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Ade Novalina
Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi
Aerospace Engineering Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Automotive Engineering Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Electrical & Electronics Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Social Sciences Other

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INFLATION FLUCTUATIONS AND ECONOMIC TURBOS IN INDONESIA Ade Novalina; Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Jannatun Aswani
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 2 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i2.190

Abstract

This study aims to determine whether the money supply, investment, consumption, and economic growth variables have a significant effect on inflation. To find out whether the variables of government expenditure, unemployment, and inflation have a significant effect on economic growth. The data analysis model in this study is simultaneous regression. The data analysis technique used is the quantitative method. Data were processed from the Central Bureau of Statistics from 2007 to 2021. The results of this study indicate that based on the estimation results, the t-count value is obtained, the money supply variable has a significant effect on inflation. The investment variable has no significant effect on inflation. The consumption variable has no significant effect on inflation. The economic growth variable has no significant effect on inflation. The government expenditure variable has a significant effect on economic growth. The unemployment variable has a significant effect on economic growth. The inflation variable has a significant effect on economic growth. In order to reduce the inflation rate to a low level, Bank Indonesia should use monetary policy to reduce the money supply.
Optimizing Monetary Policy Transmission Through The Emerging Market Interest Rate Channel Wahyu Indah Sari; Ade Novalina; Annisa Sanny
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 2 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i2.212

Abstract

Research using the ARDL Panel Model includes Inflation, Gross Domestic Product, Total Money Supply, Exchange Rates, Consumption, Investment, and Interest Rate in Asia's Three Emerging Markets namely India, China, and Indonesia which aims to boost the economy. This study uses secondary data with a quantitative research type using ARDL Panel Regression, the software used is Eviews 10 with cross-section data for 3 Emerging Market Countries, namely India, China, and Indonesia time series data for 2001-2020. The research results show that Exchange Rates, Investments, and Interest Rates can also be leading indicators to support price stability in Indonesia, China, and India, but their positions are unstable in the long run and short run. The main leading indicator in optimizing the variables in controlling price stability in the Three Emerging Markets Asia is Consumption seen from the stability of the short run and long run, where the long-term and short-term interest rate variables are significant in controlling price stability.
PREDICTION OF EXCHANGE RATE INTEGRATION IN FOUR EMERGING MARKET COUNTRIES Ade Novalina; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Bhaktiar Efendi; Dilla Fadila Rusmawadi; Nasib Nasib
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi, 2023 Periode Januari - Maret
Publisher : SEAN Institute

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Abstract

This study analyzes monetary policy variables on exchange rate stability. Where is the purpose of this study to see the contribution of variable inflation, the amount of money in circulation, interest rates, and foreign exchange reserves in dealing with exchange rates? The problem that has existed so far is the inaccuracy of the policies used to maintain exchange rate stability. However, this study predicts being able to use monetary policy in dealing with exchange rate problems. Four countries will be studied, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines. Analysis to see leading indicators per country using the ARDL Panel method. The results of interest rates and the money supply can become the main leading indicators (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines), but their positions are unstable in the short run and long run. The main leading indicator of the effectiveness of monetary policy which can become the leading indicator for Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines in maintaining exchange rate stability is the interest rate variable seen from a short-run and long-run stability. Where the interest rate variable in the short term and long term is significant for the stability of the exchange rate.
THE STRENGTH OF THE SEEMINGLY UNRELATED REGRESSION MODEL IN DETECTING ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POVERTY RATE BASED ON FINANCIAL INCLUSION IN INDONESIA Lia Nazliana Nasution; Ade Novalina; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 02 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi, Perode April - Juni 2023
Publisher : SEAN Institute

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Abstract

Financial inclusion has become an essential topic in recent years. Its impact on economic growth, poverty alleviation, and reducing income inequality is evident in several countries. Indonesia as a developing country, where economic growth has slowed in recent years, the level of use of formal financial services still needs to be increased, and the decline in the poverty rate, which is not followed by a low Gini ratio, is necessary to study further how financial inclusion affects economic growth and poverty rate in Indonesia. Using the Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) model, we wanted to investigate the model's strength to achieve the objectives of this study. The results of the SUR model show that financial inclusion does not positively impact economic growth. However, we find the dimensions of availability of financial inclusion optimal for poverty alleviation and reducing income inequality well with significant adverse results. Meanwhile, the dimensions of accessibility and usability have no significant effect.
Increasing Public Understanding Of Early Detection Of Post-Covid-19 Economic Weakness Rusiadi Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Vivi Adianti
International Journal of Economics and Management Research Vol. 1 No. 3 (2022): December: International Journal of Economics and Management Research
Publisher : Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/ijemr.v1i3.123

Abstract

This research aims to improve the Hero Village Community's understanding of the post-Covid-19 economic situation, especially the impact of the post-Covid-19 economic downturn. The people of Pahlawan Village still need to understand the causes of the post-Covid-19 economic downturn, the factors that influenced it, and the negative impacts of the post-Covid-19 economic downturn. In their lessons, there needs to be a discussion about how weakening can be detected early. Therefore, this service is carried out to understand the Hero Village Community about early detection and the models used to detect weakening such as rising prices and falling people's purchasing power. The results of the service prove that after being given an understanding of the post-COVID-19 economic outlook, people will take into account consumption, both household consumption and fuel consumption, for purchasing ship oil.
Covid-19 Pandemic and Open Economy: Can it Influence the Stability of the Financial System in Sigeract Countries? Rusiadi Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Riri Trisia; Wydia Sijabat; Rosna B B
International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research Vol 6, No 1.1 (2022)
Publisher : Universitas Dharma Wacana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (253.491 KB) | DOI: 10.29099/ijair.v6i1.342

Abstract

This study discusses the impact of Covid -19 and an open economy on financial system stability in the Six Global Foreign Exchange Rate Countriefree, thesee countries are Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Russia, Argentina,and Indonesia. This study uses the simultaneous regression analysis method (2TLS) with testing using Eviews 10 and the Covid-19 impact differential test using SPSS. The results of simultaneous regression analysis show that exports and Inflation have a positive inelastic effect on financial system stability. In addition,direct investment and interest rates have a positive lasting impactt on financial system stability. The different assets show that there is no significant difference in Inflation in Brazil and Mexico, but interest rates have significant differences before and after covid-1; in Colombia, Russia, Argentina,and Indonesia, there are substantial differences in Inflation and interest rates before and after covid-19.
Co-Authors , Oktarini Khamilah Siregar Abdiyanto Abdiyanto Alan Muhammad Fauzi Anita N Hutasoit Annisa Sanny Bhaktiar Efendi Bhaktiar Effendi Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty Dilla Fadila Rusmawadi Diwanana Putri Nasution Diwayana Putri Nasution Fuji Rahmadi Jannatun Aswani Lia Nazliaan Nasution Lia Nazliana Nasution Nasib Pantun Harianja Riri Trisia Ronald Farel Siahaan Rosliana Rosliana Rosna B B Suhendi Suhendi Vivi Adianti Wahyu Indah Sari Wydia Sijabat