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Economic Development Analysis Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Semarang
ISSN : 22526560     EISSN : 25022725     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Focus and Scope Economic Development Analysis Journal is a scientific journal who published by Department of Economic Development, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia. this journal published four times per year on February, May, August, and November and start publishing since 2012. The journal scope is related to the research in developing countries such as a development studies, poverty adequate, inequality, unemployment studies, behavioural economics, human development problems and others economics issues. Economics Development Analysis Journal also publish an articles related to the branch of development studies, such as, industry economics, international trade, bank and financial institutions, agriculture economics, financial studies, digital economics, small and medium enterprises, and tourism economics. It also published the study of development policy such as monetary economics, public economics, macro economics, micro economics, and economics policy. Therefore, this journal also received an articles related to spatial studies such as Urban, Regional, Development planning and Rural economics. Base on the scope, Economics Development Analysis Journal welcome a multidicipline articles who related to the economics and development studies.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 10 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal" : 10 Documents clear
Poverty Modeling in Indonesia: a Spatial Regression Analysis Ameliatul 'Iffah; Suliyanto Suliyanto; Sediono Sediono; Toha Saifudin; Elly Ana; Dita Amelia
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.66027

Abstract

The government has made various efforts to reduce poverty in Indonesia. However, based on the World Population Review report, Indonesia is still ranked as the 73rd poorest country in the world in 2022 based on the value of gross national income. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the factors that affect poverty. This research was conducted by comparing classical, spatial lag, and spatial error regression, and the best model will be selected. The results show that the spatial error regression model is the best, based on the highest coefficient of determination and the lowest Akaike's information criterion value. Based on the best model, it is found that the expected years of schooling, the rate of gross regional domestic product, the percentage of households that have access to proper sanitation services, and the percentage of households with electric lighting sources have a significant effect on the percentage of poor people. The percentage of poor people in a province is also influenced by the percentage of poor people in the surrounding provinces. The results of this simulation can help the government take initiatives or policies aimed at reducing poverty in Indonesia based on variables that affect poverty.
Number of Elderly in The Household and Elderly Household Welfare Kusdianto, Dwi; Samosir, Omas Bulan
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Fertility and mortality decline in Indonesia has caused the number of households with elderly members (aged 60 years and above) to grow. However, the level of their welfare is relatively lower. It leads to socio-economic problems such as elderly neglect, decreased quality of human resources, and increased government spending to improve the elderly generation's welfare. Policies to anticipate and deal with these problems need to be taken based on population analysis. This study investigates the association between the number of older people in a household and their household's welfare. Using 86,927 elderly households data from Susenas March 2019, with multiple regression analysis, this study found that the number of elderly is significantly associated with lower household welfare. The number of elderly in the elderly household has the most significant influence on the lower ratio of household welfare compared to the number of adults or children. This study also found that income, region, location, awareness of household members to utilize health services optimally, and the length of education and age of the household head is positively related to better elderly household welfare. Meanwhile, the male household head correlated significantly with a lower welfare ratio than the female household head.
Analysis of Indonesian Exports Demand in the ASEAN Region Taosige Wau
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.68481

Abstract

The dynamics of a country's exports are determined not only by the supply side but also by the demand side. This research examines the influence of the demand side on Indonesia's exports. Its primary aim is to analyze the effects of per capita income, inflation, and the exchange rates of partner countries on the demand for Indonesia's exports in the ASEAN region. The data used is panel data covering the observation period from 2000 to 2021, encompassing nine ASEAN member countries trading partners with Indonesia. The analytical method employed is a panel regression model using a random effects approach, estimated through the EGLS method. The findings indicate that an increase in per capita income, inflation, and the appreciation of partner countries' currencies against the USD can stimulate the demand for Indonesia's exports in the ASEAN region, albeit to varying degrees.
Non-Performing Loans Indonesian Banking Industry: Before and During Covid-19 Pandemic Muhammad Nur Hakim; Ariodillah Hidayat; Imam Asngari; Xenaneira Shodrokova
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.69009

