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Ade Novalina
Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi
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QUALITY BASED PRODUCTIVITY OF FERTILIZER, TECHNOLOGY AND CAPITAL Rosliana Rosliana; Oktarini Khamilah Siregar; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Bhaktiar Efendi; Lia Nazliaan Nasution; Suhendi Suhendi; Diwayana Putri Nasution
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i1.183

Abstract

The research objective was to determine the effect of the quality of fertilizer, technology and capital on the productivity of the people in Tunas Harapan Village, Gunung Meriah District, Aceh Singkil Regency. The population in this study was the community in Tunas Harapan Village, Gunung Meriah District, Aceh Singkil Regency, totaling 198 people, then the determination technique was purposive random sampling. The data collection technique used a questionnaire with a Likert measurement scale. The results of multiple regression analysis are Y = 7.772 + 0.257X1 + 0.1932 + 0.348X3 + e which shows the quality of fertilizer, technology and capital have a positive and significant effect on the productivity of the people. While the results of the test (t) or partial test show that the quality of fertilizer has a positive and significant effect on community productivity where it can be seen that the value of t count = 2.359 > t table 2.034, the technology variable has a positive and significant effect on community productivity where it can be seen that the value of t count = 2.137 > t table 2.034, and capital also has a positive and significant effect on the productivity of the people where it can be seen that the value of t count = 2.533 > t table 2.034. Then the coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.823 (82.3%). So that it can be said that 82.3% of the variation in the dependent variable, namely the quality of fertilizer, technology and capital in the model has contributed to the productivity of the community in Tunas Harapan Village, Gunung Meriah District, Aceh Singkil Regency, while the remaining 17.7% is influenced by other variables outside the model
ARDL PANEL MODEL OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND MONETARY POLICY OF ASIA PASIIFIC ECONOMIC COOPERATION Rusiadi Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Bhaktiar Effendi; Anita N Hutasoit
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i2.185

Abstract

The financial system plays an important role in the economy. An unstable financial system will be vulnerable to various problems that disrupt the rotation of a country's economy and be vulnerable to economic problems such as the global crisis in various countries. The problem that occurs is the occurrence of Covid-19 causing various fluctuations in the level of inflation, money supply, imports, the occurrence of unstable inflation from January 2019 to August 2021, low inflation resulting in a decrease in imports and an increase in the money supply in Mexico. , Vietnam, Philippines, Hongkong, Indonesia, Canada, Malaysia, Singapore, Peru, and China. The analytical method in this study uses the ARDL Panel (Autoregression Distributed Lag) approach. The ARDL Panel Model determines which country models from APEC countries are able to control long-term financial system-based economic fundamentals in Mexico, Vietnam, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Canada, Malaysia, Singapore, Peru, and China and the Different Test for modeling the impact of covid-19 19 on the economic fundamentals of the financial system. The results of the research found the ARDL Panel prediction model in modeling the impact of Covid-19 on economic fundamentals in the financial system. The main Leading Indicator of variable effectiveness in controlling Inflation In TAPEC is JUB where Vietnam, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Peru and China have a significant influence in controlling Inflation. Then overall in the long term (Long Run) it turns out that only the JUB and CDV variables have an effect on INF In TAPEC, while in the short term (Short Run) it is JUB that influences Inflation In TAPEC.
INFLATION FLUCTUATIONS AND ECONOMIC TURBOS IN INDONESIA Ade Novalina; Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Jannatun Aswani
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 2 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i2.190

Abstract

This study aims to determine whether the money supply, investment, consumption, and economic growth variables have a significant effect on inflation. To find out whether the variables of government expenditure, unemployment, and inflation have a significant effect on economic growth. The data analysis model in this study is simultaneous regression. The data analysis technique used is the quantitative method. Data were processed from the Central Bureau of Statistics from 2007 to 2021. The results of this study indicate that based on the estimation results, the t-count value is obtained, the money supply variable has a significant effect on inflation. The investment variable has no significant effect on inflation. The consumption variable has no significant effect on inflation. The economic growth variable has no significant effect on inflation. The government expenditure variable has a significant effect on economic growth. The unemployment variable has a significant effect on economic growth. The inflation variable has a significant effect on economic growth. In order to reduce the inflation rate to a low level, Bank Indonesia should use monetary policy to reduce the money supply.
Optimizing Monetary Policy Transmission Through The Emerging Market Interest Rate Channel Wahyu Indah Sari; Ade Novalina; Annisa Sanny
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 2 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i2.212

