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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Perspektif : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Universitas Bina Sarana Informatika Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi & Bisnis Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan JURNAL EKONOMI SAKTI (JES) Jurnal Risalah Kebijakan Pertanian dan Lingkungan JES (Jurnal Ekonomi STIEP) Salam (Islamic Economics Journal) Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Jurnal Hubungan Luar Negeri Masyarakat: Jurnal Pengabdian Aksi Kita: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Harahap, Hotsawadi
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

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DIVERSIFIKASI EKSPOR NON MIGAS INDONESIA KE PASAR NON TRADISIONAL Hotsawadi Harahap; Widyastutik
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 14 No 2 (2020)
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v14i2.442

Abstract

Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis diversifikasi ekspor non migas Indonesia ke pasar non tradisional. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah analisis statistik deskriptif dengan pendekatan pengelompokan (clustering), Structural Match Index dan Demand Index, serta regresi data panel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa negara yang diidentifikasikan sebagai negara non tradisional potensial adalah Brazil, Pantai Gading, Mesir, Georgia, Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Myanmar, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Russian Federation, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, dan Uruguay. Hasil regresi data panel menunjukkan bahwa Random Effect Model merupakan model yang terbaik untuk menjelaskan faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi ekspor non migas Indonesia ke negara non tradisional. Hasil regresi menunjukkan bahwa GDP riil negara tujuan, populasi negara tujuan, nilai tukar riil, FDI dan kualitas pelabuhan Indonesia berpengaruh signifikan secara statistik terhadap ekspor non migas Indonesia ke negara non tradisional potensial tersebut. Beberapa rekomendasi kebijakan yang perlu dilakukan untuk meningkatkan ekspor non migas ke negara tujuan non tradisional diantaranya perlu dilakukan intelejen pasar mengenai kebutuhan dan selera dari masing-masing negara non tradisional atas produk Indonesia, peningkatan kualitas pelabuhan Indonesia dan kebijakan tambahan yang memberikan insentif untuk menarik Foreign Direct Investment ke Indonesia. Kata Kunci: Diversifikasi Ekspor, Demand Index, Non traditional, Random Effect Model, Structural Match Index Abstract This study aims to analyze the diversification of Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports to non-traditional markets. The research method used is descriptive statistical analysis with a clustering approach, Structural Match Index and demand index, and panel data regression. The results showed that countries identified as potential non-traditional countries were Brazil, Ivory Coast, Egypt, Georgia, Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Myanmar, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Russian Federation, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, and Uruguay. The panel data regression results show that the random effect model is the best model to explain the factors that influence Indonesia's non-oil exports to non-traditional countries. The results show that the real GDP of the destination country, the population of the destination country, the real exchange rate, FDI and the quality of Indonesia's ports have a statistically significant effect on Indonesia's non-oil exports to these potential non-traditional countries. Then, in this study there are several policy recommendations that need to be done to increase non-oil and gas exports to non-traditional destination countries including market intelligence regarding the needs and tastes of each non-traditional country for Indonesian products, improving the quality of Indonesian ports and additional policies that provide incentives to attract Foreign Direct Investment to Indonesia. Keywords: Export Diversification, Demand Index, Non-traditional, Random Effect Model, Structural Match Index JEL Classifications: F13, F15, F18
Menavigasi Daya Saing dan Determinan Ekspor Unggulan Indonesia di Kawasan Carribean Community (Caricom): Navigating Products Competitiveness and Determining Indonesia's Leading Exports in the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) Region Hotsawadi; Widyastutik
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol. 17 No. 2 (2023): BILP
Publisher : National Research and Innovation Agency

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55981/bilp.2023.224

Abstract

CARICOM is an area that has trade potential to be explored by Indonesia. However, for Indonesia, this region has various challenges to explore considering that the countries that are members of it are non-traditional countries. For this reason, this study aims to analyze the competitiveness, competitor countries and determinants of exports of Indonesia's superior products to the CARICOM region. The analysis methods used are market share, RCA, EPD, X-Model and panel data regression. The results showed that ten commodities identified as Indonesia's leading products in the CARICOM region faced lost opportunity market positions on average and CARICOM countries were included in the category as potential market developments. The United States, European Union, Brazil, China, South Korea, Japan, Dominica Republic, Colombia and Trinidad and Tobago and Singapore were identified as Indonesia's competitors in CARICOM. In terms of export determinants, real GDP and investment positive and significant effect on the export of Indonesia's superior products to CARICOM. Meanwhile, inflation and the real exchange rate together have a significant and negative effect in contrast to the economic distance which has a negative but insignificant effect on the volume of Indonesia's exports to the CARICOM region.
The Impact of One Belt One Road and Indonesia-Pakistan Palm Oil Trade Liberalization Widyastutik; Amaliah, Syarifah; Hotsawadi; Firdaus, Muhammad
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 20 No. 3 (2023): JMA Vol. 20 No. 3, November 2023
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.20.3.466