Abstract

This study examines the factors influencing Non-Performing Loans in the Indonesian Banking Industry, specifically the Bank Group based on Core Capital (KBMI) 4, both before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Secondary data, spanning from January 2019 to September 2021, is utilized in this analysis. The study employs the error correction (ECM) model through regression analysis techniques. The findings indicate that the Loan Deposit Ratio and Bank Indonesia (BI) Rate significantly and negatively impact Non-Performing Loans in both the short and long term. Furthermore, the Dummy COVID-19 variable significantly and positively influences Non-Performing Loans in both the short and long term. While Net Interest Margin exhibits a positive but non-significant effect in the short term, it demonstrates a positive and significant effect on Non-Performing Loans in the long term.
Institutional Quality and Economic Growth in Muslim Countries Zuhairan Yunmi Yunan
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.69330

Abstract

This research analyzes the link between institutions and growth in a selection of Muslim nations to determine which elements have the most influence. The study spans 20 years, from 2002 to 2021, and employs a cross-country analysis to conclude that only three aspects of institutional quality (government effectiveness, political stability and lack of violence/terrorism, and voice and accountability) are strongly related to economic growth. The findings, obtained through a dynamic panel setting, reveal that most control variables exhibit significant effects consistent with expected outcomes. However, the investment coefficient, while positive, lacks statistical significance, suggesting that the impact of investment on economic growth in Muslim nations is not robust enough to be statistically validated. Moreover, the study delves into institutional quality's impact on economic performance and finds that three out of five variables significantly influence growth. Government effectiveness, political stability, and absence of violence/terrorism demonstrate substantial positive correlations, particularly at the 1% significance level. While still positively related to economic growth, regulatory quality and the rule of law only exhibit significance at the 10% level. To further understand the impact on economic development, this paper advises that future research explore numerous institutional quality criteria and segregate Muslim countries based on their political systems.
Household Energy Poverty: Evidence From a Large-Scale Longitudinal Survey Septiani, Yustirania; Sugiharti, Rr Retno; Panjawa, Jihad Lukis; Nur Izati, Isna Hana
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.74534

Abstract

Energy is a basic household necessity closely related to human health and well-being; unfortunately, not all households have equal access to energy. This condition is referred to as energy poverty, wherein a household lacks access to or cannot afford basic energy services to meet its daily needs. The goal of this research is to analyze the determining factors of the probability of households experiencing energy poverty in Indonesia, focusing on Household Demography and Household Expenditure factors. Using household survey data from IFLS4 (2007) and IFLS5 (2014) and employing Multinomial Logit analysis, this study aims to capture the differences between groups of energy-consuming households. The research findings indicate that households found it easier to access energy (especially gas) after the implementation of the energy conversion policy from kerosene to gas, which began in 2007. Based on the estimation results, the probability of households experiencing energy poverty in Indonesia in 2007 is determined by Education, Income, Spouse Work, Communication Cost, and Health Cost, while in 2014, it is influenced by Education, Spouse Work, Electric Cost, Fuel Cost, Health Cost, and Non-food Consumption. Other indicators of Household Demography and Household Expenditure show different results for each category and period. To address energy poverty, a change in perspective and reform of programs in the energy sector are required. The government can also provide energy subsidies and compensation to poor and vulnerable populations.
Macroeconomic, Institutional, and Energy Consumption on Economic Growth APEC Members Sarjiyanto, Sarjiyanto; Romadhoni, Latifah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.74961

Abstract

Economic growth is a shared goal pursued by every country across various regions worldwide, including the member nations within the APEC organization. However, APEC member countries still encounter several economic challenges to achieve optimal economic growth. First, macroeconomic issues such as regulatory barriers limit both FDI inflows and trade. Furthermore, unemployment remains an unresolved issue. Second, based on the World Bank's average estimates, most APEC countries exhibit low institutional quality. This is due to corruption, weak law enforcement, and lack of government transparency. Third, there is the issue of limited energy supply and increased carbon emissions due to non-renewable energy consumption. This research aims to determine the influence of macroeconomics, institutional quality, and renewable energy consumption on the economic growth of APEC member countries. The analysis method for this research is PVECM regression. The data used is panel data from 2005-2019. The research results show that the variables FDI, Trade, Labor, REC, and IQ have long and short-term influences on the economic growth of APEC countries. Suggestions that can be given are to improve the quality of APEC country institutions because, as seen from the average indicator estimates by the World Bank, Most APEC countries have low institutional quality. This improvement is needed to make policies more effective and efficient. Each country is also expected to increase the amount of renewable energy consumption.
Indonesian's Position in the World Vegetable Oil Trade Saleh Husin; Chandra Wijaya; Hanief Saha Ghafur; Eugenia Mardanugraha; T. M. Zakir Machmud
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.75154

