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Economics Development Analysis Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Semarang
ISSN : 22526560     EISSN : 25022725     DOI : https://doi.org/10.15294/edaj
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Economic Development Analysis Journal publishes original research and conceptual analysis of economic development, problems and policies in Indonesia.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekomomi dan Ekonometrika
Articles 46 Documents
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Balikpapan City Development: Key Sectors for Sustainable Growth Grace Natalia Marpaung; Medi Elfiani; Annis Nurfitriana Nihayah; Dwi Rahmayani; Tutik
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.7927

Abstract

The main challenge faced by the City of Balikpapan is the disparity in facilities between sub-districts and the lack of optimal development of leading sectors that have the potential to support sustainable economic growth. Inequality in public facilities causes access to essential services, such as education, health, and the economy, to be unequal across city areas. This research aims to identify leading sectors in Balikpapan City and formulate development strategies focusing on sustainable economic growth, equitable distribution of public facilities, and strategic investment recommendations. The research uses quantitative descriptive methods with secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and related literature and analysis of Location Quotient (LQ), Shift Share, Klassen Typology, and Scalogram for the 2016-2022 period. The research results show that the processing industry, electricity and gas supply, and construction sectors are leading sectors with high competitiveness. However, there are disparities in public facilities, especially in North Balikpapan, which has more complete facilities than other sub-districts. These findings indicate the need for a development strategy that prioritizes the development of leading sectors, improving infrastructure, and increasing investment to achieve sustainable economic growth and a better quality of life for the community. The development strategy must focus on equal distribution of public facilities and strengthening leading sectors to make Balikpapan a more livable and economically competitive city
Cash Demand Sensitivity: Post-Tax Amnesty Shadow Economy Estimation in Indonesia Pidah Febriyanti; Herman Sambodo
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.11167

Abstract

Indonesia has consistently failed to meet its tax revenue targets in recent years, primarily due to extensive shadow economy activities aimed at tax evasion. This study seeks to measure the sensitivity of cash demand in estimating the shadow economy across Indonesia's 34 provinces during the post-tax amnesty period from 2016 to 2022 and to assess its impact on potential tax revenue losses. Utilizing a quantitative methodology, the research employs panel data regression with a Random Effects Model. The shadow economy is estimated using a monetary approach model based on cash demand sensitivity. The dependent variables include total currency demand and potential tax revenue, while the independent variables comprise tax burden, inflation rate, Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), financial and technological innovation (represented by internet use for financial purposes), and the shadow economy. The findings reveal that the tax burden, inflation, and financial/technological innovations do not significantly influence cash demand, whereas income has a significant positive effect. Moreover, the shadow economy substantially affects potential tax revenue losses. On average, the shadow economy across the 34 provinces amounts to IDR 292.152 billion, with an average potential tax revenue loss of IDR 35.306 billion
Impact of Inflation, Interest Rates, And Money Supply on Deposit Funds Yayan Luthfi Khoirina; Yuniar Farida; Moh. Hafiyusholeh; Hani Khaulasari
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.13910

Abstract

Deposits are straightforward investment instruments that offer fixed interest over a specified period, serving as a profitable product for banks. They play a crucial role in supporting banking operations, particularly within the internal scope of the institution. This study aims to examine the causal relationships between deposit interest rates, inflation, and money supply on the total deposits held by banks. A Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is employed to investigate these relationships in both the short and long term. The analysis reveals that inflation and money supply significantly influence the volume of deposits in the short term. Conversely, deposit interest rates do not exhibit a substantial short-term impact on the total funds deposited. In the long term, all independent variables—deposit interest rates, inflation, and money supply—demonstrate a considerable effect on the amount of deposited funds. These findings provide valuable insights for banks, enabling them to optimize their funding strategies through deposit products while addressing challenges posed by macroeconomic fluctuations
COVID-19, Economic Growth, and Income Inequality: Empirical Study in Indonesia Agusalim, Lestari; Setiawan, Yoga
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.3107

