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All Journal Habitat JEPA (Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis) Indonesian Journal of Socio Economics Jurnal Ilmu Ilmu Agribisnis: Journal of Agribusiness Science JURNAL ILMIAH MAHASISWA AGROINFO GALUH Jurnal Pengabdian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Lampung
Suriaty Situmorang
Jurusan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian/Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Lampung
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

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The Prospects of Lampung's Pepper Export to the Global Market: An Analysis Using the ARIMA Model Putri, Najah Hanifah; Abidin, Zainal; Situmorang, Suriaty
HABITAT Vol. 34 No. 3 (2023): December
Publisher : Department of Social Economy, Faculty of Agriculture , University of Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/ub.habitat.2023.034.3.26

Abstract

Pepper is one of Lampung's leading export commodities. It can be seen from the contribution of Lampung Province's pepper, which accounted for 42 percent of Indonesia's overall pepper exports. However, pepper production and export volume in Lampung Province continue to decline annually.  This study aims to analyze the prospect of Lampung’s pepper export to the international market for ten years, from 2023 - 2033. This research used ARIMA (Auto Regressive Moving Average) t model tool using E-views statistical software to forecast the trend of export of Lampung pepper to the International market. The data used was secondary data from the quarterly export of Lampung’s pepper from 2002 to 2022. The study suggested that  Lampung's pepper exports are projected to decrease from 2023 to 2033, with a decrease of 10 percent each year.  Finally, in 2033, Lampung's pepper exports to the international market only reached 998 tons.
Co-Authors Achdiansyah Soelaiman Adyguna WF Simamora Ali Ibrahim Hasyim Amanda Putra Seta Andini, Gita Dhika Citra Putri Angga Andala, Angga Anita Noviana Ariep Budi Prayitno Cindy Hosiani Dhea Putri Sormin Clara Yolandika Dame Trully Gultom Devy, Jenisa Diana Yulitasari Dilla Sefa Ledy Dwi Haryono Dwi Haryono Eka Kasymir Ekawati Wahyu Kusuma Eva Mulia Sari Fadilla Sari Felicia Marisa Sinabariba Fembriarti Erry Prasmatiwi Firham Ramadinata Gita Dhika Citra Putri Andini Gumelar, Satria Arif Haliana Ghaida Sanjaya Han Prahara Lukyta Handini Pujitiasih I Gusti Agung Komang Diafari Djuni Hartawan I Rani Mellya Sari, I Rani Mellya Jessica Anggraesi Kahfindra Khalik Kabuli Kinasih, Arum Sekar Ktut Murniati Kusuma, Ekawati Wahyu Laila, Shofiyany Lestari, Dyah Aring Hepiana Lestari, Olpa Fuji Lika Masesah Luh Putu Ratna Sundari Lutfi Yulisa Luvita Willya Hendri M Hutama Pandu Negara AT M Pandu Pradyatama M. Ryan Afif Marifza Syarif Marwin, Natha Measi Arsita Monica Inggriani Mufri Wedanimbi Octaviani Muhamad Irfan Affandi Muhammad Fajar Ali Muhammad Irfan Affandi Mutiara Putri Negara AT, M Hutama Pandu Noventy, Bernadetha Dini Nuni Anggraini Nurjanah Nurjanah Paula Shintia Marbela Pane Putri, Najah Hanifah Quen Tia Mona R Hanung Ismono Rahmalia, Dian Reki Candra Renaldi Renaldi Reza Kesuma Rio Khusnul Rizal Riska Widyasari Salsabila Thea Rahmani Santi, Putu Yogi Satria Arif Gumelar Sirilus Gatya Prasasta Siti Meiska Amelia Sitohang, Rosmeryana Soraya Alaini Sudarma Widjaya Sudarma Widjaya Sudarma Widjaya, Sudarma Suf Ajizah Sumaryo Gs Titik Gustina Hutabarat Try Eliza Tubagus Hasanuddin Wan Abbas Zakaria Wulan Juwita Sianturi Wuryaningsih Dwi Sayekti Yaktiworo Indriani Yohana Julina Sinaga Zainal Abidin Zainal Abidin Zakiyah Noor Balqis