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All Journal CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) International Journal of Supply Chain Management International Journal of Business, Economics, and Social Development Operations Research: International Conference Series International Journal of Global Operations Research International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling International Journal of Ethno-Sciences and Education Research
Riaman Riaman, Riaman
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Religion Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Mean-Variance Optimal Portfolio Selection with Risk Aversion on Transportation and Logistics Sector Stocks Based on Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Putri, Aulya; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 6, No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i1.895

Abstract

The importance of the transportation and logistics sector to a country's economy, coupled with the growth of this sector in Indonesia, requires investment support for this sector to continue to grow. Therefore, stocks in the transportation and logistics sector are attractive for investment portfolio consideration. The optimal portfolio selection is to minimize the risk with the expected return. In the formation of an investment portfolio, the problem is how to determine the weight of capital allocation in order to get the maximum return while still considering the risk in each stock, by considering several criteria in decision making. This study was conducted to determine the best stock selection in the transportation and logistics sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, and determine the optimal weight in the investment portfolio. The method used is Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), namely Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) using 15 financial metrics as relevant criteria in stock selection. Furthermore, to determine the allocation weight to form an optimal stock portfolio using the Mean-Variance model with Risk Aversion. The stocks analyzed were 28 stocks in the transportation and logistics sector. The results of research based on MCDM selected 9 stocks, namely MITI, BIRD, HATM, TMAS, JAYA, PPGL, BPTR, ASSA, and RCCC. However, TMAS, PPGL, and BPTR stocks are not included in portfolio formation because they have a negative average return. Based on the optimization results, the allocation weights of the 6 stocks included in the optimal portfolio are BIRD (37.7%), JAYA (24.6%), MITI (12.9%), HATM (9.9%), ASSA (7.5%), and RCCC (7.4%). The results of this study are expected to be a consideration in making investment decisions.
Investment Portfolio Optimization Using Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) Based on Fama-French Three Factor Model on IDX High Dividend 20 Stocks Maharani, Asthie Zaskia; Susanti, Dwi; Riaman, Riaman
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 6, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.978

Abstract

Stock investment is one of the investment options that provides both profit and risk for investors. In an effort to maximize profits and minimize risks, investors need an optimal portfolio. The optimal portfolio is a portfolio selected from a collection of efficient portfolios. To form an optimal portfolio, this study combines the Fama-French Three Factor Model (FF3FM) for stock selection and Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) for stock weight optimization in the portfolio. FF3FM considers more factors resulting in more comprehensive stock selection than other methods. While ACO has the ability to explore the solution space widely and efficiently, minimizing the risk of getting stuck on a local solution. The performance of the optimal portfolio is measured using the Sharpe Ratio which considers total risk, thus providing an overview of overall investment efficiency. The research object used is quarterly stock data on IDX High Dividend 20 from the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2020-2023. Of the 20 stocks, 12 stocks were selected that were consistently included in the index during the 2020-2023 period. By selecting stocks using the FF3FM method, 10 efficient stocks were selected, namely ADRO, ASII, BBCA, BBNI, BBRI, INDF, ITMG, PTBA, TLKM, and UNTR. Portfolio optimization using ACO produces a portfolio return of 0.0473 and a risk of 0.0257 with the weight of each ADRO stock of 6.90%, BBCA of 17.24%, BBNI of 10.34%, BBRI of 27.59%, INDF of 3.45%, ITMG of 27.59%, TLKM of 3.45%, and UNTR of 3.45%. The results showed that the integration of FF3FM and ACO was able to form a portfolio with optimal performance with a Sharpe Ratio value of 1.41868, which means that the portfolio return is greater than the portfolio risk.
Comparative Analysis of Normal Pension Benefits Using the Attained Age Normal Method and the Individual Level Premium Method Hukama, Atha; Parmikanti, Kankan; Riaman, Riaman
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 6, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.946