Abstract

This study focused more on analyzing the impact of the One Belt One Road initiative combined with the scenario of turning Pakistan into Indonesian palm oil trade and investment hub in the Central Asia, South Asia and Middle East Regions on Indonesia's macroeconomy. The analytical method in this study used GTAP model version 9, with reference year 2011. The results showed that the One Belt One Road initiative combined with the scenario of turning Pakistan into Indonesian palm oil trade and investment hub in the Central Asia, South Asia and Middle East Regions has led to an increase in various components of Indonesia's and Pakistan's macroeconomic variables. However, the benefits received by Indonesia in various components of macroeconomic variables are greater than those of Pakistan. Keywords: One Belt One Road, GTAP, macroeconomy, Pakistan
Measuring the Competitiveness and Efficiency of Indonesian Non-Oil and Gas Exports to Non-Traditional Markets Hotsawadi, Hotsawadi; Gea, Imelda Veronica
JURNAL HUBUNGAN LUAR NEGERI Vol. 9 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Hubungan Luar Negeri
Publisher : Kementerian Luar Negeri Republik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70836/jh.v9i2.58

Abstract

In order to improve the performance of the trade balance, Indonesia is currently always trying to diversify the market through the expansion of export markets to non-traditional countries. For this reason, measuring competitiveness and export efficiency is crucial to be researched first. This study aims to measure the competitiveness and efficiency of Indonesia's Non-Oil and Gas Exports to Non-Traditional Markets by using the analysis methods RCA, EPD, X-Model and Stochastic Frontier Analysis with Gravity Model (SFGM). The results of the analysis show that based on the results of the competitiveness analysis (RCA) and export performance using EPD and X-Model, it shows that the competitiveness of Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports to non-traditional countries is still low or below global competitiveness. Meanwhile, the results of estimation using the Stochastic Frontier Analysis approach with the Gravity Model (SFGM) show that the variables of GDP of non-traditional countries, the number of population of non-traditional countries, Indonesia's GDP, competitiveness (RCA) and the area of non-traditional countries have a positive and significant effect on Indonesia's exports. Meanwhile, economic distance is estimated to have a negative and significant influence on Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports.
PERSEPSI PELAKU USAHATANI TERHADAP KEBIJAKAN DAN PROGRAM INVESTASI PUBLIK DI SEKTOR PERTANIAN Hotsawadi; Setyawati, Dewi; Amaliah, Syarifah; Hermawan, Iwan; Widyastutik
RISALAH KEBIJAKAN PERTANIAN DAN LINGKUNGAN Rumusan Kajian Strategis Bidang Pertanian dan Lingkungan Vol 12 No 1 (2025): April
Publisher : Pusat Studi Pembangunan Pertanian dan Pedesaan (PSP3) dan Ilmu Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (PSL)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jkebijakan.v12i1.62166

Abstract

Investasi publik di sektor pertanian diharapkan dapat peningkatan produksi dan kesejahteraan petani. Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis persepsi pelaku usaha terhadap kebijakan dan program investasi publik di sektor pertanian. Sampel responden sebanyak 300 petani yang mengusahakan komoditas padi, jagung, kedelai, sayuran, kakao dan sawit di lima kabupaten (Subang, Indramayu, Pacitan, Lombok Utara dan Luwuk Utara). Persepsi petani berdasarkan analisis Importance Performance Analysis (IPA) menunjukkan bahwa sarana produksi, alat mesin pertanian dan infrastruktur secara umum harus dipertahankan kinerjanya. Sedangkan faktor lainnya seperti sumberdaya manusia, riset dan pengembangan, pemanfaatan teknologi, pembiayaan, kebijakan pemerintah, bantuan pemerintah serta kelembagaan, fasilitasi dan kemitraan, responden petani memiliki tingkat kepentingan dan juga persepsi kinerja yang sangat bervariasi antar lokasi sampel dan jenis komoditas. Sebagai upaya optimalisasi investasi publik, kegiatan pendampingan oleh kementerian lembaga, pihak swasta maupun perguruan tinggi kepada para petani sangat diperlukan.
MENEMBUS PASAR GLOBAL: PERFORMA DAN DAMPAK KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN TERHADAP EKSPOR MANUFAKTUR INDONESIA hotsawadi, hotsawadi; Gea, Imelda Veronica
Jurnal Ekonomi Sakti Vol 14 No 1 (2025)
Publisher : LPPM - STIE SAKTI ALAM KERINCI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36272/jes.v14i1.403

