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IDENTIFIKASI INFLASI DI KOTA TEGAL DAN ANALISIS PENGENDALIANNYA Fauziana, Indah; Nusantara, Agung
Jurnal Ilmiah Telaah Manajemen Vol 15 No 2 (2018): VOL. 15 NO. 2 2018
Publisher : Jurnal Ilmiah Telaah Manajemen

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Inflation is an economic condition that indicates a tendency of the general and continuous of price increases. Inflation is the economic benchmark of a country which is related with the people’s purchasing power and macroeconomic stability. The low and stable inflation is a precondition for economic growth that will impact the welfare of society. This study aims to identify the inflation in Tegal City, what commodities are influential and how to control them, using descriptive and analitical methods. Identify and measure the inflation by calculating the deviation standard, from month to month since 2015 until 2017. And so do the same process, to identify what commodities are influential. Based on data analysis, month to month (mtm) the inflation of Tegal City during the period of January 2015 and 2017 showing the highest fluctuation rate compared from the inflation of Central Java and Five cities a cost of living survey in Central Java. This is evidenced by deviation / standard deviation of 0,478 which is the highest than the other cities. Commodity which have the highest fluctuation inflation are a group of foodstuffs derived from the spices sub commodity, namely red chilli , cayenne chilli, and shallot. Inflation control implemented by the Regional Inflation Control Team of Tegal City in general and specifically against the highest fluctuating commodities already done but not yet optimally. Therefore, need a real steps to controlling inflation so the prices become stable and the society was prosperous. Keywords: Inflation Identification, Volatile Foods, TPID, Control Analysis

STRATEGI PENGEMBANGAN INDUSTRI KREATIF DI JAWA TENGAH Santosa, Agus Budi; Nusantara, Agung; Nawatmi, Sri; Isnowati, Sri
Proceeding SENDI_U 2020: SEMINAR NASIONAL MULTI DISIPLIN ILMU DAN CALL FOR PAPERS
Publisher : Proceeding SENDI_U

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Keunggulan sektor industri tersebut antara lain memberikan kontribusi bagi penyerapan tenaga kerja danmampu menciptakan nilai tambah yang tinggi pada berbagai komoditas yang dihasilkan. Pertumbuhan lajusektor industri merupakan andalan pemerintah dalam upaya meningkatkan perekonomian di Indonesia karenasebagai salah satu sektor perekonomian yang sangat dominan. Menurut Kementrian Perindustrian danPerdagangan sektor industri kreatif diyakini dapat memberikan kontribusi bagi perekonomian bangsanyasecara signifikan. Untuk itu diperlukan penelitian untuk menentukan strategi dan kebijakan yang tepat untukpengembangannya. Penelitian ini mengguakan analisis SWOT. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan adanya aspekkekuatan yaitu sumber daya lokal sangat mendukung, dasar kekayaan budaya/etnik nasional, sarana danprasarana produksi telah tersedia. Pada aspek peluang ditemukan unsur yang mendukung yaitu pasar dalamnegeri maupun luar negeri masih terbuka dan adanya perhatian dan dukungan dari pemerintah. Untukpengembangan industri kreatif dilakukan dengan pengembangan kompetensi SDM, pengembangan promosi danpemasaran produk fashion, pengembangan aspek pembiayaan.

Pengaruh Fluktuasi Kurs Terhadap Neraca Perdagangan Agung Nusantara
Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol 26, No 2 (2012): Optimalisasi Peran Perusahaan dan Pengendalian Organisasi
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis UNTAG Semarang

AbstrakStabilitas nilai tukar penting bagi pembangunan ekonomi di suatu negara, khususnya dalam neraca perdagangan. Jadi, sebelum studi melakukan keseimbangan estimasi perdagangan, itu perlu untuk mengukur fluktuasi nilai tukar. Penelitian ini menggunakan ARCH dan GARCH untuk mengukur fakta them.In, nilai tukar memiliki efek ARCH dan GARCH. Dengan kata lain, fluktuasi nilai tukar dipengaruhi oleh fluktuasi nilai tukar saat ini dan sebelumnya tingkat dan itu cenderung persisten. Penelitian ini menggunakan ECM (Error Correction Model) estimasi untuk menentukan neraca perdagangan. Ada tiga variabel independen dalam estimasi ini, yaitu tingkat exchnage, Indonesia PDB (Produk Domestik Bruto) dan dunia hasil GDP.The, nilai tukar bukanlah jangka pendek dan jangka panjang yang signifikan. Tapi Indonesia GDP dan GDP dunia yang positif signifikan untuk menyeimbangkan perdagangan baik jangka pendek dan jangka panjang.Kata kunci : Neraca perdagangan, nilai tukar, PDB, ARCH, GARCH dan ECM AbstractThe exchange rate stability is important for economic development in a nation, specially in balance of trade. So, before the study do balance of trade estimation, it's need to measure exchange rate fluctuation. This study use ARCH and GARCH to measure them.In fact, the exchange rate has ARCH and GARCH effect. In another word, exchange rate fluctuation influenced by current and previous exchange rate fluctuation and it's tend persistent. The study used ECM (Error Correction Model) estimation to determine balance of trade. There are three independent variables in this estimation, that is exchnage rate, Indonesia GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and world GDP.The result, exchange rate is not significant both short and long term. But Indonesia GDP and world GDP are positif significant to balance of trade both short and long term.Key word : Balance of trade, exchange rate, GDP, ARCH, GARCH and ECM

