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DIVERSIFIKASI EKSPOR NON MIGAS INDONESIA KE PASAR NON TRADISIONAL Hotsawadi Harahap; Widyastutik
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 14 No 2 (2020)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v14i2.442

Abstract

Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis diversifikasi ekspor non migas Indonesia ke pasar non tradisional. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah analisis statistik deskriptif dengan pendekatan pengelompokan (clustering), Structural Match Index dan Demand Index, serta regresi data panel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa negara yang diidentifikasikan sebagai negara non tradisional potensial adalah Brazil, Pantai Gading, Mesir, Georgia, Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Myanmar, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Russian Federation, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, dan Uruguay. Hasil regresi data panel menunjukkan bahwa Random Effect Model merupakan model yang terbaik untuk menjelaskan faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi ekspor non migas Indonesia ke negara non tradisional. Hasil regresi menunjukkan bahwa GDP riil negara tujuan, populasi negara tujuan, nilai tukar riil, FDI dan kualitas pelabuhan Indonesia berpengaruh signifikan secara statistik terhadap ekspor non migas Indonesia ke negara non tradisional potensial tersebut. Beberapa rekomendasi kebijakan yang perlu dilakukan untuk meningkatkan ekspor non migas ke negara tujuan non tradisional diantaranya perlu dilakukan intelejen pasar mengenai kebutuhan dan selera dari masing-masing negara non tradisional atas produk Indonesia, peningkatan kualitas pelabuhan Indonesia dan kebijakan tambahan yang memberikan insentif untuk menarik Foreign Direct Investment ke Indonesia. Kata Kunci: Diversifikasi Ekspor, Demand Index, Non traditional, Random Effect Model, Structural Match Index Abstract This study aims to analyze the diversification of Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports to non-traditional markets. The research method used is descriptive statistical analysis with a clustering approach, Structural Match Index and demand index, and panel data regression. The results showed that countries identified as potential non-traditional countries were Brazil, Ivory Coast, Egypt, Georgia, Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Myanmar, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Russian Federation, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, and Uruguay. The panel data regression results show that the random effect model is the best model to explain the factors that influence Indonesia's non-oil exports to non-traditional countries. The results show that the real GDP of the destination country, the population of the destination country, the real exchange rate, FDI and the quality of Indonesia's ports have a statistically significant effect on Indonesia's non-oil exports to these potential non-traditional countries. Then, in this study there are several policy recommendations that need to be done to increase non-oil and gas exports to non-traditional destination countries including market intelligence regarding the needs and tastes of each non-traditional country for Indonesian products, improving the quality of Indonesian ports and additional policies that provide incentives to attract Foreign Direct Investment to Indonesia. Keywords: Export Diversification, Demand Index, Non-traditional, Random Effect Model, Structural Match Index JEL Classifications: F13, F15, F18
Menavigasi Daya Saing dan Determinan Ekspor Unggulan Indonesia di Kawasan Carribean Community (Caricom): Navigating Products Competitiveness and Determining Indonesia's Leading Exports in the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) Region Hotsawadi; Widyastutik
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol. 17 No. 2 (2023): BILP
Publisher : National Research and Innovation Agency

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55981/bilp.2023.224

Abstract

CARICOM is an area that has trade potential to be explored by Indonesia. However, for Indonesia, this region has various challenges to explore considering that the countries that are members of it are non-traditional countries. For this reason, this study aims to analyze the competitiveness, competitor countries and determinants of exports of Indonesia's superior products to the CARICOM region. The analysis methods used are market share, RCA, EPD, X-Model and panel data regression. The results showed that ten commodities identified as Indonesia's leading products in the CARICOM region faced lost opportunity market positions on average and CARICOM countries were included in the category as potential market developments. The United States, European Union, Brazil, China, South Korea, Japan, Dominica Republic, Colombia and Trinidad and Tobago and Singapore were identified as Indonesia's competitors in CARICOM. In terms of export determinants, real GDP and investment positive and significant effect on the export of Indonesia's superior products to CARICOM. Meanwhile, inflation and the real exchange rate together have a significant and negative effect in contrast to the economic distance which has a negative but insignificant effect on the volume of Indonesia's exports to the CARICOM region.
The Impact of One Belt One Road and Indonesia-Pakistan Palm Oil Trade Liberalization Widyastutik; Amaliah, Syarifah; Hotsawadi; Firdaus, Muhammad
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 20 No. 3 (2023): JMA Vol. 20 No. 3, November 2023
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.20.3.466

