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INDONESIA
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Published by Universitas Sriwijaya
ISSN : 18295843     EISSN : 26850788     DOI : https://doi.org/10.29259/jep
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan is a peer-reviewed journal that provides a forum for scientific works pertaining to Development Economics. Published twice in a year (June and December). This Journal has p-ISSN 1829-5843, and e-ISSN 2685-0788. This journal was first published since June 2003 by the Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya. Editors receive manuscripts of unpublished paper contributions in other journals. JEP is expected to be used as a reference for academicians in writing a scientific, relevant, and dynamic article to enhance the new generation that is found in writing an academic paper. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan accepts only English Article within the focus and scope of this journal are development economics, energy economics, environmental economics, international trade, public finance, rural development, regional economics, financial development, monetary economics, industrial economics, Islamic economics, agricultural economics, and labor economics.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 267 Documents
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Labor and Government Policies on Poverty Reduction in Sumatera Island, Indonesia Purmini Purmini; Roosemarina Anggraini Rambe
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 1 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i1.13775

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of agricultural workers, education level, female workers and the role of government policies on poverty rate in Sumatra. Observations were made in 151 districts/cities in Sumatra during the period 2013-2015 and 2017-2018. The approach used is a panel data regression model. The method applied is random effect. The findings show the labor in the agricultural sector has a significant and positive effect on the poverty rate in Sumatra, while the level of education and government spending has a significant and negative effect on the poverty rate. The policy implication is that it is necessary to increase labor productivity in the agricultural sector and other industries that are more efficient. The government also needs to strengthen the agricultural sub-sector in order to have better value-added products. Optimizing and improving basic services such as education, health, economic and social.
The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare Muhammad Kivlan Reftreka Nugraha; Hefrizal Handra
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 1 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i1.13786

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the relationship between government debt and social welfare in Indonesia in 1980-2019. The data used in this research is secondary data using time series data. The analysis used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The findings result from the first model show that in the short-run, additional debt-to-GDP was not significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. Meanwhile, the long-run, additional debt-to-GDP is significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. The results also find that in the long run additional debt-to-GDP is positively correlated with poverty levels in Indonesia, meaning that additional debt-to-GDP increases the poverty rate in Indonesia. For GDP per capita, additional debt-to-GDP has a negative correlation. The inflation, tax-to-GDP, and GDP are not significant to the poverty rate in the short-run. Meanwhile, the long run, the additional debt-to-GDP ratio and GDP variable is significant to the poverty rate, and has a positif and negative correlation. The findings from second model also indicate that population and inflation are significant and positively correlated with the poverty level, but tax-to-GDP ratio is not significant on GDP per capita in the short-run. Meanwhile, the long run, the population and tax-to-GDP are significant to GDP per capita. Total population has a positive correlation, while tax-to-GDP ratio has a negative correlation.
Public Infrastructure and Economic Growth in the Local Region Nairobi Nairobi; Riana Respitasari
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 1 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i1.13826

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of public infrastructure on economic growth in Lampung Province. The data used are time series and cross sections for the period 2012-2018 and 14 districts/cities. The method applied is the panel data model with the random effect model method. The results showed that Infrastructure, Irrigation Infrastructure, Health Infrastructure, Investment, Labor, and Gini Growth had a significant and positive effect on economic growth, while capital expenditures insignificant effect on economic growth. The implications of these findings indicate that public sector investments such as road infrastructure, bridges and other infrastructure facilities are important.
The Relationship between Current COVID-19 and Indonesia Stock Market: Evidence from ARDL Model Violita Septy Wardani; Lahuddin Lahuddin
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 1 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i1.13837

Abstract

This study aims to prove how COVID-19 in response to the Indonesia stock market applying an Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration method. This study analyzes the relationship between the natural logarithm of daily trading volume of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and the natural logarithm of daily COVID-19 confirmed cases both in the short run and the long run. Bound test and cointegration were used to analyze the data daily from 2 March 2020 until 30 November 2020. The findings result show in the short-run, Indonesia stock market is only influenced by its lag, but not in the long-run. Meanwhile COVID-19 variable proved to be not significantly affected the stock market both in short and long-run. The model is predicted to re-stabilize at least over 1.7 months later
Forecasting of Daily Gold Price using ARIMA-GARCH Hybrid Model Sigit Setyowibowo; Mohamad As'ad; Sujito Sujito; Eni Farida
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.13903

Abstract

Gold is a multifunctional precious metal. Apart from being jewelry, gold is a form of investment. For this reason, the public or investors need to know the estimated daily gold price for transactions for the public or investors who want to invest or also want to sell their gold, so they do not lose. This is the aim of this study. Many forecasting methods can be used to predict the daily gold price, but this study uses the ARIMA-GARCH hybrid model because this model can predict econometric models such as the daily gold price which usually contains high volatility. Daily gold price data was secondary data obtained from the investing.com website. The data was for the period March 12, 2016, to December 31, 2020. The results of this study are obtained for the ARIMA (1,1,1) -GARCH (2,1) hybrid model with a root mean square error (RMSE) forecasting accuracy value is 2.375454, the mean absolute error (MAE) is 1.702908, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 0.001168113. From the results of this study, long-term investment is very profitable because there is an upward trend from the model obtained. For short-term investments, the public or investors have to update the research result model because the current gold price is influenced by the gold price only one period ago, so that when trading does not lose.
Guidelines for Development of Area-Based Plantation of Rubber Commodity in Musi Rawas Dian Eka Putra; Agus Darwa
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 1 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i1.13904