Abstract

The Indonesian manufacturing sector still faces various problems in the global market consisting of increasingly high product competition and relatively low added value. Therefore, this study aims to identify the competitiveness and influence of the level of trade openness on the performance of Indonesian manufacturing exports using the method of analyzing the degree of trade openness, Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) which is enhanced by the Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA) method, Trade Balance Index (TBI) and panel data regression. The results of the analysis found that the structure of Indonesian manufacturing exports tends to focus on low or medium technology products, while high-tech products that have greater added value are still dominated by imports. Viewed from the side of the degree of openness, it was found that the average degree of trade openness was lower than other ASEAN countries such as Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam. Low trade openness has the potential to open up global market access which ultimately limits Indonesia's opportunities to expand its market share. Meanwhile, the analysis of the results of panel data regression shows that the variables of the degree of trade openness, GDP per capita of each trading partner country, Indonesia's GDP per capita, the real exchange rate and competitiveness have a positive and significant effect on the export performance of the Indonesian manufacturing sector. Meanwhile, the population of partner countries has a negative and significant effect on Indonesia's manufacturing sector exports.
Regional Fiscal Policy and The Phenomenon of Poverty in Indonesia Aprianti, Yesi; Hotsawadi; Gaffar, Emmilya Umma Azizah; Muliati
Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi Dan Bisnis (JPEB) Vol. 13 No. 01 (2025): Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi & Bisnis (DOAJ & SINTA 2 Indexed)-In press
Publisher : Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Indonesia,Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21009/JPEB.013.1.4

Abstract

The poor population in Indonesia is unevenly distributed across districts and cities. This research aims to measure the impact of regional fiscal policy on reducing poverty levels. Regional financial transfers (TKD) serve as an instrument for central government intervention. The study also focuses on the classification of regional government spending and its relationship to poverty levels. Data were collected from 2016 to 2022 across Indonesian districts and cities, excluding regions with divergent data trends. The hypothesis posits that the impact of expenditure allocation across sectors varies in its effectiveness in alleviating poverty. To test this, the study employs a panel ARDL analysis to capture potential lag effects in the predictors. The main finding reveals the consistent influence of regional income on poverty reduction in both the short and long term. Meanwhile, TKD has a positive impact, as part of its fiscal gap component targets assistance to areas with high poverty levels. However, regional spending from various sources also shows a positive correlation with poverty rates, although with relatively low coefficient values. This suggests that poverty reduction is not yet a central focus of regional government spending
Sektor Parawisata di Manca Negara: Analisis Daya Saing Komparatif Indonesia dan Negara ASEAN: Tourism Sector Abroad: Comparative Competitiveness Analysis of Indonesia and ASEAN Countries Gea, Imelda Veronica; Hotsawadi, Hotsawadi
Jurnal Ekonomi STIEP Vol. 10 No. 1 (2025): JES (Jurnal Ekonomi STIEP)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian Dan Pengabdian Masyarakat (LPPM) IBE Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54526/jes.v10i1.400

