Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Digitalisasi Desa Dondang: Transformasi Layanan Publik Melalui Optimasi Website sebagai Katalis Perubahan Darnah, Darnah; Fauziyah, Meirinda; Dani, Andrea Tri Rian
Journal of Research Applications in Community Service Vol. 3 No. 4 (2024): Journal of Research Applications in Community Service
Publisher : Universitas Nahdlatul Ulama Sunan Giri Bojonegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32665/jarcoms.v3i4.3430

Abstract

Optimalisasi website Kelurahan Dondang merupakan salah satu program big77 yang lahir dari suatu permasalahan yaitu perlunya lebih memanfaatkan website sebagai media informasi dan akses layanan terpadu untuk meningkatkan aksesibilitas informasi dan efektivitas pelayanan publik. Program ini dilaksanakan selama 40 hari sejak 8 Juli 2024 hingga 12 Agustus 2024 dengan melibatkan pihak Desa Dondang sebagai Mitra Pengabdian. Metode yang digunakan dalam pelaksanaan program meliputi perencanaan, observasi data kependudukan, validasi data, dan input data ke dalam sistem. Pada tahap awal, disusun alur kerja sebagai peta jalan pelaksanaan program optimasi website. Observasi terhadap data kependudukan mengungkapkan adanya banyak data yang memerlukan validasi akibat kesalahan manusia (human error). Proses selanjutnya adalah validasi data yang diikuti dengan penginputan data ke dalam sistem untuk membangun database informasi yang akurat. Hasil dari program ini adalah tersedianya website Kelurahan Dondang yang lengkap dengan fitur pengelolaan data administrasi, layanan informasi online, dan transparansi kegiatan pemerintah. Website ini mempermudah aparat kelurahan dalam pelayanan publik, meningkatkan kecepatan dan akurasi administrasi, serta mendukung keterbukaan informasi bagi masyarakat. Dengan optimalisasi ini, pemerintah dapat mengidentifikasi permasalahan lokal dan membuat kebijakan pembangunan yang lebih terfokus.
Faktor Yang Berpengaruh Terhadap Kematian Bayi Baru Lahir Di Daerah Kepulauan Alor Adrianingsih, Narita Yuri; Hinadang, Elen A.; Dani, Andrea Tri Rian; Novitasari, Nilam
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 5, No 2 (2024): Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jjps.v5i2.19432

Abstract

Binary logistic regression is an analysis that aims to determine the relationship between one or more predictor variables that are quantitative, qualitative, or a combination of both to a dichotomous response variable with two categories. Binary logistic regression analysis can also be applied in the health sector, especially in newborns' dead or alive status. Infant deaths in Indonesia, especially in the Alor Islands, are still widespread, which is due to several factors. In this study, several variables are thought to influence the status of the newborn, namely the newborn's weight, the baby's body length, the baby's gender, asphyxia, the mother's systolic blood pressure, and the mother's age at birth. The results of the analysis from this research showed that the factor that influences the death of newborn babies in the Alor Islands area is asphyxia. Newborn babies who experience asphyxia are 109,947 times more likely to die compared to babies who do not experience asphyxia.  
ANALISIS DINAMIK MODEL MATEMATIKA PENYEBARAN PENYAKIT KECANDUAN GAME ONLINE DENGAN MEMPERHATIKAN FAKTOR EDUKASI Wigantono, Sri; A'yun, Qonita Qurrota; Sandariria, Hardina; Dani, Andrea Tri Rian; Fauziyah, Meirinda
MAp (Mathematics and Applications) Journal Vol 6, No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Imam Bonjol Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15548/map.v6i2.10065

