KEK (Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan)
Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan (KEK henceforth)was first published in 1996 as an initiative of researchers of Ministry of Finance. In the earlier years of its publication, KEK was also known as Kajian Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Keuangan (KIEK). Since then KEK has been published regularly as one of the prominent sources of reference for public policy evaluation as well as a recommendation, in particular on Indonesian state budgets and finance topics.
Articles
143 Documents
<![CDATA[Kebijakan Hilirisasi Mineral : Policy Reform untuk Meningkatkan Penerimaan Negara ]]>
<![CDATA[Ika, Syahrir]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 1 (2017) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v1i1.259
<![CDATA[Indonesian mining sectors have not been optimally managed to raise budget income and bring public welfare. Main problem is laid on while Government give its concern more to upstream than to downstream management policy which gives low value added. Government has reformed its mining management by switching from upstream to downstream. This mining reform is shown in Law Number 4/2009 on Mineral and Batubara. However, the implementation is facing some technical and financial challenges. This study elaborates how urgent the ‘downstream policy’ is. Author also tries to portray the implementations and challenges Government faces, and recommend several steps needed to be taken. On the conclusion, the author gives suggest that Government needs to: (i) revise the Law Number 44/2009 as a better option compared to release several Government Regulation that proven not solve the problem; (ii) encourage some efforts to integrating downstream industries for their potentials to budget revenue; and (iii) support strategic alliance among state enterprises in order to act as downstream pioneers.]]>
<![CDATA[Analysis of the Ability to Pay for Disaster Insurance Program ]]>
<![CDATA[Siswanto, Adrianus Dwi]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 18, No 1 (2014) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v18i1.32
<![CDATA[Indonesia is disaster-prone countries. Then the disaster mitigation and adaptation, with insurance as one available option, need to be considered. Insurance scheme can be applied as an alternative to allocate the burden of disaster cost, not only to government and households but also to insurance companies. This study examines the ability to pay of the households for the insurance program in different provinces using the data of the Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional (Susenas] for the year 2010. The result is there are some provinces with high vulnerability index but low ability to pay for insurance expenses; and vice versa. Potential spending on average for catastrophe insurance is at 2.8 percent i.e. the portion of household expenditures that potentially. can be allocated to disaster premium insurance payments.]]>
<![CDATA[POTENSI PENERIMAAN PAJAK ]]>
<![CDATA[Nizar, Muhammad Afdi]]>;
<![CDATA[Purnomo, Kuntarto]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 15, No 2 (2011) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v15i2.93
<![CDATA[This study aims to estimate the size of underground economy activities in Indonesia. Based on the results of these estimates, further calculated the potential tax loss due to the existence of underground economy activities. This study was conducted using quantitative approaches, namely currency demand model which is estimated by ordinary least square (OLS) method. By using time series (quarterly) data period 2000 - 2009 we found that the size of underground economy is about Rpl64, 4 trillion per year on average, equivalent to 6% of GDP. Meanwhile, the potential tax loss due to the activity estimated at Rp20,6 trillion on average per year, or approximately 0.69% of GDP.]]>
<![CDATA[Peran Alokatif Pemerintah melalui Pengadaan Barang/Jasa dan Pengaruhnya Terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia ]]>
<![CDATA[Azwar, Azwar]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 20, No 2 (2016) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v20i2.186
<![CDATA[Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak dari peran alokatif pemerintah melalui pengadaan barang dan jasa terhadap perekonomian Indonesia yang diwakili oleh pertumbuhan ekonomi (PDB) dan hubungan timbal balik di antara keduanya. Dengan menggunakan pendekatan analisis model Vector Autoregression (VAR) melalui pengujian Impulse Response Function (IRF) dan Variance Decomposition (VD), secara empiris penelitian ini menemukan bahwa: (i) shock atau perubahan nilai realisasi pengadaan barang/jasa pemerintah berdampak positif terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Respon positif perekonomian ini berlangsung cepat dan terus berlangsung dalam jangka panjang secara permanen, di mana 91,12 % variasi pembentukan indikator perekonomian Indonesia (pada akhir periode penelitian), berasal dari sektor pengadaan barang/jasa pemerintah; (ii) sebaliknya, perekonomian Indonesia juga memberikan dampak positif terhadap pengadaan barang/jasa pemerintah. Namun, dampak positif ini hanya berlangsung sementara. Shock atau perubahan yang terjadi pada perkenomian dalam jangka waktu lebih lama akan memberikan dampak negatif terhadap pengadaan barang/jasa pemerintah. Respon negatif ini terus berlangsung dengan tren yang terus meningkat dalam jangka panjang.]]>
