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<![CDATA[PERAMALAN TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE TIME SERIES DENGAN MODEL ARIMA DAN HOLT-WINTERS ]]>
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>;
<![CDATA[Juarna, Asep]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ilmiah Informatika Komputer Vol 26, No 1 (2021) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Gunadarma ]]>
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DOI: 10.35760/ik.2021.v26i1.3512
<![CDATA[Beberapa penyebab terjadinya pengangguran di Indonesia ialah, tingkat urbanisasi, tingkat industrialisasi, proporsi angkatan kerja SLTA dan upah minimum provinsi. Faktor-faktor tersebut turut serta mempengaruhi persentase data terkait tingkat pengangguran menjadi sedikit fluktuatif. Berdasarkan pergerakan persentase data tersebut, diperlukan sebuah prediksi untuk mengetahui persentase tingkat pengangguran di masa depan dengan menggunakan konsep peramalan. Pada penelitian ini, peneliti melakukan analisis peramalan time series menggunakan metode Box-Jenkins dengan model Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) dan metode Exponential Smoothing dengan model Holt-Winters. Pada penelitian ini, peramalan dilakukan dengan menggunakan dataset tingkat pengangguran dari tahun 2005 hingga 2019 per 6 bulan antara Februari hingga Agustus. Peneliti akan melihat evaluasi Range Mean Square Error (RMSE) dan Mean Square Error (MSE) terkecil dari setiap model time series. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, ARIMA(0,1,12) menjadi model yang terbaik untuk metode Box-Jenkins sedangkan Holt-Winters dengan alpha(mean) = 0.3 dan beta(trend) = 0.4 menjadi yang terbaik pada metode Exponential Smoothing. Pemilihan model terbaik dilanjutkan dengan perbandingan nilai akurasi RMSE dan MSE. Pada model ARIMA(0,1,12) nilai RMSE = 1.01 dan MSE = 1.0201, sedangkan model Holt-Winters menghasilkan nilai RMSE = 0.45 dan MSE = 0.2025. Berdasarkan data tersebut terpilih model Holt-Winters sebagai model terbaik untuk peramalan data tingkat pengangguran di Indonesia.]]>
<![CDATA[The Meaning of Jihad in Abu Obaida's Oration on The Palestinian Conflict ]]>
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>;
<![CDATA[Al Anshory, Abdul Muntaqim]]>;
<![CDATA[Hasaniyah, Nur]]>
<![CDATA[ Al-Muyassar: Journal of Arabic Education Vol 3, No 2 (2024): Al-Muyassar: Journal of Arabic Education ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Prodi Pendidikan Bahasa Arab, Universitas Muhammadiyah Tangerang ]]>
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<![CDATA[This article examines the meaning of jihad conveyed in Abu Obaida's oration during the conflict in Palestine. The research background covers the historical and political context of the region, as well as the relevance of Abu Obaida's role in inspiring resistance movements. The purpose of this study is to analyze Abu Obaida's understanding of jihad to Hamas forces, Palestinians, Muslims, Arab leaders, the World Security Council (UN) and Jihad through social media. The oration explained the social and political factors that influenced his views, as well as encouraged the impact of his oration on the movement in Palestine. The research methods used were the analysis of the content of Abu Obaida's oration, the study of related literature, and the opinions of historical and political experts. The data were analyzed qualitatively to understand the context, meaning, and implications of Abu Obaida's oration. The results showed that Abu Obaida interpreted jihad as a struggle for justice, liberation, and the rights of the Palestinian people. This understanding is reflected in the historical context and political conflicts facing Palestine. His oration succeeded in mobilizing and inspiring his audience, strengthening the spirit of resistance. The conclusion of this article presents a comprehensive overview of the meaning of jihad in the context of the Palestinian conflict through Abu Obaida's oration. This understanding provides deep insight into the factors shaping jihadist views in the conflict and can be a foundation for understanding the dynamics of movements in the region.]]>
<![CDATA[Skinophile: The Art Of Skincare Selection With Haar Wavelet ]]>
<![CDATA[Wibisono, Giovanni]]>;
<![CDATA[Setiawan, Johan]]>;
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>
<![CDATA[ International Journal of Science, Technology & Management Vol. 4 No. 6 (2023): November 2023 ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Publisher Cv. Inara ]]>
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DOI: 10.46729/ijstm.v4i6.960