Abstract

Pension programs are among the most important forms of employee compensation, offering financial security after retirement. This study aims to calculate the company’s initial payroll contributions to determine regular contributions, actuarial liabilities, and pension benefits using two actuarial projection methods: the Attained Age Normal (AAN) and Individual Level Premium (ILP) methods. The analysis is based on employee data from Puskesmas Binjai Estate, including age, salary, and years of service. It includes computations of pension benefits, normal costs, actuarial liabilities, and net benefits received by employees under each method. The results reveal that the length of service significantly affects both the value of contributions and the actuarial liabilities. Employees with longer service periods result in higher contribution requirements and greater liabilities. Moreover, the Attained Age Normal method produces higher pension benefits compared to the Individual Level Premium method for long-serving employees. However, both methods present financial challenges for employers, as they require higher contributions relative to the benefits promised. Consequently, companies must allocate substantial funding to meet their pension obligations. This study provides a comparative perspective that can assist decision-makers in selecting an actuarial method that balances benefit adequacy and financial sustainability.
Portofolio Optimization of Mean-Variance Model Using Tabu Search Algorithm with Cardinality Constraints Ma’mur, Lutfi Praditia; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 6, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.1010

Abstract

Stock investment is increasingly attractive to Indonesians, especially through the IDX30 index, which is known to have high liquidity and solid company fundamentals. In forming an optimal stock portfolio, investors are faced with the challenge of maximizing return and minimizing risk simultaneously. An optimal portfolio is defined as a combination of assets that provides the highest expected return at a certain level of risk, or the lowest risk for the expected level of return. This study aims to form an optimal portfolio on the IDX30 index by considering cardinality constraints, which limit the maximum number of stocks in the portfolio. From 30 IDX30 stocks, 20 stocks were selected based on consistency of existence during the period February 1, 2023 to January 31, 2025. Next, 8 stocks that have positive expected return values are selected, and from these 8, 4 efficient stocks are selected using cardinality constraints. Selection is done with the Tabu Search algorithm, a memory-based metaheuristic optimization method used to find the best solution by avoiding previously explored solutions. The portfolio is formed using the Mean-Variance model, resulting in an allocation of BMRI (30,02%), PTBA (35,18%), INDF (2,48%), and BRPT (32,32%), with an expected return of 0,00207 and a variance of 0,001587.
Analysis of the French Five Factors Fama Model on Excess Return of Stocks Listed on IDXBUMN20 for the Period 2020-2023 Putri, Linda Damayanti; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 6, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.966

Abstract

Excess return is the difference between the rate of return earned on an investment and the rate of risk-free return in a given period. This shows how much return is received because they are willing to take risks in investing. This study aims to analyze the Fama French Five Factor model on the excess return of stocks listed in IDXBUMN20 2020-2023 period. The factors in the model are market factors, size factors, book to market ratio, profitability, and investment. The population in this study amounted to 20 companies registered in the IDXBUMN20 index, the sample selection in this study used the purposive sampling method and a sample of 12 companies was obtained. The data used in the study are close price, number of shares outstanding, Bank Indonesia (BI) interest rate, and company financial statements. The analysis method used was the Common Effect Model (CEM) panel data regression analysis. Based on hypothesis testing, market factors were obtained which only had an effect on excess returns. This factor shows the influence of the ups and downs of market performance on the price of a stock.
Implementation of Simulated Annealing Algorithm for Portfolio Optimization in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) Stocks with Mean-VaR Riadi, Nadia Putri; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 6, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.1016