<![CDATA[Regional Governments Spending, Private Investment and Employment Performance in Indonesia ]]>
<![CDATA[Budiyanto, Budiyanto]]>;
<![CDATA[Priyarsono, D S]]>;
<![CDATA[Sinaga, Bonar M]]>;
<![CDATA[Sudaryanto, Tahlim]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 18, No 3 (2014) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v18i3.23
<![CDATA[The amount and composition of government spending in fiscal operations has a significant impact on aggregate demand and national output and affects resource allocationin an economy. Therefore, in order to achieve effective economic development, government spending has to be allocated appropriately according to the potentials of each area. Indonesia, which consists of areas with a variety of potential resources would require the determination of the amount and composition of different government spending in order to have an impact on the growth of private investment and employment opportunities are maximized. The purpose of this study is to examine the regional government expenditure performance, private investment and employment opportunities in the area where contribution of the agricultural sector to GRDP is high and low. The study utilizes an econometric model of the system of simultaneous equations using a panel of data of 20 provinces in Indonesia for the period of2003-2011. The 20 sampled provinces were classified into two groups, based on contribution of agriculture sector to the respective regional economy. The estimation results indicate that the determination of the amount of local government spending, both in the areas where the contribution of the agricultural sector to GRDP is either high or low, based on the activity or program of the previous year. Meanwhile, the greater the number of regional government spending for the agricultural sector, the private investment of agricultural sector and employment is increasing.]]>
<![CDATA[Diagnosis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Output Potensial Indonesia ]]>
<![CDATA[Nurwanda, Asep]]>;
<![CDATA[Rifai, Bakhtiar]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 2, No 3 (2018) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v2i3.385
<![CDATA[AbstrakSalah satu alat pendekatan yang digunakan dalam melakukan diagnosis posisi perekonomian suatu negara adalah analisis output gap yang merupakan selisih antara output aktual dan potensial. Hasil analisis tersebut menggambarkan kondisi siklus bisnis suatu perekonomian. Hal ini berguna sebagai dasar pertimbangan dalam penyusunan kerangka kebijakan ekonomi. Bertolak dari hal tersebut, tulisan ini menjelaskan hasil estimasi output potensial dan output gap Indonesia berdasarkan tiga pendekatan, yakni Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter, Band-Pass (BP) Filter, dan Pendekatan Fungsi Produksi (Growth Accounting). Ketiga metode tersebut secara konsisten menunjukkan bahwa kondisi perekonomian Indonesia di tahun 2017 hanya sedikit di bawah level potensialnya. Selanjutnya dengan mengaplikasikan asumsi kinerja pertumbuhan tahun 2018 dan 2019 masing-masing sebesar 5,4 persen dan 5,6 persen, perekonomian Indonesia akan melampaui level potensialnya di tahun 2019. Kondisi tersebut perlu menjadi perhatian dalam pengambilan kebijakan, baik dalam jangka pendek maupun menengah. Dalam jangka pendek, output gap yang positif mendorong adanya tekanan inflasi (inflationary pressure) sehingga upaya pengendalian inflasi perlu menjadi prioritas pemerintah. Sementara itu dalam jangka menengah, upaya reformasi struktural harus terus dilakukan untuk meningkatkan output potensial, mencakup faktor tenaga kerja peningkatan partisipasi angkatan kerja, faktor kapital melalui investasi yang berkelanjutan, serta faktor produktivitas dengan peningkatan kualitas human capital dan penguasaan teknologi.]]>
<![CDATA[Religion and Cultural Factors in Bilateral Trade between Indonesia and ASEAN Member Countries ]]>
<![CDATA[Waristi, Fino Valico]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 18, No 2 (2014) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v18i2.46
