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Dinamika Indeks Kekeringan Terhadap Perubahan Iklim Di Sub-DAS Upper Brantas, Jawa Timur Zakariyah, Mahmud; Novi Silvia; Evi Fitriana
Jurnal Geografi, Edukasi dan Lingkungan (JGEL) Vol. 9 No. 1 (2025): Edisi Bulan Januari
Publisher : Pendidikan Geografi Universitas Muhammadiyah Prof. Dr. Hamka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22236/jgel.v9i1.15074

Abstract

Drought is one of the significant impacts of climate change that affects water availability, agricultural productivity and ecosystem sustainability. This research aims to analyze the drought index in the Upper Brantas River Sub-Watershed (DAS) area, which plays an important role in the agricultural sector of the local community. The drought index is calculated based on the ratio of annual precipitation to annual potential evapotranspiration, with precipitation and evapotranspiration data obtained from the Global Agro Ecological Zone (GAEZ) V4 Data Portal. This research utilizes the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios in four time periods: 1981–2010, 2011–2040, 2041–2070, and 2071–2100. The results show that precipitation tends to decrease under RCP 4.5, while RCP 8.5 shows fluctuations, but remains higher than the RCP 4.5 value. In contrast, potential evapotranspiration shows a significant increase, especially in the RCP 8.5 scenario. The combination of these changes produces a drought index pattern that tends to decrease, so that the Upper Brantas Subwatershed area becomes drier, with worse impacts in the RCP 8.5 scenario. Spatial analysis revealed a strong negative correlation between potential evapotranspiration and drought indices, confirming the role of evapotranspiration in exacerbating drought conditions. This research can be the basis for recommendations by emphasizing the urgency of adaptation to climate change, such as managing water resources, increasing farmer capacity, and optimizing sustainable agricultural practices, in order to minimize the impact of drought on the sustainability of the Upper Brantas Subwatershed area.
Implementasi School Ecosystem-based Disaster Risk Education untuk Meningkatkan Ketahanan Komunitas Guru Geografi Kota Kediri Mochammad Tri Herwanto; Waode Yunia Silviariza; Novika Adi Wibowo; Cindy Mariska; Novi Silvia; Mey Yustiningsih; Mochammad Tri Herwanto; Waode Yunia Silviariza; Novika Adi Wibowo; Cindy Mariska; Novi Silvia; Mey Yustiningsih
Jurnal Pembelajaran, Bimbingan, dan Pengelolaan Pendidikan Vol. 5 No. 11 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17977/um065.v5.i11.2025.2

Abstract

Kegiatan ini bertujuan meningkatkan ketahanan komunitas guru geografi di Kota Kediri melalui pendekatan School Ecosystem-based Disaster Risk Education. Sebanyak 25 guru geografi MGMP Kota Kediri terlibat secara partisipatif. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan mayoritas peserta merupakan guru muda dengan masa mengajar 1–10 tahun yang lebih terbuka terhadap inovasi pembelajaran kebencanaan, sedangkan guru senior cenderung resisten terhadap perubahan sehingga memerlukan pendampingan. Guru mengidentifikasi dua bahaya utama di Kota Kediri yaitu banjir dan gempa bumi. Aspek kerentanan fisik mendominasi jawaban peserta. Aset fisik mencakup ruang terbuka, jalur evakuasi, sarana keselamatan darurat, dan aset non-fisik berupa kapasitas guru serta partisipasi murid yang paling banyak disebutkan peserta. Guru juga menekankan pentingnya keterlibatan multipihak, terutama keinginan berkolaborasi dengan pemerintah. Urutan kedua terbanyak ingin berkolaborasi dengan masyarakat. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa keberhasilan pendidikan kebencanaan berbasis ekosistem sekolah dipengaruhi oleh integrasi faktor internal dan eksternal. Kebaruan terletak pada penerapan kerangka School Ecosystem-based Disaster Risk Education secara partisipatif untuk memperkuat peran komunitas guru geografi sebagai agen perubahan dalam membangun sekolah yang adaptif, tangguh, dan berkelanjutan menghadapi risiko bencana.