Abstract

Indonesia has a wealth of natural resources and cultural diversity that can be developed to boost the performance of Indonesia's tourism exports in the global market. However, it has been identified that the Indonesian tourism sector is still less competitive than other ASEAN countries, especially Thailand and Singapore, in the global market. For this reason, this research aims to investigate and identify the competitiveness of the Indonesian tourism sector in the global market compared to other ASEAN countries using the Revealed Comparetive Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Market Share Index (MSI) analysis methods and panel data regression. The results of the analysis found that the sector performance and competitiveness of Thailand's tourism sector was higher than Indonesia's. On the other hand, the results of the analysis of the market share position of the Indonesian tourism sector for the twenty main targets are only around 17,398 percent with an average of 0.870 percent from 2019 to 2021. This condition shows that the potential of Indonesia's natural tourism sector with its large wealth of natural and cultural resources has not been utilized optimally to attract tourists to visit Indonesia. From the perspective of panel data regression analysis, it was identified that the variables of trade openness, population level of partner countries, real GDP of partner countries, real exchange rate (Rp/LCU) and competitiveness had a positive and significant effect on the performance of the Indonesian tourism sector. For this reason, government strategies and policies are needed to support strengthening competitive performance through strengthening infrastructure, improving the quality of human resources, creating a supportive investment climate and promoting integrated and targeted tourism.
Shariah Goes to School: Strategi Peningkatan Literasi dan Promosi Ekonomi Syariah Nuzulia; Hotsawadi; Imelda Veronica Gea
Aksi Kita: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Vol. 1 No. 5 (2025): OKTOBER
Publisher : Indo Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63822/bjg9va19

Abstract

Perkembangan ekonomi syariah di Indonesia menunjukkan pertumbuhan yang pesat, namun tingkat literasi dan inklusi keuangan syariah di kalangan generasi muda masih tergolong rendah. Data Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (2024) mencatat bahwa indeks literasi keuangan syariah baru mencapai 39,11% dan indeks inklusi hanya sebesar 12,88%, jauh tertinggal dibandingkan angka nasional. Kondisi ini menuntut upaya strategis melalui edukasi yang lebih terarah sejak usia sekolah. Kegiatan pengabdian kepada masyarakat berjudul *Shariah Goes to School* yang dilaksanakan oleh Program Studi Ekonomi Syariah Universitas Mulawarman merupakan salah satu upaya untuk menjawab tantangan tersebut. Kegiatan ini bertujuan memperkenalkan konsep dasar ekonomi syariah sekaligus mempromosikan keberadaan Program Studi Ekonomi Syariah kepada siswa sekolah menengah. Metode pelaksanaan menggunakan pendekatan partisipatif dan kolaboratif yang meliputi tahap perencanaan, implementasi berupa penyampaian materi interaktif, diskusi, games edukatif, serta evaluasi melalui post-test. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan adanya peningkatan pemahaman siswa mengenai prinsip-prinsip dasar ekonomi syariah, ditunjukkan oleh antusiasme mereka dalam sesi diskusi dan tanya jawab. Selain itu, kegiatan ini juga berdampak positif terhadap penguatan citra dan eksistensi Program Studi Ekonomi Syariah Universitas Mulawarman di masyarakat. Dengan demikian, kegiatan ini tidak hanya berhasil meningkatkan literasi keuangan syariah di kalangan siswa, tetapi juga menjadi strategi efektif dalam memperluas peran pendidikan tinggi dalam pembangunan ekonomi berbasis nilai Islam.
War Shocks on Export Lanes: Is World Trade Performance Slowing Down? Hotsawadi, Hotsawadi; Veronica Gea, Imelda; Nuzulia, Nuzulia
Perspektif : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Akademi Bina Sarana Informatika Vol 23, No 2 (2025): Bulan September 2025
Publisher : www.bsi.ac.id

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31294/jp.v23i2.27433

Abstract

In recent years, geopolitical tensions and armed conflicts have had a significant impact on the global trading order. For this reason, this study aims to analyze the relationship between international armed conflict and estimated export performance using the ARDL Panel Model. The results of the estimation using the ARDL Panel Model show that military conflicts have a significant negative impact on export performance in the long run, reflecting the vulnerability of international trade to geopolitical instability. On the other hand, real GDP, population, and investment exhibit significant positive influences that enhance production capacity, expand markets, and improve export competitiveness in the global market. These findings suggest that domestic factors that support economic growth play a crucial role in maintaining export resilience, despite external challenges such as military conflicts and fluctuations in exchange rates. The real exchange rate has been shown to have a negative impact, suggesting that currency appreciation can erode the competitiveness of export prices. Therefore, exchange rate stability is a crucial factor that must be maintained
Co-Authors Azalia, Areta Nur Fatimah Gaffar, Emmilya Umma Azizah Gea, Imelda Veronica Imelda Veronica Gea Iwan Hermawan Muliati Nuzulia Nuzulia, Nuzulia Rarasati, Indin Setyawati, Dewi Syarifah Amaliah Veronica Gea, Imelda Widyastutik Yesi Aprianti