Abstract

There has not been a good integration among the central, provincial, and regional levels in the allocation of the budget, thus making the impact of plantation development activities less effective and efficient. This study aimed to analyze the potential of the region and create a pattern for the development of rubber commodity plantations in Musi Rawas District. This study was conducted by analyzing the data and literature review, conducting focus group discussions, mapping and digitizing the potential for rubber commodities using satellite imagery. With the position of the region that is included in the growing stage, the development of the area is directed first for on-farm development. The development of the region is carried out by increasing the production and productivity of rubber plants in Musi Rawas District by replanting and intensifying the rubber plants. The activity strategy focuses more on how to increase the productivity of rubber plants so as to produce high quality claret processing materials (BOKAR) and rubber wood. The development strategy is centered in Tuah Negeri sub-district as the center of the Area and other surrounding sub-districts as supporting Areas. Therefore, in order to achieve these production targets, the strategy taken in developing rubber-based plantation areas is the incorporation and strengthening of the rubber agribusiness system.
Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Future in the Local Region Rio Triwahyu Saputra
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.13926

Abstract

Poverty has always become a problem in an economic system, started from its detection to its eradication. So as happened in South OKU Regency, even its poverty level was the third lowest in the Province, but the human resources and economic system was not good enough. This led to a tendency that people in South OKU Regency just lived “as enough”, they were living above the poverty line, but so close to it. In the long term, this situation will become a serious problem. The poverty calculation method used by BPS Statistics Indonesia has limitedness as it does not include the aspects of social-economic and cannot calculate someone’s possibility to get into or out of poverty. This research aims to calculate the possibility of someone to become poor in the future and establish the solution to prevent it happens in South OKU Regency. With the vulnerability of expected poverty (VEP) analysis, it was known that there are 19,77 percent or 71.182 populations in South OKU Regency that are vulnerable to poverty. Based on the Decision Tree model created, the variables of per capita expenditure, asset ownership, and the number of household members can be used to classify households in South OKU regency by their poverty status. By detecting vulnerable to poverty households and helping them to sustain their welfare, will prevents the increase of the number of the poor in the future.
The Effect of Educational Mismatch on Wages: A Comparative Study of Migrant and Native Workers Ferry Maurist Sitorus; Padang Wicaksono
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.13937

Abstract

One of the important issues in the Indonesian labor market is an educational mismatch. And one of the implications caused by educational mismatch is that the wages received are unsuitable with the educational qualifications have. This study attempts to relate the educational mismatch phenomenon to the issue of internal migration. Hence, this study aimed to reveal the effect of educational mismatch on the earning of workers, especially migrant and native workers. The discussion of educational mismatch was more specific to migrant workers and native workers because these two types of workers had quite different potential earnings. The data used in this research were gained from the National Labor Force Survey (SAKERNAS) in August 2019. The unit of analysis used was workers with labor/employees’ status other than TNI/POLRI aged 15-64 years and over. The results showed that migrant workers were more likely to experience over education than native workers, and native workers were more likely to experience undereducation than migrant workers. Then, based on the results of the multiple linear regression analysis, it was found that migrant workers encountered greater wage penalties than native workers.
Factors Affecting Inter-Regional Human Development Index in Jambi Province Choirur Rohmah; Suratno Suratno; Kuswanto Kuswanto; Ervan Johan Wicaksana
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.14416

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the factors that affect the human development index between regions of Jambi Province for the 2010-2020 period. The measured factors are health, education, and economy. Health factors are measured by life expectancy. The education factor has proxy the length of school expectation and average length of schooling. The economy can be measured by expenditure per capita. The type of data in this study is secondary data, namely data obtained and collected indirectly from the object under study. The objects of this research are 9 districts and 2 cities in Jambi Province for the period 2010-2020 from the official portal of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) Jambi Province. Data analysis through panel data regression. The finding of this study shows that life expectancy, length of school expectation, and expenditure per capita has positive effect on HDI among regions in Jambi Province. The findings can be used as material for consideration to identify various obstacles/problems faced by a particular area that has a high or low human index. After that, the government can make policies to increase one or more human development index factors that show a decline.
The Effect of Inflation, Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Real GDP on Financial Deepening in Indonesia: Evidence from Error Correction Model Approach Devi Putri; Devi Valeriani; Anggraeni Yunita
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.14505

Abstract

Financial deepening is a benchmark for seeing the role of financial services in the economy, as measured by the ratio between the money supply (M2) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This study aims to determine and analyze the effect of inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, and real GDP on financial deepening in Indonesia in the long and short term. The type of research used is quantitative. Sources of data used in this study are secondary data sources obtained from Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). Data analysis using the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. The results show that in the long run, inflation is negatively and insignificantly effect to financial deepening, interest rates are negatively and significantly effect to financial deepening, while the exchange rates and real GDP have a positive and significant effect to financial deepening in Indonesia. Meanwhile, in the short term, inflation is negatively and insignificantly effect to financial deepening, interest rates are negatively and insignificantly effect to financial deepening, exchange rates are positively and insignificantly effect to financial deepening, while real GDP has a positive and significant effect to financial deepening in Indonesia.

Page 20 of 27 | Total Record : 267

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