<![CDATA[In this study, a mobile application has been developed with the primary objective of classifying facial skin types to facilitate the selection of appropriate skincare products tailored to individual skin needs. The motivation behind this research stems from the widespread issue of individuals being unaware of their specific skin types, which often leads to suboptimal skincare routines and, in some cases, adverse effects such as skin dullness and damage. To address this challenge, a comprehensive problem-solving approach has been adopted. The methodology encompasses the utilization of the Haar Wavelets method for facial image feature extraction, complemented by the application of the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm for precise skin type classification. Face Recognition technology has also been integrated to enhance the accuracy and reliability of the classification process.In terms of system development, an Agile methodology has been employed, facilitating swift and cost-effective project completion. This agile approach ensures the development process is efficient, reducing both time and financial resources.The mobile application developed for this purpose utilizes the Python programming language, specifically incorporating the PyWavelets library. The culmination of this research effort is a user-friendly mobile application that enables users to capture their facial images. Subsequently, the application employs advanced algorithms to identify their specific skin type, providing personalized recommendations for suitable skincare products and routines. This innovative solution aims to empower individuals with the knowledge and tools necessary to enhance the effectiveness of their skincare regimen, ultimately promoting healthier and more radiant skin.]]>
<![CDATA[COMBINATION OF BAGHDADIYAH AND ADZ-DZIKRA MEDIA IN ARABIC LEARNING MEDIA AT SDPT ULUL ABSHOR SEMARANG ]]>
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>;
<![CDATA[Al Anshory, Abdul Muntaqim]]>;
<![CDATA[Hasaniyah, Nur]]>;
<![CDATA[Hasyim, Muhammad]]>
<![CDATA[ Abjadia : International Journal of Education Vol 9, No 2 (2024): Abjadia ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang ]]>
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DOI: 10.18860/abj.v9i2.27918
<![CDATA[This study aims to determine the effectiveness of the use of a combination of Baghdadiyah and Adz-Dzikra media in Arabic language learning at SDPT Ulul Abshor Semarang. Baghdadiyah media is used to help students recognize and understand the shape and pronunciation of Arabic letters, while Adz-Dzikra media facilitates students to practice writing Arabic letters, words, and sentences directly. The research method used is a case study with a qualitative approach. Data were collected through observation, interviews, and documentation during the Arabic language learning process at SDPT Ulul Abshor. Data analysis was carried out descriptively to identify the benefits and impacts of using the combination of media. The results of the study showed that the use of a combination of Baghdadiyah and Adz-Dzikra media proved to be effective in increasing the effectiveness of learning, as well as the ability to read and write Arabic sentences in students. Students are not only able to recognize Arabic letters, but also can compose and write simple sentences properly and correctly. In addition, the use of this combination of media also increases students' enthusiasm and motivation to learn Arabic. Based on the results of the study, it was concluded that the combination of Baghdadiyah and Adz-Dzikra media can be optimally utilized to improve the quality of Arabic language teaching at the elementary school level. Schools and teachers need to continue to develop the use of this combination of media in a more systematic Arabic learning plan.]]>
<![CDATA[Utilization of Kinemaster Application in Improving Learning Outcomes ]]>
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>;
<![CDATA[Muklis, Fauzan]]>;
<![CDATA[Patry, Him]]>
<![CDATA[ International Journal of Language and Ubiquitous Learning Vol. 1 No. 1 (2023) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Yayasan Pendidikan Islam Daarut Thufulah ]]>
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DOI: 10.70177/ijlul.v1i1.563
