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Journal : Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC)

Analisa Perbandingan Metode Trend Moment dan Regresi Linear dalam Prediksi Kurs Mata Uang Rupiah terhadap Mata Uang Riyal Ananda, Rahmadan Alam Ardan; Nazir, Alwis; Oktavia, Lola; Haerani, Elin; Insani, Fitri
Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Vol 6 No 3 (2025): May 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/josyc.v6i3.7400

Abstract

Currency exchange rates play an important role in the economic stability of a country, especially in the context of international trade and global financial mobility. In Indonesia, fluctuations in the Rupiah exchange rate against the Saudi Arabian Riyal (SAR) have become a strategic issue, especially ahead of the Hajj season. This study aims to predict the exchange rate of Rupiah against Riyal in that period by using two forecasting approaches, namely Linear Regression and Trend Moment. The performance evaluation of both methods is conducted based on historical data using Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) indicators. The results show that Linear Regression provides a better level of accuracy with an MAE of 330.36 and a MAPE of 17.32%, compared to Trend Moment which has an MAE of 412.41 and a MAPE of 18.88%. This finding shows that Linear Regression is more effective in capturing the pattern of exchange rate changes that tend to be linear. The prediction results also show an increasing trend in the exchange rate ahead of the Hajj month, which correlates with the increasing demand for foreign exchange. The implications of these results can be utilized by prospective pilgrims, business actors, and the government in formulating more appropriate and adaptive financial strategies
Klasifikasi Penyakit Cacar Monyet Menggunakan Metode Support Vector Machine Anugrah, Wendy; Haerani, Elin; Yusra, Yusra; Oktavia, Lola
Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Vol 5 No 3 (2024): May 2024
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/josyc.v5i3.5149

Abstract

Monkey pox is a zoonotic disease caused by the monkey pox virus and this disease is very dangerous. Monkey pox can be detected in advance by using information contained in patient data and applying machine learning techniques. This study aims to classify monkey pox using the Support Vector Machine (SVM) method. This test is carried out using a confusion matrix by comparing the ratio of training data and test data with a ratio of 70:30, 80:20, 90:10 and using the RBF kernel. Based on the test results, the highest ratio results were obtained at 90:10 with the best accuracy value of 65% with SVM parameter testing, namely the value C= 10 and y (gamma)= 1. Based on the results of tests carried out using the Support Vector Machine method, the accuracy values ​​were quite good.