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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Jurnal Transformatika E-Dimas: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING Jurnal Pengembangan Rekayasa dan Teknologi Jurnal Surya Masyarakat JSiI (Jurnal Sistem Informasi) ScientiCO : Computer Science and Informatics Journal Journal of Information Systems and Informatics Aiti: Jurnal Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Surya Masyarakat Djtechno: Jurnal Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Informatika Teknologi dan Sains (Jinteks) Jurnal Riptek SEMINAR NASIONAL PENELITIAN DAN PENGABDIAN KEPADA MASYARAKAT Jurnal INFOTEL Tematik Jurnal Informatika: Jurnal Pengembangan IT Signal and Image Processing Letters International Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Science Jurnal DIMASTIK
Aria Hendrawan, Aria
Universitas Semarang
Religion Humanities Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mechanical Engineering Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Journal of Information Systems and Informatics

 1 
LSTM Forecasting and K-Means Clustering for Passenger Mobility Management at Bus Terminals Khairunnisa, Hasna Rizqia; Hendrawan, Aria
Journal of Information System and Informatics Vol 7 No 3 (2025): September
Publisher : Universitas Bina Darma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51519/journalisi.v7i3.1159

Abstract

Rapid urban population growth has increased the need for efficient public transportation systems, particularly at bus terminals as major mobility hubs. To address operational challenges such as traffic congestion and limited infrastructure, this study proposes an innovative data-driven approach. A hybrid model is applied, integrating Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) for passenger volume forecasting and K-Means Clustering for mobility pattern segmentation at the Jepara Bus Terminal. Monthly passenger data was utilized, and the K-Means method was applied to group monthly mobility patterns into three categories: low, medium, and high. The optimal cluster selection (k=3) was based on the highest Silhouette score of 0.785, providing clear seasonal insights. Analysis results indicate that September is the peak mobility period, while months like January and February fall into the low category. Furthermore, an LSTM model was trained to predict future passenger volumes. The model's performance was carefully validated and proven accurate, with a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0304 and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.1745. These findings confirm that the model is reliable in capturing complex passenger movement patterns. Overall, this study concludes that the combination of LSTM and K-Means is an effective solution for supporting proactive decision-making. The results of this study can assist terminal managers in optimizing resource allocation and formulating more adaptive operational strategies, thereby contributing to the development of a more responsive and efficient intelligent transportation system.
Data-Driven Traffic for Infrastructure Planning: An LSTM Approach Using Indonesian Road-Vehicle Trends Aria Hendrawan; Nabilah Putri
Journal of Information System and Informatics Vol 8 No 2 (2026): April
Publisher : Asosiasi Doktor Sistem Informasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63158/journalisi.v8i2.1516

Abstract

The rapid growth of motorized vehicles in Indonesia, unmatched by proportional expansion in road infrastructure, has intensified pressure on the national transportation system. This study examines the application of a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model to analyze and forecast the national traffic load ratio, defined as the ratio of total motorized vehicles to total road length. Annual aggregate data from the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) for the period 2016–2023 were used in the analysis. The results indicate that the model achieved a strong fit on the training data, with RMSE = 0.3652 and MAE = 0.3617, but performed substantially worse on the test data, with RMSE = 1.7585 and MAE = 1.7585. This discrepancy suggests overfitting, largely attributable to the extremely limited sample size. As such, the findings should be interpreted as exploratory rather than as evidence of reliable forecasting performance. Despite these limitations, the model projects a continued upward trend in national infrastructure pressure over the next five years. These findings provide an initial data-driven indication that transportation infrastructure demand in Indonesia is likely to intensify, while also underscoring the need for future research using larger datasets and baseline model comparisons before policy-level application can be justified.
Co-Authors Adiuntoro, Alwan Agho, Davit Cany Agusta Praba Ristadi Pinem Agusta Praba Ristadi Pinem April Firman Daru Awaliyah, Rafika Farkhul Basworo Ardi Pramono Cholil, Saifur Rohman Christine Dewi Christioko, B.Very Dimas Dwi Budiarjo Febrian Wahyu Christanto Henny Indriyawati Khairunnisa, Hasna Rizqia Khoiriyah, Rofiatul Khoirudin Khoirudin Khoirudin Khoirudin, Khoirudin Lenny Margaretta Huizen Luqman Hakim Maulana, Charis Maulida, Innayah Nabilah Putri Nur Wakhidah Oky Dwi Nurhayati Pinem, Agusta Praba Ristadi Pradana, Muhamamd Surya Jati Prind Triajeng Pungkasanti, Prind Triajeng Pulung Nurtantio Andono Putra, Abhinaya Putri, Maulina Rahmat Gernowo ramadhani, jovita wayan Rohman Cholil, Saifur Saifur Rohman Cholil Saputri, Anita Nur Widdia Sekar Sari, Mega Setiaji, Aria Siti Asmiatun, Siti Soiful Hadi Susanto Susanto Titin Winarti Vensy Vydia Whisnumurti Adhiwibowo Wicaksana, Dinar Anggit