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Journal : JAMBURA JOURNAL OF PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

ESTIMASI MODEL REGRESI SEMIPARAMETRIK SPLINE TRUNCATED MENGGUNAKAN METODE MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION (MLE) NARITA YURI ADRIANINGSIH; ANDREA TRI RIAN DANI
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 2, No 2 (2021): Jambura Journal Of Probability and Statistics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjps.v2i2.10255

Abstract

Regression modeling with a semiparametric approach is a combination of two approaches, namely the parametric regression approach and the nonparametric regression approach. The semiparametric regression model can be used if the response variable has a known relationship pattern with one or more of the predictor variables used, but with the other predictor variables the relationship pattern cannot be known with certainty. The purpose of this research is to examine the estimation form of the semiparametric spline truncated regression model. Suppose that random error is assumed to be independent, identical, and normally distributed with zero mean and variance , then using this assumption, we can estimate the semiparametric spline truncated regression model using the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method.  Based on the results, the estimation results of the semiparametric spline truncated regression model were obtained  p=(inv(M'M)) M'y 
ANALISIS KLASIFIKASI ARTIST MUSIC MENGGUNAKAN MODEL REGRESI LOGISTIK BINER DAN ANALISIS DISKRIMINAN ANDREA TRI RIAN DANI; VITA RATNASARI; LUDIA NI'MATUZZAHROH; IGAR CALVERIA AVIANTHOLIB; RADITYA NOVIDIANTO; NARITA YURI ADRIANINGSIH
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 3, No 1 (2022): Jambura Journal Of Probability and Statistics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjps.v3i1.13708

Abstract

Characteristics of a song are an important aspect that must be kept authentic by a singer. Using the Spotify API feature, we can extract the characteristics or elements of a song sung by a singer.  There are eight (8) elements that we can get from the extraction of a song, namely: Danceability, Energy, Loudness, Speechiness, Acousticness, Liveness, Valence, and Tempo. Based on the extraction results, we can label the music artist using the classification analysis method. In this study, the labels are music artists, namely Ariana Grande and Taylor Swift. This study aims to obtain the classification of music artist labels using binary logistic regression methods and discriminant analysis. The response variable used in this study is Artist Music (Y) which is categorized into two categories, namely Ariana Grande (Y=0) and Taylor Swift (Y=1). The data will be divided into training and testing data with the proportion of data 90:10 and 80:20. Based on the results of the analysis, the binary regression model that was built, with the proportion of training testing data that is 90:10 has a classification accuracy for data testing of 90.00%.
Pemodelan Kadar Hemoglobin pada Pasien Demam Berdarah di Kota Samarinda Menggunakan Regresi Semiparametrik Spline Truncated Andrea Tri Rian Dani; Fachrian Bimantoro Putra; Muhammad Aldani Zen; Sifriyani Sifriyani; Meirinda Fauziyah; Vita Ratnasari; Narita Yuri Adrianingsih
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 4, No 2 (2023): Jambura Journal Of Probability and Statistics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jjps.v4i2.18923

Abstract

This article discusses the innovation of statistical modeling in regression analysis with a semiparametric approach applied to health data. Regression analysis is a method in statistics that takes a lot of roles in statistical modeling. Regression analysis is used to model the relationship between the independent variable (x) and the dependent variable (y). There are three approaches to regression analysis, namely parametric, nonparametric, and a combination of the two, namely semiparametric. Semiparametric regression is used when the dependent variable has a known relationship with some of the independent variables and has an unknown pattern of a relationship with some of the other independent variables. The purpose of this study was to model hemoglobin levels in dengue fever patients, with the independent variables used being the number of hematocrits (x1) and the number of leukocytes (x2). The method used is spline truncated semiparametric regression. The truncated spline estimator was chosen for the nonparametric component because it has many advantages in modeling, one of which is being able to model patterns where the form of the relationship is unknown. The parameter estimation used is the maximum estimation. Selection of the optimal knot point using Generalized Cross-Validation (GCV). Based on the results of the analysis, the truncated spline semiparametric regression model was obtained which was applied to the hemoglobin level data in a model with three knots which have a coefficient of determination of 89.074%. Based on the results of testing the hypothesis simultaneously, it can be concluded that simultaneously the independent variable has a significant effect on the dependent variable. In the partial test, it is concluded that the variables x1 and x2 have a significant influence on the dependent variable y .
Faktor Yang Berpengaruh Terhadap Kematian Bayi Baru Lahir Di Daerah Kepulauan Alor Adrianingsih, Narita Yuri; Hinadang, Elen A.; Dani, Andrea Tri Rian; Novitasari, Nilam
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 5, No 2 (2024): Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jjps.v5i2.19432

Abstract

Binary logistic regression is an analysis that aims to determine the relationship between one or more predictor variables that are quantitative, qualitative, or a combination of both to a dichotomous response variable with two categories. Binary logistic regression analysis can also be applied in the health sector, especially in newborns' dead or alive status. Infant deaths in Indonesia, especially in the Alor Islands, are still widespread, which is due to several factors. In this study, several variables are thought to influence the status of the newborn, namely the newborn's weight, the baby's body length, the baby's gender, asphyxia, the mother's systolic blood pressure, and the mother's age at birth. The results of the analysis from this research showed that the factor that influences the death of newborn babies in the Alor Islands area is asphyxia. Newborn babies who experience asphyxia are 109,947 times more likely to die compared to babies who do not experience asphyxia.  
PENGUJIAN HIPOTESIS SIMULTAN MODEL REGRESI NONPARAMETRIK SPLINE TRUNCATED DALAM PEMODELAN KASUS EKONOMI DANI, ANDREA TRI RIAN; ADRIANINGSIH, NARITA YURI; AINURROCHMAH, ALIFTA
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 1, No 2 (2020): Jambura Journal of Probability and Statictics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjps.v1i2.7755

Abstract

The pattern in a relationship between the response variable and the predictor variable can be known and some cannot be known. In determining the unknown pattern of relationships, nonparametric regression approaches can be used. The nonparametric regression approach is very flexible. One of the most frequently used nonparametric regression approaches is the truncated spline. Truncated splines are polynomial pieces that are segmented and continuous. The purpose of this study is to obtain the best estimator model in the Gini Ratio case against the variables suspected of influencing it, then perform simultaneous hypothesis testing on the nonparametric regression model. The criteria for the goodness of the model use the GCV and R2 values. In the case modeling of the District / City Gini Ratio in East Java Province using a nonparametric regression approach, it was found that the truncated spline estimator with 3 knots points gave quite good results. This is indicated by the coefficient of determination of the truncated spline estimator, which is 84.76%. Based on the results of simultaneous testing, it was found that the open unemployment rate, the percentage of poor people and the rate of economic growth simultaneously had an influence on the Gini Ratio.