Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population)
Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan is a journal that contains articles about the development of statistical methods in the field of health, the application of statistical methods on solving health problems, the development of demography and demography, solving reproductive health problems, solving the problems of maternal and child health as well as the themes surrounding the development of biostatistics and population. This journal is published twice a year in July and December.
Articles
206 Documents
<![CDATA[Analisis Survival Penyakit Jantung Koroner Berulang ]]>
<![CDATA[Fidya Panorama Damayanti]]>;
<![CDATA[Arief Wibowo]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i1.2017.43-51
<![CDATA[Survival analysis is one of data analysis the result showing certain times had happened. Cox regression analysis is one of the most powerful and commonly used for analyzing survival data since the result of this method showing nearly similar result to parametric model. This study aim is to determine case of recurrent Coronary Heart Disease risk factors, and to know how many survival in day of recurrent Coronary Heart Disease based on the risk factors at RS Islam Surabaya in 2015 – 2016. Measurement in research subjects was conducted in the medical record. This research using observational research approach. Subjects were 63 Coronary Heart Disease inpatients in RS Islam Surabaya. Measurement was conducted to obtain information of examined variables. Independent variables were data sensor status, survival time (measured in day), sex, age, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes mellitus. This analysis showing the occurrence time average of recurrent CHDs in Coronary Heart Disease patients in general is 614 days. Rate of reccurence had similar risks for all age groups, gender, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes mellitus. CHD patients with hypertension status have risk of 9.291 times greater than no hypertension status. This research can be used by RS Islam Surabaya to gave Communication, Information, and Education to the patient and their relatives especially for patient with hypertension status to have continuous check-up in order not to get another recurrent event of CHD in the near future.]]>
<![CDATA[Peramalan KB Baru IUD dengan Metode Automatic Clustering and Fuzzy Logical Relationship ]]>
<![CDATA[Yunidar Ayu Pratama]]>;
<![CDATA[Diah Indriani]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i2.2017.144-153
<![CDATA[This research aims for forecasting the number of participants Family Planning (FP) new IUD in East Java in 2017 method using Automatic Clustering And Fuzzy Logic Relationship (ACFLR). Make forecasting for the number of participants FP new IUD in the future important done. Forecasting will support the increase of the number of participants program FP new IUD as emphasized by the Government so that it can be used to take better decisions. Forecasting method of Automatic Clustering And Fuzzy Logical Relationship was chosen because the method has a higher degree of accuracy compared to the classical time series method and fuzzy time series. This study used secondary data recorded in Perwakilan BKKBN East Java in the form of the number of participants KB new IUD in East Java in 2011 to 2016. Based on the research results obtained forecasting the number of participants KB new IUD in 2017 is 65.616 participants with error rate prediction of 0.97% and the percentage increase in the number of participants from the previous year is 0.28%.]]>
<![CDATA[Analisis Hubungan Pergaulan dengan Teman dan Paparan Media Pornografi terhadap Perilaku Seksual Pranikah pada Remaja ]]>
<![CDATA[A.C Dimas Pratama]]>;
<![CDATA[Hari Basuki Notobroto]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i1.2017.1-8
<![CDATA[There are internal factors and external factor affect to adolescent premarital sex. There were 60% adolescent who have imagine sexual intercourse, and 50% adolescent have access porn sites on the internet, and 40% adolescent have negative effect of sexual attitude from environment. This research was an analytic research that used cross sectional study and use quantitative approaches derived from primary data by disseminated a questionnaire. The population were students from grade X and XI 10th Vocational High Schools State Of Surabaya. Sample was taken with simple random sampling about 89 students. Data analyze this research used Spearman Correlate Coefficient test . Variables in this research was media exposure of pornography and peer behavior effect. There were correlate between them. Variables “peer behavior effect from friend” has association with premarital sexual behavior,media exposure of pornography also has association too (p = 0.000). Cooperation between school, parent and government institution must regulate the education system about reproductive health for students especially about premarital sexual behavior for teens. Parent should give more intention to maintain good relations and monitored their children.]]>
<![CDATA[Cox Regression untuk Mengetahui Besaran Risiko Terjadinya Kekambuhan Kembali (Relaps) Penyalahgunaan Narkoba ]]>
<![CDATA[Kardita Puspa Monitasari]]>;
<![CDATA[Diah Indriani]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i2.2017.98-105