Abstract

Income inequality remains a significant issue in developing countries like Indonesia, affecting societal well-being unevenly. Economic growth is often considered a key indicator of social welfare, but its benefits are not always distributed equitably. When economic growth coincides with high levels of income inequality, it suggests that only certain groups reap greater benefits while others are left behind. Therefore, it is essential to analyze whether there are disparities in the influence of economic growth on income inequality in Indonesia before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a random effects model and 12 years of data (2010–2021), this analysis reveals that economic growth does not significantly affect income inequality in Indonesia, challenging the Kuznets hypothesis. Domestic investment (DIN) also shows no influence on income inequality. In contrast, the human development index (HDI) consistently has a significant negative impact on income inequality across both periods. Meanwhile, foreign direct investment (FDI) positively impacts income inequality. There is no difference in the influence of HDI and FDI on income inequality before and during COVID-19. These findings emphasize the importance of improving human resource quality as an effective strategy for addressing income inequality, particularly by enhancing access to education, healthcare services, and overall social welfare.
Spatial Autocorrelation of East Java's Economic Growth Using Cluster-Based Weights Fitriani, Rahma; Wardhani, Ni Wayan Surya; Abdila, Naufal Shela
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.19161

Abstract

This study incorporates a spatial clustering technique into the formation of a spatial weight matrix as an alternative to the traditional exogenous matrix, aiming to better capture spatial dependencies. The approach is applied to analyze the spatial autocorrelation of economic growth in East Java’s regencies and municipalities using 2019–2021 data. Spatial clusters are identified based on GDP growth (GGDP), Human Development Index (HDI), population density (Dens), and geographical coordinates. These clusters are used to define a customized spatial weight matrix, where regions within the same cluster are designated as neighbors. Moran’s I, calculated using the customized spatial weight matrix, detects significant spatial autocorrelation in GDP growth for all three years, with consistently lower p-values compared to the traditional contiguity-based matrix. For example, in 2020, Moran’s I using the customized matrix yielded a p-value of 0.099 (significant at the 10% level), while the traditional matrix produced a non-significant p-value of 0.7965. These results demonstrate that spatial clustering extends the scope of spatial interaction beyond adjacent regions to include those with similar characteristics. The findings highlight the effectiveness of this method in providing a more nuanced and robust framework for analyzing spatial dependencies in economic growth.
Does Informal Labor Affect Food Security? Evidence from Indonesia Anggara, Rizki Tri; Alfahma, Elsya Gumayanti
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.19971

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of informal employment on household food security in Indonesia, focusing on concern about food sufficiency, access to nutritious food, and reduced food intake. Using data from the March 2021 Indonesia National Socioeconomic Survey, binary logistic regression models were applied to a weighted sample of household heads actively employed in formal and informal sectors. The analysis reveals that informal employment significantly undermines food security across all measures, with informally employed households facing higher risks of food shortages, reduced nutritional access, and inadequate intake. Vulnerabilities are more pronounced in rural and non-agricultural households. Protective factors such as education, internet access, and health insurance enhance food security, while larger household sizes and underemployment exacerbate risks. This study emphasizes the urgent need for targeted interventions to safeguard food security for vulnerable populations in Indonesia.
Investigating the Role of Health Expenditure on Tuberculosis Incidence in Indonesia Ardhana, Shela; Dariatno Sihaloho, Estro
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.21080

