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KEMAJUAN TEKNOLOGI DAN KECEPATAN PERPUTARAN UANG: STUDI KASUS INDONESIA Huljannah, Mutia; Satria, Doni
ECOsains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan ECOsains Vol.10 No.1 2021
Publisher : ECOsains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan

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Abstract

Technological developments and financial innovations, especially in the payment system, have encouraged banks around the world to carry out a number of innovations that have resulted in a new paperless based financial system. The finding that the payment system innovation affects the circulation of money and the stability of the monetary condition of a country, makes this risk possible in Indonesia. By using the error correction model, this study can provide information on the short run dynamic relationship and the impact of payment system innovation represented by non cash payment instruments such as credit cards, debit cards, e-money and payment transaction settlement processes (national clearing system and real time gross settlement) on the velocity of money in Indonesia in the period 2016M1 to 2020M6. The results of the research findings state that the impact generated by the rapid velocity of payment system innovation on the velocity of money circulation is not temporary, this is evidenced by the effect of payment system innovation on the velocity of money circulation which continues over a long period of time.
Peluang Wanita Bekerja Keluar dari Pasar Tenaga Kerja Setelah Menikah Yeni, Isra; Marta, Joan; Satria, Doni; Adry, Melti Roza; Putri, Dewi Zaini; Sari, Yollit Permata; Akbar, Urmatul Uska; Putra, Hari Setia
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 22, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Working after marriage is a dilemma for most women in Indonesia. This study estimates the probability of a working woman to exit the labor market after marriage. Using the Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS) data from the 2007 and 2014 waves, this study estimates a logit model on the probability of a working woman to exit the labor force. This study found that working in the formal sector is the most significant variable to encourage a working woman to leave the labor force. The policy recommendation of this study is reducing the opportunity costs of working for women in the formal sector
Pengaruh Crowding Out Pengeluaran Tembakau terhadap Konsumsi Rumah Tangga di Sumatra Barat Akbar, Urmatul Uska; Sari, Yollit Permata; Marta, Joan; Satria, Doni; Adry, Melti Roza; Putri, Dewi Zaini; Yeni, Isra
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 22, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Crowding out analysis emphasizes the extent to which household spending on tobacco affects other baskets of household expenditures. The data used in this study is the National Socio-Economic Survey in 2016. Using the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System equation, this study found that tobacco expenditure has a negative and significant effect on almost all types of household expenditures, such as fuel, education, entertainment, clothing, health, and durable goods. Household durable goods expenditure is the most displaced or sacrificed, followed by education expenditure. This finding reveals tobacco consumption has effect on human capital investment and long-run economic growth in West Sumatra.
Dampak Jaminan terhadap Peluang Memperoleh Kredit bagi UMKM di Sumatera Barat Marta, Joan; Satria, Doni
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 16, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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This paper reveals that West Sumatera banking sector are more likely using the availability of collateral for the credit to micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME). Using 384 sample size from MSME in West Sumatera, if a MSME have enough collateral, the probability of their credit application to be rejected by banks will fall from 59.9% to 11.7% comparing to they don’t have enough collateral. This finding proved a credit guarantee scheme is needed, and for the further study it is recommended to conduct research on the characteristic of the potentials of MSME as a credit scoring model for banks.
Eksplorasi Harga Bahan Pokok sebagai Indikator Dini Pengendalian Inflasi di Sumatera Barat Fauzi, Kory Rahmat; Salim, Agus; Satria, Doni
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 12, No 1 (2023): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan (Mei 2023)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.12291057.00

Abstract

This study explores inflation’s leading indicators in West Sumatra using ten strategic commodities prices. These ten strategic commodities are rice, beef, chicken meat, chicken egg, onion, garlic, red chili, cayenne pepper, cooking oil, and sugar. This study employs the Granger Causality Test to infer the inflation’s leading indicators in West Sumatra using monthly time series data from August 2017 up to December 2021. The results show red chili and chicken meat have a positive and significant effect on inflation in West Sumatra and can be used as Leading Indicators of West Sumatra inflation. The main implication of this finding is the inflation rate would be as volatile as red chili and chicken meat prices.
Peran Guncangan Terms of Trade terhadap Dinamika Inflasi di Indonesia Mashuri Sukma, Jumatul Ichsan; Satria, Doni
Jurnal Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Vol 13 No 2 (2024): August
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52813/jei.v13i2.368

