Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
7.553
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Pixel : Jurnal Ilmiah Komputer Grafis Jurnal Pengabdian UntukMu NegeRI Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) JURNAL ILMIAH INFORMATIKA JURNAL PETIK JURNAL TEKNOLOGI DAN OPEN SOURCE Digital Zone: Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi JATI (Jurnal Mahasiswa Teknik Informatika) Jurnal Digital Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Sistem Informasi (JIKOMSI) Journal of Information Technology Ampera Jurnal FASILKOM (teknologi inFormASi dan ILmu KOMputer) Jurnal Computer Science and Information Technology (CoSciTech) JPM: JURNAL PENGABDIAN MASYARAKAT Jurnal Indonesia : Manajemen Informatika dan Komunikasi Da'watuna: Journal of Communication and Islamic Broadcasting Reputasi: Jurnal Rekayasa Perangkat Lunak Action Research Literate (ARL) Abdiformatika: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Informatika Kontribusi: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Esensi Infokom: Jurnal Esensi Sistem Informasi dan Sistem Komputer Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Abdi Putra Jurnal Informatika Teknologi dan Sains (Jinteks) PROSISKO : Jurnal Pengembangan Riset dan observasi Rekayasa Sistem Komputer KOMMAS: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Sains Informatika Terapan (JSIT) Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Journal of Software Engineering and Information System (SEIS) SATIN - Sains dan Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Netnografi Komunikasi Journal of International Multidisciplinary Research Jurnal Indonesia : Manajemen Informatika dan Komunikasi Jurnal Pancasila dan Kewarganegaraan (JUPANK) KOMPUTASI Scientific Journal of Computer Science
Edo Arribe, Edo
Universitas Muhammadiyah Riau
Religion Aerospace Engineering Arts Humanities Astronomy Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

Published : 70 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search
Journal : Scientific Journal of Computer Science

 1 
A Statistical Approach to Crime Rate Prediction Using Multiple Linear Regression Wijaya, Setiawan Ardi; Arribe, Edo; Muhitualdi
Scientific Journal of Computer Science Vol. 1 No. 2 (2025): December
Publisher : PT. Teknologi Futuristik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64539/sjcs.v1i2.2025.47

Abstract

The high crime rate in Riau Province poses a serious threat to social stability and public safety, requiring accurate prediction strategies to support crime prevention efforts. Based on data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Riau ranked seventh among the provinces with the highest crime rates in Indonesia in 2022, indicating that conventional prevention efforts remain insufficient. However, studies applying statistical data-based prediction models to crime in Riau are still limited, creating a gap in data-driven decision making. This study aims to develop a crime rate prediction model in Riau Province using the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) method with BPS crime data from 2019–2023. The independent variables include six types of crime: corruption, drug dealers, drug users, terrorism, illegal logging, and human trafficking, while the dependent variable is the total number of crimes per district or city. The research process involved data collection, understanding, preprocessing, application of linear regression algorithms, model training and testing, and evaluation using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The results show that Pekanbaru City recorded the highest number of cases, mostly related to drug crimes. The model predicts an increase in Pekanbaru’s cases from 3,331 in 2024 to 5,852 in 2027, while Dumai City is projected to decline from 543 to 397 cases. The model demonstrates high accuracy in most areas, particularly in Kampar (MAPE 0.28%), Siak (0.52%), and Rokan Hilir (0.94%), though less accurate in the Meranti Islands (565.99%) due to data instability. These findings prove that the Multiple Linear Regression method effectively predicts crime trends and can serve as a quantitative decision-making tool for law enforcement and local governments. Further research should include socioeconomic factors such as poverty and unemployment, and compare results with alternative forecasting methods like ARIMA and Exponential Smoothing to enhance prediction accuracy.
Co-Authors Abdel Haris Aragati Abdussalam, Rafiq Afrida, Ayuni Ahyaruddin, Muhammad Akbar Ananda, Farhan Alfakih Anggi Subekti Alfakih Anggi Subekti Alfarizy Rasyid, Harrasyid Andrean, M. Rayhan Andria, Muhammad Luthfillah Anjally Jayema Annisa Annisa Ulfa Ardita Arsyanda , Nabilla Arum Porbowati Aryanto Aryanto Aryanto Aryanto Aryanto Aryanto Aryanto Aryanto Aryanto Aryanto Asrianto, Rudy Azura, Yollanda Bangun, Elsi Titasari Br Br Bangun, Elsi Titasari Damara, Muhammad Zidane Damayanti Nasution Anti Damila, Miesie Sasikirana Desti Syavira Amanda DEVA WULANDARI Doni Winarso, Doni Eliyani Safitri Fachrul Rozi Fadilah Andina Hikmah Farezy, Virgi Fauzan, Wahyu Fazilla, Rahma Muti Febrilyana Wulandari Fernando, Aldi Fhingkan Agustina, Fatimah Fikri Wanda Putra Firmansyah, Denny Fransisko S, Dedi Furqoon Khalilullah, Muhammad Gulo, Yarnimawati Hafid, Afdhil Hafsari, Rizka Hakim, Ahmad Baihaki Hanif Luthfie Haris Aragati, Abdel Haris Haris, Haris Harun Mukhtar Hasanah, Nabela Nurul Hermawan, Fauzan Iman, Muhammad Khairul Inessthasia M. Ijfi Irfan Al Falah Irfan Sulthoni Isnaini, Ulfatul Jati Nugroho Juli Saputra Khumaedah, Nur Lopez, Febrian Maula Zhakiyah, Annisa Miransya, Virgiandika Muhammad Arief Akbar Muhammad Iqbal Syaputra Muhammad Luthfillah Andria Muhammad Ryandi Muhammad Zidane Damara Muhardi Muhitualdi Muslim, Nurul Alifa Putri Muzdhalifatul Ijfi, Inessthasia Nabil Iqbal, Ahmad Nabila Nurfadhilah Nayla Tsabitah Nouvalia Devega, Salsa Nurfadhilah, Nabila Nurul Alifa Putri Muslim Oktaviani, Tata Tiara Oky Setiawan Pancarani, Aliffa Mutia Porbowati, Arum PRATAMA, ARYA SAFTA Pratama, Dzaky Medlin Putra, Rachel Pramana Putri Leri, Zeli Putri, Cindy Wijaya Putri, Nurhidayah Putri, Sy. Riska Arjianti putriani Rama Putra Ramadhan Mufid, Farhan Raysad Zein Rezeki, Rezeki Riri Angraini Risnal Diansyah, Risnal Risnen Nirwana Rizka Hafsari Rizka Hafsari Rizki, M. Rizky Pratama Gulo Rudi Asrianto Sabila Zharfa Safitri, Eliyani Sakhila Ramadanadiva Arvi Salsabila, Oktaviani Ghina Salsabilah, Annisa Eka Salsabilla, Fania Salsabilla, Natasya Sandra Aulia Sarhan Pratama Sartika, Retno Wulan Setyawan Ardhi Wijaya Shabtina, Putri Hadeya Shahrulniza Musa Silvia Rahmayuni Siti Rodiah Syafri Andini, Vhany Syahril Syahril Syahril syahril Syahril Syahril Syahril Syahril Syahril Tengku Muhammad Zainul Aprilizar Vania Marisa Virgiandika Miransya Wahyu, Nova Wide Mulyana Widiastuti, Eka Wijaya, Setiawan Ardi Wijaya, Setyawan Ardhi Willy Fadhilah Wira Yudha Wisnu Wardhana Wiyrabawa Kainna Putra Rachman Wulandari, Febrilyana Yollanda Azura Zein, M. Rasyad Zharfa, Sabila