Abstract

Tuberculosis has remained a persistent Indonesia health problem. With multiple government and donor initiatives to eradicate TB and its detrimental effects on Indonesia's health outcomes, the incidence of TB in Indonesia is still worsening. This study aimed to investigate the impact of health expenditure on TB incidence in Indonesia, which is one of the countries with the highest TB incidences globally. The method used is (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) to employ short-run and long-run effects using time series data from Indonesia from 2000 to 2021. The Findings demonstrate a significant inverse relationship between health expenditures (both public and private) and the incidence of tuberculosis. Increased public spending on healthcare is associated with a lower incidence of TB, both in the short and long term. Similarly, private health spending significantly contributes to TB reduction, with effects observed both immediately and over the long run. Furthermore, other variables also affect TB incidence. Higher Gini coefficients and unemployment rates are associated with increased TB incidence, while higher rates of BCG immunization and greater public effectiveness are associated with lower TB incidence.
Analyzing The Development of Cashless Society Using the Structural Equation Modeling Nurdin, Muhammad; Fernandes, Adji; Sumarminingsih, Eni; Solimun; Ullah, Muhammad
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.15874

Abstract

Payment systems continue to evolve alongside advancements in information technology, driving the digitization of financial services and payment instruments. This study examines the influence of Psychological, Socio-Cultural, and Personal Factors on adopting electronic money and the growth of a cashless society, with Financial Technology as a moderating variable. The research involved 1,000 Bank BNI customers in the Jabodetabek area (Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Tangerang, and Bekasi) actively using BNI Mobile Banking services. The analytical methods employed include Discourse Network Analysis and Structural Equation Modeling to develop a comprehensive analysis model. The results indicate that psychological and personal factors—such as motivation, perception, learning, positive attitude, modern lifestyle, and openness to change—significantly influence electronic money usage. However, socio-cultural factors do not exhibit a significant impact, primarily due to persistent cash usage habits and a lack of trust in technology. This study highlights the need for financial education to promote awareness of electronic money benefits and security, develop tailored financial products, and enhance regulatory collaboration between the government and relevant institutions.
Maintaining The Leading Economy of The City of Semarang Sebayang, Asnita Frida; Sebayang, Lesta Karolina; Cecep Fauzan Al Rifah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.19370

Abstract

The economic position of a city is crucial for the sustainability of regional economic development. To enhance competitiveness and achieve economic excellence, a combination of simultaneous drivers is necessary. As the core city of the Kedungsepur agglomeration, Semarang City plays a strategic role in regional development. This study employs a quantitative methodology, utilizing the Location Quotient (LQ) technique with data sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The findings indicate that Semarang City's economic transformation, characterized by competitiveness and specialization in the trade, real estate, and public service sectors, requires support from surrounding regions to maximize its role in driving sustainable economic growth. Additionally, the study identifies the city's prime sectors—trade, real estate, public services, and transportation and warehousing—highlighting their contribution to generating high-added value amid global economic dynamics. Despite its economic diversification, Semarang City remains heavily reliant on the manufacturing industry due to its substantial sectoral contribution. Therefore, while manufacturing remains a key pillar of the local economy, identifying new growth potentials and fostering collaborative strategies within the agglomeration area is essential for long-term economic resilience. Semarang City possesses significant potential for sustainable growth by distributing the benefits of development to its surrounding regions, reinforcing its role as a regional economic driver.
Energy Poverty and Labor Supply in Eastern Indonesia Kristanti, Hana Dwi; Hartono, Djoni; Suhendra
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 4 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i4.19893

Abstract

Gender inequality in economic participation is a crucial aspect of sustainable development strategies aimed at improving living standards. The high level of inequality is primarily driven by stagnation in female labor supply. One of the factors influencing labor supply is energy povertyIn Indonesia, studies addressing the relationship between energy poverty and economic participation remain scarce. Therefore, this research aims to fill the existing research gap by analyzing the relationship between energy poverty and labor supply, particularly in Eastern Indonesia. To address endogeneity issues caused by selection bias, this study employs the Two-Step Heckman method. Using data from the 2021 Susenas, the findings reveal that energy poverty significantly reduces working hours in Eastern Indonesia. This impact is more pronounced among male workers compared to female workers and is more dominant in urban areas than in rural areas. These findings underscore the importance of policy interventions aimed at reducing energy poverty as a means of improving labor productivity, particularly in Eastern Indonesia. This study also contributes to understanding the dynamics of labor markets in regions facing energy and economic development challenges.

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