Authors Adiningrum, Nur Tri Ramadhanti Adiningrum, Nur Tri Ramadhanti Alfadian Owen Amalia, Fahriza Rizky Aminuyati Andarsyah, Roni Andi Tenri Wali Andri Fajar Sunandhar Arjun Yuda Firwanda Azzahra, Fedhira Syaila Putri Burhanudin Zuhri Dellavianti Nishfi Ilmiah Huda Dian Markuci Fahira Fahira Fedhira Fikri Aldi Nugraha Firwanda, Arjun Yuda Habib Abdul Rasyid Hanna Theresia Siregar Hanum, Nisa Harani, Nisa Hanum Harun Ar-Rasyid Helmi Azhar Hutabarat, Rizkyria Angelina Pandapotan Ilyas Tri Khaqiqi, M Indra Firmansyah Kamaluddin, Rendy Kezia Tirza Naramessakh Kezia Tirza Naramessakh Kishendrian, Hanan M Ilyas Tri Khaqiqi Mariana Rospilinda Siki Markuci, Dian Mohamad Nurkamal Fauzan Mubassiran Mubassiran, Mubassiran Muh Kusnadi Muhammad Ibnu Choldun Muhammad Nazhim Maulana Muhammad Rifqi Daffa Ulhaq Muhammad Yusril Helmi Setyawan Muhammad Yusuf, Hadi Nawaf Naofal Nico Ekklesia Sembiring Nisa Hanum Nisa Hanum Harani Nisa Hanum Harani Nisa Hanum Harani Nisa Hanum Harani Nisa Hanum Harani Nisa Hanum Harani Nisa Hanum Harani Nurkamal Fauzan, Mohamad Nurul Izza Hamka Nurul Izza Hamka Nurul Lutfiasih Oktaviami Manullang Oktaviami Manullang Pertiwi, Aryka Anisa Rahayu, Woro Isti Rd Nuraini Rd.Nuraeni Siti Fatonah Riza, Noviana Rolly Maulana Awangga Rolly Maulana Awangga, Rolly Maulana Roni Andarsyah Roni Andarsyah Roni Andarsyah Roni Andarsyah Rukmi Juwita Setiadi, Hilman Setyawan, Muhammad Yusril Helmi Shinta Amelia Shinta Amelia Sulaksono, Al Novianti Ramadhani Supriady, Supriady Syafrial Fachri Pane Syafrial Fachri Pane Syafrial Fachri Pane, Syafrial Fachri Syahra, anita alfi Vegita, Yola Zian Asti Dwiyanti Zuhri, Burhanudin