Abstract

One of the challenges for investors in the investment world is to manage the stock portfolio optimally. The main objective of portfolio optimization is to obtain maximum profit with a controlled level of risk. This study aims to find a portfolio combination that provides the best return with a more controllable risk than the conventional method, using Simulated Annealing. This research method applies the Mean-Value at Risk (Mean-VaR) approach in measuring portfolio performance and uses the application of the Simulated Annealing algorithm as an optimization method to determine the optimal investment weight on stocks in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII), so as to obtain a portfolio with the best performance compared to a simple weighting strategy. The data used in this study is the daily closing price of stocks listed in the JII during the period January 3, 2022 - January 2, 2024. Based on the results and discussion, there are 7 stocks included in the formation of the optimal portfolio of JII index stocks, namely ADRO, ICBP, INKP, ITMG, MIKA, TPIA, and UNTR. The weight allocation of each stock generated by the Simulated Annealing method for the period is for ADRO shares 7,4177%; ICBP 1,7817%; INKP 7,3369%; ITMG 15,0006%; MIKA 2,5894%; TPIA 63,5506%; and UNTR 2,323%. The optimal portfolio of the Mean-VaR model with the Simulated Annealing method is generated when the risk tolerance is 0 (τ=0), with a return or return of 0,001923 and a VaR risk level of 0,029788. This approach is expected to be an alternative for investors in determining investment strategies based on Islamic stocks in Indonesia.
Investment Portfolio Optimization Using Genetic Algorithm on Infrastructure Sector Stocks Based on the Single Index Model Bayyinah, Ayyinah Nur; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 6, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.977

Abstract

Investment is a strategic step in managing assets to gain profits in the future by allocating some funds in the present. However, behind the promising potential returns, investment also contains risks that cannot be ignored. One way to reduce the level of risk in investing is to implement a portfolio diversification strategy, which is to form an optimal portfolio by allocating investments to various stocks. This study aims to identify the stocks that form the optimal portfolio, determine the optimal weight of each stock, and calculate the expected return and risk of the portfolio. The portfolio optimization process is carried out using Genetic Algorithm, with the calculation of expected return and risk using the Single Index Model (SIM) approach. The data used includes data on stocks in the infrastructure sector for the period July 1, 2023 to June 30, 2024. The results showed that there were six stocks selected in forming the optimal portfolio with the weight of each stock: PGEO 15.0023%, ISAT 32.1522%, GMFI 4.7822%, EXCL 15.3236%, JSMR 29.7379, and OASA 3.0018%. This optimal portfolio provides an expected return of 0.1167% with a portfolio risk of 0.0152%.
Sustainable Cultural Tourism Development Strategy in Karuhun Eco Park Village, Sumedang Regency, West Java, Indonesia Ratnasari, Dewi; Tiswaya, Waway; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono; Hidayana, Rizki Apriva; Laksito, Grida Saktian
International Journal of Business, Economics, and Social Development Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : Rescollacom (Research Collaborations Community)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijbesd.v6i3.989

Abstract

The development of cultural arts tourism as a sustainable tourism destination is a priority considering the features and nature of these locations, which highlight a number of elements such the local economy, environment, culture, preservation, and community empowerment. One of the cultural tourism areas in Indonesia, to be precise the province of West Java, namely Kampung Ladang in Sumedang Regency which is located at the top of Pasir Peti hill - Marga Laksana Sumedang Village. Kampung Ladang is one of Sumedang's cultural tourism centres by collaborating with the local community to maintain and preserve traditional Sundanese culture and procedures, especially Sumedang culture and traditions. This research uses qualitative methods and uses IFAS / EFAS and SWOT Analysis which aims to identify the potentials developed by Kampung Ladang with data collection carried out by observation, indepth interviews, and documentaries. The results of this study indicate that Kampung Ladang has three potentials that are ready to be developed in attracting tourists to visit such as potentials that need to be improved, namely attractions and activities, external supporting potentials, namely accessibility infrastructure consisting of information boards and other supporting facilities, and potentials that are not yet available, namely the provision of tour packages through marketing and promotion strategies that can attract tourists to visit and can develop community-based sustainable tourism that is community-centred to improve community welfare, besides that government support is needed in carrying out development and maintenance. In order to meet the needs of travellers, businesses, the environment, and tourism management communities, among other stakeholders, sustainable tourism management is a type of tourism management that will play a significant role in both the present and the future economic and social conditions.
Mathematical Model of Paddy Production using Cobb Douglas Method Based On Weather Factors Riaman, Riaman; Parmikanti, Kankan; Subartiny, Betty; Supian, Sudradjat
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 7, No 4 (2023): October
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v7i4.15446