<![CDATA[Background. They are constrained by the network and do not have a HandPhone so that the video displayed during learning in the Zoom Meeting is sent back to the WhatSapp Group of class 3. Purpose. The purpose of this article is to find out what methods or media are suitable for students during the Covid-19 pandemic. Then the technology that can be utilized in the learning process so that educators and students can still meet virtually during the learning process. Method. The technique used in this investigation is an approximation technique by conducting a survey of the school before the online teaching process is carried out with the aim of seeing what kind of methods and media are used by educators at the elementary school. Then pay attention to the reaction of students at the first meeting of learning in this investigation. After that, analyze and find solutions so that learning runs effectively without discomfort and disinterest of students in the learning process. Results. In the first part, it can be recapitulated that 90% of learners cannot understand the learning provided through WhatSapp Group. In the second part, it can be recapitulated that 96% of students can understand the learning well, the learning process takes place through the Zoom Meeting application by displaying learning media in the form of videos created and edited using the KineMaster application. 4% of the learners experienced problems during the learning process. Conclusion. This investigation is detailed into 2 parts, in the first part, the application and the way of learning that is applied are not effective, in the second part all obstacles are corrected so that it can be concluded that the learning media created through the KineMaster application in the form of videos and shared through the Zoom Meeting application really causes a positive reaction to students.]]>
<![CDATA[Web-Based Assignment Information System Serves to Improve Economic Research at Universities and Public Services ]]>
<![CDATA[Susanto, Meitio]]>;
<![CDATA[Johan, Monika Evelin]]>;
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>;
<![CDATA[Fianty, Melissa Indah]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Vol. 6, No. 1 (March 2024) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[SAFE-Network ]]>
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DOI: 10.37034/infeb.v6i1.824
<![CDATA[Community Outreach is one of the Tridharma of Higher Education which is the obligation of lecturers in Indonesia. The Institute for Research and Community Outreach (LPPM) at Universitas Multimedia Nusantara (UMN) is an institution that supports and facilitates Community Outreach activities, starting from submitting proposals, monitoring implementation, assignment letters, and completion reports. There are several procedures such as filling in data on a form which can be accessed using the Linktree link. This makes it difficult for LPPM admins to manually recap data by checking the forms that have been submitted. Even though there is a Research and Community Outreach (RCOS) website, there is no feature for Community Outreach services yet. This research develops the RCOS LPPM website at UMN by adding features for Community Outreach services. By using the Agile development method which focuses on developers, existing software, customers, and change requirements, the web-based information system created is expected to further complement the digitalization and automation of LPPM UMN service features, making it easier for both lecturers and admins in the process.]]>
<![CDATA[Argumentasi Saksi Ahli dalam Sidang Penistaan Agama oleh Basuki Tjahaja Purnama di Kepulauan Seribu ]]>
<![CDATA[Subuki, Makyun]]>;
<![CDATA[Erowati, Rosida]]>;
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>
<![CDATA[ Dialektika: Jurnal Bahasa, Sastra, dan Pendidikan Bahasa dan Sastra Indonesia Vol 10, No 2 (2023) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Department of Indonesia Language and Literature Teaching, UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta ]]>
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DOI: 10.15408/dialektika.v10i2.31595
<![CDATA[Ahok's controversial statements on the Thousand Islands seem not only led to massive and repeated demonstrations, but also linguistic debates in the courtroom. This study aims to examine the arguments of linguists who give statements in the courtroom in response to Ahok's statement. As a qualitative study using discourse analysis as a method of analysis, this study uses a critical argumentation approach developed by Walton (2002 and 2006) to examine how the argument was constructed and evaluate the quality of the argument. The analysis in this study indicates that the opinion of linguists presented by public prosecutors is often inconsistent and not based on adequate linguistic evidence, not only inconsistent with other expert statements, but also with his own statement as a scientist. Conversely, the linguist presented by Ahok's counsel is more consistent and more able to present linguistic evidence more adequately.]]>
<![CDATA[The Views of Nahdlatul Ulama Leaders on the Problem of Saweran to Qori'ah ]]>
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>;
<![CDATA[Nasrulloh, Nasrulloh]]>
<![CDATA[ Santri: Journal of Pesantren and Fiqh Sosial Vol 4 No 2 (2023): December (2023) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[The Institute of Research and Service Community IPMAFA Pati ]]>
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DOI: 10.35878/santri.v4i2.991