Abstract

Kecanduan bermain game online adalah bentuk penggunaan aplikasi permainan yang kurang bijak. Dampak buruk dan banyak masalah sosial muncul akibat dari kecanduan bermain game online.  Pada penelitian ini dibahas model matematika penyebaran penyakit kecanduan bermain game online dengan memperhatikan faktor edukasi. Model ini bertipe SEAR yang terdiri atas empat kompartemen, yaitu Susceptible (rentan), Exposed (terpapar), Addicted (kecanduan), dan Recovered (sembuh). Kemudian, pada penelitian ini ditentukan titik setimbang, bilangan reproduksi dasar, dan dilakukan analisis kestabilan titik setimbang yang sudah diperoleh. Berdasarkan hasil analisis kestabilan titik setimbang, didapat bahwa titik setimbang bebas penyakit model bersifat stabil asimtotis jika bilangan reproduksi dasar bernilai kurang dari satu dan titik setimbang endemik bersifat stabil asimtotis jika bilangan reproduksi dasar bernilai lebih dari satu. Berdasarkan hasil simulasi numerik didapat bahwa ilustrasi kestabilan lokal titik setimbang sesuai dengan hasil analisis yaitu konvergen ke titik setimbangnya. Selain itu, dari hasil numerik juga menunjukkan keefektivitasan faktor edukasi pada model yaitu semakin tinggi tingkat edukasi, maka akan menurunkan populasi yang terpapar dan populasi kecanduan bermain game online.
The Modeling Maximum Water Level in Sangkuliman East Borneo using Singular Spectrum Analysis Dani, Andrea Tri Rian; Mislan, Mislan; Putra, Fachrian Bimantoro
ARRUS Journal of Mathematics and Applied Science Vol. 4 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : PT ARRUS Intelektual Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/mathscience2945

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memodelkan rata-rata tinggi muka air maksimum di danau Sangkuliman dengan menggunakan data runtun waktu yang dikumpulkan sejak Januari 2015 – Desember 2022. Metode yang digunakan adalah Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA). SSA adalah salah satu metode analisis runtun waktu yang memiliki kelebihan, diantaranya fleksibilitas dalam mendeteksi pola khususnya pola musiman. Data dibagi menjadi data in-sample dan out-sample dengan proporsi 90:10. Ukuran akurasi yang digunakan adalah Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (SMAPE). Berdasarkan hasil analisis, diperoleh windown length optimal L = 12 dengan nilai SMAPE minimum. Hasil peramalan dari SSA berdasarkan koefisien Linear Recurrent Formula (LRF) menunjukkan pola data hasil prediksi cenderung mengikuti pola data aktual.
Application of Queue Theory in Cafe Services with Erlang Distribution Ramadhani, Bagus D.; Cahyono, Budi; Rahayu, Joana K.; Rahmah, Syifa M.; Dani, Andrea Tri Rian
Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Vol 2 No 3 (2024): Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics
Publisher : Darul Yasin Al Sys

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58578/mjms.v2i3.3403

Abstract

As urban lifestyles evolve, culinary businesses, particularly cafes, have experienced rapid growth. This surge in popularity has led to an increase in customers and, consequently, longer queues. These extended wait times can frustrate customers and pose challenges to cafe management. To address this issue, we conducted a comprehensive eval_uation and optimization of the service system at a Samarinda cafe using the Erlang distribution queuing system. Primary data was meticulously collected over six days, amounting to a total of 12 hours of observation. Kolmogorov-Smirnov distribution fitting tests were employed, revealing that customer service times adhered to an exponential distribution. The average customer arrival rate was determined to be 0.351 per minute, while the average service time was calculated at 5.546 minutes per customer. Our analysis confirmed that the system operates in a steady state with a utility value of 0.06, indicating sufficient service capacity to handle the current customer load. Therefore, the study concludes that the cafe's service system is currently optimal.
Comparison of Value at Risk (VaR) in Risk Analysis: Historical, Variance Covariance and Monte Carlo Methods Fauziyah, Meirinda; Dani, Andrea Tri Rian; Koirudin, Hadi; Budi, Ennesya Estya; Avrilia, Khairunnisa; Watika, Noor Hikmah
Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Vol 2 No 3 (2024): Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics
Publisher : Darul Yasin Al Sys

