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Wiwi Susanti
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wiwi.susanti@umy.ac.id
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Secretariat AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Ground Floor of F3 Building (Siti Walidah Building), Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta Jl. Brawijaya, Tamantirto, Kasihan, Bantul, Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta, Indonesia 55183
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Daerah istimewa yogyakarta
INDONESIA
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research
ISSN : 2407814X     EISSN : 25279238     DOI : https://doi.org/10.18196/
AGRARIS: Journal of Agibusiness and Rural Development Research is scientific periodical publication on agribusiness and rural development issue as a media for information dissemination of research result for lecturers, researchers and practitioners. The coverage includes but is not restricted to: Agricultural economics Agricultural Development dan Policy Agricultural Marketing Rural Development Entrepreneurship and Management of Agribusinesses Sustainable Agriculture Agricultural extension, Communication and Education Information Technology in Agribusiness Food Security
Articles 9 Documents
Search results for , issue "Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024" : 9 Documents clear
Oil Palm Production in the 20th Century and Beyond: The Impact of Climate Change in Malaysia Wan Mohd Noor, Wan Noranida; Mohd Nawi, Nolila; Buda, Mark; Wong Kai Seng, Kelly
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.33

Abstract

The widespread concern about the devastating impact of climate change, especially in the agricultural sector, has become severe. This paper aims to explore and predict the impact of climate change on oil palm production using future climate conditions projected by the National Water Research Institute of Malaysia (NAHRIM). An error correction model (ECM) and autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) cointegration approach were applied to assess the short-run and long-run impact of climate change on oil palm production. The estimated short-run coefficients disclosed that the oil palm own price and fertilizer use positively affected oil palm production in the second lag period, and increased acreage benefited oil palm production in the long run. The rainfall variable negatively affected the second lag period but positively rose oil palm production in the long run. The results of forecasting analysis revealed that SN1 (minimum climate variability), SN2 (maximum climate variability), and SN3 (average climate variability) would increase oil palm production by 5%, 1%, and 2%, respectively. Meanwhile, the oil palm yield would rise from 16.73 t/ha in 2020 to 16.89 t/ha in 2030 under SN1. However, with maximum rainfall, the yield would drop to 16.41 t/ha in 2030. Overall, climate change would likely reduce oil palm yield. This research could serve as empirical guides for policymakers and oil palm stakeholders in terms of practical and policy implications to adapt to climate change-related risks and uncertainties. The practical cover investments in technologies, such as developing drought-tolerant and early-maturity crop varieties, boosting water saving, and reducing evapotranspiration.
Forecasting the Competitiveness of Major Wheat Exporters Amidst the Russia and Ukraine Crisis Mohamad, Abdul Hayy Haziq; Ab-Rahim, Rossazana
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.80

Abstract

Major concerns about the food security involving wheat production emerged when the conflict between Russia and Ukraine worsened because both countries were the main suppliers of wheat to 38 countries. This study aims to explore the competitiveness level of wheat production countries and the future exporters that may lead to global wheat production during the Russia-Ukraine crisis. This study analyzed the comparative advantages of the five largest wheat exporters from 2001 to 2021 using the revealed comparative advantage (RCA) and revealed symmetrical comparative advantage (RSCA) indices to examine the current level of wheat export competitiveness of the five major exporters. This study also predicts the three major wheat-producing countries (excluding Russia and Ukraine) using 83-month observations to forecast the autoregressive integrated moving average in the next six months. The findings disclosed that all major wheat countries were strongly competitive, and the forecast unveiled that Australia is capable to lead the wheat producing countries in the next six months. This evaluation was derived from the ARIMA approach’s forecast, demonstrating Australia to be statistically greater than the USA and Canada.
Sustainable Hydrogen Production from Oil Palm Trunk Biomass in Indonesia: A Techno-Economic Study Pancasakti, Bima Prasetya; Budhijanto
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.152

