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All Journal Ekono Insentif SULTANIST: Jurnal Manajemen dan Keuangan Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi International Journal of Economics, Business, and Entrepreneurship (IJEBE) Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis GROWTH (JEBG) International Journal of Social Science, Education, Communication and Economics Jurnal Ekonomika Dan Bisnis Studi Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies Priviet Social Sciences Journal Jurnal Bisnis dan Ekonomi Revenue Journal: Management and Entrepreneurship Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan Riset Pendidikan Journal of Multidisciplinary Academic and Practice Studies Global Academy of Business Studies
Gunarto, Toto
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Religion Aerospace Engineering Arts Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Neuroscience Social Sciences Other

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Growth, Industrial Structure, and Carbon Emissions in ASEAN: A Panel Data Analysis Gunarto, Toto; Hadiyati, Sri; Hudani, M Mufti; Ciptawaty, Ukhti; Afif, Fadeli Yusuf
Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 5 No. 3 (2025): Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi (JRIE) Edisi Desember 2025
Publisher : Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23969/jrie.v5i3.342

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between economic growth, industrial growth, and carbon dioxide emissions in ASEAN countries over the period 2010–2020, with particular emphasis on the interaction between economic expansion and industrial structure. Using balanced panel data from nine ASEAN economies and employing panel regression techniques, the analysis evaluates both the direct and conditional effects of growth on environmental outcomes. The results indicate that economic growth and industrial growth each have a positive and statistically significant impact on carbon emissions. More importantly, the interaction term between economic growth and industrial growth is also positive and significant, suggesting that the environmental impact of GDP growth is amplified in economies experiencing stronger industrial expansion. These findings imply that economic growth in ASEAN remains closely linked to energy-intensive industrial activities, limiting progress toward emissions reduction. By explicitly modeling the interaction between growth and industrial structure, this study contributes to the environmental economics literature by providing a more nuanced understanding of the growth–emissions nexus in developing regional contexts.
Pengaruh Konsumsi Rokok, Tingkat Pendidikan, dan Pendapatan Terhadap Konsumsi Kalori di Provinsi Lampung: Penelitian Al-Haiban, Umar Wafa; Gunarto, Toto
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan Riset Pendidikan Vol. 4 No. 3 (2026): Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan Riset Pendidikan Volume 4 Nomor 3 (Januari 202
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/jerkin.v4i3.4953

Abstract

Calorie Calorie consumption is an important indicator in assessing household welfare and nutritional quality. Lampung Province is recorded as having the lowest average calorie consumption on the island of Sumatra, while simultaneously exhibiting the highest smoking prevalence in Indonesia. This condition indicates a distortion in household expenditure allocation, particularly due to cigarette consumption. This study aims to analyze the effects of cigarette consumption, income, and education level on household calorie consumption in Lampung Province. A quantitative approach is employed using district/city panel data in Lampung Province for the period 2018–2024. The analytical method applied is panel data regression, with the selection of the best estimation model conducted through the Chow test, Hausman test, and Lagrange Multiplier test. The results indicate that an increase in cigarette consumption of one thousand rupiah raises calorie consumption by 36.50 kilocalories, an increase in education level by one year increases calorie consumption by 154.34 kilocalories, and an increase in income of one thousand rupiah raises calorie consumption by 19.76 kilocalories. These findings suggest that improvements in income and education play a crucial role in enhancing household energy consumption. This study is expected to provide empirical evidence for the formulation of integrated cigarette control policies aimed at improving nutritional quality and educational attainment in Lampung Province.
Measuring the achievements of smart economics in the smart village program in Lampung Province 2020-2024 Endriyono , Endriyono; Gunarto, Toto; Murwiati, Asih
Journal of Multidisciplinary Academic and Practice Studies Vol. 3 No. 3 (2025): August
Publisher : Goodwood Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35912/jomaps.v3i3.3524

Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to measure the impact of Smart Village dimensions on rural community welfare in Lampung Province from 2020 to 2024, focusing on the Smart Economy pillar and its integration with digital transformation and technosociopreneurship. Methods: A quantitative approach was applied using multiple linear regression (Ordinary Least Squares) on data from 70 Smart Village loci across four districts. The independent variables include Smart People, Smart Governance, Smart Mobility, Smart Environment, Smart Living, and Smart Economy, while the dependent variable is community welfare. Instrument validity and classical assumption tests ensured model reliability. Results: All six Smart Village dimensions significantly and positively affected community welfare, with Smart People having the highest coefficient (0.8489). The model showed strong explanatory power (R² = 0.9535) and passed all classical assumption tests. Smart Economy initiatives—digitalization of MSMEs, inclusive market access, and technology-driven entrepreneurship—directly enhanced household income, job creation, and local growth. Conclusion: Implementation of Smart Village principles, especially smart economic transformation, significantly improves rural welfare. Digital innovation, good governance, and community capacity-building strengthen service quality, economic inclusion, and sustainability. Limitation: The study is limited to Smart Village implementations in Lampung Province, excluding interregional comparisons and long-term behavioral aspects. Contribution: This study provides empirical evidence of Smart Village effectiveness in rural development, supporting policy formulation on digital infrastructure, entrepreneurship training, and stakeholder collaboration, while offering a replicable model for evaluating Smart Village outcomes in other regions.
The Relationship Between Granger Causality Analysis and Indonesian Trade and Economic Growth. Yuliansyah, Yuliansyah; Gunarto, Toto; Ciptawaty, Ukhti; Ninidien, Qurrota Ayu; Afif, Fadeli Yusuf
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 14 No 3 (2025): Volume 14 Nomor 3 Tahun 2025
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/jep.v14i3.4433