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58578/mjms.v2i3.3778

Abstract

Value at Risk (VaR) is a method used to measure financial risk in a company. VaR calculations are often used to calculate the level of loss from shares in a company, such as bank shares. The aim of this research is to determine the level of losses in Bank Central Asia shares using the historical method, the Variance-covariance method, and the Monte Carlo method. the results showed that with an initial investment of $50 and using the Historical method at a significant level of 95%, the VaR value was obtained at $16.42 or IDR. 267.301 and at the 90% significant level, the VaR value was obtained at $12.41 or IDR. 202.022. Based on the Variance-covariance method with an initial investment of 50$ at the 95% significant level, the VaR value is obtained at $16.42 or IDR. 267,301 and at the 90% significant level, the VaR value is obtained at $12.79 or IDR. 208.208. Meanwhile, based on the Monte Carlo method with an initial investment of $50, at a significant level of 95%, the VaR value is obtained at $16.46 or IDR. 267,952 and at the 90% significance level, the VaR value is obtained at $12.84 or IDR. 209.022. Based on the three methods used, it was concluded that the Monte Carlo method gave greater results compared to the other two methods.
Analysis the Effect of Inflation, Gold Prices in Dollars, Rupiah Exchange to Bank Indonesia Monthly Rates After the COVID 19 Seputro, Dimas Nugroho Dwi; Dani, Andrea Tri Rian; Fauziyah, Meirinda; Adrianingsih, Narita Yuri; Putra, Fachrian Bimantoro
Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Vol 2 No 3 (2024): Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics
Publisher : Darul Yasin Al Sys

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58578/mjms.v2i3.3767

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has caused economic turmoil to become uncertain, affecting all aspects of Indonesian society's lives. This research aims to determine the relationship between the inflation rate, the transaction price of the last issuer of gold and the rupiah exchange rate that occurred in the period after the Covid-19 pandemic on the monthly interest rate of Bank Indonesia, both together and each variable on the monthly interest rate of Bank Indonesia. This research details the research steps starting from classical assumption test analysis, multiple linear regression, coefficient of determination to hypothesis testing. The research results show that from the inflation rate, the price of gold in dollars together has a significant influence on the dependent variable, namely the Bank Indonesia monthly interest rate. Inflation and gold prices in dollars partially have a significant influence on Bank Indonesia's monthly interest rate, while the rupiah exchange rate variable partially does not have a significant influence on Bank Indonesia's monthly interest rate. Inflation is the most dominant variable in Bank Indonesia's monthly interest rate after the Covid-19 pandemic.
Time Series Modeling with Intervention Analysis to Evaluate of COVID-19 Impact on the Stock Markets in Indonesia and Global Dani, Andrea Tri Rian; Putra, Fachrian Bimantoro
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi Volume 13 Issue 1 April 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/euler.v13i1.31081

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic began in December 2019 and led to significant disruptions in global financial markets. This study investigates the impact of the pandemic on stock indices in Indonesia (IHSG), the United States (DJI), and South Korea (KOSPI) using intervention analysis with a step function, which is designed to model permanent shifts in time series data following external shocks. Unlike traditional models such as ARIMA that assume data continuity, intervention models, particularly those using step functions, are highly suitable for assessing long-term economic disruptions and structural breaks caused by pandemics. This research uses daily stock price index data from January 10, 2019, to May 8, 2020, obtained from Yahoo Finance. The step function identifies the point of sustained change triggered by the initial COVID-19 outbreak and subsequent market reactions. The analysis shows that the pandemic caused significant and persistent declines across all observed indices. IHSG recorded its sharpest drop on March 26, 2020, while DJI and KOSPI experienced similar downward trends from March to April 2020. The forecasting performance of the intervention model was excellent, with Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values of 0.72% for IHSG, 0.87% for DJI, and 0.82% for KOSPI, demonstrating high accuracy in modeling stock market behavior during crisis conditions.
PENGUJIAN HIPOTESIS SIMULTAN MODEL REGRESI NONPARAMETRIK SPLINE TRUNCATED DALAM PEMODELAN KASUS EKONOMI DANI, ANDREA TRI RIAN; ADRIANINGSIH, NARITA YURI; AINURROCHMAH, ALIFTA
Jambura Journal of Probability and Statistics Vol 1, No 2 (2020): Jambura Journal of Probability and Statictics
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjps.v1i2.7755