Abstract

Hydrogen has been recognized as a global sustainable alternative sustainable energy source. The government of Indonesia has been working on a novel idea to launch the hydrogen industry. Accordingly, research and development of ecologically acceptable hydrogen manufacturing methods are essential. Supercritical water gasification (SCWG) is one of the recent techniques to create hydrogen. This research investigated the techno-economics of hydrogen production in Indonesia using SCWG. Oil palm trunks (OPT), a plentiful byproduct of palm oil plants, are the primary raw materials employed in this industry. This study extracted data from several research publications on SCWG-related hydrogen generation and performed computational analysis using several economic parameter equations. According to the analysis, with a potential OPT source of around 34 million tons, the plant could manufacture 304,166.67 tons of OPT per year, generating 365,000 tons of hydrogen annually. The production cost was projected to be USD 1,179,409,295, with a fixed capital investment of USD 1,178,853,030.47. The expected annual income was USD 1,825,000,000. This assessment yielded an ROI of 60% and an NPV of USD 1,888,889,382.70. The IRR value was 26.96%, with a PoT of 2.49 years. The sensitivity analysis revealed that the price of hydrogen significantly affected the values of IRR and PoT. Therefore, the government must determine the exact price of hydrogen to ensure its sustainability.
Value Chain Management of Orchid Businesses: A Case Study of the Indonesian Orchid Association of West Java Salman, Tasya; Aos, Aos; Permana, Agus
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.174

Abstract

The orchid business in West Java can not be separated from the active role of the Indonesian Orchid Association (IOA). Currently, orchid business actors in this province have faced production problems due to their inability to meet market needs, both in quantity and quality. This study aims to identify orchid value chain management in IOA of West Java. The data collection utilized purposive and snowball sampling techniques. The respondents in this study consisted of six breeders, six growers (two seedlers and four juveniles-adults growers), six traders, and two employees of the Department of Food Crops and Horticulture of West Java. The data obtained were mapped using Porter’s value chain model. The research findings disclosed that the orchid value chain began with the procurement of inputs such as planting media, seeds, fertilizer, and pesticides. The production involved the in vitro production of plantlets using seeds obtained from crossbreeding and continued with plant enlargement. Adult and flowering plants were sold directly to consumers or through agents and traders. Two forms of governance existed within the orchid value chain. Market governance occurred between breeders and growers, growers and consumers, agents and traders, and traders and consumers. Whereas modular governance took place between breeders (imports) and industry, as well as the industry and agents. In conclusion, the value chain management of the IOA of West Java was not optimal due to the unimplemented application of tissue culture technology. Consequently, orchid production remained suboptimal and low level of orchid uniformity.
Exploring the Factors Influencing Shrimp Farmers’ Adoption Intentions toward Improved Disease-Prevention Technologies Azali Sazali, Amira Hanani; Kamarulzaman, Nitty Hirawaty; Man, Norsida
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.219

Abstract

Shrimp production is adversely affected by diseases, particularly in giant tiger prawn and whiteleg shrimp. The predominant use of inexpensive antibiotics by shrimp farmers has resulted in antibiotic overuse and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) at the farm level. However, the adoption of new antibiotic-related technologies remains low due to their high cost and farmers’ reluctance. This study explored key factors influencing shrimp farmers’ intentions to adopt improved disease-prevention technologies. Stratified random sampling selected 123 shrimp farmers from four regions in Peninsular Malaysia, and data were collected through a structured questionnaire. Several statistical analyses were employed to scrutinize the collected data, encompassing descriptive analysis, Chi-square analysis, factor analysis, and logistic regression analysis. The research findings revealed a significantly high intention (74.0%, n=91) among shrimp farmers toward adopting improved disease-prevention technologies. The analysis unveiled a significant correlation between attitude (ß=2.062, p<0.000) and the intention of shrimp farmers toward adopting improved disease-prevention technologies in their shrimp farming practices. Notably, those with a positive attitude were found to be 7.9 times more interested in adapting these technologies, underlining attitude as the predominant influence in this context. These findings offer valuable insights to enhance the competitiveness of the aquaculture sector in shrimp production and animal health advancements. Promoting sustainable and responsible practices has become the key to ensuring the shrimp farming sector’s long-term success and resilience.
Are Thailand's Mangosteen and Durian Complementary in the Global Market? Rangkakulnuwat, Poomthan
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.220

Abstract

Mangosteen is one of Thailand’s major agricultural exports, generating income and employment in the country’s agricultural sector. This research examined whether Thailand’s durian fruit can complement mangosteen in the global market. The country-pair and time-fixed effects of Poisson maximum likelihood were employed in the model, and the estimated results were separated into eight cases. The findings indicate that Thailand’s durian complements mangosteen in the global market. Thai mangosteen exporters are advised to implement high pricing strategies, divide their market into upper-middle-income and high-income nations, and promote durian along with mangosteen. Improving the skill of mangosteen farmers to achieve a higher yield and quality than competitors is an essential factor.
Assessment of Local Chicken Production Base Area in Minahasa Regency: A Location Quotient Approach Hasrianti Silondae; Mujtahidah Anggriani Ummul Muzayyanah; Endang Sulastri; Budi Guntoro
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.230

