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Journal : Economic Development Analysis Journal

Poverty Modeling in Indonesia: a Spatial Regression Analysis Ameliatul 'Iffah; Suliyanto Suliyanto; Sediono Sediono; Toha Saifudin; Elly Ana; Dita Amelia
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.66027

Abstract

The government has made various efforts to reduce poverty in Indonesia. However, based on the World Population Review report, Indonesia is still ranked as the 73rd poorest country in the world in 2022 based on the value of gross national income. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the factors that affect poverty. This research was conducted by comparing classical, spatial lag, and spatial error regression, and the best model will be selected. The results show that the spatial error regression model is the best, based on the highest coefficient of determination and the lowest Akaike's information criterion value. Based on the best model, it is found that the expected years of schooling, the rate of gross regional domestic product, the percentage of households that have access to proper sanitation services, and the percentage of households with electric lighting sources have a significant effect on the percentage of poor people. The percentage of poor people in a province is also influenced by the percentage of poor people in the surrounding provinces. The results of this simulation can help the government take initiatives or policies aimed at reducing poverty in Indonesia based on variables that affect poverty.
Co-Authors Ainaya Zakiyah Alfredi Yoani Aliffia, Netha Ameliatul 'Iffah Ana, Elly Andriani, Putu Eka Anggakusuma, Aurellia Calista Antonio Nikolas Manuel Bonar Simamora Ardi Kurniawan Ardi Kurniawan Ariyani, Azizah Dewi Arum Eka Ismiranda Putri Ayuning Dwis Cahyasari Ayuning Dwis Cahyasari Azis, Aurelia Islami Chaerobby Fakhri Fauzaan Purwoko Christopher Andreas Citra Imama Dewanti, Maria Setya Dhyana Venosia Dhyana Venosia Dita Amelia Dita Amelia Dita Amelia, Dita Dyaksa, Mega Kurnia Effendi, Magdalena Elly Ana Elly Pusporani Eris Tri Kurniawati Faizun, Nurin Ghasani, Anisah Nabilah Handoko Darmokoesoemo Hani Sudarmanto Hariawan Widi Nugroho Helda Urbhani Rosa Heri Kuswanto Hermawan, Mohamad David I Kadek Pasek Kusuma Adi Putra Ibrahim, Rahmat Agung Idrus Syahzaqi Ilma Amira Rahmayanti Ismi, Ferissa Maulida Karima, Sasy Okti Khoirun Niswatin Koesnadi, Grace Lucyana Kresna Oktafianto M. Fariz Fadillah Mardianto Marcel Laverda Subiyanto Marcel Laverda Subiyanto Marcelena Vicky Galena Mardianto, M. Fariz Fadillah Mas Loegito Maulana, Bagas Melati, Adinda Tries Miranda, Ariadna Sopia Naufal Ramadhan Al Akhwal Siregar Nauvaldy, Muhammad Netha Aliffia Noviatus Sholihah Nugroho, Hariawan Widi Nur Chamidah Oktavia, Sabrina Salsa Pratama, Bagas Shata Previan, Anggara Teguh Putri Fardha Asa Oktavia Hans Putri Nur Farida Rahmanita, Tentri Ryan Rahmawati, Hasri Rasyid, Mochamad Renianti, Fayza Shafira Riyanto, Aufa Muhammad Yogi Salsabila, Ailsa Shafa Salsabylla Nada Apsariny Sangadji, Nurul Fajriah Deswani Sa’idah Zahrotul Jannah Siti Maghfirotul Ulyah Siti Maghfrotul Ulyah Steven Soewignjo Suliyanto Suliyanto Suliyanto Suliyanto, Suliyanto Toha Saifudin Toha Saifudin Trisnadi Widyaleksono Catur Putranto Victoria, Deby Vionita, Anggi Triya Widyangga, Pressylia Aluisina Putri Wieldyanisa, Ezha Easyfa