FAKTOR PENDORONG ALIRAN MASUK INVESTASI LANGSUNG ASING DI NEGARA SEDANG BERKEMBANG Agung Nusantara
Dinamika Akuntansi Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 2 No 1 (2013): VOL. 2 NO. 1 MEI 2013
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Stikubank

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Foreign Direct Investment flows to developing countries surged in the 1990s, to become their leading source of external financing. This raises in FDI volume make government must be generate domestic policies to push FDI inflows. The first step is identification macroeconomic determinants of FDI inflows.Globerman and Shapiro (2005) suggest the macroecomic variables, such as, market size, resources, and financial sector, may be associated with FDI inflows, especially in developingcountries. The problem is how far the macroeconomic variable can push FDI inflows, in condition, imperfect economic liberalisation.This study proofs that market size, included, domestic economy (GDP) and extention of domestic economy (Openness) significantly push FDI inflow. But debt variable, despite of associated with government policy, significantly impeded FDI inflows.Key words: Foreign Direct Investment, Market Size, and Financial Sector.

Indeks Pembangunan Manusia dan Pendidikan di Jawa Tengah Mohammad Fauzan; Agung Nusantara; Sri Nawatmi; Agus Budi Santosa
Jurnal Bisnis dan Ekonomi Vol 27 No 1 (2020): Vol. 27 No. 1 EDISI MARET 2020
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Stikubank

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The Human Development Index (HDI) is an internationally recognized measure of importance to describe the success of human development. Therefore, the development of HDI needs to get an important spotlight in determining development policy. One important dimension of HDI is education, as measured by Expected Years of Schooling (EYS) and Mean Years of Schooling (MYS). The EYS figure illustrates people's expectations for continuing education by basing themselves on government-made education policies. While MYS describes the reality of the old school that can be enjoyed by the community. Central Java indicates that the EYS is larger than the MYS but with a narrowing distance. This fact illustrates that education policy in Central Java is increasingly accessible to the public. However, nationally the level of education in Central Java is still low. Some factors that cause is still high dropout rate at age 16-18 year

INFLASI INDONESIA MODEL CONVENTIONAL PHILLIPS-CURVE Sri Nawatmi; Agung Nusantara
PROCEEDINGS Vol 1, No 1 (2017): PROCEEDING Bingkai Manajemen (BIMA)
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Dharmaputra Semarang

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AbstrakData dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder periode 1990 q1-2014 q4d. Untuk menganalisisnya digunakan Error Correction Model (ECM). Data tersebut di split dengan menggunakan Chow Test menjadi tiga periode. Periode pertama adalah periode krisis 1998 dan sebelumnya, periode kedua adalah periode sesudah krisis 1998 dan periode ketiga adalah periode sesudah krisis 2008. Hasil estimasi dengan menggunakan model conventional Phillips-Curve menunjukkan bahwa ect (error correction term) pada setiap periode adalah negatif dan signifikan. Sensitivitas dari inflasi terhadap output gap domestic cenderung menurun baik pada jangka pendek maupun pada jangka panjang. Bahkan pada periode sesudah krisis 2008, output gap domestik menjadi tidak signifikan.Sedangkan, variabel ekspektasi inflasi hanya signifikan pada jangka pendek dan jangka panjang pada periode krisis 1998 dan sebelumnya dan pada periode sesudah krisis 2008 pada jangka pendek. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa faktor domestik dalam mempengaruhi inflasi di Indonesia seiring waktu menjadi tidak berpengaruh. Kata kunci: ECM, Chow test, conventional Phillips-curve dan ect AbstractThe research used secondary data 1990q1-2014q4d period. It’s used Error Correction Model (ECM) analyze. Split data is using Chow Test into three periods. The first period is the 1998 crisis period and earlier, the second period is the period after the 1998 crisis and the third period is the period after the 2008 crisis. The estimation result using conventional Phillips-Curve model showed that the ect (error correction term) in each period is negative and significant. The sensitivity of inflation to the domestic output gap tends to decline both in the short term and in the long run. Even in the period after the 2008 crisis, the domestic output gap was insignificant. Meanwhile, the expected inflation variable is only significant in period of 1998 crisis and previous in the short and long term and in the period after the crisis 2008 in the short term. This indicates that domestic factors are increasingly not affecting inflation in Indonesia over time. Keywords: ECM, Chow test, conventional Phillips-curve and ect