Abstract

Local chickens have considerable potential to be developed and are reared as a source of animal protein and income. The production of local chickens is distributed across Minahasa Regency under a traditional free-ranging system. This study aims to assess the base area of local chicken farming and to determine the distribution of the superior commodity through the growth and share of local chicken production. Assessing the base area of the region for local chicken production can serve as the basis for the evaluation and design of policies. This study utilized a location quotient (LQ) approach in the empirical works in the regency and district. This analytical tool was applied to analyze the dynamics of the economic base in the cases of districts in Minahasa Regency, Indonesia. The analysis results denoted that 17 of 25 districts in Minahasa Regency ranked among the top base areas for local chicken development, as indicated by the highest LQ coefficients. Concerning the district potential base area, three districts fell into the superior category, four districts belonged to the static category, and 15 districts were in the potential category. This evidence reflects the potential and prospects of local chicken farming and its development plans as a leading commodity in Minahasa Regency. Encouraging farmers to maintain and develop livestock enterprises could support the provision of animal protein for consumption. There has been hope for the future of the local chicken commodity thanks to its inclusive development in resource-rich base areas.
The Effect of Internet Development on Indonesia’s Agri-Food Export Potential in the Global Market Suroso, Arif Imam; Fahmi, Idqan; Tandra, Hansen; Haryono, Adi
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.262

Abstract

The Internet has become essential in increasing output between corporate and country levels. However, the impact of the Internet on trading potential still needs to be known. On the other hand, Indonesia has great potential to export agricultural food products in global trade. Therefore, the relationship between the Internet development and agri-food export potential could be explored. This study aims to investigate the effect of Internet development on Indonesia’s export potential in the global market. The export potential estimation was measured using gravity estimation in 124 destination countries from 2010 to 2020. Furthermore, the panel regression was employed to determine the three indicators of Internet development: Internet users, secure Internet servers, and fixed broadband subscriptions on Indonesia’s agricultural export potential. This study also utilized simulation due to the possibility of rising the number of Internet indicators. The results revealed several positive factors of Indonesia’s agricultural exports, such as importers’ gross domestic bruto (GDP), contagious border, and colonial relationship. Otherwise, geographical distance, exchange rate, and being a landlocked country negatively affected Indonesia’s agricultural exports. Indonesia possessed a greater potential for agricultural exports in Europe, especially in the conditions of emerging and developing economies. There were 85 destination countries with higher potential for Indonesia’s agri-food export. Additionally, Internet users and secure Internet servers positively influenced the agricultural export potential to target countries. The simulation revealed that improving Internet indicators boosted the new market rather than raising the export value to target countries.
Investigating the Structural Composition of Contemporary Sustainable Organic Agriculture Supply Chains: A Case Study from Thailand Rattanawong, Ananya; Ongkunaruk, Pornthipa; Leingpibul, Thaweephan (Duke)
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 10 No. 1: January-June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v10i1.307

Abstract

The global demand for organic produce has surged, with notable growth among Thai consumers. However, within Thailand's organic agricultural sectors, supply chain obscurity has impeded the understanding and resolution of emerging challenges associated with meeting this rising demand. Public interest has traditionally centered on mainstream economic sectors, resulting in inadequate attention to the sustainable organic farming supply chains. This study aims to explore the complexities of current sustainable organic supply chain configurations in Thailand, addressing gaps that lead to suboptimal planning and non-sustainable practices. Utilizing the Integration Definition for Function Modeling (IDEF0) framework, this research collected data from key stakeholders through in-depth interviews. Participants included representatives from each stage of the supply chain, providing comprehensive insights into the operational dynamics. The analysis identified several critical challenges within the supply chain, including insufficient collaborative planning, reduced productivity, inaccurate demand forecasting, ineffective budgetary planning, and inadequate cold chain management. These challenges highlight the fragmented nature of the current supply chain and the need for strategic improvements. To address these shortcomings, the study suggests integrating technological advancements in demand planning, operations, and budgeting, fostering collaboration among supply chain members, and forming strategic partnerships with cold chain management service providers. These recommendations aim to enhance the efficiency and sustainability of Thailand's organic produce supply chain, ensuring it can meet increasing global and domestic demands effectively.

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