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All Journal Jurnal Teknologi Industri Pertanian Jurnal Teknologi SITEKIN: Jurnal Sains, Teknologi dan Industri JISI UMJ (Jurnal Integrasi Sistem Industri UMJ) Jurnal Optimasi Sistem Industri Jurnal Teknik Industri : Jurnal Hasil Penelitian dan Karya Ilmiah dalam Bidang Teknik Industri Jurnal Teknologi Agro-Industri JURNAL ILMIAH MAHASISWA AGROINFO GALUH Journal of Integrated Agribusiness jurnal Teknik Industri - Unisi SELODANG MAYANG Jurnal Agribisnis These proceedings represent the work of researchers participating in The International Conference on Elementary Education (ICEE) which is being hosted by the Elementary Education Study Programme School of Postgraduate Studies, Universitas Pendidikan Industrika : Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Industri AJAD : Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat JURNAL TEKNIK INDUSTRI Aksi Kita: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Abdimas, Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat
Siti Wardah
Universitas Islam Indragiri, Tembilahan
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Automotive Engineering Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Jurnal Teknologi Industri Pertanian

 1 
PRODUCT DEMAND FORECASTING: A SOLUTION TO DETERMINE RAW MATERIAL NEEDS FOR COCONUT OIL AGROINDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT Siti Wardah; Wiwik Sudarwati
Jurnal Teknologi Industri Pertanian Vol. 35 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Teknologi Industri Pertanian
Publisher : Department of Agroindustrial Technology, Bogor Agricultural University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24961/j.tek.ind.pert.2025.35.1.57

Abstract

Indonesia is the world’s largest coconut producer, with Indragiri Hilir being one of its major coconut-producing regencies. Despite the extensive coconut plantations in the region, the development of the coconut agroindustry remains underdeveloped. Coconut oil, a high-demand product in international markets, represents a significant opportunity for agroindustrial growth. Effective agroindustrial development requires accurate determination of raw material needs to plan production capacity and ensure efficient operation. Forecasting demand is a critical first step in this process, as it can enhance efficiency, reduce unnecessary raw material stockpiling, and minimise waste. This study aimed to forecast the demand for coconut oil, which is a crucial step for determining raw material requirements in the development of the coconut oil agroindustry. The research integrated ARIMA and mass balance methods. The findings indicated that coconut oil demand was projected to reach 556,749 tons per year from 2025 to 2030, with a corresponding raw material requirement of 4,259,130 tons per year. This study provides valuable insights for both farmer and agroindustry stakeholders in advancing the development of the coconut oil agroindustry. Keywords: agroindustry development, coconut oil, demand forecasting, raw material
Co-Authors Abdul Hamid Ahmad Husein Ahmad Syahdiyin Amruddin Amruddin Dandy Setyawan Siregar Daniel Happy Putra Eka Abelia Putri Indani Izhar Alan Ibrahim Juli Nurohman Khairul Ihwan, Khairul Lely Afriani Lia Agustina Damanik M. Tira Noviandra Mardiana Mardiana Mohammad Amin Muhammad Amin Muhammad Cholid Muhammad Ramadhan Pratama Muhammad Sibaweh Ridwan Novrizal Nur Azizah Parwadi Moengin Rahmadi Siswanto Rasdiana Mudatsir Rini Julianti Rio Febrianto Rizka Lestari Rizka Lestari Rizky Hermanto Putra Rosmala Dewi Samsudin Siti Maryam Soeripto Suharto Suharto Sumarni B Sumarni B Susanti Sundari Syamsur, Deby yoanda Tiena Gustina Amran Wahyu Wiranda Wiwik Sudarwati Yenni Asrifah Yuliana Yuliana Zulrahmadi