<![CDATA[Relapse happened because of factor that affected an addict back to the previous state. Recurrence rate off an addict that had been treated on a various therapeutic center and rehabilitation was higher from 60% until 80%. Relapse occurred when an individual returned to his/her pattern of addiction or back to deviant behavior. The purpose of this research is identifying factors that can affect relapse. This research is analytic observational research using cross sectional design. The data were collected from 30 people who still undergo the rehabilitation. Data analysis of this research is using cox regression. Result of this research showed that someone who has medium level of knowledge has a risk to get relapse 41.26 times higher than someone who has a lower level of knowledge. Respondent with high level of knowledge might got relapse 1.4 times higher than respondent that has a low level of knowledge. While the variable of a medium peer environment showed risk of 3.31 times higher got a relapse than a high peer environment. Respondent that has a low peer environment might got relapse 1.45 higher than a high peer environment. In this reseach, there are two factors that can affect relapse event, those factors were the level of knowledge and peer environment. The biggest risk for an addict to get their relapse is knowledge, so that the knowledge of narcotics should be given more and also to make their peer environment support them in avoiding the narcotics.]]>
<![CDATA[Random Effect Model pada Regresi Panel untuk Pemodelan Kasus Gizi Buruk Balita di Jawa Timur Tahun 2013–2016 ]]>
<![CDATA[Irma Ike Wahyuni]]>;
<![CDATA[Mahmudah Mahmudah]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i1.2017.52-61
<![CDATA[Severe Malnutrition among under five still become a problem in East Java. Regression analysis that has been done only use data in one year so it can not see the effect of time. In this research, the analysis was done by panel data that combine data from some location that was observed in several years so the factor that was caused severe malnutrition was known. The data that was used are secondary data from East Java Province Health Office which consist of under five severe malnutrition percentage data, percentage of under five health service, percentage of healthy house, and percentage of village with Universal Child Immunization (UCI) at 38 regencies/city in 2013–2016. This research used panel regression analysis with Random Effect Model. The result showed that the percentage of village with UCI status significantly influence under five severe malnutrition in East Java with signification value was 0.0008. The regression coefficient value of UCI variable was -0.190. Therefore, the number of village with UCI status need to be increased especially in regencies/city with high under five severe malnutrition cases by Integrated Service Post (Under Five Health Service) activity.]]>
<![CDATA[Perbedaan Lama dan Jenis Persalinan pada Ibu Bekerja Berdasarkan Keikutsertaan Senam Hamil ]]>
<![CDATA[Hermin Yulianti]]>;
<![CDATA[Fariani Syahrul]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i2.2017.154-162
<![CDATA[Working during pregnancy has negative effect for the health status of pregnant women. Exercises during pregnancy is one of the ways to improve the health status of pregnant women. The aim of research was to analyze the differences of duration and type of childbirth based on the exercises during pregnancy on working mother. This research was an observational analytic study with retrospective cohort design. The exposed population was third trimester of pregnant women who worked and participated in pregnancy exercises > 180 minutes. The non-exposed population was third trimester of pregnant women who worked and participated in pregnancy exercises ≤ 180 minutes. Sample for the exposed group was 30 pregnant women and the non-exposed group was 60 pregnant women. The research analysis was to find the RR value with 95% Confidence Interval (CI). Pregnant women who participated in pregnancy exercises have a short or normal childbirth period 1.543 times than non-participated women. Pregnant women who participated in pregnancy exercises have a normal type of childbirth 1.256 times than non-participated women. There were differences of duration and type of childbirth based on the pregnancy exercises on working mother.]]>
<![CDATA[Perbandingan Hasil Peramalan Jumlah Kasus HIV Berdasarkan Jenis Kelamin di Kota Malang dengan Metode Exponential Smoothing ]]>
<![CDATA[Afrian Eskartya Harjono]]>;
<![CDATA[Kuntoro Kuntoro]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i1.2017.9-16
<![CDATA[Human Immunodeficiency Virus or HIV is still one of the most serious problems especially in developing countries. This study used HIV cases that recorded in Health Departement of Malang City, East Java, as one of the variables to determine the forecasting results using Exponential Smoothing. Goals from this study was for showed the results of forecasting with Exponential smoothing method’s that hoped could be a consideration to HIV prevention’s program.This study was a non reactive research using secondary data of male and female HIV cases from January 2012 to December 2016 as a variable that would show the results of forecasting. The result of forecasting with single exponential smoothing method on parameter value α=0.5 for male HIV cases and α = 0.6 for female HIV cases. The accuracy value in this forecasting can be seen on MAPE value at parameter α = 0.5 is 27.87 for male HIV cases and parameter α = 0.6 is 47.06 for female HIV cases. The results of the forecast could be concluded that in 2017 the number of HIV cases in man and woman were totally increased from the last years, need to arrange a suitable programs that which aim to resolve the problem.]]>