Abstract

These findings confirm that the contribution of domestic assets to economic growth is relatively limited, which is in line with the literature that emphasizes the more dominant role of foreign direct investment, household consumption, and fiscal and monetary policies in influencing the Indonesian economy. Second, the causality test on foreign assets also shows similar results, namely that economic growth has not been proven to affect changes in foreign assets, and vice versa. Based on the findings of this study, the recommendation for the government is to implement economic development policies that are more focused on strengthening the domestic foundation, particularly by encouraging productive investment, increasing the competitiveness of the real sector, and strengthening household consumption, which has been proven to be more significant in driving economic growth
The effect of financial inclusion on poverty rate in Sumatra Island Rosyadi, Imron; Gunarto, Toto; Yuliawan, Deddy
Global Academy of Business Studies Vol. 2 No. 1 (2025): July
Publisher : Goodwood Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35912/gabs.v2i1.3585

Abstract

Purpose: This study examines the effects of financial inclusion and inflation on poverty reduction across ten provinces on the island of Sumatra, Indonesia, from 2017 to 2023. Despite Indonesia’s significant economic progress in recent decades, poverty and inequality remain persistent challenges, particularly in Sumatra, where disparities in access to resources and opportunities continue to exist. Research Methodology: A quantitative approach was employed using panel data from ten provinces in Sumatra. Regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the relationship between the Financial Inclusion Index (IKK), inflation, and poverty rate. Results: The findings reveal that the Financial Inclusion Index (IKK) has a significant negative effect on poverty, indicating that increased access to financial services helps reduce poverty levels. Inflation also shows a significant negative effect, suggesting that controlled inflation within a stable range may strengthen household purchasing power and mitigate poverty. Conclusions: Enhanced financial inclusion effectively reduces poverty by facilitating access to credit, savings, and other financial services that empower local communities. Stable inflation management contributes to a predictable economic environment conducive to poverty alleviation. Limitations: This study is limited to Sumatra and excludes other socioeconomic factors such as education, employment, and government assistance programs that may influence poverty levels. Contribution: The study provides empirical evidence of the regional effects of financial inclusion and inflation on poverty, emphasizing the importance of localized economic policy and consistent monitoring to achieve inclusive and sustainable growth.
Analysis of socio demographic economic components in the livelihood vulnerability index of coastal communities due to tidal flooding in Bandar Lampung City Putri, Resha Moniyana; Gunarto, Toto; Husaini, Muhammad; Irham, Ahmad Rowatul
Priviet Social Sciences Journal Vol. 6 No. 3 (2026): March 2026
Publisher : Privietlab

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55942/pssj.v6i3.1565

Abstract

Tidal flooding is a recurring hazard in coastal areas and poses a serious threat to the sustainability of community livelihoods, particularly in regions that are highly dependent on coastal-based economic activities. In Bandar Lampung City, frequent tidal flooding events have disrupted the social, demographic, and economic conditions of coastal households, increasing their overall livelihood vulnerability. This study aims to analyze the level of social demographic economic vulnerability of coastal communities using the Livelihood Vulnerability Index (LVI) approach. The assessment focuses on four coastal districts Bumi Waras, Panjang, Teluk Betung Timur, and Teluk Betung Selatan and applies a balanced weighted averaged method to ensure equal contribution of each indicator within the composite index. Standardization of sub-components is conducted to enable consistent aggregation and comparison across districts. The results reveal that all studied districts fall within the vulnerable to very vulnerable categories. Bumi Waras District shows the highest level of vulnerability, primarily driven by a high proportion of female-headed households and limited household expenditure capacity. Panjang District is also characterized by considerable vulnerability due to demographic pressures and reduced labor productivity associated with household age structure. Meanwhile, Teluk Betung Timur and Teluk Betung Selatan exhibit relatively lower vulnerability levels, although persistent dependency ratios and gender-related household characteristics continue to constrain resilience. These findings demonstrate that livelihood vulnerability in coastal urban areas is multidimensional and shaped by the interaction of demographic structure, gender roles, and economic capacity. The study highlights the importance of integrating social and economic dimensions into coastal development planning and disaster risk reduction efforts to enhance household resilience and support sustainable livelihoods in Bandar Lampung City.
Co-Authors Ahmad Rowatul Irham Al-Haiban, Umar Wafa Andesta, Herma Yola Anezza, Devis Aulia, Deswira Berliyani, Diana Ciptawaty, Ukhti Djayasinga, Marselina Endriyon, Endriyon Endriyono Endriyono , Endriyono Fadeli Yusuf Afif Farrel Atallah Putra, Muhammad Fazrin, Arick Ridho Firdaus, Angga Nur Hadiyati, Sri Hudani, M Mufti I Wayan Suparta . Imron Rosyadi Kurnia, Azizah Dwi Kurniasari, Wulan Lismiyah, Efi Maimunah, Emi Manurung, Jairus Marselina Marselina Muhammad Husaini Murwiati, Asih Nairobi, Nairobi Neli Aida Ninidien, Qurrota Ayu Nouvan, M. Ahadi Putri, Resha Moniyana Rahmansyah, Adi Ratih, Arivina Sandova, Dea Sidiq, Meikanur Sugiyanto, Rama Taher, Arvinia Ratih Umara, Gharas Yuliansyah Yuliansyah Yuliawan, Deddy Yuliawan, Dedi Yuliawan, Dedy Zaharani Khansa, Syifana