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JDE (Journal of Developing Economies)
Published by Universitas Airlangga
ISSN : 25411012     EISSN : 25282018     DOI : -
Core Subject :
The Journal of Developing Economies (JDE) is a journal published by the Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Airlangga University with the ISSN 2541-1012 (print version) and 2528-2018 (online version). This journal is published every 6 months, June and December, through a review process from both internal (Airlangga University) and external reviewers.
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 166 Documents
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Loan to Value Ratio, KPR and KPA in Indonesia: An ARDL Approach ardely, Novrianti Putri; Ekananda, Mahjus
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.39737

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic that occurred at the beginning of 2020 has caused economic growth to decline in many countries, including Indonesia. One of the steps taken with the aim of economic recovery is by increasing the consumption in credit channels or non-credit channels, such as social aid. This thesis discusses loan-to-value ratio effects on property loans, KPR, and KPA in Indonesia. Property loans, KPR and KPA, are included in consumer credits, and loan-to-value ratio is one of the macroprudential policy instruments. The method used in this thesis is Autoregressive Distributed Lag linear regression (ARDL) with property credit, KPR, and KPA as the dependent variable, the dummy variable of the loan-to-value ratio as the independent variables, and consumer credit interest rates, gross domestic product and inflation as the control variables. In addition, the interaction variable between the dummy variable of loan-to-value ratio and consumer credit interest rate is also used. The results showed that the interaction variable between the dummy variable of tightening in loan-to-value ratio and consumer credit interest rate is significant to property loans, KPR, and KPA in the long run. Furthermore, GDP and consumer credit interest rates, which are control variables, are also significant to property loans, KPR, and KPA in the long run
The Asymmetric Effect of Trade Openness on Output Volatility: Empirical Evidence from Ethiopia Degu, Adisu Abebaw; Bekele, Dagim Tadesse; Ayenew, Belesity Bekalu; Abate, Chala Amante
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.40886

Abstract

 A better understanding of the effect openness on volatility can lead to more effective government policy that addresses the adverse outcomes of volatility. By using NARDL model, Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter, and annual time-series data from the period 1981 to 2020, this study examined the effect of openness on output volatility in Ethiopia. From the NARDL bound test, the research find a long-run cointegration between output volatility, agricultural output, trade openness, lending rate, and money supply. We also found a long-run negative asymmetric effect, and short-run negative symmetric effect of openness on volatility”suggesting this open trading activity has a relationship that can reduce output volatility in Ethiopia. This possibility shows Ethiopia would benefit from international trade and openness reduces the adverse effects of volatility. Besides, we confirmed the positive asymmetric effect of agricultural output both in the long run and short run. The lending rate, that represents the cost of borrowing, has a positive effect on output volatility. The long-run and short-run coefficients of money supply have a negative and significant effect on output volatility.
Does Imported Input Affect Export Quality? Case of Indonesia in The Period of 2010-2015 Tiura Herlinda; Kiki Verico
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.41152

Abstract

This study aims to find empirical evidence of whether importing input as an external source of knowledge and technology transfer for developing countries affects export quality. Empirical data shows that over 75 percent of Indonesia's total import values are intermediate products used in the manufacturing process. This study combines custom data with a dataset of Indonesia's Firm-Level data of the Large and Medium Manufacturing Industry from 2010 to 2015. It applies the fixed-effect regression method and finds that imported input has a less significant effect on the export quality. Given its numerous populations, this study indicates that increasing imported input aims to meet Indonesian domestic demand instead of export quality.
Black Economy in Madura, an Electricity Consumption Approach Jakfar Sadik; Sari, Dyah Wulan; Titik, Crysanti S
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.42839

Abstract

This research aims to provide information for the government, stakeholders, and society on the quantity and types of economic activities on Madura Island that are undetected by the State Tax System. The method used in this research is the electricity consumption approach, i.e., comparing the total income of four regencies in Madura Island (Gross Regional Domestic Product) to the total electricity consumption during the 2016-2021 period. By this approach, the amount of Black Economy in four regencies in Madura Island compared to the total economic activities during 2016-2021 can be discovered, as well as the types of economic activities indicated as Black Economy.
Prediction of Stock Prices Using Capital Asset Pricing Model in Nigerian Stock Market: Lamin Jabbi, Muhammed; Suhardianto, Novrys
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.42956

