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All Journal Jurnal Matematika SIGMA: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika Jurnal Matematika Sains dan Teknologi Pi: Mathematics Education Journal Jurnal Cendekia : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika JURNAL MathEdu (Mathematic Education Journal) Symmetry: Pasundan Journal of Research in Mathematics Learning and Education Jurnal ABDIKU TEACHING : Jurnal Inovasi Keguruan dan Ilmu Pendidikan Pi: Mathematics Education Journal Journal of Medives: Journal of Mathematics Education IKIP Veteran Semarang Sasambo: Jurnal Abdimas (Journal of Community Service)
Ria Faulina
STKIP PGRI Bangkalan
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Jurnal Matematika

 1 
Metoda Autoregressive untuk Peramalan Jangka Panjang Ria Faulina
Jurnal Matematika Vol 8 No 2 (2018)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/JMAT.2018.v08.i02.p104

Abstract

Changes in seasonal patterns in Indonesia are closely related to rainfall. Various forecasting techniques were developed to produce better accuracy. In this study ARIMA linear forecasting techniques were used. The data used is secondary data from BMKG Kalianget Station, Sumenep from January 2008 - December 2017 with a monthly rainfall research variable. To measure the accuracy of the forecast results used by RMSE.From the result of this study, ARIMA ([1,6],0,0)(0,1,1)12providing better accuracy than ARIMA (1,0,0)(0,1,1)12 for predicting the next 1 month or 12 months (a year ahead).
Co-Authors Abdussalam Ana Alfiana Didik Hermanto Dwi Ivayana Sari Enny Listiawati Erlina Sulis Priandini Firri Ilaalloh Id Srifatun Kholifah Andelia Mety Liesdiany Miranti Widi Andriani Moh Affaf NOFIA ALFA RIZKY Nur Aini S R.A Rica Wijayanti Rica Wijayanti Siti Aisyah Syafiyah Syafiyah Tri Susan Rahayu Arinta Selfara Zainudin Zainudin