Abstract

This study focused more on analyzing the impact of the One Belt One Road initiative combined with the scenario of turning Pakistan into Indonesian palm oil trade and investment hub in the Central Asia, South Asia and Middle East Regions on Indonesia's macroeconomy. The analytical method in this study used GTAP model version 9, with reference year 2011. The results showed that the One Belt One Road initiative combined with the scenario of turning Pakistan into Indonesian palm oil trade and investment hub in the Central Asia, South Asia and Middle East Regions has led to an increase in various components of Indonesia's and Pakistan's macroeconomic variables. However, the benefits received by Indonesia in various components of macroeconomic variables are greater than those of Pakistan. Keywords: One Belt One Road, GTAP, macroeconomy, Pakistan
Measuring the Competitiveness and Efficiency of Indonesian Non-Oil and Gas Exports to Non-Traditional Markets Hotsawadi, Hotsawadi; Gea, Imelda Veronica
JURNAL HUBUNGAN LUAR NEGERI Vol. 9 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Hubungan Luar Negeri
Publisher : Kementerian Luar Negeri Republik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70836/jh.v9i2.58

Abstract

In order to improve the performance of the trade balance, Indonesia is currently always trying to diversify the market through the expansion of export markets to non-traditional countries. For this reason, measuring competitiveness and export efficiency is crucial to be researched first. This study aims to measure the competitiveness and efficiency of Indonesia's Non-Oil and Gas Exports to Non-Traditional Markets by using the analysis methods RCA, EPD, X-Model and Stochastic Frontier Analysis with Gravity Model (SFGM). The results of the analysis show that based on the results of the competitiveness analysis (RCA) and export performance using EPD and X-Model, it shows that the competitiveness of Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports to non-traditional countries is still low or below global competitiveness. Meanwhile, the results of estimation using the Stochastic Frontier Analysis approach with the Gravity Model (SFGM) show that the variables of GDP of non-traditional countries, the number of population of non-traditional countries, Indonesia's GDP, competitiveness (RCA) and the area of non-traditional countries have a positive and significant effect on Indonesia's exports. Meanwhile, economic distance is estimated to have a negative and significant influence on Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports.
PERSEPSI PELAKU USAHATANI TERHADAP KEBIJAKAN DAN PROGRAM INVESTASI PUBLIK DI SEKTOR PERTANIAN Hotsawadi; Setyawati, Dewi; Amaliah, Syarifah; Hermawan, Iwan; Widyastutik
RISALAH KEBIJAKAN PERTANIAN DAN LINGKUNGAN Rumusan Kajian Strategis Bidang Pertanian dan Lingkungan Vol 12 No 1 (2025): April
Publisher : Pusat Studi Pembangunan Pertanian dan Pedesaan (PSP3) dan Ilmu Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (PSL)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jkebijakan.v12i1.62166

Abstract

Investasi publik di sektor pertanian diharapkan dapat peningkatan produksi dan kesejahteraan petani. Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis persepsi pelaku usaha terhadap kebijakan dan program investasi publik di sektor pertanian. Sampel responden sebanyak 300 petani yang mengusahakan komoditas padi, jagung, kedelai, sayuran, kakao dan sawit di lima kabupaten (Subang, Indramayu, Pacitan, Lombok Utara dan Luwuk Utara). Persepsi petani berdasarkan analisis Importance Performance Analysis (IPA) menunjukkan bahwa sarana produksi, alat mesin pertanian dan infrastruktur secara umum harus dipertahankan kinerjanya. Sedangkan faktor lainnya seperti sumberdaya manusia, riset dan pengembangan, pemanfaatan teknologi, pembiayaan, kebijakan pemerintah, bantuan pemerintah serta kelembagaan, fasilitasi dan kemitraan, responden petani memiliki tingkat kepentingan dan juga persepsi kinerja yang sangat bervariasi antar lokasi sampel dan jenis komoditas. Sebagai upaya optimalisasi investasi publik, kegiatan pendampingan oleh kementerian lembaga, pihak swasta maupun perguruan tinggi kepada para petani sangat diperlukan.
MENEMBUS PASAR GLOBAL: PERFORMA DAN DAMPAK KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN TERHADAP EKSPOR MANUFAKTUR INDONESIA hotsawadi, hotsawadi; Gea, Imelda Veronica
Jurnal Ekonomi Sakti Vol 14 No 1 (2025)
Publisher : LPPM - STIE SAKTI ALAM KERINCI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36272/jes.v14i1.403

