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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) Voteteknika (Vocational Teknik Elektronika dan Informatika) Teknika Jurnal Informatika Disease Prevention and Public Health Journal SPEKTRUM INDUSTRI Jurnal Sarjana Teknik Informatika Telematika : Jurnal Informatika dan Teknologi Informasi Proceeding Seminar LPPM UMP Tahun 2014 Jurnas Nasional Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi Format : Jurnal Imiah Teknik Informatika INOVTEK Polbeng - Seri Informatika JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING Explore IT : Jurnal Keilmuan dan Aplikasi Teknik Informatika Jurnal Ilmu Hukum The Juris KOMPUTA : Jurnal Ilmiah Komputer dan Informatika Jurnal Pemberdayaan: Publikasi Hasil Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Riset Informatika Jurnal Inti Talafa : Jurnal Teknik Informatika Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Bumi Raflesia Jurnal JTIK (Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi) Teknika Jurnal Informatika Teknologi dan Sains (Jinteks) Malcom: Indonesian Journal of Machine Learning and Computer Science Kohesi: Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi
Tedy Setiadi
Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
Arts Humanities Automotive Engineering Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Medicine & Pharmacology Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Journal : JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING

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Clustering and Forecasting Implementation for Medical Consumables Stock Reccomendation Darma, Fahri Setia; Setiadi, Tedy
Journal of Applied Informatics and Computing Vol. 9 No. 4 (2025): August 2025
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/jaic.v9i4.9717

Abstract

Managing medical consumables (BMHP) in hospitals can be tricky because the demand often changes unpredictably. This study aims to help hospitals manage their BMHP stocks better by using two techniques: forecasting with Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) and grouping items using Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering (AHC). SES is used to predict future needs based on previous usage, while AHC groups similar items based on how they're used, which helps make the predictions more accurate. Before applying clustering, the prediction error was quite high, with a MAPE of 61.77% and an MAE of 18,769.80. After clustering, these numbers dropped to 10.06% and 3,987.45, showing a significant improvement. The clustering itself was strong, with a Silhouette Coefficient of 0.727, meaning the item groups made sense. Each group of items got different stock suggestions. Items with high and unstable demand were advised to keep extra safety stock. Items with uncertain patterns needed a more flexible buffer stock. For items with stable use, average trends over the last few months were enough to guide stock planning. This approach helps hospitals avoid both overstock and stockouts by giving more accurate and tailored recommendations. Although this study only used data from one hospital, the results show that combining SES and AHC can make stock management smarter and more efficient.
Co-Authors . Prasetyo Abu Bakar, Azuraliza Ainunna'imah Ainunna'imah Alfah, Alfah Aline Embun Pramadhani Aminuyati Ammara Desma Marzooqa Anang Dwi Riyanto Ansari Ansari Aqdillah, Muhammad Irfan Rafi Arif Dwi Nugroho Arif Wicaksono Wicaksono Arifin Nur Septiawan Ariyo Putra P Atik Sri Muryanti Atik Sri Muryanti Auliana, Auliana Awalia, Nabila Azalia Ramadhani Bambang Priyanto Beni Suhendra Danang Adi Sumarto Darma, Fahri Setia Dian Anisa Putri Dzakhwan, Naufal Dzaky, Muhammad Naufal Elinda Elinda Ervita Kusuma Putri Fahruddin, Asraf Farhatush Shalihah Yumna Febriansyah, M Ferry Febriyan Adhiatmaa Fiftin Noviyanto Fiftin Noviyanto Gilang Mukharom Hafizh, Finna Luthfiah Hanif Fikrianto, Hanif Hanif, Nur Hasni Griya Anatasia Heri Widodo Ida Noor Rahma Iis Wahyuningsih Ika Evry Hardiyana Ika Kurnia Saputri Imam Ghozali Indri Dwi Lestari Irham Asdurroh Irkam Sudaryanta Jamaludin Jamaludin Jamhari Jamhari Jefree Fahana Kiagus Adrian Rizky Zarkasyi Laela Zuliana Lisna Zahrotun M. Andrea Rossi Marzooqa, Ammara Desma Maulana, M Raffi Meiliyani, Kurnia Muhamad Rizal Gufran Muhammad Ari Sulestiyo Muryanti, Atik Sri Mushlihudin Mushlihudin Mushlihudin Mushlihudin Nuha, Fatiha Shafiyatun Nungki Fidiantoro Nur Hanif Oktavioly Puji Widiyasari Prakoso, Ardiyan Rasendriya Pramudya, Rorry Prasetyo Prasetyo Prasetyo, Prasetyo Pujiyono, Wahyu Purwayoga, Vega Rina Ratih Sri Sudaryni Rina Ratih, Rina Riris Nur Sasmi Rissa Umami Noor Rizky, Rian Fathul Rusdianto Rusnandar Rusnandar Rusnandar Rusnandar Rusnandar, Rusnandar Sari Mulyaningsih Setiawan, M. Budhi Sri Handayaningsih Suhendra, Beni Suswiantara, Adi Syauqi Bima Syifa Aura Arasy Taufik Mufti Haryadi Tisna Hidayat Tri Agtaviana Tri Andi Wahyu Pujiyono Wahyu Pujiyono Wahyu Pujiyono Wawan Tri Widianto Wibowo, Aditya Prariyadi Widya Fahmidasari Alya Raushan Yaakub, Mohd Ridzwan Yuliana Triani Ningsih Yumna, Farhatush Shalihah Zakiah, Nurul Ainun