Abstract

Integrasi perekonomian global dalam tiga dekade terakhir telah menyebabkan perubahan siklus bisnis, terutama di negara berkembang yang ekspornya didominasi oleh komoditas primer seperti Indonesia. Negara-negara tersebut rentan dipengaruhi oleh guncangan global yang ditransmisikan melalui guncangan terms of trade. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh guncangan terms of trade terhadap dinamika inflasi di Indonesia. Hasil analisis Impluse Response Function (IRF) menunjukkan adanya respons positif dari fluktuasi siklus bisnis yang meliputi neraca perdagangan, pendapatan per kapita, konsumsi, investasi, dan dinamika inflasi terhadap guncangan terms of trade. Namun, hasil analisis Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) mengindikasikan bahwa guncangan terms of trade tidak memiliki peran signifikan dalam dinamika inflasi di Indonesia. Oleh karena itu, penerapan kebijakan makroprudensial, moneter, dan aliran modal asing tidak menjadi prioritas dalam mengatasi guncangan terms of trade karena tidak berhubunganlangsung dengan dinamika inflasi.
Dampak Stabilitas Ekonomi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Jangka Panjang Yurahman, Dede; Satria, Doni
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 1 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 1, Maret 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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Economic stability plays a crucial role in ensuring long-term economic growth and the well-being of a country. This study examines the impact of economic stability on long-term economic growth by analyzing key variables such as interest rates, population growth, capital accumulation, and technological advancements. Utilizing panel data regression analysis, this research finds that economic stability significantly contributes to long-term economic growth by reducing population growth volatility and providing a conducive investment environment. Additionally, technological advancements and capital accumulation play vital roles in enhancing economic productivity. The findings suggest that policymakers should prioritize economic stability to ensure sustainable economic growth in the future
Analisis Dampak Kebijakan Moneter Amerika Serikat terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah dan Inflasi Indonesia Vivika, Amanda; Satria, Doni; Nelonda, Selli
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 7, No 1 (2025): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan (Maret 2025)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/jkep.v7i1.17253

Abstract

This study examines the impact of the United States Monetary Policy (FFR) on  Indonesia’s exchange rate and inflation , as well as how  Indonesia’s interest rate (SBI) responds to FFR changes using Vector Autoregression (VAR), Impulse Response Function (IRF), and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEDV). The results indicate that FFR increases lead to Rupiah depreciation in the short term due to capital outflows, while inflation rises through cost-push inflation.  Although SBI is effective in stabilizing the exchange rate and inflation in the short term, its influence weakens over time as external factors become more dominant. Additionally, higher FFR reduces investment and consumption, which recover as domestic monetary policies stabilize. Thus,  Bank Indonesia must adjust interest rates, intervene in the foreign exchange market, and strengthen fiscal policy coordination to maintain economic stability amid global volatility.
Peran Tata Kelola Pemerintahan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Asia Febrian, Marisa; Satria, Doni
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 2, Juni 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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This research investigates the impact of governance on economic growth in 47 Asian countries over the period 2013 to 2022. Adopting a quantitative approach, the research relies on secondary data sourced from the World Bank. Panel data regression analysis is employed. The Fixed Effect Model is determined to be the most suitable estimation method. Data analysis is conducted using EViews 13. The results indicate that: (1) Voice and accountability, along with political stability and absence of violence/terrorism, have a significant effect on economic growth. (2) Control variables, specifically foreign direct investment and labor force participation rate, also demonstrate significant influence. (3) Among these, the labor force participation rate consistently shows a strong positive impact on economic growth.
Dampak Ketidakpastian Kebijakan Ekonomi Terhadap Persepsi Risiko Sektor Perbankan di Indonesia Aulia, Putri; Satria, Doni
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 2, Juni 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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This study aims to analyse the effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on banking risk perception in Indonesia. The data used is panel data from 48 commercial banks during the period 2007 to 2023. The analysis method used is panel data regression with Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) approach and processed using EViews software. The results showed that the variables of EPU, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, Return on Assets (ROA), and Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) had a significant effect on the perception of banking risk. An increase in EPU has an effect on increasing risk perception, which indicates that banks tend to be more cautious in the face of economic policy uncertainty. In addition, macroeconomic variables such as inflation, GDP, ROA, and LDR also influence changes in bank risk perception. This finding confirms the important role of macroeconomic factors in managing risk and maintaining the stability of the banking sector in Indonesia.