The Influence of Psychological Capital and Person Organization Fit on Teacher Performance with Organizational Commitment as Mediation Agus Budi Santosa; Agung Nusantara; Sri Nawatmi
J-MAS (Jurnal Manajemen dan Sains) Vol 7, No 1 (2022): April
Publisher : Universitas Batanghari

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33087/jmas.v7i1.331

Abstract. The teacher is a key element in the education system, especially in schools because of the teacher's role in transforming knowledge in education. Therefore, schools can improve teacher performance in order to achieve predetermined educational goals. This article will analyze the influence of psychological capital and person organization fit on teacher performance by mediating organizational commitment. This research uses quantitative analysis. The population in this study were 108 teachers of Junior High School in Bantarbolang District. Analysis of data techniques used regression analysis. The results of the research on model 1 show that psychological capital and person organization fit have a positive effect on organizational. In model 2, psychological capital and organizational commitment have a positive effect on teacher performance while organizational people do not. The results of the mediation test show that organizational influence does not mediate the effect of psychological capital on teacher performance, but organizational commitment mediates.

Pemberdayaan Perempuan dalam Mendaur Ulang Sampah Unorganik di RW 12 Kelurahan Pedurungan Tengah Firdaus, Firdaus; Nusantara, Agung; Nurhayati, Nurhayati; Nofikasari, Nofikasari; Jatmiko, M.Roby; Nurrahmah, Wa Ode Sitti; Martini, Martini
Jurnal PKM Manajemen Bisnis Vol. 5 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal PKM Manajemen Bisnis
Publisher : Perhimpunan Sarjana Ekonomi dan Bisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37481/pkmb.v5i1.1100

This community service program, titled "Empowerment of Women in Recycling Inorganic Waste in RT 2, RW 12, Pedurungan Tengah," addresses the urgent need for effective waste management and environmental sustainability. The growing volume of inorganic waste poses significant challenges for local communities, particularly impacting women, who play a vital role in household waste management. The primary objective of this initiative was to empower women by enhancing their skills in recycling inorganic waste while raising awareness about environmental issues. The method employed involved participatory training sessions that included socialization, practical workshops, and group activities focused on recycling techniques. Throughout the program, participants learned to separate, process, and create valuable products from inorganic waste. The results were significant: approximately 80% of the participants demonstrated improved recycling skills and successfully produced marketable items. Additionally, the program fostered a greater sense of community engagement and increased awareness of environmental conservation among residents. In conclusion, this initiative not only empowered women economically but also contributed to a cleaner and more sustainable environment. The program highlights the importance of women as key agents of change in waste management practices, setting a foundation for ongoing environmental initiatives in the community.

THE EFFECT OF CORRUPTION ON POVERTY IN INDONESIA Nawatmi, Sri; Setiawan, Mulyo Budi; Maskur, Ali; Nusantara, Agung
International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Vol 8, No 4 (2024): IJEBAR, VOL. 08 ISSUE 04, DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : LPPM ITB AAS INDONESIA (d.h STIE AAS Surakarta)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/ijebar.v8i4.15620

A The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of corruption on poverty in Indonesia. The type of data taken is secondary data, time series 2007 - 2022. Corruption data, namely CPI, is sourced from Transparency International, while poverty data, HDI and TPT are sourced from BPS. The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression analysis using the classical OLS method. The results showed that corruption has a negative effect on poverty. This result is in accordance with the proposed hypothesis that increasing corruption (CPI declines) causes poverty to increase. The second variable, HDI, also has a negative effect on poverty, while TPT has a positive effect on poverty in Indonesia. The three variables have the ability to explain poverty by 94.4%.

THE EFFECT OF CORRUPTION ON POVERTY IN INDONESIA Nawatmi, Sri; Setiawan, Mulyo Budi; Maskur, Ali; Nusantara, Agung
International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Vol 8 No 4 (2024): IJEBAR, VOL. 08 ISSUE 04, DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : LPPM ITB AAS INDONESIA (d.h STIE AAS Surakarta)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/ijebar.v8i4.15620

A The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of corruption on poverty in Indonesia. The type of data taken is secondary data, time series 2007 - 2022. Corruption data, namely CPI, is sourced from Transparency International, while poverty data, HDI and TPT are sourced from BPS. The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression analysis using the classical OLS method. The results showed that corruption has a negative effect on poverty. This result is in accordance with the proposed hypothesis that increasing corruption (CPI declines) causes poverty to increase. The second variable, HDI, also has a negative effect on poverty, while TPT has a positive effect on poverty in Indonesia. The three variables have the ability to explain poverty by 94.4%.

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