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All Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam YUME : Journal of Management Economics and Digital Business Review Journal of Training and Community Service Adpertisi SOCIETIES: Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities INSIGHT: Indonesian Journal of Social Studies and Humanities Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis, dan Humaniora Journal Development Manecos Journal Entrepreneurship Digital
Virza Hadrianti
Universitas Fajar
Religion Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences Other

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Poverty, Local Government Performance, And Voting Behavior: A Approach Econometrics to Performance Evaluation In Election District Head Maharajabdinul Maharajabdinul; Sri Adrianti Muin; Virza Hadrianti; Syamsuddin B; Siprianus Palete; Yosefina Andia Dekrita
Journal Development Manecos Vol. 4 No. 2 (2026): Journal Development Manecos
Publisher : Scieclouds Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.71435/741472

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between household poverty status, satisfaction with incumbent government performance, and voters’ decisions to re-elect the incumbent local government leader in Belu Regency, East Nusa Tenggara Province, Indonesia. The study employed a quantitative research design using a survey approach. Data were collected from 273 respondents selected through multistage random sampling. The variables consisted of household poverty status and satisfaction with incumbent government performance as independent variables, while the decision to re-elect the incumbent served as the dependent variable. All variables were measured using binary categories. Household poverty status was classified based on the applicable poverty threshold, while satisfaction with government performance and electoral preference were categorized according to respondents’ survey responses. The data were analyzed using binary logistic regression estimated through the Maximum Likelihood Estimation method in SPSS. The results show that household poverty status was not significantly associated with the decision to re-elect the incumbent (B = 0.005, p = 0.987, Exp(B) = 1.005). In contrast, satisfaction with incumbent government performance had a positive and statistically significant association with electoral preference (B = 3.009, p < 0.001, Exp(B) = 20.269). Respondents who were satisfied with the incumbent’s performance had substantially higher odds of supporting the incumbent’s re-election than those who were not satisfied. The findings suggest that voters’ evaluations of government performance were more strongly associated with electoral support than household poverty status. Therefore, economic disadvantage did not appear to independently weaken performance-based electoral accountability within the estimated model.
Co-Authors Abbas, Muhammad Abdul Karim Andi Ibrahim Yunus Arni Rasyid Arwati Arwati Asran Asran Aziz Septiatin Dede Puspa Pujia Erna Cahyani Faizah Mastutie Fatmasari Fatmasari Hasniaty Hasniaty Hasniaty Hasniaty, Hasniaty Hurian Kamela Jannah, Fachriyahthul Kasmawaru Kasmawaru Maharajabdinul Maharajabdinul Milenia Rumende Muamilah, Husnul Muliana, Muliana Nathalia, Gusti Ayu Nyoman Winda Ni Putu Dewi Trisnawati Yuliadi Ramadhan, Zachky Rani Sofyan Rusmin Nuryadin Sebriani, Ria Siprianus Palete Sri Adrianti Muin Syafaruddin Syafaruddin Syamsuddin B Syamsuddin Syamsuddin Yahya, Adibah Yosefina Andia Dekrita Zenzibar