Abstract

The Indonesian manufacturing sector still faces various problems in the global market consisting of increasingly high product competition and relatively low added value. Therefore, this study aims to identify the competitiveness and influence of the level of trade openness on the performance of Indonesian manufacturing exports using the method of analyzing the degree of trade openness, Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) which is enhanced by the Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA) method, Trade Balance Index (TBI) and panel data regression. The results of the analysis found that the structure of Indonesian manufacturing exports tends to focus on low or medium technology products, while high-tech products that have greater added value are still dominated by imports. Viewed from the side of the degree of openness, it was found that the average degree of trade openness was lower than other ASEAN countries such as Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam. Low trade openness has the potential to open up global market access which ultimately limits Indonesia's opportunities to expand its market share. Meanwhile, the analysis of the results of panel data regression shows that the variables of the degree of trade openness, GDP per capita of each trading partner country, Indonesia's GDP per capita, the real exchange rate and competitiveness have a positive and significant effect on the export performance of the Indonesian manufacturing sector. Meanwhile, the population of partner countries has a negative and significant effect on Indonesia's manufacturing sector exports.
Sektor Parawisata di Manca Negara: Analisis Daya Saing Komparatif Indonesia dan Negara ASEAN: Tourism Sector Abroad: Comparative Competitiveness Analysis of Indonesia and ASEAN Countries Gea, Imelda Veronica; Hotsawadi, Hotsawadi
Jurnal Ekonomi STIEP Vol. 10 No. 1 (2025): JES (Jurnal Ekonomi STIEP)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian Dan Pengabdian Masyarakat (LPPM) IBE Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54526/jes.v10i1.400

Abstract

Indonesia has a wealth of natural resources and cultural diversity that can be developed to boost the performance of Indonesia's tourism exports in the global market. However, it has been identified that the Indonesian tourism sector is still less competitive than other ASEAN countries, especially Thailand and Singapore, in the global market. For this reason, this research aims to investigate and identify the competitiveness of the Indonesian tourism sector in the global market compared to other ASEAN countries using the Revealed Comparetive Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Market Share Index (MSI) analysis methods and panel data regression. The results of the analysis found that the sector performance and competitiveness of Thailand's tourism sector was higher than Indonesia's. On the other hand, the results of the analysis of the market share position of the Indonesian tourism sector for the twenty main targets are only around 17,398 percent with an average of 0.870 percent from 2019 to 2021. This condition shows that the potential of Indonesia's natural tourism sector with its large wealth of natural and cultural resources has not been utilized optimally to attract tourists to visit Indonesia. From the perspective of panel data regression analysis, it was identified that the variables of trade openness, population level of partner countries, real GDP of partner countries, real exchange rate (Rp/LCU) and competitiveness had a positive and significant effect on the performance of the Indonesian tourism sector. For this reason, government strategies and policies are needed to support strengthening competitive performance through strengthening infrastructure, improving the quality of human resources, creating a supportive investment climate and promoting integrated and targeted tourism.
War Shocks on Export Lanes: Is World Trade Performance Slowing Down? Hotsawadi, Hotsawadi; Veronica Gea, Imelda; Nuzulia, Nuzulia
Perspektif : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Akademi Bina Sarana Informatika Vol 23, No 2 (2025): Bulan September 2025
Publisher : www.bsi.ac.id