Abstract

The pattern in a relationship between the response variable and the predictor variable can be known and some cannot be known. In determining the unknown pattern of relationships, nonparametric regression approaches can be used. The nonparametric regression approach is very flexible. One of the most frequently used nonparametric regression approaches is the truncated spline. Truncated splines are polynomial pieces that are segmented and continuous. The purpose of this study is to obtain the best estimator model in the Gini Ratio case against the variables suspected of influencing it, then perform simultaneous hypothesis testing on the nonparametric regression model. The criteria for the goodness of the model use the GCV and R2 values. In the case modeling of the District / City Gini Ratio in East Java Province using a nonparametric regression approach, it was found that the truncated spline estimator with 3 knots points gave quite good results. This is indicated by the coefficient of determination of the truncated spline estimator, which is 84.76%. Based on the results of simultaneous testing, it was found that the open unemployment rate, the percentage of poor people and the rate of economic growth simultaneously had an influence on the Gini Ratio.
Strategi jitu menjadikan sambal tiram Tabalar mendunia untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan masyarakat Kusuma, Ratna; Samsurianto, Samsurianto; Dani, Andrea Tri Rian; Darnah, Darnah
SELAPARANG: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Berkemajuan Vol 9, No 3 (2025): May
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jpmb.v9i3.30598

Abstract

Abstrak Tiram merupakan sumber daya hayati laut dengan potensi ekonomi tinggi yang dapat dikembangkan menjadi produk olahan seperti sambal tiram. Desa Tabalar Muara di Kalimantan Timur memiliki potensi besar untuk mengembangkan produk ini, namun terbentur oleh keterbatasan pemahaman tentang pemasaran digital, lemahnya branding, dan jangkauan pasar yang terbatas. Untuk mengatasi masalah tersebut, dilakukan program sosialisasi pemasaran digital dengan tujuan meningkatkan daya saing produk sambal tiram melalui pemanfaatan media sosial. Program ini dilaksanakan dalam tiga tahapan: persiapan, sosialisasi, dan pelaksanaan. Pada tahap persiapan, dilakukan survei untuk menggali kondisi usaha masyarakat. Sosialisasi memberikan pemahaman tentang pemasaran digital, branding, dan desain kemasan produk. Pelaksanaan melibatkan praktik langsung pembuatan konten promosi dan pengelolaan media sosial. Hasil kegiatan menunjukkan bahwa peserta, terutama anggota PKK, lebih memahami pentingnya pemasaran digital dan semakin percaya diri dalam memasarkan produk mereka. Program ini diharapkan dapat meningkatkan daya saing sambal tiram Tabalar Muara di pasar lokal dan nasional serta mendorong pengembangan usaha mikro berbasis sumber daya lokal untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan masyarakat desa secara berkelanjutan. Kata kunci: tiram; Tabalar Muara; ekonomi desa; digitalisasi Abstract Oysters are marine resources with high economic value, and they can be developed into processed products like oyster sambal. Tabalar Muara Village in East Kalimantan has significant potential for developing this product but faces challenges in marketing, particularly in digital marketing and branding. This program aims to improve the competitiveness of oyster sambal through digital marketing, specifically via social media, to expand market reach. The program was carried out in three stages: preparation, socialization, and implementation. In the preparation stage, surveys were conducted to identify marketing barriers. The socialization stage focused on educating participants about digital marketing strategies, packaging design, and branding. In the implementation stage, participants were guided to create promotional content for social media. The results showed an increase in participants’ understanding, particularly among PKK members, of the importance of digital marketing. This program is expected to promote sustainable local product development and improve the welfare of the village community. Keywords: oysters; Tabalar Muara; village economy; digitalization