Abstract

This research was conducted to model paddy production based on weather factors. This needs to be done to predict crop yields and regulate paddy cropping patterns. In setting the cropping pattern, the weather is selected which consists of temperature, wind speed, and rainfall, as a variable factor of production. Meanwhile, other factors (such as fertilization, sunshine, air humidity, etc.) are assumed to be in catteries paribus conditions. The research method used is a mixed method between qualitative methods which are descriptive details and quantitative methods which are based on weather data and Paddy's harvest data. The aim of this research is to analyze the influence of weather on paddy production results. Analysis is done to get the production function. Parameters are estimated using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method by minimizing the sum of squared errors. Based on data analysis, a correlation of 0.899 was obtained with a standard error of .051665515. the results of model testing also show significant results with the F statistic obtained at 33.98 with a p-value of 0.028 which is less than 5%. So it can be concluded that there is a significant relationship between weather and paddy productivity. In such a way that the weather can be used as a reference in determining the prediction of loss risk and paddy production. This model can also be recommended for further research, namely to determine insurance losses that may arise when extreme weather events occur. 
A Systematic Literature Review on Mean-CVaR Based Financial Asset Portfolio Weight Allocation Using K-Means Clustering Wahid, Alim Jaizul; Riaman, Riaman; Sukono, Sukono
CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Vol 10, No 2 (2025): CAUCHY: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN APLIKASI
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18860/cauchy.v10i2.36590

Abstract

This study aims to identify and analyze the application of the Mean-Conditional Value-at-Risk (Mean-CVaR) model in the allocation of financial asset portfolio weights combined with the K-Means Clustering algorithm. The Systematic Literature Review (SLR) method is used with the PRISMA protocol through the stages of identification, screening, eligibility, and inclusion. Data is obtained from Scopus, ScienceDirect, and Dimensions databases, then selected up to six relevant primary articles. The results of the study indicate that CVaR is the dominant risk measure in portfolio optimization, while K-Means Clustering serves as a method of grouping assets to increase diversification. The optimization methods used include Genetic Algorithm, Particle Swarm Optimization, Teaching Learning-Based Optimization, and Stochastic Programming. However, direct integration between Mean-CVaR and K-Means within a portfolio weight allocation framework is still rare. This research emphasizes the need to develop a hybrid model that combines both approaches in an integrated manner, applied to a multi-asset portfolio, and validated under various market conditions to produce an optimal, adaptive, and resilient investment strategy against extreme risks.
Co-Authors Adib, Andhita Zahira Ariyanti, Devi Bayyinah, Ayyinah Nur Betty Subartini Dewi Ratnasari Dianti, Estu Putri Dwi Susanti Ghazali, Puspa Liza Hasbullah, Soeryana Hidayana, Rizki Apriva Hukama, Atha Iin Irianingsih Kahar, Ramadhina Hardiva Kankan Parmikanti Laksito, Grida Saktian Maharani, Asthie Zaskia Ma’mur, Lutfi Praditia Moisino, Misel Lindi Noriszura Ismail Novianti, Saqila Pramudhita, Annisa Pryimak, Evgen Putri S. R., Aulianda Anisa Putri, Aulya Putri, Linda Damayanti Raharjanti, Amalia RAHMAWATI, SEPTI Ramdhania, Tya Shafa Reisnanda, Aldino Riadi, Nadia Putri Silvia Wijaya Subartiny, Betty Sukono Sukono Supian, Sudradjat Susanto, Sunarta Sya’imaa.HS, Audrey Ariij Tiswaya, Waway Ulfatmi, Ristifani Vimelia, Willen Wahid, Alim Jaizul Widyani, Azizah Rini Yasmin, Arla Aglia Yeremia Herry Parulian, Yeremia Herry Zahra, Ami Emelia Putri Zakirah, Khalilah Razanah