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Journal : IJISCS (International Journal of Information System and Computer Science)

A HYBRID ARIMA-MLP ALGORITHM USING ARIMA AND MLP TO IMPROVE ESTIMATION MODEL PERFORMANCE IN SOLAR RADIATION SENSOR DATA Syahab, Alfin Syarifuddin; Hermawan, Arief; Avianto, Donny
IJISCS (International Journal of Information System and Computer Science) Vol 7, No 3 (2023): IJISCS (International Journal of Information System and Computer Science)
Publisher : Bakti Nusantara Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56327/ijiscs.v7i3.1617

Abstract

Ground-based solar radiation measurements help solar energy projects and applications. Various models have been developed to estimate solar radiation. Then, several additional models were created using improved machine learning. Currently, estimating solar radiation with the help of hybrid models is more efficient. In this research, the basic concepts of modeling procedures for hybrid between the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) are used to improve the performance of the ARIMA and MLP models in estimating solar radiation data from a pyranometer sensor installed on the automatic weather station (AWS) at Stasiun Klimatologi Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta.  The test results of the estimation model based on the coefficient of determination (R2) value and root mean square error (RMSE) show that the ARIMA model can provide a high coefficient of determination value in each data splitting scenario. The MLP estimation model shows a coefficient of determination value that is lower than the ARIMA model. On the other hand, MLP is able to improve the RMSE value in the ARIMA model in 70:30 and 90:10 splitting data. Furthermore, the ARIMA-MLP hybrid estimation model is able to improve the RMSE value of the ARIMA and MLP models even though the coefficient of determination value is not as good as the ARIMA model. This research shows that the ARIMA-MLP hybrid model is able to contribute to increasing the accuracy value in RMSE compared to the ARIMA and MLP models in estimating solar radiation sensor data.
Co-Authors Adhitama, Satriya Adicahya, Bina Sukma Adityo Permana Wibowo Alfin Syarifuddin Syahab Alwani, Adie G. Amalia Rizki Wulandari Apriansyah, Ferryma Arba Ardiansyah, Diky Aribowo Aribowo Arief Budiyanto Arief Hermawan Arieska Restu Harpian Dwika Arif Hermawan, Arif Ashari, Nadia Aziz Perdana Baiq Nurul Azmi Bowo Hirwono Budiyanto, Irfan Budiyanto, Irffan Dewi, Amelia Citra Dian Wijayanti Dimas Dwi Kurniawan Dwi Ratnawati, Dwi Edi Priyanto Enggar Novianto Enggar Novianto Erfin Nur Rohma Khakim Fadhila, Arifa Farras Fadilah, Faiz Fahri Putra Herlambang Fakharudin, Panji Rangga Adzan Fajar Faqih, Allan Bil Febiansyah Annaufal Ahnaf Fauzi Ferdinandus Edwin Penalun Gumilang, Muhammad Satrio Gunawan, Asrul Hanif, Rifqi Fadhlurrahman Hardiyantari, Oktavia Herdy Andriksen Ilmy Eka Handayani Imantoko Imantoko Iqbal, Muhammad Izza Jagad Raya Ramadhan Kusban, Muhammad Kusumastuti, Asriana Dyah Maulana, Adha Muh Arifandi Muhammad Irsyad Indra Fata Muhammad Rizki Muhammad Rizki Muhammad Rizki Nasmah Nur Amiroh Nazar Iqbal Bimantoro Novaldy, Olwin Kirab Nur Widiastuti Nurazila, Siti Octavianus, Yonathan Perdana, Aziz Purba, Yurjaa Ghoniyyan Putra, Kristianto Pratama Dessan Reski Noviana Rian Oktafiani Rian Oktafiani Rianto Rianto Rizarta, Rusma Eko Fiddy Rizky Samudra Falasyfa Roy Fasti Rubangi Rubangi Rudi, Rudiono Rusma Eko Fiddy Rizarta Saputra, Candra Heru Setiawan, Muhhamad Ajun Siti Rokhanah Soraya Fatmawati Sri Wulandari SRI WULANDARI Sutarman Sutarman Syahab, Alfin Syarifuddin Tri Untoro, Iwan Hartadi Tri Widodo Vivianti Wahid, Ach. Nur Aqil Widyastuti, Evi