Abstract

The main intention of this study is to use the accounting data using CAPM to determine the stock prices/returns for the Nigerian capital market. In this study, the independent variable is the prediction of the stock prices and the dependent variable is stock prices in the market. The proxy that is used in this study to measure the dependent variable is CAPM in Nigerian Market. The most important and interesting phenomenon to investors is the analysis from financial market pertaining to stock returns. The research method employed is quantitative which is unlike qualitative as a way of assessing the stock price. The study mainly aims at assessing the correlation of beta factors and the predictability of stock returns from Nigerian firms listed on the stock exchange. In order to boost the beta estimates and mitigate statistical problems resulted from incorrect measurement, the securities were combined into portfolios. In conclusion the study employs ordinary least squares (OLS) regression technique and obtained beta value which is positive and found conclusive evidence for using CAPM and is thus consistent with Nigerian stock market prices. The CAPM has implications for asset pricing since it shows how to calculate the requisite rate of return to assess the value of the stock prices with any given amount of systematic risk (beta) and since the beta is positive hence the policy makers and investors in the Nigerian stock market would make better informed decisions.
Industrialization in East Java Province Istifadah, Nurul; Maryunani; Ananda, Candra Fajri; Susilo
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.43183

Abstract

The manufacturing industry's contribution to East Java's economy is high. Still, the trend continues to decline, while the contribution of the trade, hotel, and restaurant sectors is increasing. This indicates that there has been a shift in the economic structure from industry to trade. This research uses a quantitative approach based on the classification carried out by UNIDO (United Nations Industrial Development Organization) and the World Bank. The results of secondary data from Central BPS and East Java Province BPS show that East Java Province is categorized as a semi-industrial area. East Java's industrial development is experiencing a decline from the "semi- industrialization” stage to the "towards industrialization” stage. This is an early indication of a decline in industrialization or deindustrialization in East Java. If the stages of industrialization in East Java have decreased, but not for commodity industrialization (the ratio of the manufacturing industry's contribution to the commodity sector). The value of commodity industrialization continues to increase. The commodity sector includes agriculture, mining, industry, construction, electricity, gas & drinking water.
The Impact of Industrialisation on Zambia's Economic Growth Yangailo, Tryson; Chambani, Taonga
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.43514

Abstract

This research study examines the impact of industrialisation on economic growth in Zambia. The study utilised secondary data from Zambian Central Bank and Word-Bank data statistics. The research did specify the model, where GDP was dependent (outcome) variable whereas, FDI, industrial output, interest rate, inflation and currency exchange rate were the independent (predictor) variables. Regression-analysis was used to analyse data using Jamovi-software. The study presents that industrialisation has a positive significant impact on Zambia's economic growth.
The Impact of Climate Change on Food Insecurity in The Southern African Development Community Mavodyo, Elisha
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.43534

Abstract

Despite the fact that the Southern African region is one of the most vulnerable to climate change, research on the impact of climate change on food insecurity in the SADC region as a whole is scarce. We make two major contributions to the literature. First, we examine how climate change affects a group of SADC countries. Second, in contrast to previous studies, we supplement an analysis of climate change on crop yield with an analysis of climate change on other food insecurity indicators such as food affordability, malnutrition, and a food insecurity measure. Relying on the system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, results show that precipitation has a statistically significant impact on all four indicators of food insecurity in both its linear and non-linear forms; precipitation has the greatest impact on food affordability, followed by its negative impact on malnutrition; and temperature -whether in its linear or nonlinear form- has no statistically significant influence on all four indicators of food insecurity. However, temperature change gains statistical significance in explaining movements in food security after controlling for the interaction of temperature and precipitation. The policy implications of these findings highlight the need to increase precipitation availability in the SADC region by designing sustainable irrigation programs while also implementing climate change mitigation initiatives alongside those designed to ensure food affordability and access to a healthy and decent meal, particularly for the poor.
Does Financial Development Alleviate Poverty? Empirical Evidence from Indonesia Wardana, Wahyu Wisnu; Diwanegara, Rosa; Prisandy, Rezza F.; Aminin; Rohim, Abdul
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v8i1.44648

Abstract

This study examines the contribution of financial development to poverty reduction in Indonesia using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound testing approach to the cointegration framework. It also employs annual data of several financial development measures such as domestic credit, broad money, and financial development indexes from 1986 to 2018. Our findings suggest that financial development and poverty reduction have a cointegration relationship, regardless of the financial development indicators used. Furthermore, we find that domestic credit, broad money, financial institution depth, financial market depth, financial market access, and financial market efficiency reduced poverty. It suggests that financial development reduced poverty through its indirect channel, i.e., the economic growth effect.
Effect of Food Exports on Economic Growth: Fresh Insights from Italy Othmani, Abdelhafidh; El Weriemmi, Malek; Bakari, Sayef
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 9 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v9i2.44553

Abstract

This paper aims to explore the relationship between food exports and economic growth in Italy. To achieve this objective, we utilize annual data spanning from 1990 to 2021, employing cointegration analysis and the ARDL Model. The empirical findings reveal a positive impact of food exports on long-term economic growth. However, despite this positive correlation, our examination of stylized facts uncovers a downward trend in the share of food exports over the analysis period. While acknowledging the role of food exports as a contributor to economic growth, this underscores the need for the Italian authorities to acknowledge the sector’s significance and implement new economic policies and trade reforms to fortify this area of economic activity.

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