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31294/jp.v23i2.27433

Abstract

In recent years, geopolitical tensions and armed conflicts have had a significant impact on the global trading order. For this reason, this study aims to analyze the relationship between international armed conflict and estimated export performance using the ARDL Panel Model. The results of the estimation using the ARDL Panel Model show that military conflicts have a significant negative impact on export performance in the long run, reflecting the vulnerability of international trade to geopolitical instability. On the other hand, real GDP, population, and investment exhibit significant positive influences that enhance production capacity, expand markets, and improve export competitiveness in the global market. These findings suggest that domestic factors that support economic growth play a crucial role in maintaining export resilience, despite external challenges such as military conflicts and fluctuations in exchange rates. The real exchange rate has been shown to have a negative impact, suggesting that currency appreciation can erode the competitiveness of export prices. Therefore, exchange rate stability is a crucial factor that must be maintained
PENGEMBANGAN BAHAN AJAR MELALUI MEDIA PEMBELAJARAN FLIPBOOK PADA MATA KULIAH METODOLOGI PENELITIAN Gea, Imelda Veronica; Nuzulia; Hotsawadi; Azalia, Areta Nur Fatimah; Rarasati, Indin
Masyarakat: Jurnal Pengabdian Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : Yayasan Pendidikan Dan Pengembangan Harapan Ananda

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58740/m-jp.v2i3.571

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengembangkan dan meningkatkan kualitas pembelajaran melalui penyusunan bahan ajar digital berbasis Flipbook pada mata kuliah Metodologi Penelitian di Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Mulawarman. Teknik atau metode pelaksanaan Pengabdian dilakukan melalui lima tahap yaitu analisis pemetaan kebutuhan materi bahan ajar melalui Focus Group Discussion (FGD), desain bahan ajar, uji coba, implementasi, dan evaluasi. Hasil dari FGD menunjukkan bahwa mahasiswa membutuhkan bahan ajar yang visualitatif, aplikatif, dan interaktif. Untuk itu, flipbook dibangun dengan tujuan menghasilkan bahan ajar yang aplikatif dan interaktif sesuai dengan pendekatan pembelajaran berbasis proyek (PBL) dan kurikulum berbasis hasil (OBE). Hasil evaluasi menunjukkan bahwa penggunaan Flipbook berpotensi meningkatkan hasil belajar mahasiswa Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Mulawarman pada mata kuliah metodologi penelitian yang ditunjukkan dengan hasil pre-test 59,25 menjadi 85,00 post-test. Mahasiswa juga menganggap Flipbook yang disusun menarik, mudah digunakan, dan relevan dengan materi kuliah. Terakhir, bahan ajar digital berbasis Flipbook tersebut juga terbukti efektif dalam mendorong pembelajaran interaktif, meningkatkan kemampuan mahasiswa dalam penelitian, dan membantu transisi pendidikan menuju era digital.
Measuring Efficiency of Islamic Banking in Indonesia: Evidence from the DEA during 2021 -2024 Nuzulia; Hotsawadi, Hotsawadi
Salam (Islamic Economics Journal) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): Desember 2025
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24042/kf647j56

Abstract

ABSTRACT The dominance of Islamic banking in the national financial system remains relatively low, with a market share of financial assets of 7.3 percent as of 2023. This study aims to measure the level of efficiency of Islamic banking in Indonesia using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach and analyze variations in financial performance between Islamic banks during the 2021–2024 period. The results of the study indicate that the efficiency of Islamic banks in Indonesia remains variable. BTPN Syariah has the highest level of efficiency, followed by Panin Dubai Syariah and Victoria Syariah. On the other hand, Muamalat and Aladin Syariah were recorded as the lowest. Four of the nine Islamic banks have below-average efficiency, including BSI with an efficiency value of 62.55 percent. This shows that the size of assets does not guarantee high efficiency, as efficiency is more determined by the effectiveness of resource management. These findings suggest the need to enhance efficiency through digitalization, optimize resource management, and innovate products and services, enabling Islamic banks to become more competitive and sustainable. Keywords: Data envelopment analysis (DEA), Efficiency, Islamic banking, Sharia Bank Performance