<![CDATA[This article aims to provide an in-depth understanding of Nahdlatul Ulama figures and their influence on the phenomenon of saweran (giving money or gifts) to Qori'ah (Qur'an reciters) in various religious events. The article aims to convey the views of Islamic scholars regarding the legal, ethical, and social impact aspects of this practice, as well as provide a perspective that can provide solutions to the problems that occur. Nahdlatul Ulama (NU) is one of Indonesia's most prominent Islamic organizations, which significantly influences the development of Islam in Indonesia. The data was collected qualitatively by looking at primary sources of Nahdlatul Ulama media, including websites, applications, social media, and secondary sources from other media that also reported on the views of Nahdlatul Ulama figures. The data taken is comprehensive, where the researcher tries to take all existing data objectively so that valid data processing is produced. The theory presented in this article comes from the books of classical and contemporary scholars related to the discussion. The results of this study indicate that the views of Nahdlatul Ulama (NU) leaders had succeeded in becoming a warning and advice for the people of Indonesia to abandon the saweran tradition against Qori'ah because it is not by social norms and violates the manners and ethics in Islam when recited the holy verses of the Qur'an.]]>
<![CDATA[Utilizing Sentiment Analysis for Reflect and Improve Education in Indonesia ]]>
<![CDATA[Henderi, Henderi]]>;
<![CDATA[Asro, Asro]]>;
<![CDATA[Sulaiman, Agus]]>;
<![CDATA[Kurniawan, Tri Basuki]]>;
<![CDATA[Dewi, Deshinta Arrova]]>;
<![CDATA[AlQudah, Mashal]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 6, No 1: JANUARY 2025 ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Bright Publisher ]]>
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DOI: 10.47738/jads.v6i1.527
<![CDATA[This study explores the potential of sentiment analysis in providing valuable insights into education in Indonesia based on comments from the YouTube platform. Utilizing the Naive Bayes Classifier method, this research analyzed 13,386 processed comments out of 17,920 original comments. The results show that 53.8% of comments were negative, while 28.5% were positive, and 17.7% were neutral, reflecting diverse perspectives on existing educational issues. The Accuracy of this model reached up to 72.51% with testing on various sample sizes (10%-30%), indicating the model's effectiveness in identifying sentiments. Although the model tends to classify comments as unfavorable, this opens opportunities for introspection and improvement within the educational system. Further analysis with a word cloud revealed dominant keywords, indicating areas that require more attention in public discussions about education. By leveraging this sentiment analysis, the study offers practical and valuable guidance for policymakers to reflect on and enhance educational strategies and policies in Indonesia. This research measures public reactions and aims to foster more constructive and inclusive discussions about the sustainable development of education in Indonesia.]]>
<![CDATA[Development of Indonesian Language in Vocabulary Absorption ]]>
<![CDATA[sulaiman, Agus]]>;
<![CDATA[Hoon, Kim Dong]]>
<![CDATA[ JELL (Journal of English Language and Literature) STIBA-IEC Jakarta Vol 10 No 01 (2025): JELL STIBA IEC ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[STIBA IEC JAKARTA ]]>
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DOI: 10.37110/jell.v10i01.278
<![CDATA[The purpose of this study is to analyze the process of Indonesian vocabulary development by describing the absorption of Indonesian from elements of foreign language absorption and regional languages as well as languages that develop in Indonesian society. Indonesian continues to develop through the process of vocabulary expansion which includes absorption from foreign languages, native languages, and also cognate languages. The data collection for this study was through the observation method with data recording techniques taken by taking representative samples of loan words originating from foreign languages. From the results of the study, foreign language loan vocabulary was obtained in KBBI which came from 4 foreign languages that were adopted into Indonesian. such as Arabic, English, Greek, and Italian. Loan words originating from native languages, namely Sanskrit, and cognate loan words originating from Malay, Arabic, and Javanese. From the analysis, it shows that language expansion enriches Indonesian vocabulary without losing its original cultural identity. This phenomenon also reflects the influence of globalization, local creativity, and historical relationships between cognate languages.]]>