<![CDATA[This study focus on the roles of culture and religion in explaining the bilateral trade between Indonesia and the member of ASEAN countries. This research uses the theory of gravity (Gravity Model) by applying random effect and Pooled Regressions analysis in measuring the correlation between set variables. The tested variables are Indonesia's Real GDP, Real GDP of ASEAN countries, Distances, cost of trade, variable of Religion and Cultural factors, during the period of 2002 and 2011. We used secondary data from CEIC, CEPIl, and Hofstede index. The results show that religon does not significantly affect the bilateral trade, while culture similarity has tendencies to affect bilateral trade. Meanwhile, the result supports prior analysis that the distance variable has strong correlation to the bilateral trade. This study implies the need for further studies on the application of gravity models to explain bilateral trade within countries in the region.]]>
<![CDATA[STUDI POTENSI PENDANAAN CLIMATE CHANGE PADA LEMBAGA KEUANGAN MULTILATERAL ]]>
<![CDATA[Nurhidayat, R.]]>;
<![CDATA[Setiawan, Sigit]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 15, No 1 (2011) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v15i1.84
<![CDATA[Climate Change has adversely brought impacts to a large number of countries all over the globe, including Indonesia. The issues regarding climate change impacts have become primary concerns in managing sustainable economic development in Indonesia. In striving to tackle those impacts, funding will be a key element. While the State Budget has allocated a particular amount of funding, other sources of external funding is actually expected, including those from multilateral financial institutions. ADB is one of the multilateral donor institutions that provide climate change adaptation and mitigation related fund. In this study, the potentially utilized financing sources of the donor institution by Indonesia is explored, both solely from the individual institution or in cooperation with other donors. The potential financing source aspects which are analyzed cover funding mechanisms, types of funding, and the fund allocation provided. Other key aspects such as assessment and evaluation criteria employed by ADB to approve a particular project to finance under its portfolio are also explored, completed with several project examples under ADB funding.]]>
<![CDATA[Analisis Efektivitas Banun Operasional Sekolah (BOS) Pada Departemen Pendidikan Nasional ]]>
<![CDATA[Aziz, Abdul]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 13, No 2 (2009) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v13i2.160
<![CDATA[Salah satu amanah dari Undang - Undang Keuangan Negara adalah penerapan sistem penganggaran berbasis yang kinerja berorientasi pada hasil (output based) dari program pemerintah dengan cara meningkatkan efisiensi sumber aya yang terbatas dan efektif dalam pencapaian output dan outcomenya.Pemerintah perlu melakukan kegiatan monitoring dan evaluasi dalam mencapai target tersebut (efisien dan efektif) agar terjadi perbaikan kualitas pelaksanaan program dan kegiatan di masa yang akan datang.Salah satu metodologi penelitian untuk mengetahui tingkat efektivitas suatu program/kegiatan dengan cara melakukan uji sampel t berpasangan (paired sample t test) terhadap setiap outcome yang diharapkan dari program BOS ini.Dari uji statistik dengan tool SPSS ini akan dihasilkan kesimpulan ilmiah setiap variable outcomenya yaitu apakah dengan adanya program BOS variable outcome yang diuji (yang terdiri dari variable APK, APM, Siswa mendaftar, Putus sekolah, Lulus sekolah dan Lanjut sekolah di tingkat SD dan SMP) mengalami perbedaan yang signifikan (terjadi perbaikan) dengan sebelum pelaksanaan BOS? Atau dengan kata lain, apakah BOS efektif memperbaiki variable - variable outcome tersebut.Pada akhirnya, uji statistik ini bisa menjadi model / bahan masukan / pedoman bagi kementerian Negara / lembaga dan Kementerian Departemen Keuangan dalam melakukan uji efektivitas program / kegiatan di lingkungannya masing - masing.]]>
<![CDATA[The Understanding and Behavior of Fishermen toward the Social Security Program Case Study; the Fishermen in the District ofKaur, Bengkulu ]]>
<![CDATA[saptia, yeni]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 17, No 3 (2013) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Badan kebijakan Fiskal ]]>
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DOI: 10.31685/kek.v17i3.14
<![CDATA[The social security program is expected to help reducing the risk of fishermen. This study aims to analyze the understanding, intention and behavior of fishermen on the social security program. Sample of respondents of this study amounted to 116 fishermen in the District ofKaur who have under 10 GT dimension of ship. The analytical method is used a Structural Equation Model (SEM) that adopts the Ajzen's theory of planned behavior by using the Amos 19. The results of the study showed that the positive response of fishermen on the social security program as well as the subjective norm ofKaur Fishermen effect directly the intention and indirectly the behavior of fishermen to pay the dues of social security program. While the behavior control of fishermen in Kaur is not significant in influencing the intention and behavior of the social security program. ]]>