<![CDATA[Analisis Ketenagakerjaan di Provinsi Jawa Timur ]]>
<![CDATA[Argus Baskoro]]>;
<![CDATA[Kuntoro Kuntoro]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i2.2017.106-114
<![CDATA[This study aims to analyze the labor force, labor force participation rate, and employment opportunities in East Java. The method used is the observation of secondary data from the Planning and Development Agencies of East Java (BAPPEDA JATIM) and also the central website of the National Bureau of Statistic (BPS). Then, data is analyzed and processed using Spectrum software. The result of labor force data analysis shows that the city of Surabaya is the region with the largest labor force that is 1.336.932 people, while the city of Mojokerto has the lowest number of labor force is 61.459 inhabitants. The total labor force in an area is affected by the number of indigenous peoples and the rate of urbanization, which residents hope to obtain better education and employment. The highest labor force participation rate was found in Pacitan district area of 83%, while the lowest was Probolinggo district at 63%. The highest employment data analysis result is found Surabaya city with the number of 1.245.542 job opportunities. Some of the factors that affect employment opportunities include the economic conditions of an area, population growth rate, resource quality, the amount of income, and age structure of the population.]]>
<![CDATA[Analisis Survival Kecepatan Kekambuhan Stroke ]]>
<![CDATA[Karina Pramudita]]>;
<![CDATA[Hari Basuki Notobroto]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i1.2017.62-69
<![CDATA[The objective of this study was to apply cox regression to factor analysis of stroke recurrence rate. This type of research was applied research on secondary data. The samples were 178 first stroke patients who are enrolled in inpatient period January to December 2011 and then made observations on the incidence of recurrent strokes up in February 2017 in medical record. Analysis techniques using Cox regression analysis on risk factors of stroke recurrence rate in RSAU dr. Esnawan Antariksa Halim Perdana Kusumah Jakarta. The analysis exhibited that the rate of recurrence of stroke has the same risk between categories of obesity. Stroke patients with a history of hypertension had a risk of a stroke recurrence rate of 5.594 times more likely than stroke patients with no history of hypertension, stroke patients with a history of diabetes mellitus had a risk of stroke recurrence rate of 1.912 times more likely than stroke patients with no history of diabetes mellitus, stroke patients with a history of dyslipidemia The risk of a recurrence rate of stroke was 2.153 times more likely than stroke patients without a history of dyslipidemia, and stroke patients with a history of heart abnormalities had a risk of recurrent stroke rates of 2.321 times more likely than stroke patients without a history of heart abnormalities. For stroke patients with a history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia and a history of cardiac abnormalities, need to do regular check-ups and controls every month to avoid recurrence of stroke.]]>
<![CDATA[Keinginan Menggunakan Metode Kontrasepsi pada Remaja di Masa Mendatang di Provinsi Jawa Timur ]]>
<![CDATA[Nurul Fajriyah]]>;
<![CDATA[Nunik Puspitasari]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Biometrika dan Kependudukan (Journal of Biometrics and Population) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2017): JURNAL BIOMETRIKA DAN KEPENDUDUKAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Airlangga ]]>
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DOI: 10.20473/jbk.v6i2.2017.163-170
<![CDATA[Achievement of Population, Family Planning and Family Development program during the last five years (2007-2012) has stagnated with TFR 2.6. The government change the main focus of family planning on adolescent groups since 2013. The purpose of this study was to analyze the relation of variables with the adolescent’s preference to use contraception method of the future in East Java Province at 2015. This research is an analytic quantitative research with cross-sectional design that consisted of RPJMN year 2015 as secondary data. The sample size are 2,384 adolescents that unmarried and 15–24 years old period January to December 2015 in East Java Province. Independent variables were age, sex, place and education level. The results of this study indicate 56.2% want to use contraception method in the future. After calculated by researcher, it showed that age had p = 0.000, gender had p = 0.000, place had p = 0.003, and education level had p = 0.000. The conclusion of this study is that there are relationship between age, sex, place, and education level with the preference to use contraception method later used chi – square test. BKKBN cooperate with ambassadors of planned generation, and educators should socialization of Family Planning (KB) to motivate young people that plan their families in the future. In addition, need to increase knowledge about reproductive health and family planning for adolescents.]]>