Abstract

Indonesia's position as the largest vegetable oil producer is very strong in the world trade. Nonetheless, the Netherlands and Malaysia trade the Indonesian palm oil, which leads to a significant generation of profits. This research demonstrates the role of Indonesia in the global trade of vegetable oil. It illustrates the rivalry among vegetable oil producers and exporters and the dependence of vegetable oil importers on Indonesia. The annual volume data of vegetable oil production, export, and import sourced from FAO STAT in 2010-2020 were used. The data were processed and analyzed using descriptive statistics. Palm oil is the most widely acquired vegetable oil. The production of this oil is plentiful, and its price is the most economical compared to other vegetable oils. Soybean oil was the main competitor of palm oil, with the primary producers being China and the United States. The negative campaign against Indonesian palm oil could not weaken Indonesia's competitiveness in the global vegetable oil trade. Indonesia should limit palm oil exports to Europe and Malaysia while increasing exports to countries that only use it for domestic consumption. Coconut oil had the most potential to increase vegetable oil production in Indonesia. Indonesia's prominence in the global trade of edible oil is supreme. However, this preeminent status may be deteriorated by nations engaged in the commerce of Indonesian palm oil. Therefore, Indonesia should continuously update the world vegetable oil trade map to emphasize the point and level of export elevation or reduction. Indonesia should also develop and increase the production of other vegetable oil products to strengthen its position in the world's oil trade.
Education and Energy Consumption: a Provincial Analysis in Indonesia Nadira Aisha Susanto; Djoni Hartono; Misdawita Misdawita; Didi Nuryadin; Ida Bagus Putu Cesario Putra Surayuda; Novani Karina Saputri; Shofie Azzahrah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i4.75162

Abstract

The global and national energy consumption continues to increase every year, leading to increased carbon emissions. Households are one of Indonesia's energy consumers, where household members' educational level is considered to influence energy consumption. Due to the limited studies in Indonesia regarding the relationship between education and energy consumption, this study aims to explain the relationship between education and energy consumption among provinces in Indonesia. This study is a quantitative study under the STIRPAT framework, using three estimation methods to examine the impact of education on energy consumption among provinces in Indonesia from 2010 to 2021, namely OLS, Fixed Effect, and Fixed Effect Discroll-Kraay. The research was conducted with three different data analyses: Indonesia as a whole, Java, and non-Java regions. The study found differences in estimation results between Java and non-Java regions, providing evidence that the level of education has different associations with per capita energy consumption in these two areas. It was also found that the estimation results for Indonesia align with those in non-Java regions. The study concludes that education has a significant positive association with energy consumption in Indonesia and specifically in non-Java regions, while the association between education and energy consumption in Java is negative and significant. The policy implications suggest that the government should continue efforts to improve the quality of education and promote more efficient energy consumption education in the Java region and implement complementary policies such as compulsory education programs for non-Java regions to reduce energy consumption in Indonesia.
Happiness Index in ASEAN-9 2015-2021: Macroeconomic and Demographic Perspectives Giansyah, Resty Wulansari; Sambodo, Herman; Binardjo, Goro; Suharno, Suharno
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 4 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The ASEAN happiness index is low compared to the world happiness index because it was ranked 6th out of 10 other regions in 2021. From Frey's theory perspective, research on the happiness index in ASEAN is needed using economic and non-economic variables. Therefore, this research aims to analyze the effect of GDP per capita, inflation, population density, and dependency ratio on the happiness index in ASEAN-9 and examines the most influential variables. The secondary data was obtained from the World Happiness Report in the Sustainable Development Solutions Network, the World Bank, and the Asian Development Bank. Data were analyzed using panel regression with the r1andom effect model method selected. Found that GDP per capita, inflation, population density, and dependency ratio simultaneously affect the happiness index in ASEAN-9. Partially, GDP has a positive and significant effect on the happiness index in ASEAN-9. Meanwhile, inflation, population density, and dependency ratio are not significant to the happiness index in ASEAN-9. GDP per capita is the most influential variable to the happiness index in ASEAN-9. The finding is that during 2015-2021, in ASEAN-9 countries, there has been GDP per capita growth of 23%, with the average happiness index increasing from 5,339 to 5,431. The implication is that each government of ASEAN countries needs to pay attention to efforts to increase per capita income so that ASEAN people can live more prosperously and happily.

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