Abstract

Research using the ARDL Panel Model includes Inflation, Gross Domestic Product, Total Money Supply, Exchange Rates, Consumption, Investment, and Interest Rate in Asia's Three Emerging Markets namely India, China, and Indonesia which aims to boost the economy. This study uses secondary data with a quantitative research type using ARDL Panel Regression, the software used is Eviews 10 with cross-section data for 3 Emerging Market Countries, namely India, China, and Indonesia time series data for 2001-2020. The research results show that Exchange Rates, Investments, and Interest Rates can also be leading indicators to support price stability in Indonesia, China, and India, but their positions are unstable in the long run and short run. The main leading indicator in optimizing the variables in controlling price stability in the Three Emerging Markets Asia is Consumption seen from the stability of the short run and long run, where the long-term and short-term interest rate variables are significant in controlling price stability.
PREDICTION OF EXCHANGE RATE INTEGRATION IN FOUR EMERGING MARKET COUNTRIES Ade Novalina; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Bhaktiar Efendi; Dilla Fadila Rusmawadi; Nasib Nasib
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi, 2023 Periode Januari - Maret
Publisher : SEAN Institute

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Abstract

This study analyzes monetary policy variables on exchange rate stability. Where is the purpose of this study to see the contribution of variable inflation, the amount of money in circulation, interest rates, and foreign exchange reserves in dealing with exchange rates? The problem that has existed so far is the inaccuracy of the policies used to maintain exchange rate stability. However, this study predicts being able to use monetary policy in dealing with exchange rate problems. Four countries will be studied, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines. Analysis to see leading indicators per country using the ARDL Panel method. The results of interest rates and the money supply can become the main leading indicators (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines), but their positions are unstable in the short run and long run. The main leading indicator of the effectiveness of monetary policy which can become the leading indicator for Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines in maintaining exchange rate stability is the interest rate variable seen from a short-run and long-run stability. Where the interest rate variable in the short term and long term is significant for the stability of the exchange rate.
THE STRENGTH OF THE SEEMINGLY UNRELATED REGRESSION MODEL IN DETECTING ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POVERTY RATE BASED ON FINANCIAL INCLUSION IN INDONESIA Lia Nazliana Nasution; Ade Novalina; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 02 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi, Perode April - Juni 2023
Publisher : SEAN Institute

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Abstract

Financial inclusion has become an essential topic in recent years. Its impact on economic growth, poverty alleviation, and reducing income inequality is evident in several countries. Indonesia as a developing country, where economic growth has slowed in recent years, the level of use of formal financial services still needs to be increased, and the decline in the poverty rate, which is not followed by a low Gini ratio, is necessary to study further how financial inclusion affects economic growth and poverty rate in Indonesia. Using the Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) model, we wanted to investigate the model's strength to achieve the objectives of this study. The results of the SUR model show that financial inclusion does not positively impact economic growth. However, we find the dimensions of availability of financial inclusion optimal for poverty alleviation and reducing income inequality well with significant adverse results. Meanwhile, the dimensions of accessibility and usability have no significant effect.
Increasing Public Understanding Of Early Detection Of Post-Covid-19 Economic Weakness Rusiadi Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Vivi Adianti
International Journal of Economics and Management Research Vol. 1 No. 3 (2022): December: International Journal of Economics and Management Research
Publisher : Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/ijemr.v1i3.123

Abstract

This research aims to improve the Hero Village Community's understanding of the post-Covid-19 economic situation, especially the impact of the post-Covid-19 economic downturn. The people of Pahlawan Village still need to understand the causes of the post-Covid-19 economic downturn, the factors that influenced it, and the negative impacts of the post-Covid-19 economic downturn. In their lessons, there needs to be a discussion about how weakening can be detected early. Therefore, this service is carried out to understand the Hero Village Community about early detection and the models used to detect weakening such as rising prices and falling people's purchasing power. The results of the service prove that after being given an understanding of the post-COVID-19 economic outlook, people will take into account consumption, both household consumption and fuel consumption, for purchasing ship oil.
Co-Authors , Oktarini Khamilah Siregar , Samrin Abdiyanto Abdiyanto Alan Muhammad Fauzi Anita N Hutasoit Annisa Sanny Bhaktiar Efendi Bhaktiar Effendi Darliansyah Darliansyah Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty Dilla Fadila Rusmawadi Diwanana Putri Nasution Diwayana Putri Nasution Fuji Rahmadi Hasrul Azwar Hasibuan Jannatun Aswani Lia Nazliaan Nasution Lia Nazliana Nasution Nasib Pantun Harianja Rahmat Hidayat Ronald Farel Siahaan Rosliana Rosliana Rosliana Rosliana Suhendi Suhendi Vivi Adianti Wahyu Indah Sari